Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 8, 2002

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Kings	40%	95	104
	3	Spurs	60%	98	80

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	114.3	91	95.4
SAS	86.0	93	89.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-3

SAS

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 54.2%

SAS

0.99 49.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC		104 100%	80 0%
Q4 - 0:23.0	SAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0	SAS	MISS Bateer 1' Layup	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0	SAC	MISS Jackson 5' Running Jump Shot	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0	SAS	MISS Goldwire 16' Jump Shot	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:16	SAC	Divac Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	104 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:16	SAC	Divac Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	103 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:34	SAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	102 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:37	SAS	MISS Bateer 14' Jump Shot	102 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 1:49	SAC	Clark 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	102 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:12	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:14	SAS	MISS Ferry 15' Jump Shot	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:22	SAS	Bateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:25	SAC	MISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:43	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:45	SAS	MISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:55	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 2:56	SAC	MISS Webber 14' Jump Shot	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 3:14	SAS	Ferry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 3:34	SAS	Willis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 3:37	SAC	MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 3:56	SAS	Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	100 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 4:13	SAC	Webber 3' Finger Roll (23 PTS)	100 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 4:33	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)	98 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 4:36	SAS	MISS Willis 17' Jump Shot	98 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 4:49	SAC	Webber 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	98 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 5:06	SAS	Rose Layup (7 PTS)	96 99.8%	77 0.2%
Q4 - 5:07	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	96 99.8%	75 0.2%
Q4 - 5:11	SAS	MISS Kerr 23' Jump Shot	96 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 5:17	SAS	Rose Free Throw Clear Path (5 PTS)	96 99.8%	75 0.2%
Q4 - 5:20	SAS	Willis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	96 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 5:22	SAC	MISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot	96 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 5:46	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)	96 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 6:04	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)	96 99.8%	74 0.2%
Q4 - 6:06	SAC	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	96 99.8%	74 0.2%
Q4 - 6:28	SAS	Rose 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Kerr 2 AST)	96 99.8%	74 0.2%
Q4 - 6:32	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)	96 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 6:36	SAC	Ferry BLOCK (2 BLK)	96 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 6:55	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	96 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 6:57	SAS	MISS Rose 15' Jump Shot	96 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 7:13	SAC	Clark 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Christie 9 AST)	96 99.8%	72 0.2%
Q4 - 7:17	SAS	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)	94 99.7%	72 0.3%
Q4 - 7:32	SAC	Christie 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)	94 99.6%	72 0.4%
Q4 - 7:54	SAS	Ferry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	91 99.4%	72 0.6%
Q4 - 8:10	SAC	Webber 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	91 99.2%	70 0.8%
Q4 - 8:27	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)	89 99.0%	70 1.0%
Q4 - 8:30	SAS	MISS Kerr 26' 3PT Jump Shot	89 98.9%	70 1.1%
Q4 - 8:34	SAS	Kerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	89 98.7%	70 1.3%
Q4 - 8:37	SAC	Duncan BLOCK (4 BLK)	89 98.8%	70 1.2%
Q4 - 8:52	SAS	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)	89 99.0%	70 1.0%
Q4 - 9:10	SAC	Jackson 3' Layup (23 PTS) (Christie 8 AST)	89 98.3%	70 1.7%
Q4 - 9:15	SAS	Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)	87 97.9%	70 2.1%
Q4 - 9:32	SAC	Jackson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	87 97.3%	70 2.7%
Q4 - 9:43	SAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	87 97.9%	70 2.1%
Q4 - 9:45	SAS	MISS Willis 18' Jump Shot	87 97.8%	70 2.2%
Q4 - 10:07	SAC	Webber 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	87 96.6%	70 3.4%
Q4 - 10:35	SAS	Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	84 94.9%	70 5.1%
Q4 - 10:48	SAC	Jackson 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)	84 96.7%	67 3.3%
Q4 - 11:03	SAS	Willis 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)	82 95.2%	67 4.8%
Q4 - 11:21	SAC	Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Clark 3 AST)	82 96.1%	65 3.9%
Q4 - 11:40	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	79 94.1%	65 5.9%
Q4 - 11:41	SAS	MISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2	79 94.0%	65 6.0%
Q4 - 11:41	SAS	MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2	79 93.4%	65 6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC		79 92.8%	65 7.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	Kerr Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T16)	79 94.1%	65 5.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Willis Free Throw 1 of 2	79 93.2%	65 6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	Willis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	79 92.8%	65 7.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAS	MISS Parker 30' 3PT Jump Shot	79 92.6%	65 7.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0	SAC	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	79 91.6%	65 8.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0	SAC	MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2	78 91.3%	65 8.7%
Q3 - 0:16.0	SAS	Duncan 3' Layup (16 PTS)	78 91.6%	65 8.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0	SAC	Jackson 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Christie 7 AST)	78 93.1%	63 6.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0	SAS	Jackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)	76 91.7%	63 8.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0	SAC	Jackson 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	76 90.0%	63 10.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	74 88.0%	63 12.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0	SAC	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	74 86.4%	63 13.6%
Q3 - 1:12	SAS	Bowen 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)	74 86.5%	63 13.5%
Q3 - 1:31	SAC	Jackson 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	74 88.6%	61 11.4%
Q3 - 1:59	SAS	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)	72 86.6%	61 13.4%
Q3 - 2:13	SAC	Webber 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	72 82.2%	61 17.8%
Q3 - 2:39	SAS	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)	70 79.7%	61 20.3%
Q3 - 2:54	SAC	Jackson 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	70 84.9%	58 15.1%
Q3 - 3:10	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	68 81.4%	58 18.6%
Q3 - 3:13	SAS	MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot	68 80.5%	58 19.5%
Q3 - 3:36	SAC	Divac 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)	68 78.4%	58 21.6%
Q3 - 3:47	SAS	Willis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	66 75.4%	58 24.6%
Q3 - 3:47	SAS	Willis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	66 76.2%	57 23.8%
Q3 - 4:02	SAC	Jackson Foul Turnover (P2.T2)	66 76.7%	56 23.3%
Q3 - 4:11	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	66 80.2%	56 19.8%
Q3 - 4:15	SAS	MISS Robinson 3' Layup	66 79.2%	56 20.8%
Q3 - 4:17	SAS	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	66 76.8%	56 23.2%
Q3 - 4:20	SAS	MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot	66 79.2%	56 20.8%
Q3 - 4:32	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)	66 76.9%	56 23.1%
Q3 - 4:34	SAC	Duncan BLOCK (3 BLK)	66 78.0%	56 22.0%
Q3 - 4:49	SAS	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)	66 80.3%	56 19.7%
Q3 - 5:09	SAC	Webber 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)	66 83.8%	53 16.2%
Q3 - 5:29	SAS	Smith Foul Turnover (P2.T13)	64 81.7%	53 18.3%
Q3 - 5:38	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	64 78.8%	53 21.2%
Q3 - 5:40	SAC	MISS Divac 4' Hook Shot	64 79.7%	53 20.3%
Q3 - 5:58	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	64 81.7%	53 18.3%
Q3 - 6:00	SAS	MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot	64 80.9%	53 19.1%
Q3 - 6:20	SAS	SPURS Rebound	64 77.5%	53 22.5%
Q3 - 6:21	SAC	MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot	64 78.4%	53 21.6%
Q3 - 6:43	SAS	Duncan 2' Layup (14 PTS)	64 80.4%	53 19.6%
Q3 - 6:52	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	64 82.6%	51 17.4%
Q3 - 6:54	SAC	MISS Clark 14' Jump Shot	64 83.4%	51 16.6%
Q3 - 7:13	SAS	Jackson 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)	64 83.8%	51 16.2%
Q3 - 7:33	SAS	Smith Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)	64 85.6%	49 14.4%
Q3 - 7:34	SAC	Christie 1' Layup (13 PTS)	64 87.4%	48 12.6%
Q3 - 7:39	SAS	Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)	62 85.9%	48 14.1%
Q3 - 7:42	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	62 83.6%	48 16.4%
Q3 - 7:45	SAC	MISS Christie 20' Jump Shot	62 84.3%	48 15.7%
Q3 - 8:00	SAS	Parker 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	62 85.9%	48 14.1%
Q3 - 8:19	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	62 86.8%	46 13.2%
Q3 - 8:21	SAC	MISS Divac 17' Jump Shot	62 87.4%	46 12.6%
Q3 - 8:31	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	62 88.6%	46 11.4%
Q3 - 8:33	SAS	MISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot	62 88.1%	46 11.9%
Q3 - 8:51	SAC	Christie 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	62 86.8%	46 13.2%
Q3 - 9:09	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	60 83.9%	46 16.1%
Q3 - 9:10	SAS	MISS Bowen 3' Driving Layup	60 83.3%	46 16.7%
Q3 - 9:24	SAC	Divac 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Christie 6 AST)	60 81.8%	46 18.2%
Q3 - 9:40	SAS	Duncan 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	58 79.7%	46 20.3%
Q3 - 9:52	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	58 81.9%	44 18.1%
Q3 - 9:54	SAC	MISS Christie 25' 3PT Jump Shot	58 82.6%	44 17.4%
Q3 - 9:56	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	58 84.0%	44 16.0%
Q3 - 10:00	SAC	MISS Divac 13' Jump Shot	58 82.6%	44 17.4%
Q3 - 10:23	SAS	Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)	58 83.0%	44 17.0%
Q3 - 10:45	SAC	Jackson 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Christie 5 AST)	58 80.7%	44 19.3%
Q3 - 10:48	SAS	Bowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	56 78.7%	44 21.3%
Q3 - 11:05	SAC	Jackson 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	56 75.0%	44 25.0%
Q3 - 11:10	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 72.4%	44 27.6%
Q3 - 11:12	SAS	MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot	54 71.5%	44 28.5%
Q3 - 11:30	SAC	Christie 1' Dunk (9 PTS)	54 69.5%	44 30.5%
Q3 - 11:34	SAS	Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)	52 66.6%	44 33.4%
Q3 - 11:45	SAC	Jackson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	52 63.3%	44 36.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC		50 60.3%	44 39.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Christie Free Throw Technical	50 60.3%	44 39.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	50 60.3%	44 39.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAS	MISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot	50 58.1%	44 41.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0	SAC	Jackson 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Christie 4 AST)	50 56.6%	44 43.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	48 52.3%	44 47.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0	SAS	MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot	48 51.6%	44 48.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	48 49.9%	44 50.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0	SAC	MISS Webber 22' Jump Shot	48 50.7%	44 49.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0	SAS	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	48 52.3%	44 47.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0	SAS	MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2	48 53.2%	43 46.8%
Q2 - 1:21	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	48 53.1%	43 46.9%
Q2 - 1:24	SAC	MISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot	48 53.7%	43 46.3%
Q2 - 1:48	SAS	Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	48 54.8%	43 45.2%
Q2 - 1:54	SAS	Ferry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 62.6%	40 37.4%
Q2 - 1:57	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	48 64.2%	40 35.8%
Q2 - 1:57	SAC	Ferry BLOCK (1 BLK)	48 63.1%	40 36.9%
Q2 - 2:00	SAC	MISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot	48 63.1%	40 36.9%
Q2 - 2:17	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	48 63.8%	40 36.2%
Q2 - 2:17	SAS	Rose Layup (2 PTS)	48 63.8%	40 36.2%
Q2 - 2:19	SAS	MISS Rose 2' Layup	48 68.6%	38 31.4%
Q2 - 2:21	SAS	Rose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	48 66.9%	38 33.1%
Q2 - 2:23	SAS	MISS Parker 2' Layup	48 68.6%	38 31.4%
Q2 - 2:40	SAC	Jackson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)	48 66.9%	38 33.1%
Q2 - 2:45	SAS	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	46 63.8%	38 36.2%
Q2 - 2:58	SAC	Jackson 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)	46 61.2%	38 38.8%
Q2 - 3:11	SAS	Parker 2' Layup (4 PTS)	44 57.1%	38 42.9%
Q2 - 3:20	SAC	Webber 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)	44 59.7%	36 40.3%
Q2 - 3:23	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	42 57.1%	36 42.9%
Q2 - 3:24	SAS	MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot	42 56.1%	36 43.9%
Q2 - 3:49	SAS	SPURS Rebound	42 53.9%	36 46.1%
Q2 - 3:49	SAC	MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot	42 54.9%	36 45.1%
Q2 - 4:02	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	42 56.0%	36 44.0%
Q2 - 4:06	SAS	MISS Bowen 9' Running Jump Shot	42 55.1%	36 44.9%
Q2 - 4:22	SAC	Divac 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	42 53.2%	36 46.8%
Q2 - 4:37	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	40 50.3%	36 49.7%
Q2 - 4:39	SAS	MISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot	40 49.4%	36 50.6%
Q2 - 4:57	SAC	Divac 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	40 47.4%	36 52.6%
Q2 - 5:18	SAS	Willis 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)	38 44.4%	36 55.6%
Q2 - 5:23	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 47.0%	34 53.0%
Q2 - 5:26	SAC	Robinson BLOCK (3 BLK)	38 47.9%	34 52.1%
Q2 - 5:44	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	38 50.1%	34 49.9%
Q2 - 5:44	SAS	Robinson 1' Layup (4 PTS)	38 50.1%	34 49.9%
Q2 - 5:47	SAS	MISS Willis 3' Reverse Layup	38 54.8%	32 45.2%
Q2 - 5:56	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 52.7%	32 47.3%
Q2 - 5:58	SAC	MISS Clark 14' Jump Shot	38 53.6%	32 46.4%
Q2 - 6:06	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 55.3%	32 44.7%
Q2 - 6:11	SAS	MISS Willis 5' Jump Hook Shot	38 54.3%	32 45.7%
Q2 - 6:23	SAC	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	38 52.0%	32 48.0%
Q2 - 6:23	SAC	Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	37 51.6%	32 48.4%
Q2 - 6:44	SAS	Smith 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	36 49.9%	32 50.1%
Q2 - 7:05	SAC	Divac 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	36 54.2%	29 45.8%
Q2 - 7:20	SAS	Jump Ball Jackson vs. Wallace: Tip to Jackson	34 51.8%	29 48.2%
Q2 - 7:41	SAC	Jackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	34 49.0%	29 51.0%
Q2 - 7:57	SAS	Kerr Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	32 46.6%	29 53.4%
Q2 - 8:18	SAC	Jackson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Clark 2 AST)	32 43.4%	29 56.6%
Q2 - 8:21	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 41.2%	29 58.8%
Q2 - 8:23	SAS	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	30 40.3%	29 59.7%
Q2 - 8:32	SAS	Willis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	30 38.4%	29 61.6%
Q2 - 8:35	SAC	Robinson BLOCK (2 BLK)	30 39.2%	29 60.8%
Q2 - 8:51	SAS	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	30 41.2%	29 58.8%
Q2 - 8:55	SAS	Kerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 38.4%	29 61.6%
Q2 - 8:58	SAC	MISS Jones 12' Fadeaway Jumper	30 39.2%	29 60.8%
Q2 - 9:17	SAS	Willis 2' Dunk (8 PTS)	30 40.9%	29 59.1%
Q2 - 9:18	SAS	Willis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	30 43.1%	27 56.9%
Q2 - 9:20	SAS	MISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot	30 45.0%	27 55.0%
Q2 - 9:29	SAC	Christie Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	30 43.1%	27 56.9%
Q2 - 9:33	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	29 40.6%	27 59.4%
Q2 - 9:35	SAC	MISS Webber 19' Jump Shot	29 41.4%	27 58.6%
Q2 - 9:48	SAC	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 43.4%	27 56.6%
Q2 - 9:50	SAS	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	29 42.5%	27 57.5%
Q2 - 10:11	SAC	Webber 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	29 40.5%	27 59.5%
Q2 - 10:30	SAS	Jackson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	27 38.4%	27 61.6%
Q2 - 10:51	SAC	Jones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	27 40.5%	25 59.5%
Q2 - 11:06	SAS	Kerr 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	25 37.9%	25 62.1%
Q2 - 11:19	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	25 42.6%	22 57.4%
Q2 - 11:21	SAC	MISS Webber 1' Layup	25 43.3%	22 56.7%
Q2 - 11:26	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	25 45.0%	22 55.0%
Q2 - 11:28	SAS	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 44.3%	22 55.7%
Q2 - 11:47	SAC	Webber Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	25 42.6%	22 57.4%
Q2 - 11:47	SAC	Webber Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	24 41.9%	22 58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC		23 40.3%	22 59.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	23 40.3%	22 59.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Clark 57' 3PT Jump Shot	23 38.7%	22 61.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	23 40.3%	22 59.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Duncan 45' 3PT Running Jump Shot	23 39.6%	22 60.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	23 38.0%	22 62.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0	SAC	MISS Christie 17' Jump Shot	23 38.5%	22 61.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	23 39.7%	22 60.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0	SAS	MISS Willis Free Throw 2 of 2	23 39.5%	22 60.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0	SAS	Willis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	23 38.1%	22 61.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	23 40.3%	21 59.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0	SAC	Webber 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	23 40.3%	21 59.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0	SAC	MISS Webber 2' Layup	21 36.3%	21 63.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0	SAS	Willis 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	21 37.5%	21 62.5%
Q1 - 1:08	SAC	Jones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)	21 40.3%	19 59.7%
Q1 - 1:21	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 37.5%	19 62.5%
Q1 - 1:23	SAS	MISS Willis 10' Jump Shot	19 37.0%	19 63.0%
Q1 - 1:38	SAC	Jackson 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	19 35.8%	19 64.2%
Q1 - 1:52	SAS	Willis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	17 33.2%	19 66.8%
Q1 - 1:52	SAS	Willis 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	17 35.3%	18 64.7%
Q1 - 2:02	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	17 37.9%	16 62.1%
Q1 - 2:04	SAC	MISS Webber 19' Jump Shot	17 38.5%	16 61.5%
Q1 - 2:17	SAS	SPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)	17 40.0%	16 60.0%
Q1 - 2:19	SAS	Willis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	17 37.9%	16 62.1%
Q1 - 2:19	SAS	MISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot	17 39.4%	16 60.6%
Q1 - 2:43	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	17 37.9%	16 62.1%
Q1 - 2:46	SAC	MISS Webber 15' Jump Shot	17 38.5%	16 61.5%
Q1 - 2:57	SAC	Kings Rebound	17 40.0%	16 60.0%
Q1 - 2:58	SAS	MISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot	17 39.4%	16 60.6%
Q1 - 3:18	SAC	Divac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	17 37.5%	16 62.5%
Q1 - 3:37	SAS	Duncan 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	15 35.6%	16 64.4%
Q1 - 3:59	SAC	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	15 37.5%	14 62.5%
Q1 - 4:05	SAS	Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)	12 33.6%	14 66.4%
Q1 - 4:17	SAC	Christie 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	12 31.2%	14 68.8%
Q1 - 4:20	SAC	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 29.7%	14 70.3%
Q1 - 4:22	SAS	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	10 29.1%	14 70.9%
Q1 - 4:41	SAC	Jackson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 27.6%	14 72.4%
Q1 - 4:49	SAS	Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	8 26.2%	14 73.8%
Q1 - 5:06	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	8 24.6%	14 75.4%
Q1 - 5:08	SAC	MISS Christie 17' Jump Shot	8 25.1%	14 74.9%
Q1 - 5:26	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 26.3%	14 73.7%
Q1 - 5:28	SAS	MISS Parker 3' Layup	8 25.8%	14 74.2%
Q1 - 5:34	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 24.5%	14 75.5%
Q1 - 5:38	SAC	Duncan BLOCK (2 BLK)	8 25.1%	14 74.9%
Q1 - 5:57	SAS	Parker 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	8 26.3%	14 73.7%
Q1 - 6:05	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 28.0%	12 72.0%
Q1 - 6:07	SAC	MISS Webber 2' Reverse Layup	8 28.5%	12 71.5%
Q1 - 6:25	SAS	Duncan 3' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)	8 29.7%	12 70.3%
Q1 - 6:45	SAC	Divac 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 31.4%	10 68.6%
Q1 - 7:01	SAS	Duncan 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	6 30.0%	10 70.0%
Q1 - 7:07	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 31.4%	8 68.6%
Q1 - 7:12	SAC	Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK)	6 32.0%	8 68.0%
Q1 - 7:24	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 33.3%	8 66.7%
Q1 - 7:26	SAS	MISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot	6 32.7%	8 67.3%
Q1 - 7:45	SAC	Christie 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	6 31.4%	8 68.6%
Q1 - 8:02	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	4 30.0%	8 70.0%
Q1 - 8:02	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	4 30.4%	7 69.6%
Q1 - 8:12	SAS	SPURS Rebound	4 31.5%	6 68.5%
Q1 - 8:13	SAC	Robinson BLOCK (1 BLK)	4 32.0%	6 68.0%
Q1 - 8:29	SAC	Kings Rebound	4 33.3%	6 66.7%
Q1 - 8:29	SAS	MISS Parker 2' Layup	4 32.8%	6 67.2%
Q1 - 8:33	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 31.5%	6 68.5%
Q1 - 8:36	SAC	MISS Christie 23' Jump Shot	4 32.0%	6 68.0%
Q1 - 8:53	SAS	Smith 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	4 33.3%	6 66.7%
Q1 - 9:03	SAC	Jackson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	4 34.5%	4 65.5%
Q1 - 9:11	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 36.7%	4 63.3%
Q1 - 9:13	SAS	MISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot	4 36.0%	4 64.0%
Q1 - 9:21	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 34.5%	4 65.5%
Q1 - 9:23	SAC	MISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot	4 35.2%	4 64.8%
Q1 - 9:40	SAC	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 36.7%	4 63.3%
Q1 - 9:42	SAS	MISS Robinson 7' Jump Shot	4 36.0%	4 64.0%
Q1 - 10:00	SAC	Webber 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)	4 34.5%	4 65.5%
Q1 - 10:08	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 33.1%	4 66.9%
Q1 - 10:12	SAS	MISS Robinson 3' Jump Hook Shot	2 32.5%	4 67.5%
Q1 - 10:24	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 31.2%	4 68.8%
Q1 - 10:27	SAC	MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot	2 31.8%	4 68.2%
Q1 - 10:44	SAS	Robinson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	2 33.1%	4 66.9%
Q1 - 10:57	SAC	Christie 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	2 34.5%	2 65.5%
Q1 - 11:09	SAS	Robinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 32.9%	2 67.1%
Q1 - 11:12	SAS	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 31.4%	2 68.6%
Q1 - 11:14	SAC	MISS Webber 13' Jump Shot	0 31.9%	2 68.1%
Q1 - 11:38	SAS	Duncan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	0 32.9%	2 67.1%
Q1 - 12:00	SAS	Jump Ball Robinson vs. Divac: Tip to Smith	0 34.7%	0 65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 54.2%

SAS

0.99 49.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

58%

SAS

63%

Midrange

SAC

51%

SAS

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

6.0

40%

60%

SAS

10.5

39%

58%

Free Throws

SAC

80%

SAS

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Webber	23	50%	11.5 / 23
J. Jackson	23	77%	11.5 / 15
B. Jackson	18	53%	9.0 / 17
D. Christie	16	62%	8.0 / 13
V. Divac	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Clark	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Jones	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Wallace	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Jackson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Willis	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Rose	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Parker	6	27%	3.0 / 11
S. Smith	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Bowen	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Robinson	4	25%	2.0 / 8
S. Kerr	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Ferry	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Bateer	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Goldwire	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-3

SAS

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 54.2%

SAS

0.99 49.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	103.5 102.7	SAC 114.3 SAS 86.0 +28.3
Pace	97.6 92.6	SAC 95.4 +6.2 SAS 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time	14.3 15.6	SAC 15.1 +1.1 SAS 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.9% 49.7%	SAC 54.5% +6.5% SAS 48.0%
TO %	14.5% 16.5%	SAC 3.1% +17.7% SAS 20.8%
ORB %	25.6% 28.8%	SAC 10.5% SAS 20.0% +9.5%
FTrt	26.2 34.8	SAC 11.4 SAS 18.9 +7.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.7% 56.3%	SAC 56.5% +15.9% SAS 40.6%
STL %	9.1% 8.3%	SAC 15.4% +15.4% SAS 0.0%
BLK %	7.7% 9.3%	SAC 10.7% SAS 11.5% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.3% 51.4%	SAC 54.2% +4.8% SAS 49.4%
Rim FG%	61.6% 59.3%	SAC 57.6% SAS 63.0% +5.4%
Mid FG%	39.3% 38.8%	SAC 51.1% +23.5% SAS 27.6%
3P %	38.1% 35.4%	SAC 40.0% +1.1% SAS 38.9%
FT %	74.6% 72.5%	SAC 80.0% +15.7% SAS 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.8% 39.3%	SAC 37.5% +1.0% SAS 36.5%
Mid Att. %	48.8% 40.6%	SAC 51.1% SAS 39.2% +11.9%
3P Att. %	18.4% 20.2%	SAC 11.4% SAS 24.3% +13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	91	93
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.0
Points	104	80
Rebounds	36	42
Assists	26	13
Steals	14	0
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	3 (0)	20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	34 (3)
Field Goals	46-88	32-74
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	17-27
Midrange FG	23-45	8-29
2-Point FG	42-78	25-56
3-Point FG	4-10	7-18
Free Throws	8-10	9-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 33	41.0	16	62%	3	9	8	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Chris Webber F · 6'10" 245 · 30	34.8	23	50%	13	3	0	1	0	2	1	12	2-2	100%	9-21	43%	1-1	100%
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 35	33.2	16	73%	3	1	0	2	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 30	32.3	18	53%	2	3	2	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 20	21.0	0	0%	2	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jim Jackson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32	32.6	23	77%	4	3	0	0	1	4	2	2	2-2	100%	9-13	69%	1-1	100%
Keon Clark C-F · 6'11" 221 · 28	28.1	4	29%	5	3	0	3	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Damon Jones G · 6'3" 195 · 26	17.1	4	50%	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 25
Lawrence Funderburke F · 6'9" 230 · 32
Scot Pollard C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28
Mateen Cleaves G · 6'2" 210 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	36	26	14	6	3	0	4	32	8-10	80%	42-78	54%	4-10	40%

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2 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 33	41.0	16	62%	3	9	8	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Chris Webber F · 6'10" 245 · 30	34.8	23	50%	13	3	0	1	0	2	1	12	2-2	100%	9-21	43%	1-1	100%
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 35	33.2	16	73%	3	1	0	2	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 30	32.3	18	53%	2	3	2	0	2	4	0	2	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 20	21.0	0	0%	2	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jim Jackson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32	32.6	23	77%	4	3	0	0	1	4	2	2	2-2	100%	9-13	69%	1-1	100%
Keon Clark C-F · 6'11" 221 · 28	28.1	4	29%	5	3	0	3	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Damon Jones G · 6'3" 195 · 26	17.1	4	50%	4	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 25
Lawrence Funderburke F · 6'9" 230 · 32
Scot Pollard C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28
Mateen Cleaves G · 6'2" 210 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	36	26	14	6	3	0	4	32	8-10	80%	42-78	54%	4-10	40%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 27	37.9	16	67%	13	3	0	4	6	3	0	13	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 21	30.1	6	27%	3	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 31	27.6	5	50%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Steven Smith G · 6'8" 221 · 34	23.8	6	60%	1	2	0	0	2	2	1	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
David Robinson C · 7'1" 250 · 37	23.8	4	25%	7	0	0	3	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25	24.6	14	64%	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Steve Kerr G · 6'1" 180 · 37	20.3	3	38%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Kevin Willis C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40	19.1	14	54%	6	0	0	0	1	3	3	3	4-6	67%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Danny Ferry F · 6'10" 235 · 36	14.1	2	50%	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Malik Rose F · 6'7" 255 · 28	11.7	10	83%	6	0	0	0	0	1	3	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Mengke Bateer C · 6'11" 290 · 27	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Goldwire G · 6'2" 182 · 31	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	49%	42	13	0	9	20	0	8	34	9-14	64%	25-56	45%	7-18	39%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE