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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
October 31, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Jazz43%9698
16Hawks57%98105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.3
37.0
31.0
20
57%
9
2
2
1
0
4
1
8
6-6
100%
7-15
6-14
47%
42%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.6
29.4
20.6
8
34%
5
2
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-11
3-8
27%
41%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.6
28.8
26.9
15
61%
1
11
3
2
0
4
1
0
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
23.3
28.4
9
64%
3
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.7
10.5
20.3
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
31.7
24.4
19
59%
5
1
2
1
0
2
3
2
7-7
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
45%
2-2
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.9
30.7
22.0
18
70%
5
1
0
0
0
2
4
1
8-11
73%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.6
19.2
21.5
2
20%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.5
10.1
10.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.9
7.7
9.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.3
6.7
16.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.3
5.0
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
41.5
37.6
21
53%
3
13
2
2
0
6
0
3
9-9
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
44%
2-7
29%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
39.7
36.3
30
63%
5
7
2
2
0
6
0
5
6-6
100%
12-19
7-15
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
34.5
32.2
10
51%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
28.3
19.8
17
53%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-7
29%
6-10
4-8
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
27.1
23.3
9
77%
4
2
0
1
4
3
2
2
1-2
50%
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.9
21.6
25.3
10
105%
8
0
1
1
0
1
5
3
4-4
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29.3
15.9
20.0
4
67%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Emanual Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.2
12.8
17.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Antonio Harvey
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
12.1
7.0
2
50%
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.1
6.5
11.7
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24.0
6.6
0
1-2
43%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.