Final Win Prob. pScore
951%98
100
2549%97
86
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
112.48995.9
MIA logo Heat
97.78882.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
86
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMagic Rebound100
86
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLSUB: Humphrey FOR Armstrong100
86
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)100
86
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Sasser 14' Jump Shot100
86
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)100
86
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMarks BLOCK (2 BLK)100
86
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)100
86
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)100
83
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)99
83
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAAllen S.FOUL (P5.T3)98
83
Q4 - 0:52.0ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
83
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS House 6' Running Jump Shot98
83
Q4 - 1:02MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
83
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Burke 21' Jump Shot98
83
Q4 - 1:22MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)98
83
Q4 - 1:36MIASUB: Marks FOR Grant98
81
Q4 - 1:36ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)98
81
Q4 - 2:00MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)98
81
Q4 - 2:17ORLBurke Layup (9 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)98
79
Q4 - 2:20ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
79
Q4 - 2:22ORLMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot96
79
Q4 - 2:42ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
79
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot96
79
Q4 - 2:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
79
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot96
79
Q4 - 3:18ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
79
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot96
79
Q4 - 3:44ORLKemp 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)96
79
Q4 - 3:55ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Miller94
79
Q4 - 3:55ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)94
79
Q4 - 4:05MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)94
79
Q4 - 4:22ORLBurke Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)94
77
Q4 - 4:39ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
77
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS James Driving Layup94
77
Q4 - 4:57ORLKemp 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)94
77
Q4 - 5:19MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)92
77
Q4 - 5:19ORLKemp S.FOUL (P4.T4)92
76
Q4 - 5:19MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 3 AST)92
76
Q4 - 5:3492
74
Q4 - 5:34ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P6.T14)92
74
Q4 - 5:52MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)92
74
Q4 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
72
Q4 - 5:59ORLMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot92
72
Q4 - 6:11MIASUB: James FOR Jones92
72
Q4 - 6:11ORLMagic Rebound92
72
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot92
72
Q4 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)92
72
Q4 - 6:22ORLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)92
72
Q4 - 6:39ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
72
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 292
72
Q4 - 6:40MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
72
Q4 - 6:40ORLSUB: Burke FOR Garrity92
71
Q4 - 6:40ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P4.T3)92
71
Q4 - 6:52ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS)92
71
Q4 - 6:53ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
71
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS Sasser Layup90
71
Q4 - 6:55ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
71
Q4 - 6:58ORLMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot90
71
Q4 - 7:14MIAAllen Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (House 1 AST)90
71
Q4 - 7:27ORLGrant STEAL (2 STL)90
69
Q4 - 7:31ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
69
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot90
69
Q4 - 7:42ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Humphrey90
69
Q4 - 7:42MIASUB: Grant FOR Marks90
69
Q4 - 7:42ORLGarrity P.FOUL (P3.T2)90
69
Q4 - 7:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
69
Q4 - 7:46ORLAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)90
69
Q4 - 8:08MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)90
69
Q4 - 8:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
69
Q4 - 8:20ORLMISS Kemp 16' Jump Shot90
69
Q4 - 8:37ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
69
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot90
69
Q4 - 8:51ORLHumphrey P.FOUL (P2.T1)90
69
Q4 - 9:07ORLGarrity Layup (16 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)90
69
Q4 - 9:10ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
69
Q4 - 9:12ORLMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)88
69
Q4 - 9:21ORLGarrity Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)88
69
Q4 - 9:21MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Allen )87
69
Q4 - 9:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)87
69
Q4 - 9:52MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis87
69
Q4 - 9:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)87
69
Q4 - 9:59ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)87
69
Q4 - 9:59MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T2)86
69
Q4 - 9:59ORLMiller Driving Layup (13 PTS)86
69
Q4 - 10:07ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
69
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot84
69
Q4 - 10:29ORLGarrity 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)84
69
Q4 - 10:44ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
69
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot82
69
Q4 - 11:06ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P1.T12)82
69
Q4 - 11:06ORLKemp OFF.Foul (P3)82
69
Q4 - 11:18MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler82
69
Q4 - 11:18MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T1)82
69
Q4 - 11:20ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
69
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
69
Q4 - 11:36ORLVaughn Layup (2 PTS)82
69
Q4 - 11:41MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)80
69
Q4 - 11:47ORLHumphrey Foul Turnover (P1.T11)80
69
Q4 - 11:47ORLHumphrey OFF.Foul (P1)80
69
Q4 - 12:0080
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
69
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMiller 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
69
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAButler Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)78
69
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLButler STEAL (1 STL)78
67
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
67
Q3 - 1:00ORLMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)78
65
Q3 - 1:24MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
65
Q3 - 1:33ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR McGrady75
63
Q3 - 1:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
63
Q3 - 1:49MIASUB: Marks FOR Grant74
63
Q3 - 1:49MIASUB: House FOR Best74
63
Q3 - 1:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
63
Q3 - 1:49MIABest S.FOUL (P2.T4)73
63
Q3 - 1:53MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)73
63
Q3 - 2:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
63
Q3 - 2:02ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot73
63
Q3 - 2:23MIABest 7' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)73
63
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
61
Q3 - 2:30ORLMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot73
61
Q3 - 2:39ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
61
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot73
61
Q3 - 2:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
61
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot73
61
Q3 - 2:59ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)73
61
Q3 - 3:02ORLSUB: Kemp FOR Burke73
61
Q3 - 3:02MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones73
61
Q3 - 3:15MIAGrant Reverse Layup (4 PTS)73
61
Q3 - 3:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
59
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Grant Layup73
59
Q3 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
59
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot73
59
Q3 - 3:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
59
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
59
Q3 - 3:57ORLSUB: Humphrey FOR Hill73
59
Q3 - 3:57MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)73
59
Q3 - 4:15ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
59
Q3 - 4:15MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen72
59
Q3 - 4:15ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
59
Q3 - 4:15MIAAllen S.FOUL (P4.T3)71
59
Q3 - 4:37MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)71
59
Q3 - 4:56ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)71
57
Q3 - 5:02MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)68
57
Q3 - 5:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
57
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot68
57
Q3 - 5:20ORLMcGrady P.FOUL (P1.T2)68
57
Q3 - 5:26ORLBurke P.FOUL (P3.T1)68
57
Q3 - 5:39ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)68
57
Q3 - 5:44ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Armstrong65
57
Q3 - 5:44ORLSUB: Miller FOR DeClercq65
57
Q3 - 5:44ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)65
57
Q3 - 5:47ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
57
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot65
57
Q3 - 5:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
57
Q3 - 5:56ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot65
57
Q3 - 6:15MIABest 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
57
Q3 - 6:39ORLHill 9' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)65
55
Q3 - 7:05MIABest Running Layup (18 PTS)63
55
Q3 - 7:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)63
53
Q3 - 7:18ORLHill 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)63
53
Q3 - 7:37MIAButler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)63
53
Q3 - 7:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
53
Q3 - 7:49ORLMISS Armstrong 7' Jump Shot63
53
Q3 - 8:08ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
53
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot63
53
Q3 - 8:25ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
53
Q3 - 8:33ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
53
Q3 - 8:35ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
53
Q3 - 8:35ORLJones BLOCK (2 BLK)61
53
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot61
53
Q3 - 9:00MIAHEAT Rebound61
53
Q3 - 9:02ORLMISS Burke 20' Jump Shot61
53
Q3 - 9:25MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
53
Q3 - 9:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
51
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS Burke Free Throw 2 of 261
51
Q3 - 9:34ORLBurke Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
51
Q3 - 9:34MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.T2)60
51
Q3 - 9:44MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
51
Q3 - 9:53ORLDeClercq Layup (2 PTS)60
49
Q3 - 9:57ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
49
Q3 - 9:59ORLMISS Burke 22' Jump Shot58
49
Q3 - 10:14MIABest Layup (16 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
49
Q3 - 10:32ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
47
Q3 - 10:57MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
47
Q3 - 11:20ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)56
45
Q3 - 11:40MIAAllen L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)54
45
Q3 - 11:40ORLMagic Rebound54
45
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot54
45
Q3 - 12:0054
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot54
45
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
45
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot54
45
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)54
45
Q2 - 0:26.0MIASUB: Grant FOR Butler51
45
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)51
45
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABest 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
45
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)51
43
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
43
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
43
Q2 - 1:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)49
43
Q2 - 1:17ORLArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)49
43
Q2 - 1:21ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
43
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup47
43
Q2 - 1:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
43
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 1:51MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
43
Q2 - 2:15ORLMcGrady Dunk (20 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)47
41
Q2 - 2:18ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
41
Q2 - 2:20ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
41
Q2 - 2:28ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
41
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot45
41
Q2 - 2:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
41
Q2 - 2:50ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 145
41
Q2 - 2:50MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant45
41
Q2 - 2:50ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
41
Q2 - 2:50MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.T3)45
41
Q2 - 2:50ORLHill Driving Layup (9 PTS)45
41
Q2 - 3:07MIAButler Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)43
41
Q2 - 3:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
39
Q2 - 3:14ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)43
39
Q2 - 3:23ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
39
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot43
39
Q2 - 3:52ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)43
39
Q2 - 4:14MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
39
Q2 - 4:36ORLHill Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)40
37
Q2 - 4:41ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
37
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 4:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
37
Q2 - 4:54ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 5:10ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
37
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 5:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
37
Q2 - 5:34ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 238
37
Q2 - 5:34ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
37
Q2 - 5:34MIASUB: Best FOR James37
37
Q2 - 5:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
37
Q2 - 5:34MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
37
Q2 - 5:45MIAButler Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)37
37
Q2 - 6:05ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)37
35
Q2 - 6:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 6:25MIAHEAT Rebound35
34
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 235
34
Q2 - 6:25ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Kemp35
34
Q2 - 6:25ORLKemp P.FOUL (P2.T4)35
34
Q2 - 6:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
34
Q2 - 6:31ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
34
Q2 - 6:44ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot35
34
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
34
Q2 - 7:14MIASUB: Butler FOR Marks35
34
Q2 - 7:14MIAMarks P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
34
Q2 - 7:23ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot35
34
Q2 - 7:45ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)35
34
Q2 - 7:52ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
34
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot32
34
Q2 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)32
34
Q2 - 8:20MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)30
34
Q2 - 8:39ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
34
Q2 - 8:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 8:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
33
Q2 - 8:52ORLSUB: Hill FOR Burke28
32
Q2 - 8:5228
32
Q2 - 8:52ORLBurke S.FOUL (P2.T3)28
32
Q2 - 9:02ORLBurke Violation:Kicked Ball28
32
Q2 - 9:25ORLKemp 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)28
32
Q2 - 9:44MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler26
32
Q2 - 9:44ORLMagic Rebound26
32
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 9:58ORLKemp L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)26
32
Q2 - 9:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
32
Q2 - 9:59ORLMISS Kemp Layup26
32
Q2 - 10:05ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
32
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 10:20ORLSUB: McGrady FOR Humphrey26
32
Q2 - 10:20ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
32
Q2 - 10:20ORLMiller OFF.Foul (P1)26
32
Q2 - 10:26MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
32
Q2 - 10:43ORLHumphrey 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)26
32
Q2 - 10:54ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Vaughn24
32
Q2 - 10:54MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen24
32
Q2 - 11:08MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
32
Q2 - 11:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
30
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot24
30
Q2 - 11:31ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
30
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot24
30
Q2 - 11:41ORLSUB: Burke FOR DeClercq24
30
Q2 - 11:41ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P3.T1)24
30
Q2 - 12:0024
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
30
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Marks 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
30
Q1 - 0:06.0ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#5)24
30
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
30
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS)24
30
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot24
28
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLHumphrey 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
28
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
28
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLSUB: Humphrey FOR McGrady22
26
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P2.PN)22
26
Q1 - 1:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 222
26
Q1 - 1:07ORLMagic Rebound22
26
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 222
26
Q1 - 1:07MIASUB: James FOR Best22
26
Q1 - 1:07MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
26
Q1 - 1:18MIAButler 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)22
26
Q1 - 1:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
24
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 1:48ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 2:17MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)19
24
Q1 - 2:23MIAHEAT Rebound19
22
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 2:50ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)19
22
Q1 - 3:05ORLSUB: Kemp FOR Burke16
22
Q1 - 3:05ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
22
Q1 - 3:10MIAMarks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)16
22
Q1 - 3:19ORLBest STEAL (1 STL)16
20
Q1 - 3:26MIAButler Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
20
Q1 - 3:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
18
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 3:39ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
18
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 4:04ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones15
18
Q1 - 4:04ORLMagic Rebound15
18
Q1 - 4:04ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 215
18
Q1 - 4:04MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
18
Q1 - 4:11MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)15
18
Q1 - 4:23MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 4:23MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 4:23MIASUB: Marks FOR Grant15
16
Q1 - 4:23ORLSUB: Miller FOR Hill15
16
Q1 - 4:23MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler15
16
Q1 - 4:23ORLBurke S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
16
Q1 - 4:28ORLGrant STEAL (1 STL)15
16
Q1 - 4:40MIABest Driving Layup (10 PTS)15
16
Q1 - 4:56ORLBurke 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)15
14
Q1 - 5:04ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot13
14
Q1 - 5:18ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
14
Q1 - 5:33ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR Armstrong13
14
Q1 - 5:33MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
14
Q1 - 5:57MIABest Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 6:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
12
Q1 - 6:12ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot13
12
Q1 - 6:20ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot13
12
Q1 - 6:39ORLBurke 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)13
12
Q1 - 6:50ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 211
12
Q1 - 6:52MIAHEAT Rebound11
12
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 211
12
Q1 - 6:52ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P1.T4)11
12
Q1 - 7:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
12
Q1 - 7:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 7:07ORLSUB: Garrity FOR DeClercq9
12
Q1 - 7:07MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
12
Q1 - 7:07MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
12
Q1 - 7:19MIABest 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
12
Q1 - 7:40ORLMcGrady Layup (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)9
10
Q1 - 7:56MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)7
10
Q1 - 8:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8
Q1 - 8:08ORLMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 8:14MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 8:14MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 8:14ORLArmstrong S.FOUL (P1.T3)7
6
Q1 - 8:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 8:47MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 9:05ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 9:22MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
4
Q1 - 9:48ORLMcGrady 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS)5
4
Q1 - 10:02MIABest Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 10:02MIABest OFF.Foul (P1)3
4
Q1 - 10:09MIAHEAT Rebound3
4
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:19ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P2.T2)3
4
Q1 - 10:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 10:26ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 23
4
Q1 - 10:26ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 10:26MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:38MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:57ORLBurke Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:59ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:10MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:10MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:10ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:32ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. DeClercq: Tip to Burke0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
13
17
76%
Midrange
ORL
17
38
45%
MIA
22
56
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
12
67%
100%
MIA
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
Free Throws
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2467%12.0 / 18
G. Hill1765%8.5 / 13
P. Garrity16100%8.0 / 8
M. Miller1464%7.0 / 11
P. Burke941%4.5 / 11
S. Kemp867%4.0 / 6
D. Armstrong440%2.0 / 5
R. Humphrey467%2.0 / 3
A. DeClercq2100%1.0 / 1
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Allen2269%11.0 / 16
T. Best2269%11.0 / 16
C. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
E. Jones630%3.0 / 10
R. Butler433%2.0 / 6
S. Marks440%2.0 / 5
M. James433%2.0 / 6
E. House220%1.0 / 5
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
76
+11
-13
87
MIA
78
+12
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
94.5
ORL 112.4 +14.6
MIA 97.7
Pace
95.5
90.0
ORL 95.9 +13.9
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.2
ORL 15.0 −2.5
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
43.9%
ORL 60.6% +13.8%
MIA 46.8%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
ORL 17.5%
MIA 11.4% −6.1%
ORB %
27.1%
26.8%
ORL 27.8% +5.6%
MIA 22.2%
FTrt
30.7
25.9
ORL 29.6 +7.8
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
55.8%
ORL 56.4% +0.8%
MIA 55.6%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
ORL 5.6% +1.1%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
5.6%
6.4%
ORL 2.7%
MIA 10.2% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
46.0%
ORL 58.1% +11.4%
MIA 46.7%
Rim FG%
54.6%
53.7%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 76.5% +9.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
37.6%
ORL 44.7% +5.4%
MIA 39.3%
3P %
35.7%
31.6%
ORL 66.7% +46.7%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
77.7%
76.5%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 76.5% +9.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
28.9%
ORL 29.6% +7.8%
MIA 21.8%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
54.2%
ORL 53.5% −18.3%
MIA 71.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.9%
ORL 16.9% +10.5%
MIA 6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points10086
Rebounds3834
Assists2220
Steals54
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (4)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)26 (1)
Field Goals39-7136-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2113-17
Midrange FG17-3822-56
2-Point FG31-5935-73
3-Point FG8-121-5
Free Throws14-2113-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 23
31.8
24
67%
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
6-10
60%
6-10
60%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
27.4
4
40%
5
3
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
27.4
9
41%
6
1
0
0
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 30
24.5
17
65%
5
6
0
0
2
0
2
3
3-5
60%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
11.5
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23
30.2
14
64%
7
4
2
0
6
1
0
7
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 238 · 26
24.6
16
100%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 280 · 33
23.7
8
67%
5
1
0
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
20.2
2
33%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
11.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
7.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 37
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
58%
38
22
5
2
13
0
10
28
14-21
67%
31-59
53%
8-12
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.