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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 22, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards49%9586
22Rockets51%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
40.0
26.3
22
58%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
11-18
4-9
61%
44%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.0
37.8
36.9
26
60%
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
4-13
5-12
31%
42%
5-7
71%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.7
27.0
28.8
2
20%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-8
20%
42%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
25.0
28.5
3
38%
3
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
40%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.0
21.2
25.0
2
53%
8
0
1
0
1
2
4
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.8
29.5
25.3
8
27%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-15
5-12
27%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 21.0
26.9
18.2
9
53%
4
3
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
26.2
24.7
14
67%
3
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
3-4
75%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.6
4.2
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.3
2.2
8.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 38.9
6.5
0
0-1
38%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.1
5.5
0
1-2
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.7
44.1
39.9
16
43%
6
7
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-6
67%
6-14
7-15
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.5
40.0
22.1
16
68%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
3-8
38%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.4
36.5
17.7
14
88%
8
5
1
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
41%
2-2
100%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.2
32.0
24.1
18
71%
8
2
1
0
4
1
3
5
4-4
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
53%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.5
26.3
25.6
6
50%
9
3
0
0
3
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
40%
0-1
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.3
23.9
22.7
12
55%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.3
15.9
14.3
3
22%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.1
13.3
22.6
6
44%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
44%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.9
8.0
8.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
38.3
1
5-11
45%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
8.1
0
1-2
44%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.2
7.7
0
1-1
53%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.4
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Tito Maddox
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.