Final Win Prob. pScore
554%94
84
2346%93
82
ORTG#PossPace
SuperSonics
94.48990.6
MIA logo Heat
90.19189.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSuperSonicsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSuperSonicsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSEAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)84
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIASUB: James FOR Carter84
82
Q4 - 0:04.0SEASUB: Sesay FOR Barry84
82
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)84
82
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Rebound84
96.6%
82
3.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones Layup84
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
85.6%
82
14.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0SEAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot84
88.6%
82
11.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0SEASUB: Barry FOR Sesay84
82
Q4 - 0:27.0SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)84
82
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)84
91.9%
82
8.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0SEASUB: Sesay FOR Barry84
82
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)84
82
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
77.7%
82
22.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0SEAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot84
81.1%
82
18.9%
Q4 - 1:03SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)84
82
Q4 - 1:03MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)84
86.1%
82
13.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
74.0%
82
26.0%
Q4 - 1:28SEAMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot84
77.5%
82
22.5%
Q4 - 1:45SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
82
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 184
80.2%
82
19.8%
Q4 - 1:46SEAMason S.FOUL (P2.T4)84
82
Q4 - 1:46MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)84
81.3%
82
18.7%
Q4 - 2:00SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)84
80
Q4 - 2:00SEAPayton Palming Turnover (P3.T12)84
87.3%
80
12.7%
Q4 - 2:15SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)84
92.7%
80
7.3%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Butler Layup84
91.2%
80
8.8%
Q4 - 2:36SEAMason 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 11 AST)84
86.6%
80
13.4%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)82
80.8%
80
19.2%
Q4 - 3:15SEAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)82
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q4 - 3:37MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)79
76.6%
77
23.4%
Q4 - 3:57SEALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T11)79
82.7%
75
17.3%
Q4 - 3:57SEALewis OFF.Foul (P3)79
75
Q4 - 4:06SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)79
88.0%
75
12.0%
Q4 - 4:09SEAMISS Mason 9' Hook Shot79
84.6%
75
15.4%
Q4 - 4:25SEASUB: Radmanovic FOR Evans79
75
Q4 - 4:25MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)79
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
83.0%
75
17.0%
Q4 - 4:28SEAMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot79
84.7%
75
15.3%
Q4 - 4:43MIAGrant Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)79
88.2%
75
11.8%
Q4 - 4:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q4 - 4:56SEAMISS Payton Layup79
92.4%
73
7.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Carter FOR James79
73
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler79
73
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania79
73
Q4 - 5:12MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T15)79
91.7%
73
8.3%
Q4 - 5:12MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P4)79
73
Q4 - 5:31SEALewis 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Payton 10 AST)79
88.8%
73
11.2%
Q4 - 5:54MIAJames Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)77
85.2%
73
14.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler77
73
Q4 - 6:06SEAEvans P.FOUL (P2.T3)77
73
Q4 - 6:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
78.3%
73
21.7%
Q4 - 6:08SEAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot77
79.9%
73
20.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)77
83.2%
73
16.8%
Q4 - 6:42SEALewis 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 7:04SEAMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
81.8%
71
18.2%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot75
80.4%
71
19.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)75
71
Q4 - 7:22SEABarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)75
76.9%
71
23.1%
Q4 - 7:30SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
66.1%
71
33.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot72
64.0%
71
36.0%
Q4 - 7:50SEAMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
59.1%
71
40.9%
Q4 - 7:50SEASuperSonics Rebound71
71
Q4 - 7:50SEAMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 271
58.1%
71
41.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAStepania S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
71
Q4 - 7:59MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen71
71
Q4 - 7:59SEASuperSonics Rebound71
59.6%
71
40.4%
Q4 - 8:01SEAMISS Mason Driving Layup71
55.1%
71
44.9%
Q4 - 8:16SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
59.3%
71
40.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS James 9' Running Jump Shot71
57.4%
71
42.6%
Q4 - 8:37SEASUB: Payton FOR Sesay71
71
Q4 - 8:37MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones71
71
Q4 - 8:3771
71
Q4 - 8:37SEAMason Foul Turnover (P2.T10)71
53.1%
71
46.9%
Q4 - 8:37SEAMason OFF.Foul (P1)71
71
Q4 - 8:45MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
59.3%
71
40.7%
Q4 - 9:08SEALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)71
65.1%
69
34.9%
Q4 - 9:11SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)68
53.3%
69
46.7%
Q4 - 9:13SEAMISS Mason 8' Running Jump Shot68
49.3%
69
50.7%
Q4 - 9:30MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
53.3%
69
46.7%
Q4 - 9:50SEAMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q4 - 9:50SEAMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
58.6%
67
41.4%
Q4 - 9:50MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T1)66
67
Q4 - 10:08SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
67
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 166
52.7%
67
47.3%
Q4 - 10:09MIASUB: Stepania FOR Marks66
67
Q4 - 10:09SEASUB: Lewis FOR Radmanovic66
67
Q4 - 10:09SEABarry S.FOUL (P3.T2)66
67
Q4 - 10:09MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
53.5%
67
46.5%
Q4 - 10:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
59.1%
65
40.9%
Q4 - 10:20SEAMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
60.8%
65
39.2%
Q4 - 10:40SEABarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
64.4%
65
35.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Marks Layup66
62.8%
65
37.2%
Q4 - 11:01SEASesay Dunk (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)66
59.0%
65
41.0%
Q4 - 11:06SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
53.5%
65
46.5%
Q4 - 11:07SEAMISS Radmanovic 7' Hook Shot64
50.0%
65
50.0%
Q4 - 11:10MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)64
53.5%
65
46.5%
Q4 - 11:17SEAEvans P.FOUL (P1.T1)64
65
Q4 - 11:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
48.4%
65
51.6%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot64
51.9%
65
48.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
48.4%
65
51.6%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
51.9%
65
48.1%
Q4 - 12:0064
65
Q3 - 0:00.0SEA64
48.4%
65
51.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEAMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
53.5%
65
46.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
51.9%
65
48.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
48.8%
65
51.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0SEAAllen BLOCK (4 BLK)64
50.2%
65
49.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)64
53.3%
65
46.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
48.8%
65
51.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0SEAMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot64
50.2%
65
49.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)64
53.3%
65
46.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0SEAMISS Payton Layup64
50.1%
65
49.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 5 AST)64
53.1%
65
46.9%
Q3 - 1:2764
62
Q3 - 1:27SEAPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)64
63.1%
62
36.9%
Q3 - 1:27SEASuperSonics Rebound63
62
Q3 - 1:27SEAMISS Mason Free Throw Technical63
58.4%
62
41.6%
Q3 - 1:27SEAMason Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)63
58.4%
62
41.6%
Q3 - 1:2762
62
Q3 - 1:2762
62
Q3 - 1:27SEASUB: Sesay FOR Lewis62
62
Q3 - 1:27MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)62
62
Q3 - 1:27SEAPayton Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Radmanovic 2 AST)62
53.6%
62
46.4%
Q3 - 1:40SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
48.2%
62
51.8%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Marks Layup60
46.8%
62
53.2%
Q3 - 2:00SEARadmanovic 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
43.8%
62
56.2%
Q3 - 2:15MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)58
62
Q3 - 2:15MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T4)58
62
Q3 - 2:30MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
48.7%
59
51.3%
Q3 - 2:47SEAMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot58
50.1%
59
49.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)58
54.0%
59
46.0%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
58.2%
57
41.8%
Q3 - 3:16SEAMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
59.6%
57
40.4%
Q3 - 3:24SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
62.7%
57
37.3%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot58
61.4%
57
38.6%
Q3 - 3:42SEAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 3:48SEASUB: Evans FOR Drobnjak58
57
Q3 - 3:48MIASUB: Marks FOR Grant58
57
Q3 - 3:48MIASUB: James FOR Carter58
57
Q3 - 3:48MIACarter P.FOUL (P2.T3)58
57
Q3 - 3:57SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
62.7%
57
37.3%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot58
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 4:12SEAPayton Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)58
57.7%
57
42.3%
Q3 - 4:14SEAMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
62.6%
57
37.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Grant Dunk58
61.1%
57
38.9%
Q3 - 4:24MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
57.7%
57
42.3%
Q3 - 4:25SEAMISS Payton Layup58
59.3%
57
40.7%
Q3 - 4:39SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
62.6%
57
37.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Allen Layup58
61.2%
57
38.8%
Q3 - 5:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q3 - 5:03SEAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 258
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 5:03SEAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
60.7%
57
39.3%
Q3 - 5:03MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
57
Q3 - 5:05SEAMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
57.9%
57
42.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot57
56.5%
57
43.5%
Q3 - 5:28SEAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
53.3%
57
46.7%
Q3 - 5:28SEAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
52.5%
57
47.5%
Q3 - 5:28MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T1)55
57
Q3 - 5:35SEASUB: Mason FOR Barry55
57
Q3 - 5:35SEASuperSonics Rebound55
49.7%
57
50.3%
Q3 - 5:36SEAGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)55
46.4%
57
53.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)55
50.0%
57
50.0%
Q3 - 6:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 6:11SEAMISS Payton Layup55
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS)55
57.9%
55
42.1%
Q3 - 6:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
61.5%
53
38.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot55
64.3%
53
35.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
61.5%
53
38.5%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
64.3%
53
35.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
61.5%
53
38.5%
Q3 - 7:00SEAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot55
62.8%
53
37.2%
Q3 - 7:18MIACarter Dunk (8 PTS)55
64.8%
53
35.2%
Q3 - 7:21SEACarter STEAL (2 STL)55
68.1%
51
31.9%
Q3 - 7:32SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)55
51
Q3 - 7:35MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)55
71.5%
51
28.5%
Q3 - 7:53SEARadmanovic L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)55
49
Q3 - 7:53MIAHEAT Rebound55
74.5%
49
25.5%
Q3 - 7:54SEAMISS Drobnjak 18' Jump Shot55
75.4%
49
24.6%
Q3 - 8:05SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
76.9%
49
23.1%
Q3 - 8:07SEAMISS Drobnjak Layup55
74.9%
49
25.1%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)55
76.9%
49
23.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
81.7%
46
18.3%
Q3 - 8:36SEAMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot55
82.4%
46
17.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q3 - 8:58SEABarry Foul Turnover (P2.T6)55
85.8%
44
14.2%
Q3 - 8:58SEABarry OFF.Foul (P2)55
44
Q3 - 9:07SEASuperSonics Rebound55
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot55
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q3 - 9:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q3 - 9:30SEAMISS Drobnjak Layup55
86.0%
44
14.0%
Q3 - 9:38SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Grant Layup55
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)55
44
Q3 - 9:52SEALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)55
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q3 - 10:01MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)52
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q3 - 10:13SEABarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)52
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 10:21SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
73.3%
44
26.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Allen Layup49
72.4%
44
27.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
70.4%
44
29.6%
Q3 - 10:35SEAMISS Drobnjak 9' Jump Shot49
71.3%
44
28.7%
Q3 - 10:51SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
73.3%
44
26.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q3 - 10:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
70.4%
44
29.6%
Q3 - 11:01SEAMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot49
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q3 - 11:17SEADrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
73.1%
44
26.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot49
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
70.1%
44
29.9%
Q3 - 11:42SEAMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
71.1%
44
28.9%
Q3 - 12:0049
44
Q2 - 0:00.0SEA49
73.1%
44
26.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
72.3%
44
27.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
78.0%
41
22.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0SEAMISS Barry 19' Jump Shot49
78.5%
41
21.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
79.7%
41
20.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot49
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0SEAPayton 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
78.0%
41
22.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)47
75.1%
41
24.9%
Q2 - 1:05SEABarry P.FOUL (P1.T3)47
39
Q2 - 1:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q2 - 1:13SEAMISS Lewis 13' Running Jump Shot47
78.2%
39
21.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)47
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q2 - 1:38SEAMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot47
78.2%
39
21.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)47
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 2:07SEASUB: Mason FOR Radmanovic47
39
Q2 - 2:07SEABarry Violation:Kicked Ball47
39
Q2 - 2:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
76.9%
39
23.1%
Q2 - 2:18SEAAllen BLOCK (3 BLK)47
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q2 - 2:31SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
79.2%
39
20.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
78.5%
39
21.5%
Q2 - 2:48SEALewis Dunk (14 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)47
77.0%
39
23.0%
Q2 - 2:51MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)45
74.6%
39
25.4%
Q2 - 3:18MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler45
39
Q2 - 3:18MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania45
39
Q2 - 3:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
39
Q2 - 3:25SEALewis Layup (12 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)45
71.7%
39
28.3%
Q2 - 3:38SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q2 - 3:40SEAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot43
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 3:53SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
69.6%
39
30.4%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q2 - 4:14SEALewis 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 4:34MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 4:58SEARadmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)41
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T4)38
37
Q2 - 5:10SEABarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot38
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound38
37
Q2 - 5:31MIAJump Ball Butler vs. Barry: Tip to Allen38
58.1%
37
41.9%
Q2 - 5:31SEAButler BLOCK (1 BLK)38
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 5:50SEASUB: Payton FOR Anderson38
37
Q2 - 5:50SEASUB: Barry FOR Mason38
37
Q2 - 5:50SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
37
Q2 - 5:53MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)38
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 5:59SEAAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)38
64.5%
35
35.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)38
66.2%
35
33.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
70.8%
32
29.2%
Q2 - 6:33SEAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)38
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q2 - 6:41MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones38
32
Q2 - 6:41MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T3)38
32
Q2 - 6:56MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
73.5%
32
26.5%
Q2 - 7:10SEALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)38
77.3%
29
22.7%
Q2 - 7:30MIAJones Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)35
73.2%
29
26.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot35
76.7%
27
23.3%
Q2 - 7:50SEASUB: Drobnjak FOR Evans35
27
Q2 - 7:50MIAHEAT Rebound35
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 7:53SEAMISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 8:14SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
76.7%
27
23.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot35
76.2%
27
23.8%
Q2 - 8:3035
27
Q2 - 8:30SEALewis Foul Turnover (P1.T5)35
74.8%
27
25.2%
Q2 - 8:30SEALewis OFF.Foul (P2)35
27
Q2 - 8:53MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)35
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 9:02MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path (3 PTS)35
79.9%
24
20.1%
Q2 - 9:02SEAAnderson C.P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
23
Q2 - 9:03SEAJames STEAL (1 STL)35
81.6%
23
18.4%
Q2 - 9:12SEAMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
83.2%
23
16.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot35
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q2 - 9:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
81.6%
23
18.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot35
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q2 - 9:23SEARadmanovic P.FOUL (P2.T1)35
23
Q2 - 9:34SEARadmanovic Driving Layup (7 PTS)35
81.6%
23
18.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
23
Q2 - 9:54SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
80.0%
23
20.0%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot33
79.4%
23
20.6%
Q2 - 10:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 10:05SEAMISS Anderson Layup33
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q2 - 10:12MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant33
23
Q2 - 10:13SEASuperSonics Rebound33
79.5%
23
20.5%
Q2 - 10:15SEAMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot33
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 10:29SEASuperSonics Rebound33
79.5%
23
20.5%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot33
79.0%
23
21.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
23
Q2 - 10:38SEAMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot33
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 10:51SEAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 10:52SEASUB: Lewis FOR Barry33
23
Q2 - 10:52SEAMISS Radmanovic Free Throw 1 of 133
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q2 - 10:52MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.T1)33
23
Q2 - 10:52SEARadmanovic 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 11:03SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot31
74.7%
23
25.3%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
73.4%
23
26.6%
Q2 - 11:14SEAMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot31
74.0%
23
26.0%
Q2 - 11:34MIAJames 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
75.4%
23
24.6%
Q2 - 11:40SEAJones STEAL (1 STL)31
77.2%
21
22.8%
Q2 - 12:00MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)31
79.0%
21
21.0%
Q2 - 12:0031
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SEADrobnjak 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)31
78.3%
20
21.7%
Q1 - 0:16.0SEAMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
76.2%
20
23.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
75.8%
20
24.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
74.8%
20
25.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0SEAMISS Payton Reverse Layup29
75.3%
20
24.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAButler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)29
76.2%
20
23.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
74.9%
20
25.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0SEAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot29
75.3%
20
24.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0SEASuperSonics Rebound29
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Drobnjak: Tip to Barry29
20
Q1 - 0:53.0SEAGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)29
75.3%
20
24.7%
Q1 - 1:07SEAEvans Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
75.7%
20
24.3%
Q1 - 1:07SEASuperSonics Rebound28
20
Q1 - 1:07SEAMISS Evans Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 228
75.1%
20
24.9%
Q1 - 1:07MIAStepania FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.PN)28
20
Q1 - 1:26MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)28
73.9%
20
26.1%
Q1 - 1:38SEAMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
76.2%
18
23.8%
Q1 - 1:38MIASUB: James FOR Carter27
18
Q1 - 1:38MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen27
18
Q1 - 1:38SEASuperSonics Rebound27
18
Q1 - 1:38SEAMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 227
76.0%
18
24.0%
Q1 - 1:38MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.PN)27
18
Q1 - 1:43MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)27
75.7%
18
24.3%
Q1 - 1:54SEAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
74.5%
18
25.5%
Q1 - 1:54SEAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
74.1%
18
25.9%
Q1 - 1:54MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
18
Q1 - 1:58MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
72.0%
18
28.0%
Q1 - 2:12SEAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)25
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 2:26SEASUB: Mason FOR Lewis22
18
Q1 - 2:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
18
Q1 - 2:26MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T4)22
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)22
18
Q1 - 2:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 2:37SEAMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot22
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 2:43SEADrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot22
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 3:09MIAAllen Violation:Defensive Goaltending22
18
Q1 - 3:09SEAPayton Reverse Layup (4 PTS)22
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 3:38MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)20
61.9%
18
38.1%
Q1 - 3:53SEABarry 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 4:08MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
61.1%
16
38.9%
Q1 - 4:08SEAPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 4:08SEALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 4:08SEALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 4:08SEASUB: Evans FOR Radmanovic16
14
Q1 - 4:08MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
14
Q1 - 4:10MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q1 - 4:24SEAPayton Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)16
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 4:29SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
57.2%
14
42.8%
Q1 - 4:30SEAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
55.7%
14
44.3%
Q1 - 4:46MIAAllen L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)14
14
Q1 - 4:46SEASuperSonics Rebound14
57.1%
14
42.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot14
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 5:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 5:02SEAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot14
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAGrant Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)14
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 5:38SEADrobnjak 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)14
54.7%
14
45.3%
Q1 - 5:46MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 6:02SEARadmanovic Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 6:02SEARadmanovic OFF.Foul (P1)12
12
Q1 - 6:12SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot12
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 6:20SEALewis P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
12
Q1 - 6:39SEALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)12
54.8%
12
45.2%
Q1 - 6:50SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot9
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 7:01SEAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot9
50.2%
12
49.8%
Q1 - 7:07SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot9
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 7:34SEABarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)9
49.8%
12
50.2%
Q1 - 7:37SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 7:38SEAMISS Radmanovic Layup6
45.6%
12
54.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 8:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
45.7%
12
54.3%
Q1 - 8:05SEAMISS Drobnjak 20' Jump Shot6
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 8:19SEASuperSonics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
12
Q1 - 8:20MIAAllen Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)6
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 8:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 8:39SEAMISS Lewis 8' Jump Shot6
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)6
50.7%
10
49.3%
Q1 - 9:04SEACarter STEAL (1 STL)6
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 9:21MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)6
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 9:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 9:33SEAMISS Barry 16' Jump Shot6
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 10:09SEARadmanovic 31' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 10:33SEADrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot3
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 10:54SEABarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Drobnjak 1 AST)3
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
53.1%
4
46.9%
Q1 - 11:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 11:27SEAMISS Payton 11' Running Jump Shot0
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Drobnjak: Tip to Allen0
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSEAMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SEA
0.91 45.7%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SEA
7
23
30%
MIA
10
19
53%
Midrange
SEA
10
41
24%
MIA
18
40
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SEA
12
18.0
17
71%
106%
MIA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
SEA
14
20
70%
MIA
2
4
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SuperSonics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Lewis2463%12.0 / 19
G. Payton2040%10.0 / 25
B. Barry1470%7.0 / 10
V. Radmanovic1250%6.0 / 12
D. Mason739%3.5 / 9
P. Drobnjak425%2.0 / 8
A. Sesay250%1.0 / 2
R. Evans1-0.0 / 0
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2350%11.5 / 23
M. James1583%7.5 / 9
M. Allen1450%7.0 / 14
B. Grant1267%6.0 / 9
A. Carter857%4.0 / 7
C. Butler633%3.0 / 9
V. Stepania2100%1.0 / 1
R. Butler220%1.0 / 5
S. Marks0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SEA
77
+13
-12
90
MIA
74
+8
-17
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SEA
0.91 45.7%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
94.5
SEA 94.4 +4.3
MIA 90.1
Pace
90.3
90.0
SEA 90.6 +1.3
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
SEA 15.9 −0.2
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
43.9%
SEA 43.2%
MIA 51.9% +8.7%
TO %
13.7%
14.8%
SEA 11.8% −6.8%
MIA 18.6%
ORB %
28.2%
26.8%
SEA 19.6% +1.7%
MIA 17.9%
FTrt
27.0
25.9
SEA 24.7 +19.5
MIA 5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
55.8%
SEA 69.0% +7.9%
MIA 61.1%
STL %
9.1%
7.9%
SEA 9.0% +4.6%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
5.8%
6.4%
SEA 10.2%
MIA 10.9% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.7%
46.0%
SEA 45.7%
MIA 50.0% +4.3%
Rim FG%
56.4%
53.7%
SEA 30.4%
MIA 52.6% +22.2%
Mid FG%
39.0%
37.6%
SEA 24.4%
MIA 45.0% +20.6%
3P %
35.3%
31.6%
SEA 70.6% +26.2%
MIA 44.4%
FT %
74.4%
76.5%
SEA 70.0% +20.0%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.5%
28.9%
SEA 28.4% +3.7%
MIA 24.7%
Mid Att. %
49.0%
54.2%
SEA 50.6% −1.3%
MIA 51.9%
3P Att. %
19.6%
16.9%
SEA 21.0%
MIA 23.4% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsSEAMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8482
Rebounds4144
Assists2022
Steals84
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)37 (4)
Field Goals29-8136-77
At-the-Rim FG7-2310-19
Midrange FG10-4118-40
2-Point FG17-6428-59
3-Point FG12-178-18
Free Throws14-202-4
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
41.1
24
63%
10
1
1
3
2
3
1
9
2-2
100%
5-14
36%
4-4
100%
G · 6'4" 190 · 34
38.5
20
40%
7
11
0
0
3
1
0
7
6-7
86%
4-18
22%
2-3
67%
G · 6'7" 210 · 31
37.0
14
70%
2
3
3
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
4-5
80%
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
36.0
12
50%
10
2
1
2
2
3
5
5
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
28.0
4
25%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 222 · 25
28.3
7
39%
6
0
0
1
2
2
0
6
5-8
63%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 22
19.7
1
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 168 · 32
6.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
5.2
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 27
C · 7'1" 285 · 27
G · 6'4" 194 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
41
20
8
6
12
0
9
32
14-20
70%
17-64
27%
12-17
71%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.