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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 16, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hornets33%9682
12Hawks67%10189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.6
43.3
38.3
12
29%
7
8
1
2
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-14
5-11
21%
44%
2-7
29%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 33.1
40.5
30.1
13
45%
14
1
4
1
0
1
7
7
1-3
33%
6-13
3-8
46%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 30.0
40.3
33.8
19
42%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
7-8
88%
6-17
6-13
35%
41%
0-2
0%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 32.0
38.1
32.7
18
57%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
7-11
3-8
64%
41%
0-3
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
20.8
28.6
4
29%
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.6
23.0
23.4
10
56%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
2-2
100%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 25.8
14.8
11.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
9.9
13.2
1
13%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 34.3
9.4
17.6
5
64%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 24.4
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Kirk Haston
F · 6'9" 242 · 23.7
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 28.2
1.6
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
40.0
37.5
27
61%
8
3
1
1
1
2
2
6
12-12
100%
6-15
6-14
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
39.7
31.5
7
24%
17
1
1
1
5
3
4
13
1-6
17%
3-12
4-8
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
39.2
37.3
14
55%
5
5
2
2
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
1-7
4-9
14%
46%
3-4
75%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
38.7
34.7
24
52%
8
2
2
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
10-16
6-13
63%
48%
1-6
17%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
27.0
33.8
2
100%
2
5
1
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
4-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
20.1
13.2
9
65%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.0
16.3
17.5
6
52%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29.3
10.2
11.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Emanual Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.2
8.8
11.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
6.1
0
1-2
45%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 29.1
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.2
1.8
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.