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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 14, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Grizzlies10%9987
1Mavericks90%115104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
22.4
36.5
16
80%
3
1
0
0
2
3
0
3
8-9
89%
4-6
6-13
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.1
21.4
27.1
12
45%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.7
20.9
33.5
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.1
20.9
30.4
6
27%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-11
5-11
27%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
13.9
28.3
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
5-11
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.3
34.1
14.7
13
94%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
27.1
18.3
10
39%
7
1
1
1
2
3
0
7
2-2
100%
4-12
2-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
27.1
14.6
17
88%
3
4
0
0
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
2-2
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.5
25.4
13.5
7
60%
5
6
2
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.1
23.1
15.5
4
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
39%
0-1
0%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.2
3.8
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.1
12.5
1
1-3
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.8
37.1
38.1
22
45%
7
2
1
1
0
1
4
3
5-6
83%
7-17
6-13
41%
50%
1-5
20%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.7
36.3
23.9
12
39%
18
0
2
1
8
0
6
12
0-1
0%
6-15
3-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.8
32.5
33.8
26
60%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
51%
2-7
29%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
23.5
24.6
9
83%
9
1
2
1
2
1
2
7
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.4
20.7
13.6
8
58%
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.0
32.0
36.1
8
44%
2
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
21.0
15.0
15
75%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
17.9
9.3
2
20%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.5
11.5
14.9
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.7
3.8
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Adam Harrington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
3.8
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.5
19.8
1
3-6
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.