Final Win Prob. pScore
2532%95
75
1768%101
77
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
84.38987.4
ORL logo Magic
87.58889.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA75
77
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound75
77
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 34' 3PT Jump Shot75
77
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Vaughn75
77
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Garrity75
77
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)75
77
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMiller 22' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)75
77
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)75
75
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P5.T4)75
75
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Sasser75
75
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)75
75
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
75
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
75
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
75
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Garrity73
75
Q4 - 0:20.0MIASUB: House FOR Ellis73
75
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)73
75
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
75
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Armstrong 8' Jump Shot73
75
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)73
75
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
75
Q4 - 1:01ORLMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
75
Q4 - 1:20MIABest 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)73
75
Q4 - 1:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)71
75
Q4 - 1:38ORLMiller 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)71
75
Q4 - 1:54ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)71
73
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 2:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
73
Q4 - 2:13ORLMISS Kemp 21' Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 2:25MIAKemp STEAL (1 STL)71
73
Q4 - 2:46ORLKemp 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)71
73
Q4 - 2:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)71
71
Q4 - 2:49ORLMAGIC Rebound71
71
Q4 - 2:50ORLMISS Kemp Layup71
71
Q4 - 3:11MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
71
Q4 - 3:31ORLKemp 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)69
71
Q4 - 3:43MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)69
69
Q4 - 3:52ORLVaughn Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T19)69
69
Q4 - 4:08MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
69
Q4 - 4:08MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
69
Q4 - 4:08ORLKemp S.FOUL (P3.PN)67
69
Q4 - 4:28ORLKemp 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)67
69
Q4 - 4:37ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR Sasser67
67
Q4 - 4:37MIASUB: Ellis FOR House67
67
Q4 - 4:37MIASUB: Best FOR James67
67
Q4 - 4:37MIAJames P.FOUL (P3.T3)67
67
Q4 - 4:49ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
67
Q4 - 4:51ORLMISS Armstrong 20' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 4:56ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
67
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 5:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
67
Q4 - 5:08ORLMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 5:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)67
67
Q4 - 5:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
67
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 5:39ORLKemp Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)67
67
Q4 - 5:41ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
67
Q4 - 5:44ORLMISS Armstrong 8' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 5:45ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
67
Q4 - 5:48ORLMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 5:58ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)67
67
Q4 - 5:58MIAGrant P.FOUL (P5.T2)67
67
Q4 - 6:05ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)67
67
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 6:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
67
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot67
67
Q4 - 6:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
67
Q4 - 6:34ORLMISS Kemp Free Throw 1 of 167
67
Q4 - 6:34MIAHouse S.FOUL (P2.T1)67
67
Q4 - 6:34ORLKemp Layup (8 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)67
67
Q4 - 6:41ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)67
65
Q4 - 6:43MIAKemp BLOCK (4 BLK)67
65
Q4 - 7:00ORLKemp 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)67
65
Q4 - 7:25MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)67
63
Q4 - 7:37ORLArmstrong P.FOUL (P2.T4)64
63
Q4 - 7:53ORLMiller 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)64
63
Q4 - 8:16ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
61
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
61
Q4 - 8:33ORLSasser Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)64
61
Q4 - 8:33ORLJump Ball Sasser vs. Butler: Tip to Butler64
61
Q4 - 8:39MIASasser STEAL (1 STL)64
61
Q4 - 8:49MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
61
Q4 - 8:49MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
61
Q4 - 8:49ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Oyedeji62
61
Q4 - 8:49ORLSUB: Kemp FOR DeClercq62
61
Q4 - 8:49ORLSUB: Miller FOR Humphrey62
61
Q4 - 8:4962
61
Q4 - 8:49ORLHumphrey FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T3)62
61
Q4 - 9:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
61
Q4 - 9:02ORLMISS Humphrey 9' Jump Shot62
61
Q4 - 9:21ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
61
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot62
61
Q4 - 9:40ORLHumphrey Foul Turnover (P4.T16)62
61
Q4 - 9:40ORLHumphrey OFF.Foul (P1)62
61
Q4 - 9:49ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Vaughn62
61
Q4 - 9:49MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
61
Q4 - 9:57ORLVaughn P.FOUL (P4.T2)62
61
Q4 - 10:15ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)62
61
Q4 - 10:15ORLMAGIC Rebound62
61
Q4 - 10:15ORLMISS Armstrong 15' Jump Shot62
61
Q4 - 10:38ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
61
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 162
61
Q4 - 10:40MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis62
61
Q4 - 10:40MIASUB: Jones FOR Stepania62
61
Q4 - 10:40ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Miller62
61
Q4 - 10:40ORLSUB: Oyedeji FOR Burke62
61
Q4 - 10:40ORLMiller S.FOUL (P3.T1)62
61
Q4 - 10:40MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
61
Q4 - 10:51MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
61
Q4 - 10:53ORLMISS Miller 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
61
Q4 - 10:57ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)60
61
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot60
61
Q4 - 11:18ORLMiller Layup (25 PTS)60
61
Q4 - 11:22ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
59
Q4 - 11:24ORLMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot60
59
Q4 - 11:36MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
59
Q4 - 11:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
59
Q4 - 11:40ORLMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot60
59
Q4 - 12:0060
59
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL60
59
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 0:14.0ORLSUB: Humphrey FOR Armstrong58
59
Q3 - 0:14.0ORLArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T3)58
59
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
59
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Armstrong 22' Jump Shot58
59
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)58
59
Q3 - 1:03ORLMiller Driving Layup (23 PTS)56
59
Q3 - 1:18MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 1 AST)56
57
Q3 - 1:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
57
Q3 - 1:44ORLMISS Burke Layup54
57
Q3 - 1:55ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)54
57
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
57
Q3 - 2:15ORLMiller 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
57
Q3 - 2:22ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
55
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot54
55
Q3 - 2:39ORLGarrity 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)54
55
Q3 - 2:58MIAHouse 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
53
Q3 - 3:03ORLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)52
53
Q3 - 3:09ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)52
53
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot52
53
Q3 - 3:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
53
Q3 - 3:36ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
53
Q3 - 3:44ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)52
53
Q3 - 3:50MIAButler Layup (12 PTS) (House 1 AST)52
53
Q3 - 4:05ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)50
53
Q3 - 4:19MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
53
Q3 - 4:19ORLBurke S.FOUL (P3.T2)49
53
Q3 - 4:19MIAEllis Layup (6 PTS)49
53
Q3 - 4:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
53
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 4:40ORLSUB: Burke FOR Kemp47
53
Q3 - 4:40MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones47
53
Q3 - 4:40MIAHeat Rebound47
53
Q3 - 4:40ORLMISS Kemp 20' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 5:01ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
53
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 5:15MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
53
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot47
53
Q3 - 5:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
53
Q3 - 5:30ORLMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 247
53
Q3 - 5:30ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)47
53
Q3 - 5:30MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T3)47
52
Q3 - 5:46MIASUB: House FOR Butler47
52
Q3 - 5:46ORLMAGIC Rebound47
52
Q3 - 5:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
52
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot47
52
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Ellis Layup47
52
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
52
Q3 - 6:03ORLMISS Kemp Layup47
52
Q3 - 6:09MIAArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)47
52
Q3 - 6:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
52
Q3 - 6:28ORLMISS Kemp Layup47
52
Q3 - 6:45MIAButler Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)47
52
Q3 - 7:05MIAHeat Rebound45
52
Q3 - 7:05ORLJump Ball Kemp vs. Butler: Tip to Stepania45
52
Q3 - 7:05MIASUB: James FOR Best45
52
Q3 - 7:05MIAKemp BLOCK (3 BLK)45
52
Q3 - 7:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
52
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
52
Q3 - 7:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
52
Q3 - 7:22ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
52
Q3 - 7:25ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
52
Q3 - 7:28ORLMISS Garrity 8' Jump Shot45
52
Q3 - 7:47MIAJones Layup (14 PTS) (Best 4 AST)45
52
Q3 - 8:03MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)43
52
Q3 - 8:03ORLGarrity 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
52
Q3 - 8:26ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
50
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot43
50
Q3 - 8:48ORLArmstrong 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
50
Q3 - 8:51ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)43
48
Q3 - 8:53MIAKemp BLOCK (2 BLK)43
48
Q3 - 9:18ORLVaughn Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)43
48
Q3 - 9:27MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T2)43
48
Q3 - 9:28ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
48
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot43
48
Q3 - 9:45ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
48
Q3 - 9:45MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant43
47
Q3 - 9:45ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
47
Q3 - 9:45MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.T1)43
46
Q3 - 9:53ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
46
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot43
46
Q3 - 10:02ORLVaughn P.FOUL (P3.T1)43
46
Q3 - 10:12MIAGrant Violation:Defensive Goaltending43
46
Q3 - 10:12ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)43
46
Q3 - 10:19MIAButler 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)43
44
Q3 - 10:35ORLVaughn Layup (10 PTS)41
44
Q3 - 10:55ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
42
Q3 - 10:58ORLMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot41
42
Q3 - 11:05ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)41
42
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q3 - 11:23ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)41
42
Q3 - 11:44MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
42
Q3 - 12:0039
42
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL39
42
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound39
42
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Vaughn 11' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAJones 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)37
42
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Miller37
42
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
42
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHouse 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 1:10ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)35
39
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot35
39
Q2 - 1:26MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)35
39
Q2 - 1:31ORLMiller Driving Layup (15 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 1:39ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
37
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 1:55ORLKemp Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)35
37
Q2 - 2:18ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)35
35
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot35
35
Q2 - 2:45ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)35
35
Q2 - 3:04MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)35
32
Q2 - 3:10MIAHeat Rebound33
32
Q2 - 3:10MIAGarrity BLOCK (1 BLK)33
32
Q2 - 3:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)33
32
Q2 - 3:24ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 3:24ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
31
Q2 - 3:24MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.PN)33
30
Q2 - 3:28ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
30
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 5' Turnaround Jump Shot33
30
Q2 - 3:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
30
Q2 - 3:44ORLMISS Kemp Driving Layup33
30
Q2 - 3:59MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)33
30
Q2 - 4:04MIAHeat Rebound31
30
Q2 - 4:04MIAKemp BLOCK (1 BLK)31
30
Q2 - 4:15ORLMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 4:15MIASUB: House FOR James31
29
Q2 - 4:15ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 4:15MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)31
28
Q2 - 4:15ORLMAGIC Rebound31
28
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 4:34ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P1.T9)31
28
Q2 - 4:34ORLKemp OFF.Foul (P2)31
28
Q2 - 4:44MIABest Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)31
28
Q2 - 4:57ORLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
28
Q2 - 5:03ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
26
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 5:17ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)31
26
Q2 - 5:28ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)31
26
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Butler Layup31
26
Q2 - 5:44ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
26
Q2 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound31
26
Q2 - 5:44ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
26
Q2 - 5:44ORLMISS Kemp Tip Shot31
26
Q2 - 5:45ORLMISS Kemp 6' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 6:02MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant31
26
Q2 - 6:02MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
26
Q2 - 6:02MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P3)31
26
Q2 - 6:18ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
26
Q2 - 6:18ORLMiller Tip Shot (11 PTS)31
26
Q2 - 6:21ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
24
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Miller Tip Shot31
24
Q2 - 6:23ORLMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot31
24
Q2 - 6:35MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis31
24
Q2 - 6:35MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler31
24
Q2 - 6:35MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T4)31
24
Q2 - 6:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
24
Q2 - 6:54MIAGrant Dunk (9 PTS)31
24
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 7:21ORLVaughn 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)29
24
Q2 - 7:33ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
22
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 229
22
Q2 - 7:35MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
22
Q2 - 7:35ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Oyedeji28
22
Q2 - 7:35ORLVaughn S.FOUL (P2.T2)28
22
Q2 - 7:50ORLSUB: Kemp FOR DeClercq28
22
Q2 - 7:50ORLDeClercq Foul Turnover (P1.T7)28
22
Q2 - 7:50ORLDeClercq OFF.Foul (P3)28
22
Q2 - 8:08ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
22
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot28
22
Q2 - 8:36ORLMiller 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)28
22
Q2 - 8:53MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
20
Q2 - 8:5327
20
Q2 - 8:53ORLDeClercq S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
20
Q2 - 8:53MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)27
20
Q2 - 8:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
20
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot25
20
Q2 - 9:08ORLMiller Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)25
20
Q2 - 9:16MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)25
20
Q2 - 9:28ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
20
Q2 - 9:28ORLSUB: Armstrong FOR Humphrey25
19
Q2 - 9:28MIASUB: Best FOR Jones25
19
Q2 - 9:28ORLMAGIC Rebound25
19
Q2 - 9:28ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 225
19
Q2 - 9:28MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
19
Q2 - 9:35ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
19
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
19
Q2 - 9:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
19
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Humphrey 6' Jump Shot25
19
Q2 - 9:59ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
19
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
19
Q2 - 10:15ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
19
Q2 - 10:15ORLMAGIC Rebound25
18
Q2 - 10:15ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 225
18
Q2 - 10:15MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.T2)25
18
Q2 - 10:38MIAJames Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)25
18
Q2 - 10:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
18
Q2 - 10:44ORLMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot23
18
Q2 - 11:00ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
18
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot23
18
Q2 - 11:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
18
Q2 - 11:24ORLMISS Humphrey 14' Jump Shot23
18
Q2 - 11:33MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler23
18
Q2 - 11:33MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T1)23
18
Q2 - 11:40ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot23
18
Q2 - 12:0023
18
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL23
18
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAVaughn STEAL (1 STL)23
18
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
18
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
17
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)23
16
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
16
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLHumphrey 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
14
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLMISS DeClercq 16' Jump Shot21
14
Q1 - 1:03MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
14
Q1 - 1:03MIAButler OFF.Foul (P1)21
14
Q1 - 1:17ORLSUB: Oyedeji FOR Burke21
14
Q1 - 1:17ORLBurke Foul Turnover (P2.T5)21
14
Q1 - 1:17ORLBurke OFF.Foul (P2)21
14
Q1 - 1:35ORLMAGIC Rebound21
14
Q1 - 1:35ORLMISS Vaughn Layup21
14
Q1 - 1:39ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
14
Q1 - 1:42ORLMISS Burke Layup21
14
Q1 - 1:58MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
14
Q1 - 1:58MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 1:58ORLDeClercq P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
14
Q1 - 1:58ORLHumphrey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)19
14
Q1 - 1:59ORLSUB: Humphrey FOR Armstrong19
14
Q1 - 1:59MIASUB: James FOR Best19
14
Q1 - 2:09MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 2:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 2:32ORLMISS Sasser 19' Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 2:45ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 216
14
Q1 - 2:47MIAHeat Rebound16
14
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 216
14
Q1 - 2:47ORLBurke P.FOUL (P1.PN)16
14
Q1 - 2:54ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 2:54ORLMAGIC Rebound16
13
Q1 - 2:54ORLMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 216
13
Q1 - 2:54ORLSUB: DeClercq FOR Kemp16
13
Q1 - 2:54MIABest P.FOUL (P1.PN)16
13
Q1 - 3:08MIAJones Layup (8 PTS)16
13
Q1 - 3:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
13
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 3:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
13
Q1 - 3:30ORLMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 3:41MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T4)14
13
Q1 - 3:51MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 3:51MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant13
13
Q1 - 3:51MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 3:51ORLVaughn P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
13
Q1 - 4:08ORLBurke 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)12
13
Q1 - 4:16ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot12
11
Q1 - 4:36MIAHeat Rebound12
11
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Burke 9' Turnaround Hook Shot12
11
Q1 - 4:56MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 4:56ORLSUB: Vaughn FOR Miller11
11
Q1 - 4:56ORLSUB: Sasser FOR Humphrey11
11
Q1 - 4:56MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
11
Q1 - 4:56ORLMiller P.FOUL (P2.PN)10
11
Q1 - 4:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
11
Q1 - 4:58ORLMISS Miller Layup10
11
Q1 - 5:15ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
11
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
11
Q1 - 5:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
11
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot10
11
Q1 - 5:34MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 5:34ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Burke )9
11
Q1 - 5:43ORLBurke Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)9
11
Q1 - 5:43ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
11
Q1 - 5:44ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11
Q1 - 5:45MIABurke BLOCK (1 BLK)9
11
Q1 - 6:06ORLArmstrong 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)9
11
Q1 - 6:10ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
9
Q1 - 6:13ORLMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 6:20ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Jones Layup9
9
Q1 - 6:35ORLSUB: Burke FOR Garrity9
9
Q1 - 6:35ORLGarrity P.FOUL (P2.T4)9
9
Q1 - 6:35MIAHeat Rebound9
9
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Humphrey Layup9
9
Q1 - 6:50ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup9
9
Q1 - 7:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
9
Q1 - 7:11ORLMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 7:30MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
9
Q1 - 7:53ORLMiller 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)7
9
Q1 - 8:10MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)7
7
Q1 - 8:17ORLKemp P.FOUL (P1.T3)5
7
Q1 - 8:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 8:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Butler Tip Shot5
7
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 8:40ORLHumphrey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
7
Q1 - 8:52MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
7
Q1 - 9:03ORLHumphrey 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)5
7
Q1 - 9:13ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7
Q1 - 9:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
7
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot5
7
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 9:23ORLGarrity P.FOUL (P1.T2)5
7
Q1 - 9:41ORLMiller 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 9:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
5
Q1 - 9:48ORLMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
5
Q1 - 9:48MIAJones 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 9:59ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
5
Q1 - 9:59MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)2
4
Q1 - 9:59ORLMiller 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:16MIABest 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:26ORLMISS Humphrey 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:33ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Armstrong 14' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:58MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T2)0
2
Q1 - 11:17ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Grant 10' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:38ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:46MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.79 39.5%
ORL
0.88 43.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
23
48%
ORL
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
16
46
35%
ORL
18
46
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
ORL
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
15
19
79%
ORL
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1850%9.0 / 18
E. Jones1635%8.0 / 23
L. Ellis1146%5.5 / 12
B. Grant945%4.5 / 10
M. James941%4.5 / 11
E. House844%4.0 / 9
T. Best422%2.0 / 9
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller3157%15.5 / 27
S. Kemp1444%7.0 / 16
D. Armstrong1146%5.5 / 12
J. Vaughn1050%5.0 / 10
P. Garrity758%3.5 / 6
R. Humphrey217%1.0 / 6
P. Burke220%1.0 / 5
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 1
A. DeClercq0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+18
-14
93
ORL
70
+16
-18
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.79 39.5%
ORL
0.88 43.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
102.6
MIA 84.3
ORL 87.5 +3.2
Pace
90.0
95.5
MIA 87.4
ORL 89.7 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
MIA 16.5
ORL 16.1 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.8%
MIA 35.7%
ORL 43.2% +7.5%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
MIA 13.2% −5.6%
ORL 18.8%
ORB %
26.8%
27.1%
MIA 26.9%
ORL 32.4% +5.5%
FTrt
25.9
30.7
MIA 22.6
ORL 24.3 +1.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.9%
MIA 48.3%
ORL 48.4% +0.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
MIA 7.9% +2.2%
ORL 5.7%
BLK %
6.4%
5.6%
MIA 2.9%
ORL 8.7% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.2%
MIA 39.5%
ORL 43.8% +4.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
54.6%
MIA 47.8%
ORL 50.0% +2.2%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.9%
MIA 34.8%
ORL 39.1% +4.3%
3P %
31.6%
35.7%
MIA 13.3%
ORL 33.3% +20.0%
FT %
76.5%
77.7%
MIA 78.9% +6.7%
ORL 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.8%
MIA 27.4%
ORL 29.7% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
44.7%
MIA 54.8% −7.4%
ORL 62.2%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.5%
MIA 17.9% +9.7%
ORL 8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points7577
Rebounds3950
Assists1415
Steals75
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)38 (2)
Field Goals29-8431-74
At-the-Rim FG11-2311-22
Midrange FG16-4618-46
2-Point FG27-6929-68
3-Point FG2-152-6
Free Throws15-1913-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
41.9
18
50%
9
2
4
0
2
2
2
7
8-8
100%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
39.1
16
35%
5
5
1
0
2
5
2
3
2-2
100%
7-16
44%
0-6
0%
F · 7'1" 255 · 27
31.4
0
0%
7
0
0
2
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
29.0
4
22%
0
4
0
0
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
27.0
9
45%
9
0
0
0
2
5
3
6
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
24.6
11
46%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
24.2
9
41%
2
2
0
0
4
3
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
17.8
8
44%
3
1
2
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
40%
39
14
7
2
14
0
14
25
15-19
79%
27-69
39%
2-15
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.