FinalWin Prob.pScore
1757%93
105
2543%91
100
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
108.29781.4
MIA logo MIA
103.19795.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA105
100%
100
0%
OT1 - 0:04.0HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)105
99.9%
100
0.1%
OT1 - 0:04.0HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
99.8%
100
0.2%
OT1 - 0:04.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)103
99.3%
100
0.7%
OT1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
97.9%
100
2.1%
OT1 - 0:09.0HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
94.1%
100
5.9%
OT1 - 0:09.0HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
92.1%
100
7.9%
OT1 - 0:10.0MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)101
86.3%
100
13.7%
OT1 - 0:28.0HOUMobley Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)101
62.2%
100
37.8%
OT1 - 0:42.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)99
47.2%
100
52.8%
OT1 - 0:54.0HOUGriffin 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)99
75.4%
97
24.6%
OT1 - 1:13MIAAllen 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS)97
62.3%
97
37.7%
OT1 - 1:34HOUGriffin Layup (11 PTS)97
72.7%
95
27.3%
OT1 - 1:35HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
63.1%
95
36.9%
OT1 - 1:36HOUMISS Griffin 13' Jump Shot95
53.3%
95
46.7%
OT1 - 1:52MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
62.4%
95
37.6%
OT1 - 1:52MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
64.3%
94
35.7%
OT1 - 2:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
71.4%
93
28.6%
OT1 - 2:04HOUButler BLOCK (1 BLK)95
75.2%
93
24.8%
OT1 - 2:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)95
82.8%
93
17.2%
OT1 - 2:17MIAHEAT Rebound95
71.1%
93
28.9%
OT1 - 2:18MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot95
79.8%
93
20.2%
OT1 - 2:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)95
71.1%
93
28.9%
OT1 - 2:20MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot95
79.8%
93
20.2%
OT1 - 2:45HOUYao Dunk (13 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)95
70.9%
93
29.1%
OT1 - 2:56HOUYao REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)93
63.3%
93
36.7%
OT1 - 2:58HOUMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot93
53.5%
93
46.5%
OT1 - 3:19MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)93
64.0%
93
36.0%
OT1 - 3:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
69.4%
91
30.6%
OT1 - 3:30HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
73.4%
91
26.6%
OT1 - 3:46HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
76.8%
91
23.2%
OT1 - 3:48MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot93
74.6%
91
25.4%
OT1 - 4:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
69.2%
91
30.8%
OT1 - 4:04HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot93
71.7%
91
28.3%
OT1 - 4:18HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
77.0%
91
23.0%
OT1 - 4:20MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot93
74.8%
91
25.2%
OT1 - 4:43HOUMobley 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
69.2%
91
30.8%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Yao: Tip to Mobley91
61.1%
91
38.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)88
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
15.0%
89
85.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Francis 20' Driving Finger Roll88
21.4%
89
78.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABest Driving Layup (13 PTS)88
46.1%
89
53.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
58.9%
87
41.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
47.5%
87
52.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot86
41.9%
87
58.1%
Q4 - 1:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
31.7%
87
68.3%
Q4 - 1:11HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 286
34.1%
87
65.9%
Q4 - 1:11HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 286
43.1%
87
56.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)86
48.8%
87
51.2%
Q4 - 1:17MIAButler Running Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)86
62.6%
86
37.4%
Q4 - 1:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
72.9%
84
27.1%
Q4 - 1:22HOUMISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot86
76.5%
84
23.5%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Best 6 AST)86
82.1%
84
17.9%
Q4 - 1:50HOUMobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
91.7%
81
8.3%
Q4 - 2:09HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
82.7%
81
17.3%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Butler Dunk83
79.7%
81
20.3%
Q4 - 2:31HOUYao Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T18)83
71.0%
81
29.0%
Q4 - 2:53HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
80.0%
81
20.0%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot83
77.2%
81
22.8%
Q4 - 3:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
69.4%
81
30.6%
Q4 - 3:06HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
73.2%
81
26.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)83
80.8%
81
19.2%
Q4 - 3:51HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q4 - 3:51HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
81.4%
79
18.6%
Q4 - 3:58HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
76.9%
79
23.1%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot81
74.7%
79
25.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot81
74.7%
79
25.3%
Q4 - 4:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot81
74.7%
79
25.3%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot81
74.7%
79
25.3%
Q4 - 4:11HOUButler STEAL (1 STL)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 4:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)81
77.1%
79
22.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot81
74.8%
79
25.2%
Q4 - 4:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Butler Layup81
74.9%
79
25.1%
Q4 - 4:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup81
74.9%
79
25.1%
Q4 - 4:54HOUJames STEAL (1 STL)81
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q4 - 5:16MIAStepania Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)81
75.3%
79
24.7%
Q4 - 5:33HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
80.8%
77
19.2%
Q4 - 5:33HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
80.1%
77
19.9%
Q4 - 5:34HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
75.3%
77
24.7%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot79
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
68.3%
77
31.7%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot79
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q4 - 5:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
68.3%
77
31.7%
Q4 - 5:58HOUMISS Norris 19' Jump Shot79
70.6%
77
29.4%
Q4 - 6:19MIAAllen 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
74.4%
77
25.6%
Q4 - 6:20MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
79.0%
75
21.0%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot79
82.8%
75
17.2%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
79.0%
75
21.0%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup79
82.8%
75
17.2%
Q4 - 6:45HOUNorris 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
79.1%
75
20.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)77
73.6%
75
26.4%
Q4 - 7:05MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)77
74.3%
74
25.7%
Q4 - 7:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (22 PTS)77
75.3%
73
24.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
82.4%
72
17.6%
Q4 - 7:28HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup77
83.7%
72
16.3%
Q4 - 7:35MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)77
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
82.4%
72
17.6%
Q4 - 7:40HOUMISS Hawkins 21' Jump Shot77
83.8%
72
16.2%
Q4 - 7:53HOUYao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)77
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q4 - 7:55HOUMISS Norris Driving Layup77
83.8%
72
16.2%
Q4 - 8:18MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
84.8%
72
15.2%
Q4 - 8:41HOUAllen STEAL (1 STL)77
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
89.4%
70
10.6%
Q4 - 9:26HOUMobley Foul Turnover (P1.T14)77
91.4%
68
8.6%
Q4 - 9:41HOUHawkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q4 - 9:43HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
92.0%
68
8.0%
Q4 - 9:56HOURockets Rebound77
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup77
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q4 - 10:13HOUGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)77
90.4%
68
9.6%
Q4 - 10:25HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
92.3%
68
7.7%
Q4 - 10:27HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
91.0%
68
9.0%
Q4 - 10:47MIAJones Driving Layup (17 PTS)77
92.4%
68
7.6%
Q4 - 11:05HOUJones STEAL (6 STL)77
92.9%
66
7.1%
Q4 - 11:26MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)77
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 11:44HOUMobley Running Dunk (18 PTS) (Hawkins 1 AST)77
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q4 - 11:48MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)75
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
94.2%
63
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
94.2%
63
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Cato 10' Jump Shot75
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 175
93.8%
63
6.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOUFrancis Driving Layup (14 PTS)75
93.6%
63
6.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOURice Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)73
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 1:03HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
89.9%
63
10.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 1:19HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 1:19HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
87.6%
63
12.4%
Q3 - 1:34MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
85.8%
63
14.2%
Q3 - 1:56HOUCato Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)70
88.0%
61
12.0%
Q3 - 2:03HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
84.8%
61
15.2%
Q3 - 2:05HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot68
82.9%
61
17.1%
Q3 - 2:36MIAButler 12' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
84.9%
61
15.1%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
86.9%
59
13.1%
Q3 - 2:53HOUMISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
87.6%
59
12.4%
Q3 - 3:07HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
88.5%
59
11.5%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 268
88.2%
59
11.8%
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
86.8%
59
13.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
88.3%
58
11.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Stepania 13' Jump Shot68
89.6%
58
10.4%
Q3 - 3:29HOUFrancis 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
88.4%
58
11.6%
Q3 - 3:59MIABest 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 4:21HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 4:26HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
86.0%
56
14.0%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot64
85.2%
56
14.8%
Q3 - 4:46HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
83.4%
56
16.6%
Q3 - 4:46HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 4:49HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
81.3%
56
18.7%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup62
80.3%
56
19.7%
Q3 - 5:08HOUYao 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rice 2 AST)62
77.6%
56
22.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)60
74.8%
56
25.2%
Q3 - 5:24MIAButler 4' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
77.8%
55
22.2%
Q3 - 5:49HOUMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)60
80.4%
53
19.6%
Q3 - 6:06MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 5 AST)57
74.3%
53
25.7%
Q3 - 6:36HOURice 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
77.1%
51
22.9%
Q3 - 7:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
73.6%
51
26.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 255
74.1%
50
25.9%
Q3 - 7:20HOUYao Dunk (9 PTS)55
73.2%
50
26.8%
Q3 - 7:22HOUYao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)53
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 7:24HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup53
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q3 - 7:31HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)53
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot53
69.4%
50
30.6%
Q3 - 7:55HOURice 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
66.8%
50
33.2%
Q3 - 8:15MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)51
63.9%
50
36.1%
Q3 - 8:26HOUThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)51
66.8%
48
33.2%
Q3 - 8:29HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
70.5%
48
29.5%
Q3 - 8:32HOUAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)51
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q3 - 8:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
70.5%
48
29.5%
Q3 - 8:49MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)51
73.6%
47
26.4%
Q3 - 9:00HOUThomas Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)51
76.0%
45
24.0%
Q3 - 9:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup51
77.6%
45
22.4%
Q3 - 9:32HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)51
75.8%
45
24.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 4 AST)48
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q3 - 10:06HOUYao 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
72.8%
43
27.2%
Q3 - 10:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)46
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q3 - 10:09HOUMISS Mobley 13' Jump Shot46
67.8%
43
32.2%
Q3 - 10:29MIABest 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
72.8%
41
27.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
74.9%
41
25.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
72.8%
41
27.2%
Q3 - 10:50HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot46
73.7%
41
26.3%
Q3 - 11:01HOUYao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q3 - 11:03HOUMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot46
73.7%
41
26.3%
Q3 - 11:22MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 246
76.0%
40
24.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q3 - 11:45HOUMISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot46
76.3%
40
23.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU46
78.1%
40
21.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound46
78.1%
40
21.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot46
76.3%
40
23.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)46
77.2%
40
22.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Stepania Driving Layup46
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUJones STEAL (5 STL)46
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q2 - 1:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
79.8%
38
20.2%
Q2 - 1:15HOUYao Dunk (5 PTS)46
79.8%
38
20.2%
Q2 - 1:17HOUMISS Griffin Layup44
75.7%
38
24.3%
Q2 - 1:19HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot44
75.7%
38
24.3%
Q2 - 1:33HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup44
76.2%
38
23.8%
Q2 - 1:51HOUGriffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)44
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q2 - 2:05MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 3 AST)41
69.2%
38
30.8%
Q2 - 2:17HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
72.0%
36
28.0%
Q2 - 2:22HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot41
73.6%
36
26.4%
Q2 - 2:37HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
72.0%
36
28.0%
Q2 - 2:37HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 240
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 2:52HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
71.8%
36
28.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 240
71.5%
36
28.5%
Q2 - 2:54MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
69.4%
36
30.6%
Q2 - 3:14HOUNorris 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)40
71.4%
35
28.6%
Q2 - 3:20HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot38
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 3:37HOUJones STEAL (4 STL)38
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 3:41HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q2 - 3:43HOUGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)38
67.2%
35
32.8%
Q2 - 3:52HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 4:15HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 4:15HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 237
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 4:20MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 4:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot37
65.5%
35
34.5%
Q2 - 4:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 4:43HOUMISS Norris Running Layup37
64.5%
35
35.5%
Q2 - 4:50HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 5:12HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
64.5%
35
35.5%
Q2 - 5:28MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
66.5%
35
33.5%
Q2 - 5:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 5:36HOUMISS Yao 9' Jump Shot37
64.5%
35
35.5%
Q2 - 5:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
66.4%
35
33.6%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 6:11HOUFrancis 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
63.6%
35
36.4%
Q2 - 6:19HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot35
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 6:48MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 6:50HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup35
59.3%
35
40.7%
Q2 - 6:55HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot35
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 7:17HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 7:17HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 7:31MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 7:52HOUGriffin Tip Shot (5 PTS)33
53.6%
35
46.4%
Q2 - 7:53HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 7:55HOUMISS Cato Layup31
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 7:56HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 8:00HOUMISS Norris 21' Jump Shot31
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
51.2%
35
48.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 8:41HOUMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot31
54.3%
33
45.7%
Q2 - 8:56HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
56.3%
33
43.7%
Q2 - 8:58HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 231
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 8:58HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
55.3%
33
44.7%
Q2 - 9:06HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS James Driving Layup30
53.1%
33
46.9%
Q2 - 9:13HOUButler STEAL (1 STL)30
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 9:34MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)30
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 9:49HOUGriffin 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
56.1%
31
43.9%
Q2 - 10:13MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)28
53.9%
31
46.1%
Q2 - 10:32HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)28
56.0%
29
44.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)25
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 10:50MIAHEAT Rebound25
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot25
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 11:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q2 - 11:16HOUMISS Cato 4' Hook Shot25
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 11:28HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot25
50.7%
29
49.3%
Q2 - 11:40HOUMobley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rice 1 AST)25
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU22
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound22
44.2%
29
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 58' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.5%
29
57.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAGrant 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 222
48.6%
27
51.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
46.6%
27
53.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
49.4%
26
50.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0HOUMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot22
49.9%
26
50.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)22
51.2%
26
48.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Cato 9' Jump Shot22
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q1 - 1:08HOURockets Rebound22
58.4%
23
41.6%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot22
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q1 - 1:22HOUMISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.1%
23
42.9%
Q1 - 1:34MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
58.3%
23
41.7%
Q1 - 1:43HOUJones STEAL (3 STL)22
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)22
63.3%
21
36.7%
Q1 - 2:27HOUMobley Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
65.5%
19
34.5%
Q1 - 2:37HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
63.2%
19
36.8%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot20
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
61.2%
19
38.8%
Q1 - 2:57HOUMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot20
61.8%
19
38.2%
Q1 - 3:05HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 3:07HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 3:19HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot20
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 3:47HOUThomas Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
60.9%
19
39.1%
Q1 - 4:00MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 4:03HOUFrancis Dunk (6 PTS)18
56.7%
19
43.3%
Q1 - 4:04HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 4:06HOUMISS Mobley 5' Running Jump Shot16
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 4:13HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup16
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 4:23HOUFrancis Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 4:32HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot14
49.7%
19
50.3%
Q1 - 4:44HOURice 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 5:03MIAAllen Running Dunk (2 PTS)12
46.8%
19
53.2%
Q1 - 5:10HOUGrant STEAL (1 STL)12
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q1 - 5:17HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q1 - 5:19HOUMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot12
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q1 - 5:56HOUMobley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 6:03MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 6:24HOUThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 6:27HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 6:39HOUThomas Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)8
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 7:00HOUJones STEAL (2 STL)8
51.1%
12
48.9%
Q1 - 7:02MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q1 - 7:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 7:27HOUMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot8
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)8
53.8%
12
46.2%
Q1 - 8:05HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
56.0%
10
44.0%
Q1 - 8:05HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 8:14HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot6
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 8:40HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 8:47HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.6%
10
49.4%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot4
49.9%
10
50.1%
Q1 - 8:59HOUJones STEAL (1 STL)4
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 9:16MIAJones 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
50.5%
10
49.5%
Q1 - 9:37MIAHEAT Rebound4
51.9%
8
48.1%
Q1 - 9:39HOUGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)4
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 10:16HOUThomas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)4
55.8%
6
44.2%
Q1 - 10:34MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 10:49HOURice 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)0
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 11:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 11:27HOUMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot0
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 11:44MIABest 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Yao: Tip to Jones0
59.7%
0
40.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.0%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
15
28
54%
MIA
11
25
44%
Midrange
HOU
16
40
40%
MIA
23
48
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
HOU
22
28
79%
MIA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Mobley2759%13.5 / 23
S. Francis2148%10.5 / 22
G. Rice1594%7.5 / 8
Yao1583%7.5 / 9
E. Griffin1544%7.5 / 17
K. Thomas638%3.0 / 8
M. Norris433%2.0 / 6
K. Cato220%1.0 / 5
J. Hawkins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3252%16.0 / 31
C. Butler1847%9.0 / 19
B. Grant1667%8.0 / 12
T. Best1372%6.5 / 9
M. Allen1038%5.0 / 13
V. Stepania638%3.0 / 8
M. James330%1.5 / 5
R. Butler225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
79
+22
-18
101
MIA
87
+17
-10
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.0%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
94.5
HOU 108.2 +5.2
MIA 103.1
Pace
91.6
90.0
HOU 81.4
MIA 95.5 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.2
HOU 17.7
MIA 15.1 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
43.9%
HOU 48.8% +2.2%
MIA 46.6%
TO %
15.8%
14.8%
HOU 15.6%
MIA 10.8% +4.8%
ORB %
30.4%
26.8%
HOU 43.5% +14.3%
MIA 29.2%
FTrt
31.6
25.9
HOU 32.9 +8.2
MIA 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
55.8%
HOU 31.6%
MIA 48.7% +17.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
HOU 9.3%
MIA 11.3% +2.0%
BLK %
8.9%
6.4%
HOU 12.3% +6.4%
MIA 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
46.0%
HOU 52.0% +4.8%
MIA 47.2%
Rim FG%
58.1%
53.7%
HOU 53.6% +9.6%
MIA 44.0%
Mid FG%
37.5%
37.6%
HOU 40.0%
MIA 47.9% +7.9%
3P %
34.6%
31.6%
HOU 41.2% +9.9%
MIA 31.3%
FT %
76.8%
76.5%
HOU 78.6% +1.3%
MIA 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.0%
28.9%
HOU 32.9% +4.9%
MIA 28.1%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
54.2%
HOU 47.1% +6.9%
MIA 53.9%
3P Att. %
19.6%
16.9%
HOU 20.0% +2.0%
MIA 18.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes28.624.4
Points105100
Rebounds5440
Assists1219
Steals911
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (2)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)26 (2)
Field Goals38-8539-89
At-the-Rim FG15-2811-25
Midrange FG16-4023-48
2-Point FG31-6834-73
3-Point FG7-175-16
Free Throws22-2817-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 27
50.1
27
59%
5
1
2
0
1
5
0
5
6-6
100%
6-14
43%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 36
41.7
15
94%
8
2
0
0
4
2
0
8
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 26
41.1
21
48%
6
6
2
0
4
2
3
3
6-9
67%
6-15
40%
1-2
50%
C · 7'6" 310 · 22
41.0
15
83%
12
0
0
5
4
4
8
4
5-6
83%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
24.0
6
38%
5
0
0
0
3
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 21
28.7
15
44%
8
0
1
4
1
1
2
6
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
16.4
4
33%
0
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 28
12.0
2
20%
9
0
1
0
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 205 · 29
10.0
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 24
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26
F · 6'9" 221 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
105
52%
54
12
9
9
18
0
20
34
22-28
79%
31-68
46%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.