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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 11, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Timberwolves26%9575
6Spurs74%10391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
39.5
38.7
14
35%
14
3
0
1
4
3
3
11
4-7
57%
5-16
7-15
31%
45%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
38.3
30.8
16
47%
4
0
1
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-17
4-10
47%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 26.7
34.2
33.5
10
42%
3
5
0
1
0
6
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
5-12
45%
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.0
25.5
25.7
6
34%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-6
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.4
22.7
25.2
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.5
27.9
27.6
8
50%
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-8
57%
40%
0-1
0%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.3
19.1
14.0
7
41%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
1-6
2-4
17%
42%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
11.7
4.3
4
41%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
39%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
8.9
18.1
6
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.6
7.3
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
35%
0-0
-
Reggie Slater
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.2
4.9
6.0
2
35%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
14.6
0
2-4
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
39.5
37.6
20
41%
9
2
1
1
2
0
2
7
2-5
40%
9-22
9-18
41%
50%
0-0
-
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.3
38.2
27.1
13
60%
19
1
1
1
0
2
6
13
1-2
50%
6-10
4-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.5
36.3
33.9
10
33%
6
12
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
0-4
0%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.1
22.7
16.3
5
31%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.4
20.4
25.7
5
43%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.1
22.6
14.9
17
85%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
21.9
19.3
6
44%
4
2
3
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
18.1
24.5
8
36%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
2-5
40%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.0
16.2
24.0
7
67%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-5
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.2
2.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
2.1
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.6
7.0
0
1-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.