Final Win Prob. pScore
479%94
81
2821%84
85
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
93.18786.0
DEN logo Nuggets
96.68889.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS81
85
Q4 - 0:00.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
85
Q4 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)81
85
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot81
85
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot81
85
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker81
85
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Ferry FOR Ginobili81
85
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen81
85
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)81
85
Q4 - 0:05.0DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
85
Q4 - 0:05.0DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
84
Q4 - 0:05.0SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.PN)81
83
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Smith81
83
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ferry81
83
Q4 - 0:05.0SASDuncan P.FOUL (P3.T2)81
83
Q4 - 0:07.0SASHarrington STEAL (1 STL)81
83
Q4 - 0:08.0SASSUB: Ferry FOR Ginobili81
83
Q4 - 0:08.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen81
83
Q4 - 0:08.0DENSUB: Blount FOR White81
83
Q4 - 0:08.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)81
83
Q4 - 0:08.0DENHarrington 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
83
Q4 - 0:23.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)81
81
Q4 - 0:23.0DENSUB: White FOR Nene81
81
Q4 - 0:23.0DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)81
81
Q4 - 0:27.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
81
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 0:51.0DENHarrington 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)81
81
Q4 - 1:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
79
Q4 - 1:11SASSUB: Bowen FOR Smith80
79
Q4 - 1:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
79
Q4 - 1:11DENHarvey S.FOUL (P4.PN)79
79
Q4 - 1:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
79
Q4 - 1:25DENNene 8' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)79
79
Q4 - 1:27DENMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot79
77
Q4 - 1:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
77
Q4 - 1:46SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
77
Q4 - 1:46SASMISS Rose Tip Shot79
77
Q4 - 1:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)79
77
Q4 - 1:49SASMISS Duncan Layup79
77
Q4 - 1:51SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot79
77
Q4 - 2:00DENNene P.FOUL (P2.T1)79
77
Q4 - 2:19DENHoward Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)79
77
Q4 - 2:34DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
75
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
75
Q4 - 2:54SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
75
Q4 - 2:56DENMISS Harvey Layup79
75
Q4 - 3:15DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
75
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot79
75
Q4 - 3:24SASSpurs Rebound79
75
Q4 - 3:24SASHarvey BLOCK (1 BLK)79
75
Q4 - 3:42DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)79
75
Q4 - 3:51DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
73
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot79
73
Q4 - 4:09DENSUB: Nene FOR White79
73
Q4 - 4:09SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)79
73
Q4 - 4:13DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)79
73
Q4 - 4:38SASDuncan Layup (16 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)79
70
Q4 - 4:56SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
70
Q4 - 5:00DENMISS White 5' Jump Hook Shot77
70
Q4 - 5:16SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen77
70
Q4 - 5:16DENSUB: Harrington FOR Satterfield77
70
Q4 - 5:16DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)77
70
Q4 - 5:24SASRose Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)77
70
Q4 - 5:28DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)75
70
Q4 - 5:38DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
70
Q4 - 5:40SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot75
70
Q4 - 5:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)75
70
Q4 - 6:01DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot75
70
Q4 - 6:19DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
70
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot75
70
Q4 - 6:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
70
Q4 - 6:35DENMISS Satterfield 20' Jump Shot75
70
Q4 - 6:54SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
70
Q4 - 7:15DENSatterfield 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
70
Q4 - 7:27DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
68
Q4 - 7:30SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup73
68
Q4 - 7:44DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)73
68
Q4 - 7:57DENSUB: Howard FOR Savovic73
65
Q4 - 7:57DENSUB: Harvey FOR Nene73
65
Q4 - 7:57DENSUB: White FOR Andersen73
65
Q4 - 7:57SASSUB: Parker FOR Kerr73
65
Q4 - 7:57DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)73
65
Q4 - 8:04SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)73
65
Q4 - 8:22DENPosey 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
65
Q4 - 8:44SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)70
63
Q4 - 8:54SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
63
Q4 - 8:56DENMISS Andersen Layup67
63
Q4 - 8:58DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
63
Q4 - 9:01DENMISS Savovic 18' Jump Shot67
63
Q4 - 9:20SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)67
63
Q4 - 9:42DENNene 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
63
Q4 - 10:01SASRose Foul Turnover (P3.T16)65
61
Q4 - 10:01SASRose OFF.Foul (P2)65
61
Q4 - 10:13DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)65
61
Q4 - 10:13DENNUGGETS Rebound65
61
Q4 - 10:16DENMISS Satterfield 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
61
Q4 - 10:28SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T1)65
61
Q4 - 10:43SASKerr Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)65
61
Q4 - 10:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
61
Q4 - 10:57DENAndersen Slam Dunk (4 PTS)65
61
Q4 - 11:00DENMISS Savovic 21' Jump Shot65
59
Q4 - 11:09DENNUGGETS Rebound65
59
Q4 - 11:09DENMISS Posey Free Throw Technical65
59
Q4 - 11:09SASDuncan T.FOUL (P2.T0)65
59
Q4 - 11:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
59
Q4 - 11:10SASMISS Duncan Layup65
59
Q4 - 11:29DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
59
Q4 - 11:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
59
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Kerr 19' Jump Shot65
59
Q4 - 12:0065
59
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS65
59
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
59
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 7' Running Jump Shot65
59
Q3 - 0:08.0DENSUB: Savovic FOR Bowen65
59
Q3 - 0:08.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
59
Q3 - 0:08.0SASSpurs Rebound64
59
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
59
Q3 - 0:08.0DENHarvey S.FOUL (P3.PN)64
59
Q3 - 0:08.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)64
59
Q3 - 0:10.0SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot64
59
Q3 - 0:30.0DENSUB: Bowen FOR Savovic64
59
Q3 - 0:30.0DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
59
Q3 - 0:30.0DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
58
Q3 - 0:30.0SASJackson P.FOUL (P5.PN)64
57
Q3 - 0:39.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)64
57
Q3 - 0:39.0DENSUB: Savovic FOR Bowen63
57
Q3 - 0:39.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Kerr63
57
Q3 - 0:39.0DENPosey S.FOUL (P2.T1)63
57
Q3 - 0:39.0SASRose 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)63
57
Q3 - 0:48.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
57
Q3 - 0:48.0DENSUB: Bowen FOR Savovic61
56
Q3 - 0:48.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Willis61
56
Q3 - 0:48.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
56
Q3 - 0:48.0SASWillis S.FOUL (P5.PN)61
55
Q3 - 1:04SASWillis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)61
55
Q3 - 1:09DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
55
Q3 - 1:09DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
54
Q3 - 1:09DENPosey Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)61
53
Q3 - 1:09SASJackson T.FOUL (P4.PN)61
52
Q3 - 1:09SASJackson P.FOUL (P4.PN)61
52
Q3 - 1:22SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)61
52
Q3 - 1:26SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
52
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Savovic 12' Jump Shot61
52
Q3 - 1:39SASSUB: Rose FOR Duncan61
52
Q3 - 1:39SASWillis L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)61
52
Q3 - 1:39DENNUGGETS Rebound61
52
Q3 - 1:40SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)61
52
Q3 - 1:55DENHarrington Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)61
52
Q3 - 2:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
52
Q3 - 2:09SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Hook Shot61
52
Q3 - 2:17SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker61
52
Q3 - 2:17DEN61
52
Q3 - 2:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
52
Q3 - 2:32SASMISS Willis 17' Jump Shot61
52
Q3 - 2:52DENSUB: Savovic FOR Nene61
52
Q3 - 2:52DENSUB: Andersen FOR Howard61
52
Q3 - 2:52SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen61
52
Q3 - 2:52SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)61
52
Q3 - 2:54DENHarrington 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)61
52
Q3 - 3:06SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
50
Q3 - 3:06SASWillis Layup (2 PTS)61
50
Q3 - 3:11SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
50
Q3 - 3:33DENHoward 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Posey 6 AST)59
50
Q3 - 3:55SASSUB: Jackson FOR Smith59
48
Q3 - 3:55SASWillis L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)59
48
Q3 - 3:55DENNUGGETS Rebound59
48
Q3 - 3:55SASMISS Bowen 22' Jump Shot59
48
Q3 - 4:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)59
48
Q3 - 4:15DENMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot59
48
Q3 - 4:30DENSUB: Harvey FOR White59
48
Q3 - 4:33SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)59
48
Q3 - 4:33SASSpurs Rebound59
48
Q3 - 4:33SASMISS Bowen 33' 3PT Jump Shot59
48
Q3 - 4:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
48
Q3 - 4:40SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot59
48
Q3 - 5:02DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)59
48
Q3 - 5:08SASNene STEAL (1 STL)59
46
Q3 - 5:22DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)59
46
Q3 - 5:33SASSUB: Willis FOR Robinson59
46
Q3 - 5:33DENSUB: Harrington FOR Satterfield59
46
Q3 - 5:33DENNUGGETS Rebound59
46
Q3 - 5:33DENMISS White 8' Jump Shot59
46
Q3 - 5:53SASRobinson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)59
46
Q3 - 6:14SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
46
Q3 - 6:15DENMISS Nene Layup57
46
Q3 - 6:23DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
46
Q3 - 6:26SASWhite BLOCK (1 BLK)57
46
Q3 - 6:42DENSatterfield Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 5 AST)57
46
Q3 - 6:45DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
44
Q3 - 6:47SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)57
44
Q3 - 6:52SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
44
Q3 - 6:56DENMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
44
Q3 - 7:08SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)57
44
Q3 - 7:29DENHoward 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Satterfield 6 AST)57
44
Q3 - 7:34SASSatterfield STEAL (2 STL)57
42
Q3 - 7:36SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
42
Q3 - 7:39DENMISS White 6' Jump Shot57
42
Q3 - 7:57DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)57
42
Q3 - 8:06SASBowen Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)57
42
Q3 - 8:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
42
Q3 - 8:18DENMISS Satterfield 19' Jump Shot55
42
Q3 - 8:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
42
Q3 - 8:25DENMISS Howard 16' Fadeaway Jumper55
42
Q3 - 8:37SASSmith L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)55
42
Q3 - 8:37DENNUGGETS Rebound55
42
Q3 - 8:37DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot55
42
Q3 - 8:57SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)55
42
Q3 - 9:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)52
42
Q3 - 9:14DENMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 252
42
Q3 - 9:14DENSUB: White FOR Bowen52
42
Q3 - 9:14DENSUB: Nene FOR Blount52
42
Q3 - 9:14DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
42
Q3 - 9:14SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)52
41
Q3 - 9:36SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)52
41
Q3 - 9:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
41
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot49
41
Q3 - 10:20DENNUGGETS Rebound49
41
Q3 - 10:22SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot49
41
Q3 - 10:33SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
41
Q3 - 10:35DENMISS Satterfield Driving Layup49
41
Q3 - 10:44DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
41
Q3 - 10:45SASMISS Duncan Layup49
41
Q3 - 10:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)49
41
Q3 - 10:55DENMISS Blount 5' Jump Hook Shot49
41
Q3 - 11:06DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)49
41
Q3 - 11:10DENMISS Blount 9' Turnaround Jump Shot49
41
Q3 - 11:21SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
41
Q3 - 11:21SASSmith Tip Shot (9 PTS)49
41
Q3 - 11:24SASMISS Parker Layup47
41
Q3 - 11:36DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)47
41
Q3 - 11:36DENNUGGETS Rebound47
41
Q3 - 11:36DENMISS Bowen 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
41
Q3 - 11:36DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
41
Q3 - 11:38DENMISS Posey Driving Layup47
41
Q3 - 12:0047
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound47
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 0:11.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
41
Q2 - 0:13.0DENMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 0:35.0DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
41
Q2 - 0:36.0SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 247
41
Q2 - 0:36.0SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 0:36.0DENHarrington P.FOUL (P1.PN)46
41
Q2 - 0:44.0DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
41
Q2 - 0:44.0DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 0:44.0SASJackson S.FOUL (P3.PN)46
39
Q2 - 0:48.0DENNUGGETS Rebound46
39
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
39
Q2 - 1:09SASSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)46
39
Q2 - 1:14SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
39
Q2 - 1:17DENMISS Posey 10' Running Jump Shot44
39
Q2 - 1:37SASSmith 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)44
39
Q2 - 1:52DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 1:52DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
38
Q2 - 1:52SASJackson S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
37
Q2 - 2:13SASJackson Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)42
37
Q2 - 2:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)40
37
Q2 - 2:18DENMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 140
37
Q2 - 2:18SASSUB: Jackson FOR Bowen40
37
Q2 - 2:18SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.PN)40
37
Q2 - 2:18DENPosey 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)40
37
Q2 - 2:28DENSUB: Posey FOR Harvey40
35
Q2 - 2:28DENSUB: Harrington FOR Satterfield40
35
Q2 - 2:28SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)40
35
Q2 - 2:28SASWillis P.FOUL (P1.T4)40
35
Q2 - 2:32DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
35
Q2 - 2:35SASMISS Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot40
35
Q2 - 2:55SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
35
Q2 - 2:57DENMISS Blount 14' Jump Shot40
35
Q2 - 3:20SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)40
35
Q2 - 3:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)38
35
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Blount 5' Hook Shot38
35
Q2 - 3:58SASSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)38
35
Q2 - 4:14DENSatterfield Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
35
Q2 - 4:20DENSUB: Blount FOR Nene36
35
Q2 - 4:20DENSUB: Tskitishvili FOR Posey36
35
Q2 - 4:20SASSUB: Willis FOR Ginobili36
35
Q2 - 4:20SASSUB: Smith FOR Rose36
35
Q2 - 4:20DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
35
Q2 - 4:31SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)36
35
Q2 - 4:53DENHarvey 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Satterfield 5 AST)33
35
Q2 - 5:00SASParker Layup (10 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)33
33
Q2 - 5:05DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
33
Q2 - 5:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
33
Q2 - 5:24SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
33
Q2 - 5:46DENHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)31
33
Q2 - 6:09SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)31
31
Q2 - 6:28DENNene Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 6:43DENNUGGETS Rebound29
29
Q2 - 6:43SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 7:04DENHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)29
29
Q2 - 7:08SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)29
27
Q2 - 7:08DENNUGGETS Rebound29
27
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Harvey 19' Jump Shot29
27
Q2 - 7:26DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
27
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot29
27
Q2 - 7:53SASGinobili Driving Layup (7 PTS)29
27
Q2 - 8:03SASSUB: Duncan FOR Robinson27
27
Q2 - 8:03DENHoward P.FOUL (P2.T4)27
27
Q2 - 8:21DENHarvey Layup (6 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)27
27
Q2 - 8:30DENNUGGETS Rebound27
25
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Harvey 7' Turnaround Jump Shot27
25
Q2 - 8:3827
25
Q2 - 8:38SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)27
25
Q2 - 8:38DENNUGGETS Rebound27
25
Q2 - 8:38DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
25
Q2 - 9:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
25
Q2 - 9:04DENSUB: Posey FOR White26
25
Q2 - 9:04SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
25
Q2 - 9:04DENSatterfield S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
25
Q2 - 9:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
25
Q2 - 9:10DENMISS Satterfield 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
25
Q2 - 9:41SASRose 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)25
25
Q2 - 9:56DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
25
Q2 - 9:56DENHoward Layup (8 PTS)23
25
Q2 - 10:00DENMISS White 3PT Jump Shot23
23
Q2 - 10:19SASRose Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
23
Q2 - 10:27DEN21
23
Q2 - 10:27DENHarvey P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
23
Q2 - 10:41DENWhite 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)21
23
Q2 - 10:46DENSUB: Howard FOR Andersen21
21
Q2 - 10:46SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
21
Q2 - 11:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
21
Q2 - 11:01DENNene S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
21
Q2 - 11:01SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)20
21
Q2 - 11:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
21
Q2 - 11:07DENMISS Satterfield 8' Running Jump Shot18
21
Q2 - 11:19SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)18
21
Q2 - 11:34SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21
Q2 - 11:38DENMISS Harvey 8' Jump Shot16
21
Q2 - 12:0016
21
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
21
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNene 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
21
Q1 - 0:00.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
19
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Harvey 19' Jump Shot16
19
Q1 - 0:27.0SASJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)16
19
Q1 - 0:36.0DENWhite Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)16
19
Q1 - 0:48.0SASRose Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T7)16
19
Q1 - 0:48.0SASRose Violation:Lane16
19
Q1 - 0:48.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
19
Q1 - 0:48.0DENWhite S.FOUL (P2.PN)15
19
Q1 - 1:09DENWhite 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)15
19
Q1 - 1:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17
Q1 - 1:17SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot15
17
Q1 - 1:21SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
17
Q1 - 1:24DENMISS White Layup15
17
Q1 - 1:26SASHarvey STEAL (1 STL)15
17
Q1 - 1:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 1:32DENMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 1:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 1:54SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 2:09DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 2:09SASRose S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
16
Q1 - 2:09DENHarvey 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
16
Q1 - 2:34SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
14
Q1 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)13
14
Q1 - 2:54DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 2 of 213
14
Q1 - 2:54DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 2:54SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
13
Q1 - 2:54SASJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
13
Q1 - 3:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 3:08SASSpurs Rebound12
13
Q1 - 3:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 212
13
Q1 - 3:08DENWhite P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
13
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)12
13
Q1 - 3:15SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 3:34DENHarvey Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T3)12
13
Q1 - 3:34DENHarvey Violation:Lane12
13
Q1 - 3:34DENNUGGETS Rebound12
13
Q1 - 3:34DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 212
13
Q1 - 3:34SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
13
Q1 - 3:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13
Q1 - 3:41SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 3:48DENSUB: Andersen FOR Howard12
13
Q1 - 3:48DENSUB: Nene FOR Blount12
13
Q1 - 3:48SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker12
13
Q1 - 3:48DENHoward P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
13
Q1 - 3:57SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13
Q1 - 3:59DENMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 4:08DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13
Q1 - 4:10SASMISS Ginobili Reverse Layup12
13
Q1 - 4:19SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)12
13
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan Layup (5 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Parker Driving Layup10
13
Q1 - 4:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13
Q1 - 4:44DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot10
13
Q1 - 4:54SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)10
13
Q1 - 5:04DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
13
Q1 - 5:08DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13
Q1 - 5:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 210
13
Q1 - 5:11DENSUB: White FOR Posey10
13
Q1 - 5:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 5:11DENBlount S.FOUL (P2.T3)9
13
Q1 - 5:11DENSUB: Harrington FOR Satterfield9
13
Q1 - 5:11DENSUB: Harvey FOR Bowen9
13
Q1 - 5:16SASSUB: Rose FOR Smith9
13
Q1 - 5:16SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Robinson9
13
Q1 - 5:16SASSUB: Jackson FOR Bowen9
13
Q1 - 5:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
13
Q1 - 5:17SASBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)9
13
Q1 - 5:31DENPosey Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
13
Q1 - 5:57SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)9
11
Q1 - 6:15DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
11
Q1 - 6:30SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
11
Q1 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)3
11
Q1 - 6:46DENMISS Blount 13' Turnaround Jump Shot3
11
Q1 - 7:00DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
11
Q1 - 7:02SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot3
11
Q1 - 7:22DENHoward Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)3
11
Q1 - 7:27SASSatterfield STEAL (1 STL)3
9
Q1 - 7:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
9
Q1 - 7:32DENMISS Satterfield Layup3
9
Q1 - 7:36DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)3
9
Q1 - 7:44SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
9
Q1 - 7:51DENPosey P.FOUL (P1.T2)1
9
Q1 - 7:53SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
9
Q1 - 7:55DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot1
9
Q1 - 8:06DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)1
9
Q1 - 8:08SASBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)1
9
Q1 - 8:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
9
Q1 - 8:16DENMISS Posey 6' Running Jump Shot1
9
Q1 - 8:24SASBlount STEAL (1 STL)1
9
Q1 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
9
Q1 - 8:32DENMISS Satterfield 6' Running Jump Shot1
9
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)1
9
Q1 - 8:59SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
9
Q1 - 9:01DENMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot1
9
Q1 - 9:12SASPosey STEAL (1 STL)1
9
Q1 - 9:27DENPosey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)1
9
Q1 - 9:42DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
7
Q1 - 9:43SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 21
7
Q1 - 9:43SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
7
Q1 - 9:43DENBlount S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
7
Q1 - 10:02DENHoward 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)0
7
Q1 - 10:07DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:09SASMISS Robinson Layup0
5
Q1 - 10:13SASSpurs Rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:15SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:39DENBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)0
5
Q1 - 10:42DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:45DENMISS Satterfield Reverse Layup0
2
Q1 - 10:51DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:54DENMISS Satterfield 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:15DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:16SASMISS Bowen Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:36DENHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:41DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Blount vs. Robinson: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.90 45.0%
DEN
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
33
42%
DEN
11
22
50%
Midrange
SAS
10
25
40%
DEN
19
52
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
DEN
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
SAS
12
17
71%
DEN
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1838%9.0 / 24
B. Bowen1464%7.0 / 11
T. Parker1243%6.0 / 14
S. Smith1275%6.0 / 8
M. Ginobili1045%5.0 / 11
M. Rose956%4.5 / 8
D. Robinson233%1.0 / 3
S. Jackson250%1.0 / 2
K. Willis250%1.0 / 2
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Posey2368%11.5 / 17
J. Howard2357%11.5 / 20
Nene1071%5.0 / 7
D. Harvey840%4.0 / 10
J. Harrington660%3.0 / 5
K. Satterfield417%2.0 / 12
R. White425%2.0 / 8
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
R. Bowen350%1.5 / 3
M. Blount0-0.0 / 5
P. Savovic0-0.0 / 3
N. Tskitishvili0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
71
+15
-16
86
DEN
79
+19
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.90 45.0%
DEN
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
90.7
SAS 93.1
DEN 96.6 +3.5
Pace
92.6
92.6
SAS 86.0
DEN 89.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.8
SAS 16.7
DEN 16.2 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
42.8%
SAS 45.4% +4.8%
DEN 40.6%
TO %
16.5%
18.7%
SAS 16.9%
DEN 11.3% −5.6%
ORB %
28.8%
31.3%
SAS 27.5% +4.1%
DEN 23.4%
FTrt
34.8
28.3
SAS 22.4
DEN 24.7 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
64.6%
SAS 77.4% +16.8%
DEN 60.6%
STL %
8.3%
9.3%
SAS 5.7%
DEN 9.1% +3.4%
BLK %
9.3%
8.5%
SAS 13.5% +3.2%
DEN 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
44.6%
SAS 45.0% +1.6%
DEN 43.4%
Rim FG%
59.3%
53.8%
SAS 42.4%
DEN 50.0% +7.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
35.8%
SAS 40.0% +3.5%
DEN 36.5%
3P %
35.4%
27.8%
SAS 38.9% +11.6%
DEN 27.3%
FT %
72.5%
69.9%
SAS 70.6%
DEN 76.2% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
35.1%
SAS 43.4% +17.5%
DEN 25.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
52.3%
SAS 32.9% −28.3%
DEN 61.2%
3P Att. %
20.2%
12.6%
SAS 23.7% +10.7%
DEN 12.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8185
Rebounds4740
Assists2420
Steals58
Blocks106
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)9 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)11 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)29 (4)
Field Goals31-7633-85
At-the-Rim FG14-3311-22
Midrange FG10-2519-52
2-Point FG24-5830-74
3-Point FG7-183-11
Free Throws12-1716-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
43.2
18
38%
18
7
0
3
5
3
6
12
6-9
67%
6-20
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
38.4
12
43%
4
8
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 200 · 31
33.4
14
64%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
G · 6'8" 221 · 34
23.4
12
75%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
17.1
2
33%
4
1
1
3
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
27.7
10
45%
3
4
1
0
1
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
26.6
9
56%
7
2
0
2
3
2
1
6
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25
11.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
9.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
9.1
2
50%
3
0
1
0
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
45%
47
24
5
10
16
0
11
36
12-17
71%
24-58
41%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.