FinalWin Prob.pScore
2433%92
80
1667%98
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.08788.9
LAC logo LAC
98.99088.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
Q4 - 0:00.0LAC80
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAAllen 7' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS)80
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0LACDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0LACDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAAllen 14' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 8 AST)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0LACDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0LACDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)76
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)76
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Lampley 16' Jump Shot73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17LACDooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39LACMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 173
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39LACBrand Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Parks 1 AST)73
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHeat Rebound73
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 1:47MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 272
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57LACRichardson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)72
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)72
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHeat Rebound70
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS James Driving Layup70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:31MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot70
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 2:43LACDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 2:43LACMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 270
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 3:01LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Lampley 15' Jump Shot70
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 3:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)70
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 3:14LACMISS Parks Free Throw 2 of 270
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 3:14LACParks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 3:14LACCLIPPERS Rebound70
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 3:23LACMISS Brand 13' Jump Shot70
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 3:47LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)70
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 270
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 3:48MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)69
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Lampley 5' Jump Shot69
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 4:04LACBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T12)69
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 4:20MIAGrant Layup (11 PTS)69
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 4:30LACMISS Jaric Driving Layup67
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 4:50LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)67
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Lampley 8' Jump Shot67
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 5:09LACRichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)67
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 5:17LACJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAParks BLOCK (1 BLK)67
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 5:26LACMISS Parks 15' Jump Shot67
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 5:32LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 5:33LACMISS Jaric Layup67
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 6:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)65
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 6:03LACMISS Richardson Driving Layup65
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIAButler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound63
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 6:45LACMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot63
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 7:10MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)63
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 7:30LACBrand 13' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)61
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAStepania 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)61
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 8:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:10LACMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)59
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 8:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot59
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 8:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot59
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 9:19LACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 9:19LACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 9:32LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)59
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHeat Rebound59
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 9:56LACMISS Dooling 5' Jump Shot59
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 10:33LACDooling 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 10:55MIAButler 18' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)57
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q4 - 11:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q4 - 11:02LACMISS Brand Layup55
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q4 - 11:23LACCLIPPERS Rebound55
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q4 - 11:24LACMISS Rooks 9' Jump Shot55
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q4 - 11:26LACPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q4 - 11:28LACMISS Piatkowski 8' Jump Shot55
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)55
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 47' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACMISS Richardson Dunk55
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)55
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Rebound55
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAHeat Rebound55
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIABrand BLOCK (5 BLK)55
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0LACRooks Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0LACRooks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0LACMISS Richardson Driving Layup55
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:04LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)55
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot55
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 1:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot55
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 1:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 255
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 255
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 1:45LACRooks 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 2:08LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Stepania 12' Jump Shot55
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 2:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 2:32LACMISS Brand 10' Jump Shot55
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 2:40LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 2:48MIABrand BLOCK (4 BLK)55
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 3:14LACBrand 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)55
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 3:25LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Allen Layup55
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 3:44LACRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 3:44LACRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIABest 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)55
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 4:25LACPiatkowski Driving Layup (18 PTS)53
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 4:31MIAPiatkowski STEAL (1 STL)53
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 4:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 5:08LACBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)53
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 5:23MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 3 AST)53
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 5:33LACMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 5:56LACCLIPPERS Rebound50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot50
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 6:21LACBrand 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)50
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 6:26LACPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 6:27LACMISS Rooks 17' Jump Shot50
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIABest 18' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 7:10LACBrand Follow Up Dunk (17 PTS)48
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 7:11LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 7:13LACMISS Brand Layup48
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 7:19LACJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot48
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 7:47LACJaric 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)48
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 8:05LACJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot48
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 8:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q3 - 8:15LACMISS Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 8:31MIAGrant Layup (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)48
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 8:41LACMISS Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 9:02MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 9:22LACPiatkowski Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)43
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 9:34LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 243
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q3 - 9:36MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q3 - 9:52LACPiatkowski Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)42
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 10:17MIABest 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 10:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q3 - 10:29LACMISS Piatkowski 19' Jump Shot40
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q3 - 10:39LACJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot40
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q3 - 11:02LACEly 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)40
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q3 - 11:23MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q3 - 11:42LACBrand 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound37
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABrand BLOCK (3 BLK)37
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0LACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)37
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0LACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot37
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0LACPiatkowski 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)37
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHouse 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)37
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 1:03LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 1:03LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
10.2%
45
89.8%
Q2 - 1:15LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot35
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 1:32LACPiatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)35
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T7)35
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 2:06LACZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 2:06LACZhi-zhi Tip Shot (2 PTS)35
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 2:08LACMISS Miller Layup35
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 2:17LACPiatkowski Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)35
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 2:29MIABest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
22.1%
38
77.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 2:53LACMISS Piatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 3:36LACBrand Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)31
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIAButler Driving Dunk (7 PTS)31
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 4:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 4:01LACMISS Piatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 4:18LACZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 229
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 4:19LACPiatkowski Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)29
13.7%
38
86.3%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 229
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 4:19MIAHeat Rebound29
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Butler Layup29
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 4:28LACMISS Brand Driving Layup29
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 4:34LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
13.7%
37
86.3%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Butler Layup29
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 4:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Butler Layup29
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 5:01LACMISS Brand 12' Jump Shot29
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAGrant 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 5:53LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)27
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 5:53LACBrand Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)27
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)27
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q2 - 6:26LACJump Ball Rooks vs. Butler: Tip to Grant25
14.3%
34
85.7%
Q2 - 6:32MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 224
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 6:46LACJaric 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)24
13.0%
34
87.0%
Q2 - 7:05MIAGrant 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)24
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAHeat Rebound22
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 7:22MIABrand BLOCK (2 BLK)22
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 7:23MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 7:46LACRooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 7:46LACRooks Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 7:48LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 7:48LACMISS Richardson Tip Shot22
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 7:50LACMISS Jaric 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 8:09MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 8:09MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q2 - 8:23LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 8:23LACRichardson Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)20
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 8:25LACMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q2 - 8:51MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 219
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q2 - 9:01LACBrand Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)19
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 9:13MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q2 - 9:13MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 9:16MIAHeat Rebound17
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q2 - 9:16MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)17
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 9:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot17
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 9:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot17
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q2 - 9:38LACMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot17
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 10:01LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 217
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 217
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q2 - 10:13LACMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q2 - 10:28LACCLIPPERS Rebound17
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:29LACMISS Dooling 11' Jump Shot17
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q2 - 10:42LACCLIPPERS Rebound17
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot17
13.0%
27
87.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q2 - 10:49LACMISS Miller 5' Jump Shot17
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 11:31LACWilcox 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q2 - 11:42LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q2 - 11:44LACMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 60' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound17
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0LACMISS Richardson 80' 3PT Jump Shot17
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot17
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0LACRichardson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)17
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHouse 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)17
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0LACMISS Richardson Layup15
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)15
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 1:06LACMiller 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)12
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 1:15LACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
14.2%
21
85.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot12
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 1:24MIAHeat Rebound12
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot12
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 1:34LACRichardson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)12
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 1:54MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
14.2%
21
85.8%
Q1 - 2:08LACMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 110
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 2:08LACMiller 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)10
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 2:13LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot10
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 2:25LACMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 2:35LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot10
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 2:57LACBrand Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)10
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)10
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 3:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
15.7%
17
84.3%
Q1 - 3:27LACMISS Piatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)8
14.4%
17
85.6%
Q1 - 3:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)6
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot6
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 3:59LACBrand Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)6
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)6
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 4:31LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)4
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 4:31LACBrand Tip Shot (6 PTS)4
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 4:33LACMISS Rooks Layup4
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 4:42LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
12.3%
15
87.7%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot4
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:00LACMiller 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rooks 1 AST)4
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)4
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 5:25LACPiatkowski Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 5:25LACMISS Piatkowski Free Throw 1 of 24
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHouse 24' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
15.8%
12
84.2%
Q1 - 5:57LACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)2
14.8%
12
85.2%
Q1 - 5:57LACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)2
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 6:19LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot2
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 6:29LACMISS Rooks 14' Jump Shot2
16.9%
10
83.1%
Q1 - 6:39LACPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot2
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 6:51LACMISS Miller 5' Jump Shot2
16.9%
10
83.1%
Q1 - 7:06LACJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 7:07LACMISS Jaric Layup2
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJaric STEAL (1 STL)2
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 7:25LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 7:25LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
17.9%
9
82.1%
Q1 - 7:36LACPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot2
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 7:51LACMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 7:51LACMiller 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:07LACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
22.3%
5
77.7%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot2
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 8:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot2
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 8:44LACPiatkowski Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)2
25.0%
3
75.0%
Q1 - 9:01LACPiatkowski Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 9:01LACMISS Piatkowski Free Throw 1 of 22
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:03MIAEly STEAL (1 STL)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:17MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 9:19LACMISS Jaric 22' Jump Shot2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 9:31MIABest 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 9:50LACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 9:52LACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 9:59LACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 10:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 10:22LACMISS Ely 10' Jump Shot0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:39LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 20
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 20
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:53LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:53LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
25.3%
1
74.7%
Q1 - 10:56LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:22LACBrand Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:29LACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Ely vs. Grant: Tip to Best0
27.6%
0
72.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.77 38.5%
LAC
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
5
19
26%
LAC
16
32
50%
Midrange
MIA
24
59
41%
LAC
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
LAC
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
MIA
10
23
43%
LAC
24
30
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Allen1246%6.0 / 13
E. House1255%6.0 / 11
B. Grant1161%5.5 / 9
T. Best1045%5.0 / 11
M. James1045%5.0 / 11
C. Butler827%4.0 / 15
E. Jones650%3.0 / 6
V. Stepania422%2.0 / 9
R. Butler440%2.0 / 5
A. Carter225%1.0 / 4
S. Lampley110%0.5 / 5
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Brand2563%12.5 / 20
E. Piatkowski1860%9.0 / 15
A. Miller1350%6.5 / 13
Q. Richardson831%4.0 / 13
K. Dooling739%3.5 / 9
S. Rooks643%3.0 / 7
M. Jaric536%2.5 / 7
M. Ely250%1.0 / 2
C. Wilcox2100%1.0 / 1
W. Zhi-zhi2100%1.0 / 1
C. Parks125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+27
-10
104
LAC
77
+14
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.77 38.5%
LAC
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
99.8
MIA 92.0
LAC 98.9 +6.9
Pace
90.0
93.7
MIA 88.9 +0.7
LAC 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.2
MIA 16.2 +0.1
LAC 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.7%
MIA 39.8%
LAC 43.9% +4.1%
TO %
14.8%
16.2%
MIA 10.1% +2.9%
LAC 13.0%
ORB %
26.8%
29.1%
MIA 33.3% +4.0%
LAC 29.3%
FTrt
25.9
33.5
MIA 26.1
LAC 40.5 +14.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.6%
MIA 63.6% +15.2%
LAC 48.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.4%
MIA 6.9% +1.3%
LAC 5.6%
BLK %
6.4%
8.3%
MIA 5.2%
LAC 7.7% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.1%
MIA 38.5%
LAC 48.9% +10.4%
Rim FG%
53.7%
56.4%
MIA 26.3%
LAC 50.0% +23.7%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.6%
MIA 40.7%
LAC 46.2% +5.5%
3P %
31.6%
33.1%
MIA 40.0% +21.2%
LAC 18.8%
FT %
76.5%
75.0%
MIA 43.5%
LAC 80.0% +36.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
36.7%
MIA 21.6%
LAC 43.2% +21.7%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
45.1%
MIA 67.0%
LAC 35.1% +31.9%
3P Att. %
16.9%
18.2%
MIA 11.4%
LAC 21.6% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions8790
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points8089
Rebounds4544
Assists2115
Steals65
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (11)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)32 (3)
Field Goals33-8831-74
At-the-Rim FG5-1916-32
Midrange FG24-5912-26
2-Point FG29-7828-58
3-Point FG4-103-16
Free Throws10-2324-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
34.0
11
61%
10
0
1
1
3
5
5
5
1-5
20%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
33.0
12
46%
6
0
1
2
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
26.7
8
27%
7
2
2
0
1
2
2
5
6-8
75%
1-11
9%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
24.4
6
50%
2
4
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
22.2
10
45%
2
3
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
25.8
10
45%
4
8
2
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
24.4
4
22%
11
1
0
0
0
2
5
6
2-8
25%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
16.6
12
55%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
14.1
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
7.3
2
25%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
7.0
1
10%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
39%
45
21
6
3
10
0
16
29
10-23
43%
29-78
37%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.