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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 8, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz35%97101
4Lakers65%102110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
39.4
32.5
24
63%
6
2
1
1
0
5
2
4
4-5
80%
10-16
5-11
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.4
38.4
32.4
11
30%
8
3
1
2
1
2
2
6
5-5
100%
3-16
6-14
19%
43%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.7
31.0
25.3
13
55%
0
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.4
17.8
26.4
2
25%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.8
2.0
22.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
36.2
26.1
30
91%
8
2
0
1
1
3
1
7
10-10
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
4-4
100%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.0
21.6
5.2
4
41%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
39%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
21.0
16.1
6
50%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.7
17.0
16.9
4
52%
1
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.0
13.6
19.7
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.7
2.0
6.4
4
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.4
7.0
0
1-2
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.8
40.6
36.7
32
68%
11
3
3
1
3
6
4
7
6-10
60%
13-19
10-18
68%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.3
38.7
40.0
25
57%
4
14
5
2
0
5
0
4
7-9
78%
9-17
8-18
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
25.7
30.8
11
56%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.3
22.1
30.0
13
77%
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
6-7
2-6
86%
41%
0-1
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 26.8
20.6
8.7
4
43%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
4-6
67%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.3
31.8
28.0
7
39%
7
2
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.7
27.4
16.7
11
62%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
1-3
33%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
22.3
17.2
4
33%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
7.8
7.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.4
3.0
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.7
12.7
0
2-5
46%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.9
7.3
0
1-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.