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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 21, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Rockets14%9490
1Mavericks86%108103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.7
40.2
40.7
22
52%
2
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
7-14
7-16
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
36.0
40.9
3
15%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
0-6
5-12
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.5
29.1
17.1
16
77%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
0-0
1-3
-
40%
5-10
50%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.5
23.2
27.5
7
35%
7
5
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-2
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
39%
1-4
25%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.3
14.4
28.9
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-10
100%
45%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.2
33.1
17.8
30
87%
16
1
0
0
2
3
4
12
10-12
83%
10-12
2-5
83%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.1
22.5
23.0
4
20%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-10
4-9
20%
42%
0-0
-
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.4
20.1
15.6
2
20%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
39%
0-1
0%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.3
19.1
10.2
4
50%
2
4
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
2.4
12.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.2
7.8
0
1-1
51%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.4
3.1
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
45.3
36.9
24
55%
9
4
0
1
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
10-20
6-12
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.7
41.7
36.8
28
67%
6
2
1
1
1
1
0
6
4-4
100%
3-11
6-13
27%
48%
6-8
75%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.8
34.7
31.8
15
42%
1
8
1
1
0
6
1
0
2-2
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
49%
1-4
25%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.4
22.0
20.1
8
67%
8
0
2
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.7
19.7
29.1
0
0%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.6
27.9
22.1
4
28%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-5
40%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
26.4
24.6
14
80%
11
0
2
1
0
0
5
6
4-4
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.7
12.0
15.2
10
78%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
7.7
11.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.4
1.3
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Adam Harrington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
1.3
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.4
4.6
0
1-1
43%
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.