FinalWin Prob.pScore
141%100
104
659%103
111
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
103.0101108.5
SAS logo SAS
108.810297.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASSPURS Rebound104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMISS LaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)104
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALParker STEAL (1 STL)101
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)101
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)101
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALNash Layup (21 PTS)101
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)99
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALNash 1' Finger Roll (19 PTS)99
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)97
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)97
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0DALRobinson STEAL (4 STL)97
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 1:05DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 1:05SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 297
2.7%
103
97.3%
Q4 - 1:05SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 1:17DALFinley Free Throw 3 of 3 (36 PTS)97
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 1:17DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 3 (35 PTS)96
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 1:17DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 3 (34 PTS)95
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 1:20DALMavericks Rebound94
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot94
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 1:34SASJackson Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)94
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 1:38DALRobinson STEAL (3 STL)94
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 1:48DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
5.3%
100
94.7%
Q4 - 1:50SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot94
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 2:16DALVan Exel 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
3.3%
100
96.7%
Q4 - 2:25SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 3:00DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)92
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 3:08SASRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)89
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 3:25SASSPURS Rebound89
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot89
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q4 - 3:45SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)89
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 4:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)89
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 4:02DALMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q4 - 4:21SASDuncan Layup (22 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)89
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 4:35DALNash 9' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 4:47SASBowen Foul Turnover (P4.T15)87
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 4:56DALRobinson STEAL (2 STL)87
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 5:10SASBowen 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)87
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 5:28DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 5:44SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Williams: Tip to Finley84
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 5:44SASSPURS Rebound84
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 5:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot84
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 5:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 5:58DALBowen BLOCK (2 BLK)84
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 6:14SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)84
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 6:23DALFinley 8' Jump Shot (30 PTS)84
3.9%
93
96.1%
Q4 - 6:31DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot82
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 6:51DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)82
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 6:53DALMavericks Rebound79
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 6:57DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot79
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 7:03DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot79
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 7:17SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 7:20DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 7:34DALMavericks Rebound79
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 7:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 7:49SASKerr Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 8:09DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)79
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 8:23SASJackson Layup (14 PTS) (Willis 2 AST)76
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 8:44DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)76
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 8:57SASWillis Foul Turnover (P1.T12)73
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 9:08DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)73
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 9:23SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 9:23SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 9:24SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 9:39SASMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot73
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 9:51SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot73
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 10:12SASKerr 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)73
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 10:22SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 10:24DALMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot73
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 10:39SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)73
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 10:56DALJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)73
7.6%
82
92.4%
Q4 - 11:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Willis 12' Jump Hook Shot71
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 11:23DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q4 - 11:23DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASDuncan 13' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)69
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL69
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Bradley 82' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound69
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot69
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALVan Exel Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)69
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot69
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)69
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 1:16SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q3 - 1:18DALMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 1:42SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 1:42SASJackson 2' Follow Up Dunk (9 PTS)69
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup69
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q3 - 2:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
17.1%
75
82.9%
Q3 - 2:04DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 269
17.5%
75
82.5%
Q3 - 2:04DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 2:26SASParker 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
17.3%
75
82.7%
Q3 - 2:40SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
19.9%
73
80.1%
Q3 - 2:43DALDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)68
20.9%
73
79.1%
Q3 - 2:48SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)68
23.3%
73
76.7%
Q3 - 3:02DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
20.7%
73
79.3%
Q3 - 3:02DALLaFrentz 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)68
20.7%
73
79.3%
Q3 - 3:05DALMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot66
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 3:19SASJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 3:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 3:26DALMISS Nash 9' Jump Shot66
16.1%
73
83.9%
Q3 - 3:39SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 3:39SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 266
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 3:59SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 4:01DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 4:08DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
21.3%
72
78.7%
Q3 - 4:10SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
20.3%
72
79.7%
Q3 - 4:26DALBradley 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
18.1%
72
81.9%
Q3 - 4:37SASRobinson 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)64
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q3 - 4:51DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)64
18.1%
70
81.9%
Q3 - 4:51DALLaFrentz Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)63
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q3 - 4:55DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q3 - 4:58SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot61
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 5:24DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 5:24DALBradley 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)61
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 5:26DALMISS LaFrentz 3' Layup59
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 5:41SASParker 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)59
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 6:02DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 6:20SASParker 5' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)59
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 6:39DALVan Exel 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 7:01SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)57
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q3 - 7:24SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 7:25DALMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot57
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 7:28DALMavericks Rebound57
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 7:29DALRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)57
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 7:32DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 7:34DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 7:38DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
22.5%
63
77.5%
Q3 - 7:40SASMISS Bowen 8' Running Jump Shot57
21.6%
63
78.4%
Q3 - 8:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
20.0%
63
80.0%
Q3 - 8:03DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot57
20.9%
63
79.1%
Q3 - 8:35SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)57
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 8:43SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 8:45SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
27.6%
61
72.4%
Q3 - 8:58SASSPURS Rebound57
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 8:58DALMISS Nash 11' Jump Shot57
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q3 - 9:11SASRobinson 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)57
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q3 - 9:17SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
31.5%
59
68.5%
Q3 - 9:19DALMISS LaFrentz 14' Jump Shot57
32.5%
59
67.5%
Q3 - 9:31DALNash Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)57
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 9:45SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 10:12DALNash 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 10:27SASDuncan 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)54
31.8%
57
68.2%
Q3 - 10:44SASSPURS Rebound54
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 10:45DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q3 - 10:52DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
38.2%
55
61.8%
Q3 - 10:54DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot54
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q3 - 11:03DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 11:04SASMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot54
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q3 - 11:13SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
34.7%
55
65.3%
Q3 - 11:15DALBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)54
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q3 - 11:35SASDuncan 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)54
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 11:41SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
41.2%
53
58.8%
Q3 - 11:43DALMISS LaFrentz 8' Jump Shot54
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS54
44.8%
53
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
41.2%
53
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)54
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASRobinson 2' Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)54
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup54
49.9%
51
50.1%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
48.3%
51
51.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
49.0%
51
51.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
50.7%
51
49.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
48.3%
51
51.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
50.0%
51
50.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALBowen STEAL (1 STL)54
48.3%
51
51.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T8)54
50.7%
51
49.3%
Q2 - 1:10DALMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 154
48.6%
51
51.4%
Q2 - 1:10DALJones 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)54
48.4%
51
51.6%
Q2 - 1:31SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
43.7%
51
56.3%
Q2 - 1:42DALSmith STEAL (1 STL)52
48.4%
49
51.6%
Q2 - 1:59SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
50.1%
49
49.9%
Q2 - 2:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q2 - 2:06DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q2 - 2:06DALMISS Finley Tip Shot52
57.6%
46
42.4%
Q2 - 2:08DALMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot52
57.6%
46
42.4%
Q2 - 2:23SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)52
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q2 - 2:40DALRobinson STEAL (1 STL)52
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q2 - 2:46DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
68.2%
43
31.8%
Q2 - 2:49SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 3:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
64.1%
43
35.9%
Q2 - 3:10DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 252
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q2 - 3:10DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)52
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)51
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)51
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 3:28SASSmith Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)51
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 3:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 3:39DALMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot51
72.8%
39
27.2%
Q2 - 3:50SASParker 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)51
74.6%
39
25.4%
Q2 - 4:09SASSPURS Rebound51
75.4%
37
24.6%
Q2 - 4:09DALDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)51
76.0%
37
24.0%
Q2 - 4:29SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 151
77.2%
37
22.8%
Q2 - 4:29SASRobinson 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)51
77.5%
37
22.5%
Q2 - 4:42DALJones 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)51
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 4:57DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
77.5%
35
22.5%
Q2 - 4:58SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot49
76.9%
35
23.1%
Q2 - 5:13SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 5:15DALMISS Nash 12' Jump Shot49
75.4%
35
24.6%
Q2 - 5:38SASSmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)49
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 6:08DALFinley 1' Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)49
77.8%
33
22.2%
Q2 - 6:12SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
76.2%
33
23.8%
Q2 - 6:28SASSPURS Rebound47
73.8%
33
26.2%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS LaFrentz 15' Jump Shot47
74.5%
33
25.5%
Q2 - 6:42SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
76.3%
33
23.7%
Q2 - 6:42SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
76.8%
32
23.2%
Q2 - 6:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 6:46SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
79.4%
31
20.6%
Q2 - 7:09DALFinley 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)47
76.7%
31
23.3%
Q2 - 7:13SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)45
74.9%
31
25.1%
Q2 - 7:30DALJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS)45
72.7%
31
27.3%
Q2 - 7:35DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot43
70.1%
31
29.9%
Q2 - 7:46SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 7:49DALMISS Finley 18' Fadeaway Jumper43
69.1%
31
30.9%
Q2 - 8:12DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q2 - 8:14SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot43
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 8:27SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
67.7%
31
32.3%
Q2 - 8:29DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 8:34DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q2 - 8:36SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot43
69.5%
31
30.5%
Q2 - 8:50DALVan Exel 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
67.7%
31
32.3%
Q2 - 8:54DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
64.9%
31
35.1%
Q2 - 9:07SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
62.2%
31
37.8%
Q2 - 9:08DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot41
63.0%
31
37.0%
Q2 - 9:13DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
64.8%
31
35.2%
Q2 - 9:15SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 9:39DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)41
62.3%
31
37.7%
Q2 - 9:42DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 9:45DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 9:48DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 9:52SASMISS Jackson Slam Dunk38
56.9%
31
43.1%
Q2 - 10:09DALFinley 1' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)38
54.6%
31
45.4%
Q2 - 10:13DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
52.5%
31
47.5%
Q2 - 10:15SASMISS Kerr 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 10:25DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)36
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 10:25DALFinley 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)35
47.2%
31
52.8%
Q2 - 10:30SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 10:54DALFinley 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)33
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 11:00DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
40.2%
31
59.8%
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Jackson 2' Reverse Layup31
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 11:15DALJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
37.4%
31
62.6%
Q2 - 11:33SASRose 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)29
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 11:46SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q2 - 11:48DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)29
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
34.8%
29
65.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASJackson 1' Layup (7 PTS)27
34.8%
29
65.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASMISS Rose 1' Layup27
38.7%
27
61.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASMISS Rose 1' Layup27
38.7%
27
61.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0SASMISS Jackson 2' Layup27
38.7%
27
61.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
34.8%
27
65.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot25
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALNash 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)25
33.1%
27
66.9%
Q1 - 1:05SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 1:05SASJackson 1' Layup (5 PTS)23
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 1:08SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot23
34.4%
25
65.6%
Q1 - 1:30DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)23
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 1:38DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 1:41SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot20
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q1 - 2:08DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)20
27.3%
25
72.7%
Q1 - 2:12DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 2:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q1 - 2:28DALMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot17
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q1 - 2:38DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 2:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot17
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q1 - 3:03DALVan Exel 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
22.3%
25
77.7%
Q1 - 3:17DALMavericks Rebound15
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 3:19SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot15
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 3:35DALJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 3:50SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 4:07DALVan Exel 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 4:16SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 4:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
20.9%
22
79.1%
Q1 - 4:30DALMISS Finley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot13
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q1 - 4:43SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 4:43SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 5:00DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 5:19SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 5:22SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 5:25DALMISS Van Exel 1' Reverse Layup11
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 5:35SASParker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 5:53DALNash Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 6:05SASParker Layup (2 PTS)11
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 6:16DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 6:24DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 6:26SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot8
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 6:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 6:36DALMISS Van Exel 15' Turnaround Jump Shot8
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 6:50SASRobinson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)8
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 7:06DALNash 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 7:18SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 7:20SASSPURS Rebound6
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot6
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 7:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 7:46DALMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot6
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 8:08SASBowen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)6
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 8:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 8:17DALMISS LaFrentz 2' Layup6
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 8:27SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 8:31DALMISS Nash 9' Running Jump Shot6
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 8:45SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)6
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 8:57SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 8:59DALMISS Nash 8' Fadeaway Jumper6
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 9:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 9:07SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)6
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot6
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 9:18SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 9:20DALMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot6
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 9:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 9:33SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
36.8%
7
63.2%
Q1 - 9:47DALBradley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
38.1%
5
61.9%
Q1 - 10:02SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 10:02SASRobinson Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 10:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 10:17DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot4
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:32DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:34SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 10:50DALLaFrentz 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 11:17SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:31DALNash 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:44DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:46SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Bradley: Tip to Bowen0
36.5%
0
63.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.03 51.5%
SAS
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
17
22
77%
SAS
22
29
76%
Midrange
DAL
15
43
35%
SAS
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
SAS
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
DAL
10
13
77%
SAS
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley3669%18.0 / 26
S. Nash2155%10.5 / 19
N. Van Exel1647%8.0 / 17
R. LaFrentz1240%6.0 / 15
S. Bradley770%3.5 / 5
P. Jones660%3.0 / 5
A. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
W. Williams0-0.0 / 6
R. Bell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3276%16.0 / 21
T. Duncan2265%11.0 / 17
D. Robinson1771%8.5 / 12
S. Jackson1745%8.5 / 19
B. Bowen945%4.5 / 10
S. Kerr450%2.0 / 4
S. Smith330%1.5 / 5
D. Ferry375%1.5 / 2
M. Rose220%1.0 / 5
K. Willis250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
90
+9
-11
99
SAS
86
+15
-16
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.03 51.5%
SAS
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
102.7
DAL 103.0
SAS 108.8 +5.9
Pace
94.9
92.6
DAL 108.5 +11.4
SAS 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.6
DAL 13.3 +1.6
SAS 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
49.7%
DAL 50.5%
SAS 53.6% +3.1%
TO %
11.6%
16.5%
DAL 10.0% +5.1%
SAS 15.1%
ORB %
25.5%
28.8%
DAL 13.6%
SAS 29.3% +15.7%
FTrt
25.7
34.8
DAL 14.0
SAS 31.0 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
56.3%
DAL 52.4%
SAS 56.1% +3.7%
STL %
8.5%
8.3%
DAL 8.9% +2.0%
SAS 6.9%
BLK %
8.5%
9.3%
DAL 8.8%
SAS 9.2% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.4%
DAL 51.5%
SAS 54.4% +2.9%
Rim FG%
58.2%
59.3%
DAL 77.3% +1.4%
SAS 75.9%
Mid FG%
40.7%
38.8%
DAL 34.9%
SAS 39.3% +4.4%
3P %
38.1%
35.4%
DAL 35.7% +6.1%
SAS 29.6%
FT %
82.9%
72.5%
DAL 76.9%
SAS 80.8% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
39.3%
DAL 23.7%
SAS 34.5% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
40.6%
DAL 46.2%
SAS 33.3% +12.9%
3P Att. %
23.9%
20.2%
DAL 30.1%
SAS 32.1% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes22.425.2
Points104111
Rebounds3550
Assists2223
Steals97
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)38 (6)
Field Goals42-9341-84
At-the-Rim FG17-2222-29
Midrange FG15-4311-28
2-Point FG32-6533-57
3-Point FG10-288-27
Free Throws10-1321-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
44.4
16
47%
1
8
0
1
4
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
45%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 225 · 30
43.8
36
69%
8
1
0
0
3
2
2
6
5-6
83%
8-15
53%
5-8
63%
G · 6'3" 178 · 29
39.9
21
55%
4
10
3
0
2
5
0
4
1-1
100%
7-14
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 240 · 27
32.1
12
40%
5
0
1
1
1
5
1
4
3-3
100%
3-10
30%
1-4
25%
C · 7'6" 275 · 31
21.1
7
70%
7
1
2
2
0
4
2
5
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33
24.8
0
0%
8
1
2
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 265 · 32
19.4
6
60%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 38
10.7
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28
G · 6'5" 200 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
52%
35
22
9
5
11
0
6
29
10-13
77%
32-65
49%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.