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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 28, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks49%10298
11Pacers51%103110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
42.4
37.1
17
33%
8
4
0
1
3
2
1
7
9-13
69%
4-12
6-13
33%
47%
0-8
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.8
41.0
28.4
29
58%
7
9
2
1
0
4
4
3
5-5
100%
6-16
4-9
38%
46%
4-7
57%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.7
38.6
39.3
16
40%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-15
7-15
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.7
26.3
19.7
10
83%
6
0
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.4
7.5
20.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
27.6
22.3
8
52%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.6
25.8
22.9
7
45%
4
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
1-1
1-4
100%
41%
1-5
20%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
22.9
14.4
9
77%
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.7
6.2
19.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.4
0.9
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Adam Harrington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
0.9
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.4
5.6
0
1-2
41%
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
2.6
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
42.6
34.0
13
55%
7
15
1
2
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
42%
1-4
25%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.1
40.3
34.6
28
55%
18
1
0
1
1
3
4
14
6-8
75%
11-22
7-15
50%
48%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.0
39.9
27.2
20
62%
11
6
3
2
1
3
4
7
5-5
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
1-3
33%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 37.3
35.0
27.9
10
63%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 26.6
26.0
28.8
16
86%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-3
67%
7-8
4-9
88%
48%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.8
23.1
23.9
21
76%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
9-12
4-8
75%
46%
0-0
-
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
15.8
25.3
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 21.8
12.4
18.2
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.9
5.0
13.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.6
11.8
0
1-3
44%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.2
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 23.7
2.8
0
0-1
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.