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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 10, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Grizzlies37%91107
26Heat63%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
40.7
32.3
24
63%
6
7
1
1
3
2
0
6
6-9
67%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.1
40.6
26.2
15
66%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
44%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.7
37.1
31.2
24
91%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
3-3
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
35.5
18.4
25
77%
9
1
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-5
40%
10-13
3-7
77%
44%
1-1
100%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.1
34.4
17.0
7
60%
3
14
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
14.7
16.5
4
42%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.5
13.6
15.7
3
39%
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.1
12.5
29.8
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-8
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
10.9
21.2
5
83%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.1
18.7
1
1-3
45%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.3
12.9
1
1-2
46%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.2
3.3
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
41.7
29.2
7
41%
15
5
0
1
0
1
3
12
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
41.2
30.3
33
73%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
9-15
3-7
60%
46%
4-6
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.7
40.6
27.9
8
33%
6
5
1
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
27.4
25.6
8
57%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
17.8
4.9
9
57%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-7
0-1
57%
40%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.6
23.8
19.5
15
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
44%
1-6
17%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
18.3
24.2
9
53%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
41%
1-4
25%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.6
11.5
18.7
5
66%
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
1-4
25%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.4
11.3
20.6
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
6.4
10.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
18.6
0
3-6
45%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
8.4
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.