Final Win Prob. pScore
2112%96
102
188%110
113
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
110.99281.1
DAL logo Mavericks
125.690103.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL102
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORPeterson 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00TORRaptors Rebound100
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)100
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:11DALMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot100
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)100
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48DALNash Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)98
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 2:03DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 2:05TORNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)98
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 2:23DALNash Driving Layup (23 PTS)98
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 2:40TORWilliams 11' Jump Shot (27 PTS)98
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 2:47TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)96
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 2:50TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:56DALFinley Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)96
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 3:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 3:20DALMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot96
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:38DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 3:40TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 3:51TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)96
106
Q4 - 3:54DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)96
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 4:01TORBradley STEAL (2 STL)96
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 4:20DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)96
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 4:24TORFinley STEAL (2 STL)96
5.2%
101
94.8%
Q4 - 4:38DALNowitzki Driving Layup (18 PTS)96
7.6%
101
92.4%
Q4 - 4:4596
99
Q4 - 4:45TORWilliams P.FOUL (P4.T3)96
99
Q4 - 5:01TORCarter Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)96
12.2%
99
87.8%
Q4 - 5:20DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)94
9.0%
99
91.0%
Q4 - 5:40TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)94
12.0%
97
88.0%
Q4 - 5:48TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
9.0%
97
91.0%
Q4 - 5:50DALMISS Van Exel 15' Jump Shot92
8.1%
97
91.9%
Q4 - 6:08TORBradley Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)92
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q4 - 6:17TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 6:19DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot90
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 6:42TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 6:42TORBradley Tip Shot (4 PTS)90
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 6:45TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 7:12DALVan Exel Driving Layup (17 PTS)88
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 7:32TORCarter 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)88
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 7:50TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot86
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 8:12TORWilliams 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 8:29DALVan Exel Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)84
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 8:33TORNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)84
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 8:51TORSUB: Carter FOR Jackson84
93
Q4 - 8:51TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)84
93
Q4 - 8:52DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)84
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 8:59DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 9:00TORMISS Bradley Layup84
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 9:17DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)84
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 9:32DALNash Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)84
10.6%
88
89.4%
Q4 - 9:32TORDavis Taunting (P4.T2)84
87
Q4 - 9:35TORDavis Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)84
13.1%
87
86.9%
Q4 - 9:46TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
10.5%
87
89.5%
Q4 - 9:47DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
8.5%
87
91.5%
Q4 - 9:47DALMISS Bradley Layup82
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 9:48DALMISS Bradley Layup82
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 10:03TORDavis 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 10:11TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 10:13DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Jump Shot80
6.6%
87
93.4%
Q4 - 10:22TORSUB: Bradley FOR Foster80
87
Q4 - 10:22TORFoster P.FOUL (P4.T2)80
87
Q4 - 10:29TORFoster P.FOUL (P3.T1)80
87
Q4 - 10:38DALNash Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)80
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q4 - 10:38TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Davis )80
86
Q4 - 11:01TORWilliams 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 11:24DALNash Driving Layup (16 PTS)78
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 11:28TORNash STEAL (1 STL)78
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 11:44DALFinley Driving Layup (12 PTS)78
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q4 - 12:0078
82
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL78
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound78
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 37' 3PT Jump Shot78
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORVan Exel STEAL (2 STL)78
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound78
81
Q3 - 0:12.0DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 278
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0TORDavis P.FOUL (P4.PN)78
81
Q3 - 0:26.0DALSUB: Nash FOR Bell78
81
Q3 - 0:26.0DALBell Ejection:Other78
81
Q3 - 0:26.0TORWilliams Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)78
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALBell T.FOUL (P3.PN)77
81
Q3 - 0:26.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0TORBradley BLOCK (2 BLK)77
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound77
80
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 277
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0TORPeterson L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)77
80
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound77
13.5%
80
86.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0TORMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot77
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot77
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q3 - 1:05TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)77
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q3 - 1:05TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q3 - 1:05DALBell P.FOUL (P3.PN)75
80
Q3 - 1:18DALFinley Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)75
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q3 - 1:30TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q3 - 1:30TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
12.9%
78
87.1%
Q3 - 1:30TORSUB: Jackson FOR Jefferies73
78
Q3 - 1:30DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Williams73
78
Q3 - 1:30DALSUB: Bell FOR Nash73
78
Q3 - 1:30DALNash S.FOUL (P3.T3)73
78
Q3 - 1:47DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)73
11.1%
78
88.9%
Q3 - 2:04TORPeterson Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)73
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 2:17DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 2:17TORSUB: Davis FOR Carter71
77
Q3 - 2:17DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q3 - 2:17TORCarter S.FOUL (P5.PN)71
76
Q3 - 2:22TORBradley STEAL (1 STL)71
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q3 - 2:38DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 2:38DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 2:38TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)71
74
Q3 - 2:38TORPeterson S.FOUL (P2.PN)71
74
Q3 - 3:02TORWilliams Driving Layup (18 PTS)71
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 3:06TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q3 - 3:08DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 3:15DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Foster: Tip to Nash69
74
Q3 - 3:15DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Jefferies FOR Davis69
74
Q3 - 3:15DALMISS Bradley Layup69
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 3:31DALSUB: Bradley FOR LaFrentz69
74
Q3 - 3:31TORCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)69
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 3:35DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q3 - 3:47TORDavis Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)69
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 4:02DALLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P2.T7)67
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 4:02DALLaFrentz OFF.Foul (P4)67
74
Q3 - 4:12TORWilliams Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 4:28DALFinley 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)65
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 4:38DALSUB: Williams FOR Nowitzki65
72
Q3 - 4:38DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)65
72
Q3 - 4:42TORNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)65
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 4:59TORSUB: Carter FOR Jackson65
71
Q3 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 4:59TORDavis S.FOUL (P3.T4)65
70
Q3 - 5:09DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 5:12TORMISS Peterson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot65
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 5:35DALLaFrentz Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)65
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q3 - 5:42DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)65
68
Q3 - 5:42TORJackson P.FOUL (P2.T3)65
68
Q3 - 5:56TORWilliams 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)65
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 6:05DALLaFrentz P.FOUL (P3.T2)63
68
Q3 - 6:25DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 6:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 6:31TORMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot63
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 6:59DALVan Exel 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)63
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q3 - 7:19TORWilliams 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
17.9%
63
82.1%
Q3 - 7:34TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 7:36DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot61
15.2%
63
84.8%
Q3 - 7:41DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 7:45TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot61
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 8:06DALFinley 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
15.6%
63
84.4%
Q3 - 8:11TORFinley STEAL (1 STL)61
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 8:19TORSUB: Jackson FOR Jefferies61
61
Q3 - 8:19DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)61
61
Q3 - 8:19DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)61
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 8:40DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 8:43TORMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot61
18.3%
61
81.7%
Q3 - 8:53TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 8:55TORMISS Jefferies 21' Jump Shot61
18.3%
61
81.7%
Q3 - 9:14DALLaFrentz Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)61
19.6%
61
80.4%
Q3 - 9:20TORWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 9:28DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Griffin58
59
Q3 - 9:28TORRaptors Rebound58
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q3 - 9:30TORMISS Peterson 6' Jump Shot58
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 9:48DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q3 - 9:48DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q3 - 9:48TORSUB: Jefferies FOR Carter58
57
Q3 - 9:48TORWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T2)58
57
Q3 - 10:01TORCarter Driving Layup (13 PTS)58
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 10:06TORFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 10:09DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot56
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 10:22TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 10:22TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 10:22DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P2.T1)54
57
Q3 - 10:40DALGriffin Driving Layup (2 PTS)54
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 10:51TORDavis Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q3 - 11:06DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)52
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 11:19TORCarter L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)52
53
Q3 - 11:19TORGriffin STEAL (2 STL)52
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 11:33TORFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q3 - 11:35DALMISS Finley 9' Jump Shot52
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q3 - 11:40DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 11:42TORMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot52
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 12:0052
53
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR52
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound52
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (7 PTS)52
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALMISS Van Exel 4' Jump Shot52
19.5%
51
80.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0TORJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0TORJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
17.9%
51
82.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0DALNash P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
51
Q2 - 0:36.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORSUB: Williams FOR Carter50
50
Q2 - 0:36.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
16.2%
50
83.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORCarter S.FOUL (P3.PN)50
49
Q2 - 0:41.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0TORMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot50
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 1:01DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
19.6%
49
80.4%
Q2 - 1:01DALSUB: Williams FOR Nowitzki50
48
Q2 - 1:01DALMAVERICKS Rebound50
48
Q2 - 1:01DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 250
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 1:01TORCarter S.FOUL (P2.PN)50
48
Q2 - 1:24TORJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 1:24TORJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 1:24DALNash L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)48
48
Q2 - 1:24TORJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 1:25DALMISS Finley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot48
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 1:36TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)48
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 1:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 1:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 1:54TORFoster P.FOUL (P2.PN)45
46
Q2 - 2:06DALMAVERICKS Rebound45
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 2:08TORMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot45
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 2:28DALLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 2:33DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 2:35DALMISS Van Exel 4' Jump Shot45
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 2:37TORVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)45
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 2:39TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 2:41DALMISS Nash 10' Jump Shot45
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 2:47TORSUB: Peterson FOR Williams45
46
Q2 - 2:47TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)45
46
Q2 - 2:47TORFoster P.FOUL (P1.T4)45
46
Q2 - 2:54TORDavis 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)45
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 3:02TORFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 3:04DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 3:10DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
10.8%
46
89.2%
Q2 - 3:12TORMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot43
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 3:31DALNash 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 3:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
44
Q2 - 3:44TORLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)43
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 3:52TORRaptors Rebound43
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 3:52TORMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 143
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 3:52DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Bradley43
44
Q2 - 3:52DALBradley S.FOUL (P3.T4)43
44
Q2 - 3:52TORCarter Reverse Layup (11 PTS)43
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 4:08DALBradley Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)41
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 4:22TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 4:44DALVan Exel 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 4:47DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 4:49DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot39
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 5:06TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)39
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 5:12TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 5:14TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 5:30DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)37
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 5:48TORCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)37
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 5:59DALSUB: Nash FOR Bell34
37
Q2 - 5:59DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
37
Q2 - 5:59DALBell P.FOUL (P2.T3)34
37
Q2 - 6:06TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
12.0%
37
88.0%
Q2 - 6:08DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup34
11.6%
37
88.4%
Q2 - 6:21TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 6:21TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 6:21TORSUB: Foster FOR Peterson32
37
Q2 - 6:21TORSUB: Carter FOR Bradley32
37
Q2 - 6:21DALBradley S.FOUL (P2.T2)32
37
Q2 - 6:41DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)32
9.8%
37
90.2%
Q2 - 6:46DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
11.8%
34
88.2%
Q2 - 6:48TORMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 6:51TORJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 6:53TORBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)32
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 7:13DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 7:13DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 7:13DALSUB: Finley FOR Griffin32
32
Q2 - 7:13TORWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)32
32
Q2 - 7:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 7:26TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot32
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 7:49TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 7:51DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot32
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 8:12TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 8:12TORBradley Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 8:14TORMISS Jackson Layup30
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 8:29DALGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 8:35TORGriffin STEAL (1 STL)30
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q2 - 8:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 8:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 8:5230
30
Q2 - 8:52TORDavis S.FOUL (P2.T2)30
30
Q2 - 9:01DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Williams30
30
Q2 - 9:01TORJackson P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
30
Q2 - 9:21TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)30
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q2 - 9:43DALBradley Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)27
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 10:04TORDavis Slam Dunk (2 PTS)27
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q2 - 10:23DALWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q2 - 10:31DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 10:32TORMISS Bradley 7' Jump Shot25
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q2 - 10:38TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q2 - 10:44DALMISS Bradley 8' Jump Hook Shot25
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q2 - 10:53TORBell STEAL (1 STL)25
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 10:55TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q2 - 10:57TORMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot25
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q2 - 11:17DALWilliams Slam Dunk (2 PTS)25
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q2 - 11:30DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q2 - 11:32TORMISS Bradley 13' Jump Shot25
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q2 - 11:46DALBell P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
24
Q2 - 12:0025
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL25
16.5%
24
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALBell Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)25
15.8%
24
84.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.5%
22
82.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0TORMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot25
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0DALSUB: Griffin FOR Finley25
22
Q1 - 0:31.0TORBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0TORPeterson 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)25
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0TORJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMISS Bradley 5' Jump Shot23
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 1:11TORCarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)23
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 1:32DALFinley Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)21
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q1 - 1:44TORFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 1:44TORFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 1:44TORSUB: Bradley FOR Davis19
22
Q1 - 1:44DALWilliams L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)19
22
Q1 - 1:44TORFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
11.2%
22
88.8%
Q1 - 1:45TORMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot19
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 2:04DALBradley Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)19
11.3%
22
88.7%
Q1 - 2:27TORCarter Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)19
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 2:47DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 2:47DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 2:47DALSUB: Williams FOR Nowitzki17
18
Q1 - 2:47DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
18
Q1 - 2:47TORDavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)17
18
Q1 - 2:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 2:58TORMISS Davis 7' Fadeaway Jumper17
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 3:21DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 3:27DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 3:29TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 3:31TORSUB: Jackson FOR Williams17
18
Q1 - 3:31DALBradley P.FOUL (P1.T4)17
18
Q1 - 3:33TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 3:35TORMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot17
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 3:56DALNash Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 4:00DALSUB: Bradley FOR LaFrentz17
16
Q1 - 4:00TORCarter L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)17
16
Q1 - 4:00DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
14.0%
16
86.0%
Q1 - 4:01DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot17
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 4:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 4:09TORMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot17
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 4:16DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 4:23DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 4:25TORMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 4:37DALSUB: Bell FOR Griffin17
16
Q1 - 4:37DALGriffin P.FOUL (P2.T3)17
16
Q1 - 4:44TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 4:46DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot17
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 4:54DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 4:55TORMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot17
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 5:04TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.8%
16
85.2%
Q1 - 5:06DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot17
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 5:22TORCarter Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)17
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 5:26TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 5:29DALMISS Griffin 8' Turnaround Jump Shot15
12.6%
16
87.4%
Q1 - 5:50TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 5:55TORFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 5:56DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 212
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 5:56DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
16
Q1 - 5:56DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 212
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 5:56TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
16
Q1 - 6:03TORWilliams 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 6:04TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
9.0%
16
91.0%
Q1 - 6:06TORLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)10
8.6%
16
91.4%
Q1 - 6:21DALGriffin P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
16
Q1 - 6:21TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 6:23TORMISS Foster 21' Jump Shot10
8.7%
16
91.3%
Q1 - 6:52DALFinley Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)10
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 7:01TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 7:08TORFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.1%
14
90.9%
Q1 - 7:11DALMISS Nowitzki Layup8
9.0%
14
91.0%
Q1 - 7:17TORFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 7:17TORFoster 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 7:28TORMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot6
7.9%
14
92.1%
Q1 - 7:40TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 7:42DALMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot6
8.2%
14
91.8%
Q1 - 8:00TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 8:07TORRaptors Rebound3
7.3%
14
92.7%
Q1 - 8:09TORMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
7.1%
14
92.9%
Q1 - 8:24DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)3
7.5%
14
92.5%
Q1 - 8:35TORPeterson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 8:52TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)1
12
Q1 - 8:57DALLaFrentz 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)1
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 9:00DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)1
8.2%
10
91.8%
Q1 - 9:03DALMISS Griffin 11' Jump Shot1
8.5%
10
91.5%
Q1 - 9:13TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
8.5%
10
91.5%
Q1 - 9:13TORRaptors Rebound0
10
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 20
8.4%
10
91.6%
Q1 - 9:13DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
10
Q1 - 9:25TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
10
Q1 - 9:32DALNash Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 9:35DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.0%
8
91.0%
Q1 - 9:38TORMISS Carter Alley Oop Layup0
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 9:44TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.4%
8
90.6%
Q1 - 9:48TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 10:10DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 10:19DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 10:21TORMISS Foster 11' Jump Shot0
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 10:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 10:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:41TORWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:47DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 10:49TORMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot0
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 11:13DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 11:24DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.6%
2
88.4%
Q1 - 11:26TORMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot0
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 11:49DALFinley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Davis: Tip to Nash0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORDAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.05 52.6%
DAL
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
22
73%
DAL
24
33
73%
Midrange
TOR
18
45
40%
DAL
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
DAL
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
TOR
16
18
89%
DAL
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Williams2768%13.5 / 20
M. Peterson2467%12.0 / 18
A. Davis1853%9.0 / 17
V. Carter1740%8.5 / 21
M. Bradley844%4.0 / 9
G. Foster433%2.0 / 6
J. Jackson450%2.0 / 4
C. Jefferies0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash25104%12.5 / 12
D. Nowitzki2348%11.5 / 24
N. Van Exel1761%8.5 / 14
M. Finley1563%7.5 / 12
R. LaFrentz1381%6.5 / 8
S. Bradley1150%5.5 / 11
W. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
R. Bell375%1.5 / 2
A. Griffin233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+18
-13
97
DAL
80
+9
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.05 52.6%
DAL
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.1
108.0
TOR 110.9
DAL 125.6 +14.7
Pace
92.1
94.9
TOR 81.1
DAL 103.9 +22.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.3
TOR 17.8
DAL 13.9 −3.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.8%
49.8%
TOR 49.4%
DAL 59.5% +10.1%
TO %
14.6%
11.6%
TOR 12.0%
DAL 10.3% −1.7%
ORB %
28.3%
25.5%
TOR 31.7% +7.5%
DAL 24.2%
FTrt
28.2
25.7
TOR 20.7
DAL 40.5 +19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
58.1%
TOR 47.5%
DAL 56.1% +8.6%
STL %
8.0%
8.5%
TOR 6.5%
DAL 13.3% +6.8%
BLK %
7.0%
8.5%
TOR 4.9%
DAL 7.5% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.3%
52.1%
TOR 52.6%
DAL 62.1% +9.5%
Rim FG%
55.5%
58.2%
TOR 72.7%
DAL 72.7%
Mid FG%
37.8%
40.7%
TOR 40.0% +0.7%
DAL 39.3%
3P %
34.3%
38.1%
TOR 30.0%
DAL 46.2% +16.2%
FT %
71.8%
82.9%
TOR 88.9% +5.6%
DAL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
29.6%
TOR 25.3%
DAL 44.6% +19.3%
Mid Att. %
50.7%
46.5%
TOR 51.7%
DAL 37.8% −13.9%
3P Att. %
17.9%
23.9%
TOR 23.0% +5.4%
DAL 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsTORDAL
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes27.220.8
Points102113
Rebounds3836
Assists1923
Steals612
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals40-8741-74
At-the-Rim FG16-2224-33
Midrange FG18-4511-28
2-Point FG34-6735-61
3-Point FG6-206-13
Free Throws16-1825-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
45.3
18
53%
9
2
1
2
3
4
4
5
6-6
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 25
44.4
24
67%
7
0
1
0
2
3
0
7
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
4-8
50%
G · 6'5" 195 · 28
42.3
27
68%
2
7
2
0
2
4
1
1
2-3
67%
11-15
73%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 250 · 34
32.0
4
33%
7
0
0
1
1
4
2
5
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 26
31.5
17
40%
1
4
0
0
3
5
1
0
0-1
0%
7-13
54%
1-7
14%
G · 6'5" 204 · 26
23.5
4
50%
3
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
17.8
8
44%
8
1
0
0
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 30
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
C · 7'0" 255 · 27
C · 7'1" 245 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
53%
38
19
6
3
13
0
13
25
16-18
89%
34-67
51%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.