Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Grizzlies29%9786
8Pistons71%104109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.3
35.2
36.9
21
72%
4
1
0
1
2
5
1
3
5-6
83%
8-12
6-13
67%
49%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
31.1
9.1
6
51%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.0
28.8
27.6
10
56%
2
2
3
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
25.5
20.6
6
31%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
40%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.1
22.2
31.1
2
33%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
23.7
25.0
21
64%
5
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
3-3
100%
9-15
3-8
60%
41%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.6
21.8
24.8
4
34%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.0
19.2
17.6
8
58%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
40%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.4
18.3
13.3
6
43%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 24.9
9.6
3.2
2
20%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Michael Dickerson
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.4
4.7
23.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
38%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
14.6
0
2-5
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
33.7
37.9
8
45%
14
1
1
2
1
0
2
12
0-2
0%
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 24.7
31.9
28.3
23
59%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
8-10
80%
6-14
7-15
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
27.0
16.7
13
84%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.1
23.2
25.6
15
58%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
1-3
33%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34.2
19.9
22.7
2
50%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 28.2
24.8
25.9
10
56%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
23.0
16.3
6
100%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-2
100%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.9
22.1
30.7
11
66%
3
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.9
13.0
21.4
6
44%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
8.1
3.8
6
61%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 22.7
7.1
7.7
7
117%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 32.5
6.1
4.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.