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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 14, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs43%9594
1176ers57%9799
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
44.3
40.5
29
50%
9
5
1
1
5
4
1
8
9-16
56%
10-21
9-19
48%
48%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
41.9
26.0
15
50%
9
3
3
1
0
5
1
8
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
41%
2-6
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.5
39.1
37.4
12
50%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
5-11
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.4
26.1
26.5
6
63%
2
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
1-2
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.3
24.3
30.9
6
51%
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.1
21.2
15.1
8
80%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.2
18.4
2.3
9
65%
7
4
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
4-6
0-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
14.8
16.9
6
44%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
1-3
33%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.0
6.7
19.9
2
29%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.1
3.3
16.9
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.6
6.9
0
1-1
43%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.1
38.0
32.4
12
55%
9
5
1
2
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
37.8
38.2
2
14%
3
9
1
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-10
14%
43%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.4
37.6
40.7
37
62%
4
6
1
3
0
3
0
4
10-11
91%
9-21
8-20
43%
41%
3-4
75%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.1
37.3
28.5
21
48%
9
1
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
8-19
4-8
42%
44%
1-2
50%
Todd MacCulloch
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.8
22.3
28.0
9
51%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.5
25.0
21.1
13
47%
11
0
0
1
3
0
7
4
3-4
75%
5-12
2-4
42%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
22.7
23.5
2
100%
6
1
1
1
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 22.9
7.9
7.2
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Art Long
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.1
5.3
9.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.6
5.2
6.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
0.8
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.4
9.2
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.