Final Win Prob. pScore
2537%91
107
2663%95
96
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
121.68891.0
MIA logo Heat
109.18886.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM107
96
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHouse Driving Layup (15 PTS) (James 2 AST)107
96
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)107
94
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2107
94
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)107
94
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.PN)106
94
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)106
94
Q4 - 0:35.0MEMWright S.FOUL (P1.T4)106
93
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)106
93
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)106
91
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound105
91
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 2105
91
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)105
91
Q4 - 0:50.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
91
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
91
Q4 - 1:03MEMKnight Driving Layup (6 PTS)105
91
Q4 - 1:22MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
91
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot103
91
Q4 - 1:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)103
91
Q4 - 1:28MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)103
91
Q4 - 1:28MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)102
91
Q4 - 1:28MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)101
91
Q4 - 1:32MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)101
91
Q4 - 1:48MEMPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)101
91
Q4 - 2:11MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)98
91
Q4 - 2:15MEMGooden P.FOUL (P1.T3)98
91
Q4 - 2:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
91
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 198
91
Q4 - 2:20MEMKnight S.FOUL (P5.T2)98
91
Q4 - 2:20MIAJames Layup (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)98
91
Q4 - 2:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
89
Q4 - 2:26MEMMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 2:43MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (33 PTS)98
89
Q4 - 2:57MIASUB: James FOR Allen98
87
Q4 - 2:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)98
87
Q4 - 3:11MEMGooden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)98
87
Q4 - 3:31MIASUB: Butler FOR James95
87
Q4 - 3:31MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)95
87
Q4 - 3:35MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Grant 5 AST)95
87
Q4 - 3:48MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Knight 14 AST)95
84
Q4 - 4:10MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
84
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
84
Q4 - 4:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
84
Q4 - 4:25MEMMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot93
84
Q4 - 4:43MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
84
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS House Driving Layup93
84
Q4 - 4:58MEMGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
84
Q4 - 4:58MEMGrizzlies Rebound92
84
Q4 - 4:58MEMMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 292
84
Q4 - 4:58MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
84
Q4 - 5:08MEMGrizzlies Rebound92
84
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
84
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound92
84
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup92
84
Q4 - 5:23MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania92
84
Q4 - 5:2392
84
Q4 - 5:37MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Person 3 AST)92
84
Q4 - 5:56MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)90
84
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
84
Q4 - 6:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)90
84
Q4 - 6:20MEMGooden 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
84
Q4 - 6:37MIASUB: James FOR Best88
84
Q4 - 6:37MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)88
84
Q4 - 6:37MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
84
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
84
Q4 - 7:06MEMWright Layup (15 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)88
84
Q4 - 7:28MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
84
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
84
Q4 - 7:50MEMGooden 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Knight 13 AST)86
84
Q4 - 8:08MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)84
84
Q4 - 8:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)84
82
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot84
82
Q4 - 8:31MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant84
82
Q4 - 8:31MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler84
82
Q4 - 8:31MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)84
82
Q4 - 8:34MEMKnight 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Person 2 AST)84
82
Q4 - 8:45MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
82
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
82
Q4 - 9:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
82
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot82
82
Q4 - 9:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
82
Q4 - 9:34MEMMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 182
82
Q4 - 9:34MIABest S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
82
Q4 - 9:34MEMGooden Layup (17 PTS) (Knight 12 AST)82
82
Q4 - 9:38MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
82
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot80
82
Q4 - 9:59MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
82
Q4 - 9:59MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
82
Q4 - 9:59MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T2)78
82
Q4 - 10:18MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
82
Q4 - 10:18MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
81
Q4 - 10:18MIASUB: Stepania FOR Jones78
80
Q4 - 10:18MEMGasol S.FOUL (P2.T1)78
80
Q4 - 10:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)78
80
Q4 - 10:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
80
Q4 - 10:24MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot78
80
Q4 - 10:27MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot78
80
Q4 - 10:52MIAButler Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)78
80
Q4 - 10:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
78
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot78
78
Q4 - 11:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)78
78
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
78
Q4 - 11:39MEMGasol Dunk (17 PTS) (Knight 11 AST)78
78
Q4 - 11:50MIABest P.FOUL (P2.T1)76
78
Q4 - 12:0076
78
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM76
78
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound76
78
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot76
78
Q3 - 0:06.0MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T4)76
78
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
78
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
76
Q3 - 0:39.0MEMMISS Watson 22' Jump Shot76
76
Q3 - 1:05MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)76
76
Q3 - 1:27MEMGiricek Foul Turnover (P1.T9)76
73
Q3 - 1:27MEMGiricek OFF.Foul (P3)76
73
Q3 - 1:40MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)76
73
Q3 - 1:54MEMSUB: Wright FOR Gasol76
71
Q3 - 1:54MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)76
71
Q3 - 1:55MIAHEAT Rebound76
71
Q3 - 1:57MEMMISS Watson 15' Jump Shot76
71
Q3 - 2:21MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)76
71
Q3 - 2:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)76
69
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
69
Q3 - 2:50MEMGiricek 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
69
Q3 - 3:10MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)74
69
Q3 - 3:32MEMWatson Driving Layup (3 PTS)74
67
Q3 - 3:46MIAJones Driving Layup (26 PTS)72
67
Q3 - 3:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)72
65
Q3 - 3:59MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
65
Q3 - 3:59MEMMISS Swift Tip Shot72
65
Q3 - 4:01MEMMISS Batiste Layup72
65
Q3 - 4:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
65
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot72
65
Q3 - 4:20MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
65
Q3 - 4:20MIASUB: House FOR Allen71
65
Q3 - 4:20MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
65
Q3 - 4:20MIAAllen S.FOUL (P4.T3)70
65
Q3 - 4:35MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)70
65
Q3 - 4:35MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)70
64
Q3 - 4:35MEMGiricek S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
63
Q3 - 4:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
63
Q3 - 4:47MEMMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot70
63
Q3 - 5:00MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)70
63
Q3 - 5:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
63
Q3 - 5:09MEMMISS Swift 6' Running Hook Shot70
63
Q3 - 5:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
63
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 270
63
Q3 - 5:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
63
Q3 - 5:22MEMSUB: Giricek FOR Person70
62
Q3 - 5:22MEMPerson S.FOUL (P3.T4)70
62
Q3 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
62
Q3 - 5:28MEMMISS Batiste 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
62
Q3 - 5:44MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
62
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Best Driving Layup70
62
Q3 - 5:50MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
62
Q3 - 5:52MEMMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot70
62
Q3 - 5:58MEMSUB: Swift FOR Wright70
62
Q3 - 5:58MIASUB: Best FOR Carter70
62
Q3 - 5:58MEMSUB: Batiste FOR Gooden70
62
Q3 - 6:17MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)70
62
Q3 - 6:43MEMPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)70
62
Q3 - 6:55MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)67
62
Q3 - 6:55MEMGrizzlies Rebound67
62
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Hook Shot67
62
Q3 - 7:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
62
Q3 - 7:04MEMMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot67
62
Q3 - 7:33MIACarter Driving Dunk (9 PTS)67
62
Q3 - 7:35MEMCarter STEAL (1 STL)67
60
Q3 - 7:42MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
60
Q3 - 7:42MIAHEAT Rebound67
59
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 267
59
Q3 - 7:42MEMSUB: Watson FOR Knight67
59
Q3 - 7:42MEMKnight S.FOUL (P4.T3)67
59
Q3 - 7:46MIAHEAT Rebound67
59
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup67
59
Q3 - 7:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
59
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot67
59
Q3 - 8:02MEMKnight P.FOUL (P3.T2)67
59
Q3 - 8:11MEMPerson P.FOUL (P2.T1)67
59
Q3 - 8:25MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)67
59
Q3 - 8:45MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)65
59
Q3 - 8:54MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)65
56
Q3 - 8:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
56
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup65
56
Q3 - 9:05MEMPerson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)65
56
Q3 - 9:18MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)65
56
Q3 - 9:39MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)65
53
Q3 - 9:42MEMGasol 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Person 1 AST)65
53
Q3 - 9:55MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
53
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot63
53
Q3 - 10:16MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)63
53
Q3 - 10:16MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.T1)62
53
Q3 - 10:16MEMWright Layup (12 PTS) (Knight 10 AST)62
53
Q3 - 10:31MIAAllen Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)60
53
Q3 - 10:56MEMGooden 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)60
51
Q3 - 11:11MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
51
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot58
51
Q3 - 11:32MEMPerson Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)58
51
Q3 - 11:3257
51
Q3 - 11:32MEMPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Knight 9 AST)57
51
Q3 - 11:37MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
51
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup54
51
Q3 - 12:0054
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Knight 14' Running Jump Shot54
51
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAJones Layup (15 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
51
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
49
Q2 - 0:13.0MEMMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot54
49
Q2 - 0:32.0MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
49
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot54
49
Q2 - 0:52.0MEMAllen STEAL (2 STL)54
49
Q2 - 1:00MEMSUB: Batiste FOR Gooden54
49
Q2 - 1:00MIASUB: House FOR Butler54
49
Q2 - 1:00MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)54
49
Q2 - 1:11MIAButler Running Dunk (6 PTS)54
49
Q2 - 1:14MEMButler STEAL (1 STL)54
47
Q2 - 1:28MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
47
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot54
47
Q2 - 1:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
47
Q2 - 1:41MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot54
47
Q2 - 2:04MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
47
Q2 - 2:18MEMGasol 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
45
Q2 - 2:41MIACarter 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
45
Q2 - 2:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
43
Q2 - 2:49MEMMISS Person 15' Jump Shot52
43
Q2 - 3:04MIASUB: Carter FOR James52
43
Q2 - 3:04MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)52
43
Q2 - 3:11MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)52
43
Q2 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
41
Q2 - 3:24MEMMISS Knight Driving Layup52
41
Q2 - 3:36MIAJones Dunk (11 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)52
41
Q2 - 3:51MEMGooden 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)52
39
Q2 - 4:10MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
39
Q2 - 4:27MEMPerson P.FOUL (P1.T3)50
37
Q2 - 4:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
37
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot50
37
Q2 - 4:52MIASUB: Jones FOR House50
37
Q2 - 4:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)50
37
Q2 - 4:59MEMGooden 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)50
37
Q2 - 5:03MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
37
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot48
37
Q2 - 5:22MEMPerson 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)48
37
Q2 - 5:28MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T5)46
37
Q2 - 5:28MIAButler OFF.Foul (P1)46
37
Q2 - 5:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
37
Q2 - 5:39MEMMISS Person 18' Jump Shot46
37
Q2 - 5:55MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)46
37
Q2 - 6:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)46
35
Q2 - 6:14MEMWright 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS)46
35
Q2 - 6:34MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis44
35
Q2 - 6:34MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Swift44
35
Q2 - 6:34MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)44
35
Q2 - 6:34MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)44
35
Q2 - 6:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
35
Q2 - 6:47MEMMISS Person 18' Jump Shot44
35
Q2 - 7:01MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
35
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Grant Layup44
35
Q2 - 7:27MEMPerson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)44
35
Q2 - 7:44MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
35
Q2 - 8:00MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)42
33
Q2 - 8:14MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)40
33
Q2 - 8:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
31
Q2 - 8:33MEMMISS Swift 7' Running Jump Shot40
31
Q2 - 8:4940
31
Q2 - 8:49MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)40
31
Q2 - 9:13MEMGooden 12' Hook Shot (9 PTS)40
31
Q2 - 9:31MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
31
Q2 - 9:43MEMKnight P.FOUL (P2.T2)38
29
Q2 - 9:51MEMGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
29
Q2 - 9:51MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania37
29
Q2 - 9:51MEMGrizzlies Rebound37
29
Q2 - 9:51MEMMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 237
29
Q2 - 9:51MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones37
29
Q2 - 9:51MIAStepania S.FOUL (P3.T1)37
29
Q2 - 10:03MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)37
29
Q2 - 10:11MEMJames STEAL (1 STL)37
29
Q2 - 10:20MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
29
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot37
29
Q2 - 10:38MIAHEAT Rebound37
29
Q2 - 10:40MEMMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot37
29
Q2 - 10:50MEMSUB: Person FOR Giricek37
29
Q2 - 10:50MEMSUB: Gooden FOR Batiste37
29
Q2 - 11:07MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
29
Q2 - 11:17MIASUB: House FOR Butler37
27
Q2 - 11:17MEMKnight P.FOUL (P1.T1)37
27
Q2 - 11:32MEMGiricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)37
27
Q2 - 11:42MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
27
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Butler 8' Hook Shot34
27
Q2 - 12:0034
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM34
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
27
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
25
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 234
25
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
25
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
25
Q1 - 0:16.0MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
25
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
25
Q1 - 0:30.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
25
Q1 - 0:30.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
25
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.PN)31
25
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
25
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
23
Q1 - 0:59.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant30
23
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
23
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.PN)29
23
Q1 - 1:16MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)29
23
Q1 - 1:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
20
Q1 - 1:30MEMMISS Batiste 8' Hook Shot29
20
Q1 - 1:32MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
20
Q1 - 1:34MEMMISS Giricek 22' Jump Shot29
20
Q1 - 1:48MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
20
Q1 - 1:49MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 129
20
Q1 - 1:49MIAStepania S.FOUL (P2.PN)29
20
Q1 - 1:49MEMGasol Dunk (7 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)29
20
Q1 - 1:53MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T4)27
20
Q1 - 1:59MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
20
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 2:24MEMGasol 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)27
20
Q1 - 2:36MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
20
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 2:49MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
20
Q1 - 2:49MEMGasol P.FOUL (P1.T3)25
20
Q1 - 3:01MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)25
20
Q1 - 3:19MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 3:19MIASUB: James FOR Carter23
19
Q1 - 3:19MIAHEAT Rebound23
19
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 223
19
Q1 - 3:19MEMSUB: Swift FOR Wright23
19
Q1 - 3:19MEMGiricek S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
19
Q1 - 3:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
19
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 3:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19
Q1 - 3:47MEMMISS Batiste 6' Hook Shot23
19
Q1 - 4:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 223
19
Q1 - 4:07MIAHEAT Rebound23
19
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 223
19
Q1 - 4:07MEMBatiste S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
19
Q1 - 4:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
19
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot23
19
Q1 - 4:24MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 4:24MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen22
19
Q1 - 4:24MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
19
Q1 - 4:24MEMSUB: Giricek FOR Gooden21
19
Q1 - 4:24MEMSUB: Batiste FOR Person21
19
Q1 - 4:24MIAAllen P.FOUL (P2.T3)21
19
Q1 - 4:39MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
19
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 4:54MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
19
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup21
19
Q1 - 5:16MEMGooden 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)21
19
Q1 - 5:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup19
19
Q1 - 5:34MEMGooden 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
19
Q1 - 5:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)17
19
Q1 - 5:54MEMSUB: Watson FOR Knight17
16
Q1 - 5:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
16
Q1 - 6:00MEMWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
16
Q1 - 6:18MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)15
16
Q1 - 6:37MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)15
14
Q1 - 6:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot13
14
Q1 - 6:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14
Q1 - 6:59MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot13
14
Q1 - 7:12MIAJones Driving Dunk (6 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 7:25MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 7:25MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 7:25MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
12
Q1 - 7:29MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
12
Q1 - 7:41MEMWright 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)11
12
Q1 - 8:04MIAJones Layup (4 PTS)9
12
Q1 - 8:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot9
10
Q1 - 8:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 8:14MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 29
10
Q1 - 8:14MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 8:14MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 8:25MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 8:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 8:36MEMMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 8:53MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 9:11MEMKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 9:23MIACarter 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 9:30MEMAllen STEAL (1 STL)8
4
Q1 - 9:59MIAButler Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 10:10MEMGooden 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)8
2
Q1 - 10:27MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
2
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:52MEMPerson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 10:59MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 11:18MEMWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:27MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:44MEMKnight 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Gasol: Tip to Wright0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
6
10
60%
MIA
16
26
62%
Midrange
MEM
29
52
56%
MIA
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
5
7.5
6
83%
125%
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MEM
22
30
73%
MIA
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden2574%12.5 / 17
P. Gasol2460%12.0 / 20
W. Person2492%12.0 / 13
L. Wright1563%7.5 / 12
B. Knight758%3.5 / 6
G. Giricek583%2.5 / 3
S. Swift440%2.0 / 5
E. Watson338%1.5 / 4
M. Batiste0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3372%16.5 / 23
E. House1550%7.5 / 15
A. Carter956%4.5 / 8
M. James950%4.5 / 9
C. Butler833%4.0 / 12
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
B. Grant739%3.5 / 9
V. Stepania563%2.5 / 4
T. Best217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
79
+5
-9
84
MIA
79
+14
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
94.5
MEM 121.6 +12.5
MIA 109.1
Pace
95.0
90.0
MEM 91.0 +5.1
MIA 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
MEM 15.8 −0.9
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
43.9%
MEM 62.5% +10.7%
MIA 51.8%
TO %
15.4%
14.8%
MEM 10.0%
MIA 9.0% −1.0%
ORB %
27.0%
26.8%
MEM 13.8%
MIA 27.9% +14.1%
FTrt
28.7
25.9
MEM 44.1 +27.6
MIA 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
55.8%
MEM 75.0% +21.3%
MIA 53.7%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
MEM 4.5%
MIA 5.7% +1.2%
BLK %
8.6%
6.4%
MEM 7.5% +7.5%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
46.0%
MEM 61.5% +10.4%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
58.7%
53.7%
MEM 60.0%
MIA 61.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%
39.7%
37.6%
MEM 55.8% +9.5%
MIA 46.3%
3P %
36.5%
31.6%
MEM 83.3% +50.0%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
73.9%
76.5%
MEM 73.3% +16.2%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
28.9%
MEM 14.7%
MIA 30.6% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
54.2%
MEM 76.5%
MIA 48.2% −28.2%
3P Att. %
19.0%
16.9%
MEM 8.8%
MIA 21.2% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes23.224.6
Points10796
Rebounds3537
Assists3022
Steals45
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals40-6841-85
At-the-Rim FG6-1016-26
Midrange FG29-5219-41
2-Point FG35-6235-67
3-Point FG5-66-18
Free Throws22-308-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 250 · 22
40.7
24
60%
6
7
1
3
2
2
0
6
6-9
67%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 27
40.6
15
63%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.1
24
92%
3
3
2
0
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 250 · 21
35.5
25
74%
9
1
0
0
1
1
0
9
2-5
40%
10-13
77%
1-1
100%
G · 5'10" 166 · 27
34.4
7
58%
3
14
1
0
3
5
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23
14.7
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 23
13.6
3
38%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 225 · 25
12.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
10.9
5
83%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 180 · 27
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
C · 7'2" 240 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
62%
35
30
4
5
9
0
4
31
22-30
73%
35-62
56%
5-6
83%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.