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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 27, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers48%102102
18Magic52%103112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.3
46.0
36.8
38
52%
10
4
1
2
2
3
2
8
10-13
77%
14-31
8-18
45%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.3
41.5
37.7
13
73%
10
6
0
1
1
2
2
8
0-2
0%
5-6
3-7
83%
46%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.3
37.8
32.6
6
47%
2
6
1
1
1
2
2
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.7
35.8
28.9
28
57%
9
2
1
1
3
4
2
7
6-10
60%
11-20
8-15
55%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.3
35.5
36.5
10
63%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
40%
2-4
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.8
16.1
10.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.7
13.2
16.9
7
58%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
8.4
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Soumaila Samake
C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
2.9
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.6
2.8
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.1
2.9
0
0-1
38%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.3
2.4
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 22.8
45.8
33.4
22
62%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
4-8
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
42.6
24.0
38
54%
6
9
2
1
1
3
0
6
12-16
75%
10-26
6-12
38%
48%
2-2
100%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 26.3
37.5
31.8
8
80%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.1
25.8
10.6
9
59%
10
4
1
0
0
3
2
8
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 33.0
24.9
26.4
11
46%
8
1
2
1
0
1
7
1
1-2
50%
5-11
4-9
45%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.4
30.1
32.8
14
58%
3
1
0
2
0
0
0
3
6-7
86%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.8
19.9
9.6
8
100%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
10.7
16.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 21.5
1.7
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
0.7
25.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.8
0.5
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
15.0
0
2-5
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.