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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 3, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks46%9678
19Wizards54%98103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
37.4
33.8
13
40%
7
3
3
1
1
1
2
5
1-1
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
0-5
0%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.0
30.8
32.7
9
33%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-11
6-14
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.8
29.0
28.3
17
61%
8
1
1
1
0
1
0
8
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 29.5
21.7
20.4
4
23%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
19.9
23.2
7
51%
9
0
1
1
0
0
3
6
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 36.0
28.4
19.8
6
38%
10
2
2
0
0
0
3
7
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
27.2
25.4
6
41%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
41%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
23.6
4.2
12
50%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-11
0-1
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 35.0
8.6
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
7.6
2.9
2
26%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.1
5.8
7.3
2
114%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.1
34.5
36.4
12
33%
7
4
0
1
1
4
1
6
4-5
80%
4-13
5-13
31%
43%
0-3
0%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.8
29.7
31.8
25
53%
7
4
0
1
0
1
0
7
7-8
88%
9-20
7-16
45%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
28.3
21.9
13
63%
8
4
0
1
0
2
1
7
3-3
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.3
20.8
5.4
9
71%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-3
33%
4-5
1-1
80%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.0
17.5
27.2
5
66%
5
1
0
0
4
2
2
3
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
27.3
21.7
16
67%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
41%
2-4
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
24.1
20.9
2
25%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.7
22.8
12.0
14
67%
7
0
1
0
1
2
6
1
4-8
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
48%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.0
19.0
11.2
0
0%
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.7
11.1
23.3
4
106%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 21.0
3.0
9.6
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
1.8
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.