Final Win Prob. pScore
1459%89
75
2441%86
72
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
92.68179.4
MIA logo Heat
88.98183.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA75
100%
72
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)75
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETSUB: Davis FOR Williamson75
72
Q4 - 0:14.0MIASUB: House FOR Stepania75
72
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)75
72
Q4 - 0:15.0DETWilliamson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
94.2%
72
5.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)73
72
Q4 - 0:33.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:18)73
84.1%
72
15.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Stepania 8' Jump Shot73
79.9%
72
20.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
66.8%
72
33.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Best 3PT Jump Shot73
80.1%
72
19.9%
Q4 - 1:02DETWilliamson Driving Layup (12 PTS)73
65.2%
72
34.8%
Q4 - 1:14MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound71
71
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 271
54.3%
71
45.7%
Q4 - 1:14DETHamilton S.FOUL (P4.PN)71
71
Q4 - 1:28DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
51.1%
71
48.9%
Q4 - 1:28DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
49.6%
71
50.4%
Q4 - 1:28MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.PN)69
71
Q4 - 1:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:17)69
39.6%
71
60.4%
Q4 - 1:33DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q4 - 1:48DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
40.0%
71
60.0%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
36.3%
71
63.7%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)69
71
Q4 - 2:10DETBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)69
26.3%
71
73.7%
Q4 - 2:15DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
13.6%
71
86.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup66
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q4 - 2:41DETWallace 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)66
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q4 - 3:04MIAJones 7' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q4 - 3:24DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q4 - 3:24DETPistons Rebound63
69
Q4 - 3:24DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 263
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q4 - 3:24MIAGrant P.FOUL (P5.PN)63
69
Q4 - 3:36MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q4 - 3:36DETHamilton S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
67
Q4 - 3:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
67
Q4 - 3:49DETSUB: Williamson FOR Rebraca63
67
Q4 - 3:49DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 163
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q4 - 3:49MIAStepania S.FOUL (P5.T4)63
67
Q4 - 3:49DETWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)63
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q4 - 4:08DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Robinson61
67
Q4 - 4:08MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q4 - 4:08MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q4 - 4:08DETRobinson P.FOUL (P6.PN)61
65
Q4 - 4:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)61
19.6%
65
80.4%
Q4 - 4:19DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot61
21.7%
65
78.3%
Q4 - 4:30DETSUB: Robinson FOR Rebraca61
65
Q4 - 4:30MIABest Foul Turnover (P2.T10)61
26.9%
65
73.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIABest OFF.Foul (P3)61
65
Q4 - 4:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)61
65
Q4 - 4:53DETBarry 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q4 - 5:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)59
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot59
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q4 - 5:30DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q4 - 5:30MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T3)58
65
Q4 - 5:30DETHamilton 5' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)58
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q4 - 5:43DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.PN)56
63
Q4 - 6:07DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)56
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q4 - 6:28MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q4 - 6:28DETSUB: Wallace FOR Robinson54
62
Q4 - 6:28MIAHEAT Rebound54
62
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 254
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q4 - 6:28DETRobinson S.FOUL (P5.T4)54
62
Q4 - 6:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q4 - 6:48DETStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)54
10.7%
62
89.3%
Q4 - 7:03MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler54
62
Q4 - 7:03DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)54
62
Q4 - 7:04MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)54
15.7%
62
84.3%
Q4 - 7:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
24.2%
59
75.8%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot54
28.2%
59
71.8%
Q4 - 7:35DETAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)54
24.0%
59
76.0%
Q4 - 7:38MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)51
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q4 - 7:40DETGrant STEAL (2 STL)51
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q4 - 7:47DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Hamilton Driving Finger Roll51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q4 - 8:00MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)51
59
Q4 - 8:00DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q4 - 8:02DETMISS Atkins 16' Jump Shot51
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q4 - 8:11DETSUB: Atkins FOR Davis51
59
Q4 - 8:26MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)51
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q4 - 8:26DETDavis S.FOUL (P4.T3)51
58
Q4 - 8:26MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
22.0%
58
78.0%
Q4 - 8:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)51
26.9%
56
73.1%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot51
30.5%
56
69.5%
Q4 - 8:48DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Williamson51
56
Q4 - 8:48MIASUB: Best FOR Jones51
56
Q4 - 8:48DETSUB: Robinson FOR Wallace51
56
Q4 - 8:4851
56
Q4 - 8:48DETDavis P.FOUL (P3.T2)51
56
Q4 - 8:48DETJames STEAL (2 STL)51
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q4 - 9:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)51
34.3%
56
65.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot51
32.7%
56
67.3%
Q4 - 9:22MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen51
56
Q4 - 9:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)51
56
Q4 - 9:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
29.2%
56
70.8%
Q4 - 9:25DETMISS Williamson 7' Hook Shot51
30.7%
56
69.3%
Q4 - 9:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)51
34.1%
56
65.9%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q4 - 9:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q4 - 9:58DETMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q4 - 10:06MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)51
35.9%
56
64.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q4 - 10:22DETMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot51
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q4 - 10:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)51
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot51
34.2%
56
65.8%
Q4 - 11:04MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler51
56
Q4 - 11:04DETDavis P.FOUL (P2.T1)51
56
Q4 - 11:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q4 - 11:07DETMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot51
33.9%
56
66.1%
Q4 - 11:23DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
37.1%
56
62.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot51
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q4 - 11:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 251
33.0%
56
67.0%
Q4 - 11:45DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)51
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAStepania S.FOUL (P4.T1)50
56
Q4 - 12:0050
56
Q3 - 0:00.0DET50
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)50
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Rebraca 9' Jump Shot50
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot50
30.6%
56
69.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)50
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup50
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0DETWilliamson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)50
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot48
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q3 - 1:24DETRebraca 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q3 - 1:37MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant46
56
Q3 - 1:37MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.T4)46
56
Q3 - 1:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)46
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot46
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHEAT Rebound46
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q3 - 2:02DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot46
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 2:15MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T3)46
56
Q3 - 2:25MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
21.0%
55
79.0%
Q3 - 2:25DETRebraca S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
54
Q3 - 2:33DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Atkins46
54
Q3 - 2:33DETSUB: Davis FOR Robinson46
54
Q3 - 2:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)46
54
Q3 - 2:33DETRobinson P.FOUL (P4.T4)46
54
Q3 - 2:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q3 - 2:37DETMISS Atkins 9' Running Hook Shot46
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q3 - 2:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)46
27.2%
54
72.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot46
26.1%
54
73.9%
Q3 - 3:15DETHamilton Driving Layup (12 PTS)46
25.4%
54
74.6%
Q3 - 3:32DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot44
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q3 - 3:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)44
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 3:58DETMISS Robinson 9' Hook Shot44
20.0%
54
80.0%
Q3 - 4:11DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)44
54
Q3 - 4:14MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)44
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 4:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot44
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 4:26MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q3 - 4:28DETMISS Williamson Layup44
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 4:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)44
30.1%
52
69.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot44
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 4:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)44
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q3 - 4:49DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot44
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 5:04DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
31.1%
52
68.9%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot44
29.9%
52
70.1%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHEAT Rebound44
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot44
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q3 - 5:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)44
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Allen Dunk44
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q3 - 5:33DETWilliamson Tip Shot (7 PTS)44
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q3 - 5:34DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 5:36DETMISS Williamson 8' Hook Shot42
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q3 - 5:48DETSUB: Williamson FOR Prince42
52
Q3 - 5:48MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T2)42
52
Q3 - 6:15MIABest Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
25.6%
52
74.4%
Q3 - 6:35DETRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)42
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q3 - 6:52DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)42
50
Q3 - 6:55MIAButler Dunk (14 PTS) (Best 2 AST)42
32.1%
50
67.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
35.4%
48
64.6%
Q3 - 7:00DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot42
36.7%
48
63.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)42
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 7:30DETRobinson P.FOUL (P3.T3)42
45
Q3 - 7:41MIAHEAT Rebound42
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot42
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q3 - 7:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q3 - 8:01DETMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q3 - 8:18MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)42
51.9%
45
48.1%
Q3 - 8:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot42
50.7%
45
49.3%
Q3 - 8:42DETRobinson 8' Finger Roll (7 PTS)42
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q3 - 9:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
44.9%
45
55.1%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot40
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q3 - 9:15DETAtkins L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)40
45
Q3 - 9:15MIAHEAT Rebound40
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot40
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q3 - 9:44DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
41.1%
45
58.9%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)38
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q3 - 10:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q3 - 10:27DETMISS Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot38
43.0%
43
57.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
45.5%
43
54.5%
Q3 - 11:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q3 - 11:02DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot38
44.0%
43
56.0%
Q3 - 11:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)38
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q3 - 11:13DETMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot38
44.0%
43
56.0%
Q3 - 11:28MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)38
43
Q3 - 11:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 238
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q3 - 11:38MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
44.0%
43
56.0%
Q3 - 11:38DETRobinson S.FOUL (P2.T1)38
42
Q3 - 12:0038
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound38
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 55' 3PT Jump Shot38
48.8%
42
51.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
47.6%
42
52.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)38
48.3%
42
51.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
50.0%
42
50.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot38
55.0%
40
45.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIASUB: James FOR Best38
40
Q2 - 0:41.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler38
40
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
56.8%
40
43.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P2)38
40
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot38
55.0%
40
45.0%
Q2 - 1:09MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)38
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 1:09DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.PN)38
39
Q2 - 1:09MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)38
60.2%
39
39.8%
Q2 - 1:27DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
64.1%
37
35.9%
Q2 - 1:27DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)36
37
Q2 - 1:40MIAJones 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
60.2%
37
39.8%
Q2 - 1:50DETJones STEAL (1 STL)36
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 1:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)36
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot36
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup36
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 2:16DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 2:16DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
63.4%
35
36.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
35
Q2 - 2:24MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
60.9%
35
39.1%
Q2 - 2:24MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
61.4%
34
38.6%
Q2 - 2:24DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T4)34
33
Q2 - 2:41DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)34
63.8%
33
36.2%
Q2 - 2:52DETSUB: Prince FOR Williamson32
33
Q2 - 2:52DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
33
Q2 - 3:00MIAButler Reverse Layup (6 PTS)32
60.8%
33
39.2%
Q2 - 3:20MIAHEAT Rebound32
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 3:22DETMISS Williamson 19' Jump Shot32
64.8%
31
35.2%
Q2 - 3:41MIASUB: Ellis FOR Stepania32
31
Q2 - 3:41MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)32
31
Q2 - 3:41DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
67.1%
31
32.9%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 3:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Stepania 21' Jump Shot32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 3:58DETSUB: Wallace FOR Rebraca32
31
Q2 - 3:58DETHamilton Violation:Kicked Ball32
31
Q2 - 4:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q2 - 4:14DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
64.9%
31
35.1%
Q2 - 4:21DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
67.0%
31
33.0%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot32
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 4:46DETRebraca Dunk (6 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)32
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q2 - 5:11MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)30
61.6%
31
38.4%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
64.5%
29
35.5%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot30
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q2 - 5:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
64.5%
29
35.5%
Q2 - 5:41DETMISS Rebraca 8' Jump Shot30
65.3%
29
34.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Best FOR Butler30
29
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Jones FOR James30
29
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen30
29
Q2 - 5:50DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Davis30
29
Q2 - 5:50DETSUB: Atkins FOR Barry30
29
Q2 - 5:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
29
Q2 - 5:50MIAAllen P.FOUL (P3.T3)30
29
Q2 - 5:54DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot30
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q2 - 6:03DETJames STEAL (1 STL)30
63.9%
29
36.1%
Q2 - 6:15DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
67.1%
29
32.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot30
66.1%
29
33.9%
Q2 - 6:42DETBarry 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
64.0%
29
36.0%
Q2 - 6:47DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 6:48DETMISS Barry 23' Jump Shot28
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 7:07MIAStepania Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
61.9%
29
38.1%
Q2 - 7:24DETWilliamson 8' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)28
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q2 - 7:39MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
61.9%
27
38.1%
Q2 - 7:39MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)26
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 7:39DETBarry S.FOUL (P2.T3)26
25
Q2 - 7:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 2 of 226
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q2 - 7:51DETPistons Rebound26
25
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 226
66.4%
25
33.6%
Q2 - 7:51MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
25
Q2 - 7:51DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
67.1%
25
32.9%
Q2 - 7:53DETButler BLOCK (1 BLK)26
65.2%
25
34.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
66.9%
25
33.1%
Q2 - 8:07MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q2 - 8:07DETRobinson P.FOUL (P1.T2)26
23
Q2 - 8:27DETRebraca Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
69.3%
23
30.7%
Q2 - 8:29DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
66.9%
23
33.1%
Q2 - 8:30DETMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot24
65.2%
23
34.8%
Q2 - 8:41DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
66.9%
23
33.1%
Q2 - 8:43DETMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
65.2%
23
34.8%
Q2 - 8:5224
23
Q2 - 9:01MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
66.7%
23
33.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAHEAT Rebound24
22
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 224
67.2%
22
32.8%
Q2 - 9:01DETSUB: Robinson FOR Wallace24
22
Q2 - 9:01DETWilliamson S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
22
Q2 - 9:23DETRebraca 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)24
66.7%
22
33.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones22
22
Q2 - 9:34MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)22
22
Q2 - 9:34DETPistons Rebound22
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q2 - 9:35DETMISS Williamson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q2 - 9:49DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot22
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 10:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q2 - 10:02DETMISS Rebraca 10' Jump Shot22
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q2 - 10:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)22
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot22
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 10:32DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)22
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q2 - 10:56MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q2 - 11:09DETBarry Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q2 - 11:34MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)20
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q2 - 12:0020
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
61.7%
20
38.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBarry 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)20
61.7%
20
38.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
57.0%
19
43.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETBarry P.FOUL (P1.PN)17
18
Q1 - 0:06.0DETDavis P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
18
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
59.6%
18
40.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot17
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.5%
18
40.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 217
59.8%
18
40.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler17
18
Q1 - 0:42.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
60.7%
18
39.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)16
18
Q1 - 0:42.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)16
59.0%
18
41.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot16
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q1 - 1:00DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
57.1%
18
42.9%
Q1 - 1:00DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)15
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 1:00DETSUB: Davis FOR Atkins14
18
Q1 - 1:00MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.PN)14
18
Q1 - 1:14MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
54.6%
18
45.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 1:32DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 2 of 214
57.9%
16
42.1%
Q1 - 1:32DETSUB: Barry FOR Hamilton14
16
Q1 - 1:32MIASUB: James FOR Best14
16
Q1 - 1:32DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 1:32MIABest P.FOUL (P2.PN)13
16
Q1 - 1:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)13
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot13
56.4%
16
43.6%
Q1 - 1:52DETSUB: Williamson FOR Prince13
16
Q1 - 1:53DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Robinson13
16
Q1 - 1:53DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)13
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAStepania Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)13
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 2:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 2:35DETStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)13
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 2:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)13
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
61.2%
14
38.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 3:29DETRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)13
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 3:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
55.6%
14
44.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup10
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 3:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 3:50DETMISS Atkins 16' Jump Shot10
54.1%
14
45.9%
Q1 - 3:58MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T4)10
14
Q1 - 4:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
56.1%
14
43.9%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Grant Dunk10
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 4:26DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
54.0%
14
46.0%
Q1 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
52.2%
14
47.8%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup8
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 5:07DETRobinson Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 5:28MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
48.6%
14
51.4%
Q1 - 5:49DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIABest Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 6:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 6:29DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 24
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 6:29DETPistons Rebound4
10
Q1 - 6:29DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 24
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 6:29MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T3)4
10
Q1 - 6:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
53.1%
10
46.9%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot4
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 6:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 6:56DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot4
52.0%
10
48.0%
Q1 - 7:14MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 7:27DETAtkins Foul Turnover (P2.T4)4
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 7:27DETAtkins OFF.Foul (P1)4
8
Q1 - 7:33MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen4
8
Q1 - 7:33DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
8
Q1 - 7:39MIAButler Running Layup (2 PTS)4
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 7:44DETButler STEAL (1 STL)4
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 8:10MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)4
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 8:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 8:23DETAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)4
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 8:47MIABest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 8:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 8:54DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot4
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 9:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot4
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 9:19DETGrant STEAL (1 STL)4
63.8%
2
36.2%
Q1 - 9:30MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 9:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 9:44DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 14
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 9:44MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T2)4
2
Q1 - 9:44DETPrince Running Dunk (4 PTS)4
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 9:55DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:11DETPrince Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
61.1%
2
38.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:40MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 11:02MIAHEAT Rebound0
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 11:04DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot0
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:25DETMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:42DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 11:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 11:45DETMISS Hamilton Driving Layup0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Wallace: Tip to0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.86 43.1%
MIA
0.82 40.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
21
62%
MIA
11
19
58%
Midrange
DET
12
39
31%
MIA
11
42
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
MIA
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
DET
13
23
57%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1740%8.5 / 21
C. Williamson1447%7.0 / 15
J. Barry1286%6.0 / 7
B. Wallace850%4.0 / 8
Z. Rebraca857%4.0 / 7
C. Robinson729%3.5 / 12
C. Atkins542%2.5 / 6
T. Prince440%2.0 / 5
H. Davis0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1747%8.5 / 18
B. Grant1647%8.0 / 17
C. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
T. Best643%3.0 / 7
V. Stepania633%3.0 / 9
M. Allen528%2.5 / 9
M. James542%2.5 / 6
R. Butler325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+14
-9
86
MIA
71
+16
-10
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.86 43.1%
MIA
0.82 40.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
94.5
DET 92.6 +3.7
MIA 88.9
Pace
89.6
90.0
DET 79.4
MIA 83.2 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
DET 18.1
MIA 17.3 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
43.9%
DET 43.7% +8.5%
MIA 35.2%
TO %
14.0%
14.8%
DET 11.9%
MIA 10.8% −1.1%
ORB %
26.0%
26.8%
DET 28.9% +3.3%
MIA 25.6%
FTrt
32.2
25.9
DET 32.4
MIA 36.6 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
55.8%
DET 44.8%
MIA 54.2% +9.4%
STL %
7.5%
7.9%
DET 6.2%
MIA 7.4% +1.2%
BLK %
8.6%
6.4%
DET 6.6%
MIA 8.3% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
46.0%
DET 43.1% +2.2%
MIA 40.9%
Rim FG%
55.0%
53.7%
DET 61.9% +4.0%
MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
37.6%
DET 30.8% +4.6%
MIA 26.2%
3P %
35.8%
31.6%
DET 36.4% +16.4%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
77.1%
76.5%
DET 56.5%
MIA 84.6% +28.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
28.9%
DET 29.6% +2.8%
MIA 26.8%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
54.2%
DET 54.9% −4.2%
MIA 59.2%
3P Att. %
23.7%
16.9%
DET 15.5% +1.4%
MIA 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes24.523.4
Points7572
Rebounds4543
Assists1313
Steals56
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals29-7124-71
At-the-Rim FG13-2111-19
Midrange FG12-3911-42
2-Point FG25-6022-61
3-Point FG4-112-10
Free Throws13-2322-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
40.6
8
50%
22
0
0
1
0
1
4
18
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 25
37.1
17
40%
3
2
1
0
0
4
0
3
7-7
100%
5-16
31%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 28
34.5
5
42%
1
4
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 36
31.3
7
29%
2
1
1
2
4
6
1
1
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 212 · 23
19.2
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 29
23.6
14
47%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
4-8
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 31
20.3
8
57%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 33
19.7
12
86%
1
4
2
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 183 · 33
13.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34
G · 6'3" 210 · 26
C · 6'11" 260 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
43%
45
13
5
4
9
0
13
32
13-23
57%
25-60
42%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.