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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 11, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Nuggets37%9193
23Grizzlies63%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.8
37.2
34.2
22
46%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-4
50%
10-22
7-14
45%
46%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.9
33.7
35.2
14
48%
6
6
2
2
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
43%
1-3
33%
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.2
32.6
17.1
9
38%
1
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
1-6
17%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
13.4
23.7
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 27.1
13.1
16.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.3
27.9
24.9
23
72%
8
0
2
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
11-15
4-9
73%
47%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.2
26.3
16.3
4
40%
6
2
3
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 19.7
20.2
11.3
4
21%
5
0
2
0
0
1
3
2
0-1
0%
2-7
1-2
29%
44%
0-2
0%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
12.2
14.8
4
69%
3
1
1
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
11.6
18.3
11
101%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
40%
0-0
-
Vincent Yarbrough
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.7
7.9
10.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 21.7
3.8
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-3
2-5
0%
39%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
40.4
35.3
18
47%
10
2
0
1
2
2
2
8
4-5
80%
7-16
6-12
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
38.1
25.4
14
64%
4
3
2
1
3
5
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
5-10
14%
47%
4-4
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.1
34.8
31.5
14
56%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-8
50%
5-9
6-12
56%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.7
33.7
32.9
14
72%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
3-4
75%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.1
31.9
13.9
16
75%
4
9
0
1
0
4
0
4
6-6
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
20.8
16.0
10
105%
6
1
2
1
3
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.5
16.1
15.0
6
61%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
14.3
17.3
4
29%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.1
9.9
22.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
3-6
-
42%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.1
24.1
2
2-6
42%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.3
10.5
0
1-2
47%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.2
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.