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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 4, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors36%9474
14Hornets64%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
43.2
39.4
9
51%
5
2
1
1
2
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
4-10
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.9
37.3
30.6
26
49%
5
2
1
1
3
2
2
3
3-4
75%
10-19
6-13
53%
43%
1-6
17%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.3
35.5
39.4
13
51%
3
3
2
2
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
5-11
5-12
45%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
33.5
39.5
4
13%
11
4
1
1
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
1-15
6-14
7%
41%
0-0
-
Greg Foster
C · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
30.4
24.5
6
38%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
41%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.5
24.1
17.9
5
32%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.0
16.3
9.1
8
74%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-1
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
15.8
17.4
2
33%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
4.0
4.9
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.6
12.6
0
1-3
42%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 29.6
10.7
1
1-2
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.0
4.6
0
0-1
37%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Nate Huffman
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.7
2.3
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.6
40.3
18.3
18
50%
8
5
5
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
5-13
2-5
38%
45%
2-4
50%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 33.1
33.1
32.4
15
55%
9
0
0
1
1
0
2
7
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 30.0
32.9
38.9
10
34%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
3-12
6-15
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
27.4
28.3
16
74%
8
1
0
1
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
51%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 32.1
25.2
36.8
0
0%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
4-9
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.6
20.3
29.5
7
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
4-10
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 34.3
17.3
18.5
5
91%
1
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 34.4
15.7
15.3
10
51%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
14.8
12.8
3
75%
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 25.8
4.9
4.5
3
52%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Kirk Haston
F · 6'9" 242 · 23.7
4.0
2.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Bryce Drew
G · 6'3" 184 · 28.2
4.0
1.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.