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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 7, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat16%8871
6SuperSonics84%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
31.1
30.4
5
28%
5
3
1
1
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
0-4
3-8
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.7
27.4
28.5
12
34%
9
3
2
1
2
1
5
4
2-2
100%
5-17
3-9
29%
41%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.4
24.9
26.2
2
26%
2
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
0-2
0%
1-3
4-10
33%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
24.8
32.0
2
33%
6
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.4
16.7
22.8
2
20%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
28.8
13.7
19
59%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
40%
3-5
60%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
26.5
23.6
12
36%
9
0
0
1
0
0
3
6
3-4
75%
3-10
2-4
30%
37%
1-5
20%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.6
20.3
19.5
14
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
40%
2-6
33%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.6
14.0
21.3
1
13%
8
0
1
1
1
2
6
2
1-4
25%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
10.6
10.6
2
53%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
10.1
7.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
4.8
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.4
37.2
40.3
18
66%
1
11
2
1
1
1
0
1
2-6
33%
8-11
8-16
73%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
36.0
37.1
13
51%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
5-9
6-11
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 30.9
29.5
34.8
11
53%
4
5
2
2
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
54%
2-3
67%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
23.6
23.5
10
50%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 22.6
20.6
13.4
5
73%
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
7
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 25.2
28.0
33.1
14
46%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
4-7
57%
5-11
5-11
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.0
24.9
25.6
19
80%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
46%
5-7
71%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.6
21.0
11.6
2
53%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 32.2
12.0
12.5
6
75%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.4
3.7
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Joseph Forte
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
3.5
0.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.