Final Win Prob. pScore
836%99
75
264%103
114
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
83.39089.1
DAL logo Mavericks
123.99294.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DET75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETPistons Rebound75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALMISS Bradley Layup75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETOkur Slam Dunk (11 PTS)75
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)73
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:10DETOkur Layup (9 PTS)73
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:11DETOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:13DETMISS Okur Alley Oop Layup71
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:19DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:21DALMISS Johnson Layup71
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:42DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williamson 2 AST)71
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:52DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:55DALMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot68
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:18DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:18DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:18DALSUB: Finley FOR Bell66
114
Q4 - 2:18DALBell S.FOUL (P6.PN)66
114
Q4 - 2:28DALJohnson 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:48DAL66
112
Q4 - 2:48DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:50DETMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot66
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:02DETBarry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:04DALMISS Bradley 16' Jump Shot66
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:30DETWilliamson Layup (9 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)66
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:40DALSUB: Bradley FOR Najera64
112
Q4 - 3:40DETSUB: Barry FOR Atkins64
112
Q4 - 3:40DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)64
112
Q4 - 3:49DALNajera Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)64
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:52DETNajera STEAL (2 STL)64
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 3:57DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 3:59DALMISS Van Exel Layup64
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 4:16DETOkur 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 4:31DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 4:34DALMISS Najera 5' Jump Shot62
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 4:57DETWilliamson Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)62
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 5:03DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 5:05DALMISS Griffin Layup60
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 5:22DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 5:22DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)59
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 5:22DALSUB: Griffin FOR Williams58
110
Q4 - 5:22DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)58
110
Q4 - 5:22DALWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T4)58
110
Q4 - 5:38DALVan Exel Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)58
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 5:55DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 5:57DETMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 6:09DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 6:11DALMISS Williams Driving Layup58
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 6:20DETNajera STEAL (1 STL)58
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 6:26DALBell P.FOUL (P4.T3)58
108
Q4 - 6:33DALBell 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)58
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 6:49DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 6:53DETMISS Williamson 16' Jump Shot58
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 7:20DALJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)58
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24DETSUB: Davis FOR Barry58
104
Q4 - 7:27DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49DALJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)58
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53DETBell STEAL (2 STL)58
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56DETBarry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot58
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15DALMISS Johnson Layup58
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39DETBarry Layup (2 PTS)58
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43DETMISS Barry 11' Jump Shot56
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:50DETSUB: Okur FOR Robinson56
102
Q4 - 8:50DETSUB: Prince FOR Wallace56
102
Q4 - 8:5056
102
Q4 - 9:06DALWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)56
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 9:30DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32DALMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot56
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56DETRobinson Slam Dunk (13 PTS)56
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11DALBell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)54
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:39DALBell P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
97
Q4 - 10:43DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45DALMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:08DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 254
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09DALNajera S.FOUL (P4.T1)53
97
Q4 - 11:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:15DETMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot53
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32DETAtkins S.FOUL (P4.T1)53
95
Q4 - 11:38DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40DALMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot53
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 12:0053
95
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL53
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound53
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot53
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETWilliamson Layup (3 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)53
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)51
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
95
Q3 - 0:43.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0DETWilliamson S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
93
Q3 - 0:47.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETMISS Atkins 22' Jump Shot49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:12DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:37DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)49
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:42DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:45DALMISS Williams Driving Layup47
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 2:03DETRobinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)47
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 2:14DETSUB: Williamson FOR Curry47
93
Q3 - 2:14DALNajera P.FOUL (P3.T2)47
93
Q3 - 2:25DALWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)47
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 2:49DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 247
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:50DALSUB: Williams FOR Bradley47
90
Q3 - 2:50DETPistons Rebound47
90
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 247
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:50DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Finley47
90
Q3 - 2:50DALBradley S.FOUL (P3.T1)47
90
Q3 - 3:06DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)47
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 3:06DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)47
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 3:06DALSUB: Bell FOR Griffin47
88
Q3 - 3:06DETCurry P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
88
Q3 - 3:24DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:26DETMISS Curry 20' Jump Shot47
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:41DALFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)47
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 4:01DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:04DETMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot47
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:14DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:16DALMISS Bradley 17' Jump Shot47
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:38DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)47
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 4:49DALSUB: Johnson FOR Nash47
85
Q3 - 4:49DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)47
85
Q3 - 4:58DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)47
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 5:15DALSUB: Najera FOR Nowitzki47
83
Q3 - 5:15DETRobinson P.FOUL (P2.T4)47
83
Q3 - 5:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 5:23DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 5:30DETPistons Rebound47
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 5:30DETNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)47
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 5:47DALGriffin 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)47
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 6:08DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)47
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:27DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:30DALMISS Bradley 16' Jump Shot45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:44DETWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T10)45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:44DETWallace OFF.Foul (P2)45
81
Q3 - 6:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 6:50DALMISS Griffin Driving Layup45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 7:04DALMAVERICKS Rebound45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 7:06DETMISS Curry 19' Jump Shot45
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 7:33DALNash Driving Layup (17 PTS)45
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 7:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:50DETMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:07DETPistons Rebound45
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 8:09DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 8:14DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:16DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot45
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:37DALMAVERICKS Violation: Delay of game Violation45
79
Q3 - 8:37DALGriffin 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 8:38DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 8:41DALMISS Nash 13' Running Jump Shot45
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 8:50DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)45
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)45
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 8:56DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot45
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 9:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 9:15DETMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot45
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 9:33DALNash 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 9:39DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T3)45
75
Q3 - 9:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 9:49DETMISS Curry Driving Layup45
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 9:55DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 9:57DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot45
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 10:02DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 10:05DETMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 10:27DALNash Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)45
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 10:27DETBillups Ejection:Other45
74
Q3 - 10:27DETSUB: Robinson FOR Billups45
74
Q3 - 10:27DETSUB: Atkins FOR Rebraca45
74
Q3 - 10:27DETBillups T.FOUL (P3.T2)45
74
Q3 - 10:27DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)45
74
Q3 - 10:32DALFinley Slam Dunk (18 PTS)45
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 10:35DETFinley STEAL (2 STL)45
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 10:51DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)45
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 10:51DETCurry S.FOUL (P1.T2)45
71
Q3 - 10:51DALBradley Layup (13 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)45
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 11:05DETRebraca Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)45
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 11:29DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 11:29DALMAVERICKS Rebound45
68
Q3 - 11:29DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 245
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 11:29DETRebraca S.FOUL (P1.T1)45
68
Q3 - 11:45DETCurry 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)45
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 12:0043
68
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound43
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Robinson 46' 3PT Jump Shot43
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)43
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETRobinson 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)43
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALBradley Foul Turnover (P1.T2)41
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALBradley OFF.Foul (P2)41
65
Q2 - 0:50.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)41
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)40
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALBell P.FOUL (P2.PN)39
65
Q2 - 1:01DALBradley Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)39
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q2 - 1:10DETRobinson 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)39
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 1:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q2 - 1:26DALMISS Najera 18' Jump Shot37
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q2 - 1:46DETRobinson 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q2 - 1:50DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q2 - 1:54DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot35
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q2 - 2:13DALFinley Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)35
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q2 - 2:24DETSUB: Davis FOR Atkins35
61
Q2 - 2:24DETAtkins L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)35
61
Q2 - 2:24DETFinley STEAL (1 STL)35
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q2 - 2:40DALNajera 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)35
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q2 - 2:55DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q2 - 2:55DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 2:55DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)33
59
Q2 - 2:55DALFinley S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
59
Q2 - 3:18DALBradley Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)33
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 3:31DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 3:31DALNajera S.FOUL (P2.PN)32
57
Q2 - 3:31DETRobinson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)32
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q2 - 3:51DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q2 - 3:51DETSUB: Atkins FOR Billups30
56
Q2 - 3:51DALMAVERICKS Rebound30
56
Q2 - 3:51DALMISS Nash Free Throw 1 of 230
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 3:51DETBillups S.FOUL (P3.T3)30
56
Q2 - 4:00DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 4:00DETSUB: Wallace FOR Okur29
56
Q2 - 4:00DETPistons Rebound29
56
Q2 - 4:00DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 229
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 4:00DALSUB: Bradley FOR Nowitzki29
56
Q2 - 4:00DALNash P.FOUL (P1.PN)29
56
Q2 - 4:06DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 4:08DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 4:33DALNajera Reverse Layup (10 PTS)29
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 4:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 4:48DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Williamson29
54
Q2 - 4:48DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)29
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q2 - 4:48DALMAVERICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Najera )28
54
Q2 - 4:56DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 4:58DALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot28
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 5:07DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 5:09DETMISS Okur 17' Jump Shot28
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 5:31DALNash Layup (11 PTS)28
2.7%
54
97.3%
Q2 - 5:46DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 5:46DALSUB: Bell FOR Van Exel27
52
Q2 - 5:46DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q2 - 5:46DALVan Exel S.FOUL (P4.T4)26
52
Q2 - 5:46DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
2.6%
52
97.4%
Q2 - 5:47DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 6:04DETSUB: Billups FOR Atkins26
52
Q2 - 6:04DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)26
52
Q2 - 6:12DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)26
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q2 - 6:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
3.6%
49
96.4%
Q2 - 6:19DETMISS Robinson 22' Jump Shot26
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 6:35DALSUB: Finley FOR Williams26
49
Q2 - 6:35DALNajera P.FOUL (P1.T3)26
49
Q2 - 6:46DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q2 - 6:48DALMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 6:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 6:56DETMISS Okur 18' Jump Shot26
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 7:11DALNajera Layup (8 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)26
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 7:19DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 7:22DETMISS Williamson 5' Jump Shot26
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 7:43DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 7:43DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 7:43DETAtkins S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
45
Q2 - 7:56DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)26
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 8:12DETSUB: Prince FOR Barry24
45
Q2 - 8:1224
45
Q2 - 8:12DETPistons Rebound24
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 8:12DETNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)24
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 8:17DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 8:20DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 8:24DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 8:26DETMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 8:46DALNajera Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)24
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 9:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 9:02DETMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot24
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q2 - 9:13DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 9:17DALMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot24
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 9:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 9:27DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.5%
43
93.5%
Q2 - 9:40DALSUB: Nash FOR Finley24
43
Q2 - 9:40DALVan Exel P.FOUL (P3.T2)24
43
Q2 - 9:59DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)24
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 10:18DETOkur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 10:26DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 10:29DETVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)21
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 10:34DALNajera Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)21
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 10:38DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 10:40DETMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 10:51DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 10:53DETMISS Williamson 13' Jump Shot21
7.4%
39
92.6%
Q2 - 11:07DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 11:07DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 11:07DETBarry S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
37
Q2 - 11:21DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 11:21DETPistons Rebound20
37
Q2 - 11:21DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 1 of 220
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 11:21DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bell20
37
Q2 - 11:21DALVan Exel S.FOUL (P2.T1)20
37
Q2 - 11:25DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 11:27DALMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 11:35DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.3%
37
91.7%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Barry 13' Jump Shot20
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 12:0020
37
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound20
36
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 220
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALSUB: Najera FOR Bradley20
36
Q1 - 0:00.0DALFinley Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)20
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETRobinson T.FOUL (P1.PN)20
35
Q1 - 0:00.0DETRobinson S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
35
Q1 - 0:07.0DETAtkins Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
10.6%
35
89.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
9.5%
35
90.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETBell STEAL (1 STL)18
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DALWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q1 - 1:01DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q1 - 1:27DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)18
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q1 - 1:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)16
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q1 - 1:34DALMISS Bradley 9' Hook Shot16
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q1 - 1:49DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)16
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q1 - 1:49DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q1 - 1:49DALFinley S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
30
Q1 - 1:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 1:55DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q1 - 2:02DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q1 - 2:04DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot14
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 2:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 2:08DETMISS Williamson Layup14
10.7%
30
89.3%
Q1 - 2:26DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
11.2%
30
88.8%
Q1 - 2:26DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q1 - 2:26DETWilliamson P.FOUL (P1.PN)14
28
Q1 - 2:36DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q1 - 2:36DETPistons Rebound13
28
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 213
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 2:36DALVan Exel S.FOUL (P1.PN)13
28
Q1 - 2:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 2:41DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot13
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q1 - 2:48DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot13
11.6%
28
88.4%
Q1 - 3:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
28
Q1 - 3:07DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 113
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 3:07DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Nash13
28
Q1 - 3:07DETSUB: Williamson FOR Curry13
28
Q1 - 3:07DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.PN)13
28
Q1 - 3:07DALBradley 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)13
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q1 - 3:24DETHamilton Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)13
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 3:40DALSUB: Williams FOR Nowitzki11
26
Q1 - 3:40DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)11
26
Q1 - 3:49DALBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)11
12.4%
26
87.6%
Q1 - 3:58DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
14.5%
23
85.5%
Q1 - 4:01DETMISS Atkins 22' Jump Shot11
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q1 - 4:13DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 4:17DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot11
17.1%
23
82.9%
Q1 - 4:25DETHamilton Layup (7 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)11
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 4:35DALBell P.FOUL (P1.T4)9
23
Q1 - 4:44DALBradley L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)9
23
Q1 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 4:46DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot9
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 4:58DALNash Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)9
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 4:58DETAtkins T.FOUL (P1.T4)9
22
Q1 - 4:58DETAtkins P.FOUL (P1.T4)9
22
Q1 - 5:03DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 5:05DETMISS Robinson 20' Jump Shot9
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 5:13DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 5:13DETSUB: Atkins FOR Billups9
21
Q1 - 5:13DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)9
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 5:13DETBillups S.FOUL (P2.T3)9
20
Q1 - 5:18DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q1 - 5:20DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot9
18.6%
20
81.4%
Q1 - 5:39DALNash 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 5:46DETNash STEAL (2 STL)9
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 6:01DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 6:04DETMISS Wallace 3' Hook Shot9
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 6:20DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 6:20DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 6:20DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
16
Q1 - 6:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 6:41DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 29
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 6:41DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 6:41DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T2)8
16
Q1 - 6:58DETSUB: Robinson FOR Rebraca8
16
Q1 - 6:58DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)8
16
Q1 - 7:06DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)8
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 7:13DETNash STEAL (1 STL)8
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 7:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)8
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 7:22DALSUB: Bell FOR Griffin8
13
Q1 - 7:22DETBillups S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
13
Q1 - 7:22DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 7:27DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.3%
11
70.7%
Q1 - 7:30DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot8
29.8%
11
70.2%
Q1 - 7:43DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 7:46DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot8
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 7:57DETHamilton 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 8:13DALNash 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
28.6%
11
71.4%
Q1 - 8:19DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 8:21DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 8:46DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:48DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.1%
9
68.9%
Q1 - 9:04DETWallace 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 9:22DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)4
9
Q1 - 9:28DALBradley Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)4
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 9:39DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 9:56DALNash Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 10:07DETCurry 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 10:30DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 10:46DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:00DALNowitzki P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:18DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:18DALBradley Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:19DALMISS Finley Layup0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:38DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:48DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Wallace: Tip to Finley0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.7%
DAL
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
17
71%
DAL
19
30
63%
Midrange
DET
12
36
33%
DAL
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
2
3.0
20
10%
15%
DAL
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
DET
21
28
75%
DAL
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1953%9.5 / 18
C. Robinson1350%6.5 / 13
C. Williamson1150%5.5 / 11
M. Okur1169%5.5 / 8
B. Wallace563%2.5 / 4
T. Prince563%2.5 / 4
M. Curry433%2.0 / 6
C. Atkins315%1.5 / 10
C. Billups225%1.0 / 4
J. Barry214%1.0 / 7
Z. Rebraca0-0.0 / 0
H. Davis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley2578%12.5 / 16
S. Nash1761%8.5 / 14
E. Najera1680%8.0 / 10
S. Bradley1450%7.0 / 14
D. Nowitzki1169%5.5 / 8
W. Williams1056%5.0 / 9
R. Bell7117%3.5 / 3
A. Johnson638%3.0 / 8
A. Griffin450%2.0 / 4
N. Van Exel429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+14
-15
89
DAL
89
+6
-3
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.7%
DAL
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
108.0
DET 83.3
DAL 123.9 +40.6
Pace
89.6
94.9
DET 89.1
DAL 94.0 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.3
DET 16.2
DAL 15.3 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
49.8%
DET 37.0%
DAL 57.0% +20.0%
TO %
14.0%
11.6%
DET 15.0%
DAL 4.2% −10.8%
ORB %
26.0%
25.5%
DET 24.4% +10.5%
DAL 13.9%
FTrt
32.2
25.7
DET 38.4 +3.0
DAL 35.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
58.1%
DET 57.7%
DAL 58.5% +0.8%
STL %
7.5%
8.5%
DET 2.2%
DAL 10.9% +8.7%
BLK %
8.6%
8.5%
DET 1.6%
DAL 3.8% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
52.1%
DET 41.7%
DAL 59.4% +17.7%
Rim FG%
55.0%
58.2%
DET 70.6% +7.3%
DAL 63.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.7%
DET 33.3%
DAL 43.8% +10.5%
3P %
35.8%
38.1%
DET 10.0%
DAL 47.1% +37.1%
FT %
77.1%
82.9%
DET 75.0%
DAL 85.7% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
29.6%
DET 23.3%
DAL 38.0% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
46.5%
DET 49.3%
DAL 40.5% −8.8%
3P Att. %
23.7%
23.9%
DET 27.4% +5.9%
DAL 21.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9092
Possession Minutes24.223.5
Points75114
Rebounds4239
Assists1524
Steals210
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)3 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals26-7341-79
At-the-Rim FG12-1719-30
Midrange FG12-3614-32
2-Point FG24-5333-62
3-Point FG2-208-17
Free Throws21-2824-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
31.2
5
63%
11
2
1
1
2
2
1
10
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 25
28.8
19
53%
3
3
0
0
2
2
2
1
5-6
83%
7-12
58%
0-3
0%
F · 6'5" 210 · 34
18.6
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 26
10.6
2
25%
0
2
0
0
3
3
0
0
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 31
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
32.6
13
50%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 28
31.4
3
15%
3
4
0
0
2
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 29
24.6
11
50%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 212 · 23
17.0
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 260 · 23
16.8
11
69%
8
1
1
0
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 33
12.1
2
14%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 183 · 32
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
42%
42
15
2
1
15
0
11
31
21-28
75%
24-53
45%
2-20
10%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.