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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 15, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Magic29%10084
3Lakers71%107107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 26.3
29.1
28.6
10
50%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
2-5
40%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.2
29.1
25.8
16
43%
8
3
3
1
1
4
2
6
6-6
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 22.8
28.9
24.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
22.9
34.6
21
60%
3
0
0
1
3
1
0
3
3-6
50%
6-13
8-17
46%
47%
2-2
100%
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 33.1
18.6
23.9
4
100%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.5
26.1
29.6
15
64%
3
4
1
2
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.9
20.8
15.5
2
33%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
19.9
11.7
7
55%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
16.0
14.2
3
39%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-0
-
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
11.4
14.7
1
7%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-6
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.8
9.7
10.0
5
31%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
38%
1-4
25%
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 21.6
7.6
4.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.8
36.0
37.5
30
72%
14
0
0
1
2
3
3
11
6-9
67%
12-17
10-18
71%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.3
33.8
40.3
21
55%
6
8
0
2
2
8
1
5
9-9
100%
6-14
8-17
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.4
32.9
30.7
19
80%
6
5
2
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
42%
3-5
60%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.3
24.1
29.0
4
42%
7
5
1
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
24.0
27.9
6
34%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
26.9
20.9
9
51%
5
3
1
1
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
2-2
100%
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.7
15.7
18.3
5
83%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 26.8
12.6
18.0
6
51%
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
12.0
4.3
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.7
7.6
5.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.9
7.4
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.4
6.9
4.6
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.