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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 11, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors38%101108
22Grizzlies62%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.8
47.9
39.3
5
25%
8
15
4
2
0
2
0
8
1-2
50%
2-9
5-9
22%
49%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
47.4
39.1
37
61%
11
4
0
1
0
4
4
7
9-10
90%
14-23
7-15
61%
47%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
42.1
27.9
18
65%
16
2
0
0
3
5
7
9
2-2
100%
8-13
3-6
62%
45%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22.5
22.4
23.8
18
65%
9
2
1
1
0
0
2
7
4-4
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.8
21.6
41.1
9
46%
2
3
0
2
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
7-16
17%
44%
2-3
67%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.7
20.1
20.3
6
60%
4
2
0
1
3
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 22.8
18.1
6.6
8
51%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.6
10.4
17.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
8.9
10.7
3
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Dean Oliver
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.0
1.1
7.0
4
72%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
Oscar Torres
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 25.9
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Guy Rucker
F-C · 6'9" 270 · 25.3
1.3
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.3
41.7
33.0
24
52%
7
3
0
1
2
2
3
4
7-7
100%
7-19
6-12
37%
53%
1-1
100%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.0
39.1
29.1
7
28%
4
12
2
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-4
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
29.9
16.8
21
69%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
28.9
15.8
18
47%
6
0
1
0
1
1
5
1
4-7
57%
7-16
3-6
44%
47%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.2
18.9
28.8
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
32.9
31.5
15
51%
9
2
1
1
2
2
5
4
3-4
75%
6-13
7-15
46%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.0
19.1
5.3
6
51%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.4
17.9
16.1
4
53%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.6
11.7
19.0
4
41%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.0
25.5
1
4-9
48%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.0
14.3
1
2-4
44%
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
5.1
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.