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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 14, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz44%96102
18Wizards56%98105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.3
39.7
31.5
26
54%
6
3
1
2
1
2
1
5
8-9
89%
9-20
6-13
45%
43%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
37.1
21.2
14
73%
7
2
1
1
1
3
1
6
6-6
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-2
0%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.6
34.6
24.9
17
81%
0
11
2
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
2-2
100%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.3
23.9
25.9
12
68%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.0
21.2
18.3
4
52%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
27.6
28.9
15
51%
6
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
4-6
67%
4-9
4-10
44%
46%
1-3
33%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
24.2
21.3
7
51%
8
1
0
1
0
0
4
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.6
13.3
18.7
5
64%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.7
10.9
18.4
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.6
7.5
17.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
40%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.0
6.5
0
1-2
37%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.3
3.8
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.0
39.8
39.5
25
59%
7
6
0
1
2
5
1
6
14-14
100%
4-12
6-14
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
32.1
30.6
16
82%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
4-7
57%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.0
26.4
18.6
10
85%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.7
21.3
25.4
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
18.7
33.2
9
46%
1
1
1
2
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
5-12
44%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.7
33.7
28.2
19
49%
6
1
1
1
0
3
0
6
5-5
100%
7-16
6-14
44%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
29.3
19.2
18
72%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
6-8
75%
6-8
2-4
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.2
18.0
11.6
4
69%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 21.0
13.8
21.6
0
0%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 38.9
6.9
3.1
2
114%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.6
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.1
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.