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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 11, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks41%100104
6Spurs59%103111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.0
44.4
32.3
16
47%
1
8
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
42%
2-6
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.8
43.8
35.8
36
70%
8
1
0
1
0
3
2
6
5-6
83%
8-15
5-12
53%
45%
5-8
63%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.8
39.9
31.0
21
54%
4
10
3
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
32.1
20.6
12
39%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
47%
1-4
25%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.7
21.1
25.8
7
72%
7
1
2
1
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
24.8
9.1
0
0%
8
1
2
0
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.5
19.4
12.8
6
68%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
41%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.7
10.7
10.6
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
44%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
3.7
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.5
27.4
1
4-9
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.4
19.7
1
2-4
49%
Adam Harrington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
5.6
0
1-2
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
42.0
37.8
22
69%
13
2
0
1
3
3
2
11
2-2
100%
10-15
8-16
67%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.5
37.3
27.3
9
45%
5
1
1
1
2
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-4
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.6
34.6
32.2
32
78%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
9-10
90%
7-11
4-8
64%
46%
3-5
60%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.3
29.4
25.4
17
74%
10
3
4
1
1
1
2
8
5-8
63%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.7
25.6
26.9
3
28%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
27.9
23.5
17
45%
9
2
0
1
0
2
3
6
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
2-9
22%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.0
17.9
10.3
2
20%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.2
13.4
15.5
4
45%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.3
6.8
17.8
2
53%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.2
5.2
9.8
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
4.1
0
1-1
43%
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 31.3
2.6
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.