Final Win Prob. pScore
2340%95
92
2560%98
101
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo Warriors
102.29097.8
MIA logo Heat
112.29083.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
101
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
101
Q4 - 0:09.0GSWMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
101
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)92
101
Q4 - 0:13.0GSWMurphy S.FOUL (P5.PN)92
100
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJames Driving Layup (15 PTS)92
100
Q4 - 0:18.0GSWJames STEAL (2 STL)92
98
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)92
98
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)92
97
Q4 - 0:25.0GSWJamison P.FOUL (P5.PN)92
96
Q4 - 0:27.0GSWRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)92
96
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
96
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
95
Q4 - 0:36.0GSWRichardson P.FOUL (P4.PN)89
94
Q4 - 0:41.0GSWRichardson 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
94
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAAllen 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS)87
94
Q4 - 1:11GSWBoykins 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
92
Q4 - 1:17GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
92
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 285
92
Q4 - 1:18MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
92
Q4 - 1:18GSWMurphy P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
91
Q4 - 1:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
91
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 1:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)85
91
Q4 - 1:41GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T12)85
91
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames OFF.Foul (P4)85
91
Q4 - 2:19GSWRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)85
91
Q4 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)82
91
Q4 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)82
90
Q4 - 2:40GSWRichardson S.FOUL (P3.PN)82
89
Q4 - 2:55GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)82
89
Q4 - 2:55MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)81
89
Q4 - 2:55GSWJamison 11' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)81
89
Q4 - 3:05GSWWarriors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)79
89
Q4 - 3:07MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)79
89
Q4 - 3:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)79
86
Q4 - 3:29GSWMISS Boykins 12' Jump Shot79
86
Q4 - 3:54MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)79
86
Q4 - 4:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
84
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot79
84
Q4 - 4:38MIAJones Free Throw Technical (31 PTS)79
84
Q4 - 4:38GSWSUB: Richardson FOR Arenas79
83
Q4 - 4:38GSWArenas Ejection:Second Technical79
83
Q4 - 4:38GSWArenas T.FOUL (P2.T4)79
83
Q4 - 4:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
83
Q4 - 4:40GSWGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)79
83
Q4 - 4:41GSWArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
83
Q4 - 4:43GSWMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 279
83
Q4 - 4:43GSWWarriors Rebound79
83
Q4 - 4:43GSWMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 279
83
Q4 - 4:43MIAJames S.FOUL (P3.T3)79
83
Q4 - 4:48GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
83
Q4 - 4:50GSWMISS Jamison 16' Jump Shot79
83
Q4 - 4:54GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
83
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot79
83
Q4 - 5:06MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
83
Q4 - 5:07GSWMISS Boykins Layup79
83
Q4 - 5:11GSWArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
83
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones Layup79
83
Q4 - 5:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
83
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot79
83
Q4 - 5:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
83
Q4 - 5:33GSWMISS Boykins 8' Jump Shot79
83
Q4 - 5:57MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (James 2 AST)79
83
Q4 - 6:14GSWJamison Tip Shot (22 PTS)79
80
Q4 - 6:15GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
80
Q4 - 6:17GSWMISS Boykins 5' Running Jump Shot77
80
Q4 - 6:33MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T2)77
80
Q4 - 6:42MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)77
80
Q4 - 6:42MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania77
79
Q4 - 6:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)77
79
Q4 - 6:42GSWJamison P.FOUL (P4.T4)77
78
Q4 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound77
78
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Grant Layup77
78
Q4 - 6:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
78
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot77
78
Q4 - 7:02MIAHEAT Rebound77
78
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Jones 8' Running Jump Shot77
78
Q4 - 7:22GSWBoykins 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
78
Q4 - 7:43MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (25 PTS)75
78
Q4 - 8:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)75
76
Q4 - 8:05GSWBoykins 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 8 AST)75
76
Q4 - 8:13GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
76
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 8:34GSWJamison 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)73
76
Q4 - 8:42GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
76
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot71
76
Q4 - 8:54GSWBoykins P.FOUL (P1.T3)71
76
Q4 - 9:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
76
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 271
76
Q4 - 9:08MIAHEAT Rebound71
76
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 271
76
Q4 - 9:08GSWDampier S.FOUL (P2.T2)71
76
Q4 - 9:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
76
Q4 - 9:24GSWMISS Murphy Driving Layup71
76
Q4 - 9:37MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)71
76
Q4 - 9:37MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Murphy: Tip to71
76
Q4 - 9:54MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
76
Q4 - 9:56GSWMISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot71
76
Q4 - 10:08MIAGrant 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
76
Q4 - 10:29MIASUB: Best FOR Butler71
74
Q4 - 10:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)71
74
Q4 - 10:32GSWMurphy 4' Driving Layup (12 PTS)71
74
Q4 - 10:43GSWArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
74
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot69
74
Q4 - 10:55MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen69
74
Q4 - 10:55GSWArenas P.FOUL (P2.T1)69
74
Q4 - 11:11GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)69
74
Q4 - 11:11MIAStepania S.FOUL (P5.T1)68
74
Q4 - 11:11GSWDampier Layup (10 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)68
74
Q4 - 11:16GSWArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
74
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot66
74
Q4 - 11:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
74
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot66
74
Q4 - 11:47GSWJamison 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)66
74
Q4 - 12:0064
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 41' 3PT Jump Shot64
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
74
Q3 - 0:03.0GSWStepania BLOCK (3 BLK)64
74
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)64
74
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
71
Q3 - 0:37.0GSWMISS Arenas Free Throw Technical64
71
Q3 - 0:37.064
71
Q3 - 0:37.0GSWJamison Dunk (16 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)64
71
Q3 - 0:41.0GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
71
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup62
71
Q3 - 0:54.0GSWSUB: Boykins FOR Dunleavy62
71
Q3 - 0:54.0GSWArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)62
71
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)62
71
Q3 - 1:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
71
Q3 - 1:14GSWMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 262
71
Q3 - 1:14GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
71
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.T4)61
71
Q3 - 1:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 1 AST)61
71
Q3 - 1:46GSWArenas 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
68
Q3 - 1:53GSWArenas Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)59
68
Q3 - 1:53GSWWarriors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
68
Q3 - 1:53MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec James )58
68
Q3 - 2:09MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
68
Q3 - 2:23GSWMurphy 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
66
Q3 - 2:42MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)56
66
Q3 - 3:01GSWJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)56
64
Q3 - 3:21MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)53
64
Q3 - 3:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)53
63
Q3 - 3:21GSWDunleavy P.FOUL (P2.T3)53
62
Q3 - 3:41GSWMurphy 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)53
62
Q3 - 3:48GSWWarriors Rebound51
62
Q3 - 3:48GSWMISS Jamison Free Throw Technical51
62
Q3 - 3:48MIASUB: James FOR Best51
62
Q3 - 3:48MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Allen )51
62
Q3 - 3:54GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
62
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot51
62
Q3 - 3:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2)51
62
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot51
62
Q3 - 4:18GSWJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)51
62
Q3 - 4:26GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
62
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot48
62
Q3 - 4:50GSWArenas Layup (14 PTS)48
62
Q3 - 4:52MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)46
62
Q3 - 4:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)46
62
Q3 - 4:56GSWMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
62
Q3 - 5:15MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P2.T8)46
62
Q3 - 5:15MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P4)46
62
Q3 - 5:30GSWButler STEAL (1 STL)46
62
Q3 - 5:45GSWSUB: Dunleavy FOR Richardson46
62
Q3 - 5:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)46
62
Q3 - 5:45GSWWarriors Rebound46
62
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup46
62
Q3 - 5:51GSWJones STEAL (5 STL)46
62
Q3 - 6:08MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)46
62
Q3 - 6:25GSWStepania STEAL (1 STL)46
60
Q3 - 6:45MIAJones Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)46
60
Q3 - 7:02GSWJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
58
Q3 - 7:02GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
58
Q3 - 7:02MIAStepania S.FOUL (P3.T3)44
58
Q3 - 7:05GSWArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
58
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot44
58
Q3 - 7:08MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
58
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
58
Q3 - 7:28GSWArenas Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)44
58
Q3 - 7:36MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
58
Q3 - 7:36MIAHEAT Rebound44
57
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 244
57
Q3 - 7:36GSWMurphy S.FOUL (P3.T2)44
57
Q3 - 7:55GSWMurphy 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
57
Q3 - 8:15GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
57
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot42
57
Q3 - 8:33GSWArenas Driving Layup (12 PTS)42
57
Q3 - 8:39GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
57
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
57
Q3 - 9:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
57
Q3 - 9:02GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 240
57
Q3 - 9:02MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant40
57
Q3 - 9:02GSWWarriors Rebound40
57
Q3 - 9:02GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 240
57
Q3 - 9:02MIAGrant S.FOUL (P4.T2)40
57
Q3 - 9:15MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
57
Q3 - 9:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)40
55
Q3 - 9:37GSWRichardson Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)40
55
Q3 - 9:40MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)38
55
Q3 - 10:04GSWArenas Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
55
Q3 - 10:07MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)36
55
Q3 - 10:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
55
Q3 - 10:16GSWMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
55
Q3 - 10:26GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
55
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot36
55
Q3 - 10:40GSWJamison P.FOUL (P3.T1)36
55
Q3 - 10:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
55
Q3 - 10:55GSWMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
55
Q3 - 10:57MIABest P.FOUL (P3.T1)36
55
Q3 - 11:07GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
55
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot36
55
Q3 - 11:32GSWMurphy 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
55
Q3 - 11:45MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)34
55
Q3 - 12:0034
53
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW34
53
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound34
53
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot34
53
Q2 - 0:04.0GSWWarriors Rebound34
53
Q2 - 0:06.0GSWMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
53
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
53
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
52
Q2 - 0:26.0GSWJamison S.FOUL (P2.PN)34
51
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)34
51
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James 6' Running Jump Shot34
51
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
51
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
51
Q2 - 0:53.0GSWDunleavy P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
51
Q2 - 1:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
51
Q2 - 1:14GSWMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 234
51
Q2 - 1:14MIASUB: James FOR Best34
51
Q2 - 1:14GSWArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
51
Q2 - 1:14MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)33
51
Q2 - 1:29MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)33
51
Q2 - 1:52GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
49
Q2 - 1:52MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant32
49
Q2 - 1:52MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones32
49
Q2 - 1:52GSWWarriors Rebound32
49
Q2 - 1:52GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 232
49
Q2 - 1:52MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.PN)32
49
Q2 - 1:58MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS)32
49
Q2 - 2:20GSWDunleavy 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
47
Q2 - 2:42MIAAllen 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)30
47
Q2 - 3:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
45
Q2 - 3:04GSWBest BLOCK (1 BLK)30
45
Q2 - 3:19MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)30
45
Q2 - 3:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
43
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup30
43
Q2 - 3:35MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania30
43
Q2 - 3:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
43
Q2 - 3:35MIAJones Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 3:35GSWArenas Taunting (P1.T2)30
42
Q2 - 3:35GSWArenas Driving Dunk (7 PTS)30
42
Q2 - 3:45MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
42
Q2 - 3:45GSWSUB: Dunleavy FOR Foyle28
41
Q2 - 3:45MIAHEAT Rebound28
41
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 228
41
Q2 - 3:45GSWFoyle S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
41
Q2 - 3:45MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)28
41
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Best 7' Running Jump Shot28
41
Q2 - 3:58GSWArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
41
Q2 - 3:58MIASUB: Jones FOR James27
41
Q2 - 3:58GSWArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
41
Q2 - 3:58MIABest S.FOUL (P2.T4)26
41
Q2 - 4:15MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T3)26
41
Q2 - 4:18MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)26
41
Q2 - 4:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
41
Q2 - 4:39GSWStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)26
41
Q2 - 4:51MIAGrant Reverse Layup (8 PTS)26
41
Q2 - 4:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
39
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot26
39
Q2 - 5:09GSWSUB: Jamison FOR Boykins26
39
Q2 - 5:09GSWRichardson Palming Turnover (P3.T11)26
39
Q2 - 5:22GSWArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot26
39
Q2 - 5:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
39
Q2 - 5:47GSWMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot26
39
Q2 - 6:05GSWSUB: Dampier FOR Murphy26
39
Q2 - 6:05GSWSUB: Arenas FOR Jamison26
39
Q2 - 6:05GSWWarriors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
39
Q2 - 6:09MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 6 AST)26
39
Q2 - 6:29MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)26
37
Q2 - 6:31GSWMISS Foyle Reverse Layup26
37
Q2 - 6:46MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 5 AST)26
37
Q2 - 7:03GSWRichardson L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)26
35
Q2 - 7:03MIAHEAT Rebound26
35
Q2 - 7:04GSWMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot26
35
Q2 - 7:05MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
35
Q2 - 7:07GSWJames STEAL (1 STL)26
35
Q2 - 7:26MIAButler Driving Dunk (2 PTS)26
35
Q2 - 7:40GSWMurphy Foul Turnover (P3.T9)26
33
Q2 - 7:40GSWMurphy OFF.Foul (P2)26
33
Q2 - 7:53MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)26
33
Q2 - 7:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)26
31
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Best 8' Running Jump Shot26
31
Q2 - 8:07GSWSUB: Richardson FOR Mills26
31
Q2 - 8:07GSWSUB: Murphy FOR Fortson26
31
Q2 - 8:0726
31
Q2 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound26
31
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup26
31
Q2 - 8:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31
Q2 - 8:15GSWStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)26
31
Q2 - 8:35MIABest 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 8:52GSWBoykins 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
29
Q2 - 9:07MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 4 AST)24
29
Q2 - 9:23GSWJamison 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)24
27
Q2 - 9:27MIASUB: Best FOR Jones22
27
Q2 - 9:27MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)22
27
Q2 - 9:27GSWWarriors Rebound22
27
Q2 - 9:29GSWMISS Mills 7' Running Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 9:47MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)22
27
Q2 - 9:59MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen22
25
Q2 - 9:59MIAHEAT Rebound22
25
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 10:26GSWMills Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)22
25
Q2 - 10:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
25
Q2 - 10:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)22
25
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 10:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25
Q2 - 10:52GSWMISS Fortson 8' Hook Shot22
25
Q2 - 11:02MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler22
25
Q2 - 11:02MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T1)22
25
Q2 - 11:19MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)22
25
Q2 - 11:23GSWJones STEAL (4 STL)22
23
Q2 - 11:41GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
23
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS James 4' Running Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 12:0022
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
23
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23
Q1 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Arenas 13' Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 0:25.0GSWWarriors Rebound22
23
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 0:31.0GSWSUB: Mills FOR Richardson22
23
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
23
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS James Driving Layup22
23
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)22
23
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 1:02GSWFortson L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)22
23
Q1 - 1:09MIAHEAT Rebound22
23
Q1 - 1:10GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 1:19GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 1:33GSWJones STEAL (3 STL)22
23
Q1 - 2:02GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
23
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: James FOR Best22
23
Q1 - 2:11GSWJamison Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
23
Q1 - 2:11GSWJamison OFF.Foul (P1)22
23
Q1 - 2:26MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
23
Q1 - 2:27MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
21
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Best Driving Layup22
21
Q1 - 2:40GSWWarriors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
21
Q1 - 2:56GSWRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)22
21
Q1 - 3:14GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
21
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot19
21
Q1 - 3:34GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
21
Q1 - 3:34GSWWarriors Rebound18
21
Q1 - 3:34GSWMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 218
21
Q1 - 3:34MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.PN)18
21
Q1 - 3:48MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 3 AST)18
21
Q1 - 4:01GSWArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fortson 1 AST)18
18
Q1 - 4:21GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
18
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 4:39GSWSUB: Fortson FOR Murphy15
18
Q1 - 4:39GSWMurphy Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
18
Q1 - 4:39GSWMurphy OFF.Foul (P1)15
18
Q1 - 4:54GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
18
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 5:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
18
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 5:26MIAHEAT Rebound15
18
Q1 - 5:28GSWMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 5:33GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)15
18
Q1 - 5:35GSWMISS Richardson Driving Layup15
18
Q1 - 5:39GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 5:54GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 5:54GSWWarriors Rebound14
18
Q1 - 5:54GSWMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 214
18
Q1 - 5:54MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant14
18
Q1 - 5:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
18
Q1 - 5:54MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T4)14
18
Q1 - 6:06MIAButler 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)14
18
Q1 - 6:20GSWDampier Dunk (6 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 6:22GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
16
Q1 - 6:24GSWMISS Dampier Tip Shot12
16
Q1 - 6:25GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
16
Q1 - 6:26GSWMISS Murphy 6' Hook Shot12
16
Q1 - 6:33MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
16
Q1 - 6:51MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
16
Q1 - 6:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 7:00GSWMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 7:10MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 7:10MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 7:10GSWDampier S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
12
Q1 - 7:28GSWDampier Dunk (4 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)12
12
Q1 - 7:37GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot10
12
Q1 - 7:50GSWArenas P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
12
Q1 - 8:07GSWDampier Dunk (2 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 8:20MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
12
Q1 - 8:32MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)8
12
Q1 - 8:51GSWRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 9:02MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
10
Q1 - 9:05GSWJones STEAL (2 STL)5
10
Q1 - 9:16GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
10
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 15
10
Q1 - 9:17GSWRichardson S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
10
Q1 - 9:17MIAJones Layup (4 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 9:20GSWJones STEAL (1 STL)5
8
Q1 - 9:37MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
8
Q1 - 9:52GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 9:52MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:52GSWJamison 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:10MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
4
Q1 - 10:21GSWMISS Arenas 11' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:27MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:40GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 10:40GSWMurphy Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:43GSWMISS Dampier 4' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:59MIABest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 11:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:13GSWMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:28MIAJones 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:40GSWMurphy Palming Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Dampier: Tip to Arenas0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.11 55.4%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
15
27
56%
MIA
15
26
58%
Midrange
GSW
14
28
50%
MIA
18
47
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
GSW
13
24
54%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jamison2569%12.5 / 18
G. Arenas1750%8.5 / 17
J. Richardson1765%8.5 / 13
T. Murphy1260%6.0 / 10
E. Dampier1155%5.5 / 10
E. Boykins844%4.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy2100%1.0 / 1
D. Fortson0-0.0 / 1
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 1
C. Mills0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3886%19.0 / 22
M. James1653%8.0 / 15
B. Grant1470%7.0 / 10
M. Allen1137%5.5 / 15
V. Stepania840%4.0 / 10
C. Butler630%3.0 / 10
T. Best420%2.0 / 10
R. Butler429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
73
+10
-17
83
MIA
78
+24
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.11 55.4%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.7
94.5
GSW 102.2
MIA 112.2 +10.0
Pace
96.6
90.0
GSW 97.8 +14.5
MIA 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.2
GSW 14.7 −2.6
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
43.9%
GSW 56.4% +9.3%
MIA 47.1%
TO %
15.7%
14.8%
GSW 17.4%
MIA 11.0% −6.4%
ORB %
35.0%
26.8%
GSW 21.9%
MIA 41.9% +20.0%
FTrt
34.3
25.9
GSW 34.3 +4.1
MIA 30.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.9%
55.8%
GSW 47.2% +5.1%
MIA 42.1%
STL %
7.4%
7.9%
GSW 10.0%
MIA 10.0%
BLK %
8.4%
6.4%
GSW 11.0% +1.9%
MIA 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
46.0%
GSW 55.4% +5.9%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
56.3%
53.7%
GSW 55.6%
MIA 57.7% +2.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
37.6%
GSW 50.0% +11.7%
MIA 38.3%
3P %
34.4%
31.6%
GSW 46.7% +8.2%
MIA 38.5%
FT %
77.8%
76.5%
GSW 54.2%
MIA 76.9% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
28.9%
GSW 38.6% +8.3%
MIA 30.2%
Mid Att. %
46.0%
54.2%
GSW 40.0% −14.7%
MIA 54.7%
3P Att. %
17.8%
16.9%
GSW 21.4% +6.3%
MIA 15.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points92101
Rebounds3243
Assists1716
Steals99
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals36-7038-86
At-the-Rim FG15-2715-26
Midrange FG14-2818-47
2-Point FG29-5533-73
3-Point FG7-155-13
Free Throws13-2420-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
47.1
25
69%
4
1
1
1
2
5
1
3
5-7
71%
7-10
70%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 27
42.1
11
55%
9
0
0
5
1
2
4
5
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 21
37.5
17
50%
6
8
4
0
2
2
1
5
4-8
50%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 245 · 23
33.4
12
60%
8
1
2
0
4
5
1
7
0-2
0%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 22
30.5
17
65%
3
1
1
0
5
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
G · 5'5" 133 · 27
19.8
8
44%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22
8.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27
8.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 28
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 33
4.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 23
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
55%
32
17
9
8
17
0
7
25
13-24
54%
29-55
53%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.