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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 3, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies19%9691
5Lakers81%107101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
29.2
30.5
11
40%
9
3
1
0
2
3
3
6
3-4
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.2
27.8
29.8
11
80%
2
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.0
26.4
28.8
0
0%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
22.2
29.0
11
41%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
3-10
5-12
30%
44%
1-2
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
20.3
23.7
9
41%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
42%
1-3
33%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.7
27.7
22.7
13
57%
2
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.1
24.0
17.5
17
51%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
7-15
3-7
47%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.5
21.6
17.3
4
29%
1
7
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.0
20.6
18.1
5
66%
6
3
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.0
20.2
15.8
10
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
41%
2-3
67%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.1
5.6
0
1-1
40%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.2
2.4
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.3
41.4
40.0
24
73%
10
11
1
2
3
3
2
8
1-1
100%
10-14
10-20
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.7
38.6
34.4
28
53%
9
3
0
1
7
3
2
7
8-12
67%
10-21
10-18
48%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.3
33.9
34.3
12
51%
6
4
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
44%
2-2
100%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
28.8
35.5
14
70%
4
3
3
1
0
6
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
4-6
67%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.8
11.3
18.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.3
26.9
16.7
11
92%
6
6
0
1
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
19.2
18.1
4
41%
4
2
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.7
12.8
20.9
4
67%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.7
12.0
13.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
8.8
8.8
4
58%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Soumaila Samake
C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
6.4
5.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.4
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.