FinalWin Prob.pScore
2537%91
107
2663%95
96
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
121.68891.0
MIA logo MIA
109.18886.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM107
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHouse Driving Layup (15 PTS) (James 2 AST)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)107
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MEMKnight Driving Layup (6 PTS)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:28MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)103
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 1:28MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)102
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 1:32MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)101
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 1:48MEMPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)101
98.6%
91
1.4%
Q4 - 2:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
96.3%
91
3.7%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 198
96.0%
91
4.0%
Q4 - 2:20MIAJames Layup (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)98
96.3%
91
3.7%
Q4 - 2:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
97.1%
89
2.9%
Q4 - 2:26MEMMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot98
97.6%
89
2.4%
Q4 - 2:43MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (33 PTS)98
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 3:11MEMGooden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)98
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Grant 5 AST)95
93.8%
87
6.2%
Q4 - 3:48MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Knight 14 AST)95
97.0%
84
3.0%
Q4 - 4:10MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
96.0%
84
4.0%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
95.5%
84
4.5%
Q4 - 4:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
94.3%
84
5.7%
Q4 - 4:25MEMMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot93
94.9%
84
5.1%
Q4 - 4:43MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
96.1%
84
3.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS House Driving Layup93
95.7%
84
4.3%
Q4 - 4:58MEMGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
94.4%
84
5.6%
Q4 - 4:58MEMMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 292
93.8%
84
6.2%
Q4 - 5:08MEMGrizzlies Rebound92
91.8%
84
8.2%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
91.0%
84
9.0%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound92
88.8%
84
11.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup92
91.0%
84
9.0%
Q4 - 5:37MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Person 3 AST)92
89.0%
84
11.0%
Q4 - 5:56MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)90
85.5%
84
14.5%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
84.1%
84
15.9%
Q4 - 6:20MEMGooden 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
76.8%
84
23.2%
Q4 - 6:37MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
71.9%
84
28.1%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
69.8%
84
30.2%
Q4 - 7:06MEMWright Layup (15 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)88
62.1%
84
37.9%
Q4 - 7:28MEMPerson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
56.3%
84
43.7%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
54.0%
84
46.0%
Q4 - 7:50MEMGooden 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Knight 13 AST)86
48.6%
84
51.4%
Q4 - 8:08MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)84
41.8%
84
58.2%
Q4 - 8:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)84
48.0%
82
52.0%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot84
52.5%
82
47.5%
Q4 - 8:34MEMKnight 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Person 2 AST)84
48.0%
82
52.0%
Q4 - 8:45MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
41.8%
82
58.2%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
39.9%
82
60.1%
Q4 - 9:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot82
39.5%
82
60.5%
Q4 - 9:34MEMMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 182
36.2%
82
63.8%
Q4 - 9:34MEMGooden Layup (17 PTS) (Knight 12 AST)82
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 9:38MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
30.4%
82
69.6%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot80
28.8%
82
71.2%
Q4 - 9:59MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
25.3%
82
74.7%
Q4 - 9:59MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
24.6%
82
75.4%
Q4 - 10:18MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
21.9%
82
78.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
22.2%
81
77.8%
Q4 - 10:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)78
25.7%
80
74.3%
Q4 - 10:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
30.7%
80
69.3%
Q4 - 10:24MEMMISS Wright Tip Shot78
27.2%
80
72.8%
Q4 - 10:27MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot78
27.2%
80
72.8%
Q4 - 10:52MIAButler Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)78
30.7%
80
69.3%
Q4 - 10:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot78
39.2%
78
60.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)78
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
39.2%
78
60.8%
Q4 - 11:39MEMGasol Dunk (17 PTS) (Knight 11 AST)78
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM76
30.9%
78
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound76
30.9%
78
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot76
27.6%
78
72.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
31.0%
78
69.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
35.6%
76
64.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MEMMISS Watson 22' Jump Shot76
37.0%
76
63.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)76
40.1%
76
59.9%
Q3 - 1:27MEMGiricek Foul Turnover (P1.T9)76
49.6%
73
50.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)76
54.6%
73
45.4%
Q3 - 1:55MIAHEAT Rebound76
59.3%
71
40.7%
Q3 - 1:57MEMMISS Watson 15' Jump Shot76
60.8%
71
39.2%
Q3 - 2:21MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)76
62.4%
71
37.6%
Q3 - 2:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)76
66.3%
69
33.7%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q3 - 2:50MEMGiricek 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
66.3%
69
33.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)74
61.5%
69
38.5%
Q3 - 3:32MEMWatson Driving Layup (3 PTS)74
65.4%
67
34.6%
Q3 - 3:46MIAJones Driving Layup (26 PTS)72
61.5%
67
38.5%
Q3 - 3:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)72
65.4%
65
34.6%
Q3 - 3:59MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
69.6%
65
30.4%
Q3 - 3:59MEMMISS Swift Tip Shot72
66.7%
65
33.3%
Q3 - 4:01MEMMISS Batiste Layup72
65.1%
65
34.9%
Q3 - 4:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
68.2%
65
31.8%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot72
66.9%
65
33.1%
Q3 - 4:20MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
63.8%
65
36.2%
Q3 - 4:20MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
62.8%
65
37.2%
Q3 - 4:35MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)70
60.4%
65
39.6%
Q3 - 4:35MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)70
61.0%
64
39.0%
Q3 - 4:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
63.9%
63
36.1%
Q3 - 4:47MEMMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot70
65.3%
63
34.7%
Q3 - 5:00MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)70
68.4%
63
31.6%
Q3 - 5:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
63.0%
63
37.0%
Q3 - 5:09MEMMISS Swift 6' Running Hook Shot70
64.2%
63
35.8%
Q3 - 5:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
67.1%
63
32.9%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 270
66.5%
63
33.5%
Q3 - 5:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
63.9%
63
36.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 5:28MEMMISS Batiste 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.0%
62
32.0%
Q3 - 5:44MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
70.7%
62
29.3%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Best Driving Layup70
69.5%
62
30.5%
Q3 - 5:50MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 5:52MEMMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot70
68.0%
62
32.0%
Q3 - 6:17MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)70
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 6:43MEMPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)70
65.5%
62
34.5%
Q3 - 6:55MEMGrizzlies Rebound67
58.2%
62
41.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Hook Shot67
56.9%
62
43.1%
Q3 - 7:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
52.7%
62
47.3%
Q3 - 7:04MEMMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot67
54.1%
62
45.9%
Q3 - 7:33MIACarter Driving Dunk (9 PTS)67
57.2%
62
42.8%
Q3 - 7:35MEMCarter STEAL (1 STL)67
60.4%
60
39.6%
Q3 - 7:42MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
64.6%
60
35.4%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 267
65.9%
59
34.1%
Q3 - 7:46MIAHEAT Rebound67
64.1%
59
35.9%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup67
66.9%
59
33.1%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
64.1%
59
35.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot67
66.9%
59
33.1%
Q3 - 8:25MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)67
63.4%
59
36.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)65
60.4%
59
39.6%
Q3 - 8:54MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)65
66.9%
56
33.1%
Q3 - 8:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
70.6%
56
29.4%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup65
69.5%
56
30.5%
Q3 - 9:05MEMPerson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)65
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 9:18MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)65
69.0%
56
31.0%
Q3 - 9:42MEMGasol 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Person 1 AST)65
74.9%
53
25.1%
Q3 - 9:55MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
72.1%
53
27.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot63
71.2%
53
28.8%
Q3 - 10:16MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)63
67.6%
53
32.4%
Q3 - 10:16MEMWright Layup (12 PTS) (Knight 10 AST)62
64.4%
53
35.6%
Q3 - 10:31MIAAllen Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)60
61.5%
53
38.5%
Q3 - 10:56MEMGooden 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)60
64.5%
51
35.5%
Q3 - 11:11MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
60.3%
51
39.7%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot58
59.3%
51
40.7%
Q3 - 11:32MEMPerson Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)58
56.9%
51
43.1%
Q3 - 11:32MEMPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Knight 9 AST)57
53.5%
51
46.5%
Q3 - 11:37MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
46.7%
51
53.3%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup54
45.7%
51
54.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
43.2%
51
56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
43.2%
51
56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Knight 14' Running Jump Shot54
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAJones Layup (15 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
45.7%
51
54.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
50.0%
49
50.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0MEMMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot54
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
52.4%
49
47.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot54
51.6%
49
48.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0MEMAllen STEAL (2 STL)54
50.0%
49
50.0%
Q2 - 1:11MIAButler Running Dunk (6 PTS)54
51.5%
49
48.5%
Q2 - 1:14MEMButler STEAL (1 STL)54
56.3%
47
43.7%
Q2 - 1:28MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot54
57.5%
47
42.5%
Q2 - 1:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
56.3%
47
43.7%
Q2 - 1:41MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot54
56.8%
47
43.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 2:18MEMGasol 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q2 - 2:41MIACarter 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
57.7%
45
42.3%
Q2 - 2:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
61.1%
43
38.9%
Q2 - 2:49MEMMISS Person 15' Jump Shot52
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)52
62.5%
43
37.5%
Q2 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
65.0%
41
35.0%
Q2 - 3:24MEMMISS Knight Driving Layup52
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJones Dunk (11 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)52
68.0%
41
32.0%
Q2 - 3:51MEMGooden 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)52
70.3%
39
29.7%
Q2 - 4:10MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
66.4%
39
33.6%
Q2 - 4:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
69.0%
37
31.0%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot50
70.7%
37
29.3%
Q2 - 4:59MEMGooden 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)50
69.0%
37
31.0%
Q2 - 5:03MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
65.8%
37
34.2%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot48
65.0%
37
35.0%
Q2 - 5:22MEMPerson 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)48
63.0%
37
37.0%
Q2 - 5:28MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T5)46
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q2 - 5:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
57.7%
37
42.3%
Q2 - 5:39MEMMISS Person 18' Jump Shot46
58.6%
37
41.4%
Q2 - 5:55MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)46
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q2 - 6:14MEMWright 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS)46
62.0%
35
38.0%
Q2 - 6:34MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)44
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 6:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
56.8%
35
43.2%
Q2 - 6:47MEMMISS Person 18' Jump Shot44
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 7:01MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
58.7%
35
41.3%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Grant Layup44
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 7:27MEMPerson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)44
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
53.6%
35
46.4%
Q2 - 8:00MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)42
56.0%
33
44.0%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)40
53.1%
33
46.9%
Q2 - 8:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q2 - 8:33MEMMISS Swift 7' Running Jump Shot40
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 8:49MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)40
58.3%
31
41.7%
Q2 - 9:13MEMGooden 12' Hook Shot (9 PTS)40
54.6%
31
45.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 9:51MEMGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q2 - 9:51MEMMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 237
53.9%
29
46.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)37
54.6%
29
45.4%
Q2 - 10:11MEMJames STEAL (1 STL)37
51.8%
29
48.2%
Q2 - 10:20MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
54.6%
29
45.4%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot37
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 10:38MIAHEAT Rebound37
51.8%
29
48.2%
Q2 - 10:40MEMMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot37
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 11:07MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 11:32MEMGiricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)37
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q2 - 11:42MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
51.2%
27
48.8%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Butler 8' Hook Shot34
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM34
48.8%
27
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
51.2%
27
48.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 234
53.4%
25
46.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
55.0%
25
45.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
52.7%
25
47.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
50.8%
25
49.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q1 - 1:16MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)29
47.9%
23
52.1%
Q1 - 1:30MEMMISS Batiste 8' Hook Shot29
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 1:32MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 1:34MEMMISS Giricek 22' Jump Shot29
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 1:48MEMBatiste REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 1:49MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 129
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q1 - 1:49MEMGasol Dunk (7 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)29
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q1 - 1:59MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
50.2%
20
49.8%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 2:24MEMGasol 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)27
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 2:36MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot25
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 3:01MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)25
42.6%
20
57.4%
Q1 - 3:19MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 223
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 3:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q1 - 3:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 3:47MEMMISS Batiste 6' Hook Shot23
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q1 - 4:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 223
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 223
41.3%
19
58.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
39.9%
19
60.1%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot23
41.7%
19
58.3%
Q1 - 4:24MEMWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 4:24MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
39.2%
19
60.8%
Q1 - 4:39MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot21
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup21
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 5:16MEMGooden 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)21
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 5:24MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup19
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 5:34MEMGooden 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 5:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)17
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 6:00MEMWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 6:18MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)15
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 6:37MEMPerson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)15
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 6:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot13
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 6:59MEMMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot13
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 7:12MIAJones Driving Dunk (6 PTS)13
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 7:25MEMPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 7:25MEMPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 7:29MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 7:41MEMWright 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)11
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAJones Layup (4 PTS)9
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 8:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot9
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 8:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 8:14MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 29
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 8:14MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 8:25MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 8:36MEMMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot8
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 8:53MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)8
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 9:11MEMKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:23MIACarter 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 9:30MEMAllen STEAL (1 STL)8
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 9:59MIAButler Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)8
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 10:10MEMGooden 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)8
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 10:27MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot6
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:52MEMPerson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 10:59MEMGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot4
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 11:18MEMWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)4
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 11:27MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:44MEMKnight 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Gasol: Tip to Wright0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
6
10
60%
MIA
16
26
62%
Midrange
MEM
29
52
56%
MIA
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
5
7.5
6
83%
125%
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MEM
22
30
73%
MIA
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden2574%12.5 / 17
P. Gasol2460%12.0 / 20
W. Person2492%12.0 / 13
L. Wright1563%7.5 / 12
B. Knight758%3.5 / 6
G. Giricek583%2.5 / 3
S. Swift440%2.0 / 5
E. Watson338%1.5 / 4
M. Batiste0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3372%16.5 / 23
E. House1550%7.5 / 15
A. Carter956%4.5 / 8
M. James950%4.5 / 9
C. Butler833%4.0 / 12
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
B. Grant739%3.5 / 9
V. Stepania563%2.5 / 4
T. Best217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
79
+5
-9
84
MIA
79
+14
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.23 61.5%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
94.5
MEM 121.6 +12.5
MIA 109.1
Pace
95.0
90.0
MEM 91.0 +5.1
MIA 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
MEM 15.8 +0.9
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
43.9%
MEM 62.5% +10.7%
MIA 51.8%
TO %
15.4%
14.8%
MEM 10.0%
MIA 9.0% +1.0%
ORB %
27.0%
26.8%
MEM 13.8%
MIA 27.9% +14.1%
FTrt
28.7
25.9
MEM 44.1 +27.6
MIA 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
55.8%
MEM 75.0% +21.3%
MIA 53.7%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
MEM 4.5%
MIA 5.7% +1.2%
BLK %
8.6%
6.4%
MEM 7.5% +7.5%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
46.0%
MEM 61.5% +10.4%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
58.7%
53.7%
MEM 60.0%
MIA 61.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%
39.7%
37.6%
MEM 55.8% +9.5%
MIA 46.3%
3P %
36.5%
31.6%
MEM 83.3% +50.0%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
73.9%
76.5%
MEM 73.3% +16.2%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
28.9%
MEM 14.7%
MIA 30.6% +15.9%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
54.2%
MEM 76.5%
MIA 48.2% +28.2%
3P Att. %
19.0%
16.9%
MEM 8.8%
MIA 21.2% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes23.224.6
Points10796
Rebounds3537
Assists3022
Steals45
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals40-6841-85
At-the-Rim FG6-1016-26
Midrange FG29-5219-41
2-Point FG35-6235-67
3-Point FG5-66-18
Free Throws22-308-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 250 · 22
40.7
24
60%
6
7
1
3
2
2
0
6
6-9
67%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 27
40.6
15
63%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.1
24
92%
3
3
2
0
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 250 · 21
35.5
25
74%
9
1
0
0
1
1
0
9
2-5
40%
10-13
77%
1-1
100%
G · 5'10" 166 · 27
34.4
7
58%
3
14
1
0
3
5
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23
14.7
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 23
13.6
3
38%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 225 · 25
12.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
10.9
5
83%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 180 · 27
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
C · 7'2" 240 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
62%
35
30
4
5
9
0
4
31
22-30
73%
35-62
56%
5-6
83%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.