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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 14, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors40%9592
25Heat60%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
47.1
32.8
25
73%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
5-7
71%
7-10
6-12
70%
48%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
42.1
15.7
11
60%
9
0
0
0
5
1
4
5
3-5
60%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
37.5
29.2
17
49%
6
8
4
1
0
2
1
5
4-8
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22.6
33.4
25.5
12
61%
8
1
2
1
0
4
1
7
0-2
0%
6-9
3-7
67%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.9
30.5
27.4
17
66%
3
1
1
1
0
5
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-8
50%
42%
4-8
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 26.5
19.8
25.5
8
44%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
3-8
44%
40%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
8.6
14.5
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.7
8.5
17.0
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.8
8.3
19.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
4.4
17.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 22.9
9.4
0
1-3
39%
Oscar Torres
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 26.0
5.6
0
1-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
40.6
35.6
38
87%
6
4
5
1
0
0
1
5
12-13
92%
7-10
4-9
70%
46%
4-6
67%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
37.4
32.7
11
37%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-14
5-12
36%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.4
36.7
26.3
4
20%
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-8
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.8
28.4
36.3
6
30%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
5-12
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
28.1
35.5
14
70%
14
2
0
1
1
3
3
11
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.6
30.5
16.4
8
41%
10
0
1
0
3
4
8
2
4-6
67%
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
27.3
22.4
16
56%
2
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-5
60%
5-9
2-5
56%
41%
1-3
33%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
11.0
8.8
4
29%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
6.6
0
1-2
40%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
5.4
0
0-1
46%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.