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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 30, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Wizards29%9368
18Raptors71%10074
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.0
43.0
31.1
19
48%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
5-14
4-10
36%
39%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.6
39.5
17.0
12
42%
18
2
2
0
5
2
3
15
4-5
80%
4-12
2-5
33%
40%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
39.4
22.9
12
40%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-14
4-8
36%
43%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.2
20.0
18.9
2
20%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.8
18.7
23.9
2
17%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-4
2-5
25%
37%
0-1
0%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.7
24.5
22.4
8
27%
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
4-14
5-12
29%
40%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
18.4
20.6
7
35%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
40%
1-3
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 20.9
15.7
15.9
4
53%
4
0
0
0
1
3
4
0
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 38.9
8.9
10.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.6
7.5
13.0
2
35%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 22.9
4.4
21.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.1
19.3
1
2-4
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
40.4
29.9
9
38%
16
1
2
1
1
3
4
12
1-4
25%
4-10
5-11
40%
43%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
39.3
31.1
20
55%
10
1
3
1
0
6
2
8
6-7
86%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
2-9
22%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
38.0
35.3
18
53%
3
4
0
1
1
1
2
1
6-7
86%
6-11
7-15
55%
44%
0-3
0%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
35.3
9.5
6
33%
12
0
0
0
2
3
3
9
0-0
-
3-9
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.2
30.8
32.8
7
32%
2
6
0
2
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
43%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.5
18.9
20.1
10
51%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.9
17.3
13.5
2
20%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 29.5
12.4
24.9
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
7.7
7.5
2
69%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
14.3
0
2-3
46%
Nate Huffman
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.6
9.4
0
1-2
49%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
8.2
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.