FinalWin Prob.pScore
1128%100
97
272%107
118
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
97.0100114.6
DAL logo DAL
116.810190.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL97
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDMISS Brezec 7' Jump Shot97
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot97
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)97
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 297
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14INDBrezec Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DALLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P1.T12)96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DALJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47INDMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53INDMISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DALJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS)96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DALJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DALMISS LaFrentz Layup96
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48INDTinsley Driving Layup (9 PTS)96
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)94
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DALJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)94
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14INDMISS Mercer 16' Jump Shot94
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46DALJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DALMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09INDCroshere Layup (7 PTS)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DALJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46INDBrezec 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04DALBradley 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28INDStrickland Foul Turnover (P3.T17)89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35DALJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51INDCroshere Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57DALMISS Jones Layup87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00DALMISS Van Exel Layup87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 286
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31DALMISS Jones Layup86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57INDStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06INDCroshere Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06DALWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21DALMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41INDMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48DALWilliams Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:22INDMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29INDMISS Foster 14' Jump Shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41DALGriffin Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45DALMISS Griffin 7' Jump Shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 9:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10INDMISS O'Neal Reverse Dunk81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40INDMercer 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:42INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:43INDMISS Tinsley Layup79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:04DALMISS Griffin 5' Jump Shot79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:21DALMAVERICKS Rebound79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:22INDBradley BLOCK (4 BLK)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33DALVan Exel Driving Layup (19 PTS)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 10:41INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 10:47INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 10:50DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 11:03INDStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 11:03INDMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 278
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 11:15DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 10 AST)78
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 11:31DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 11:33INDMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 11:45DALVan Exel 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND78
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound78
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Miller 71' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot78
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)78
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DALFinley Driving Layup (33 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)75
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDBradley STEAL (1 STL)75
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q3 - 1:04DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)75
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q3 - 1:14DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)75
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q3 - 1:16INDMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot75
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q3 - 1:27DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)75
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q3 - 1:27DALVan Exel Layup (14 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)75
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 1:27DALBradley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 1:29DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot75
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q3 - 1:49INDCroshere 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 2:07DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)73
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 2:24INDGriffin STEAL (1 STL)73
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 2:31INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q3 - 2:33DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 2:44DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)73
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 2:55INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 2:55INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 3:05DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)71
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q3 - 3:05DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)71
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 3:26INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)71
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 3:44DALVan Exel Driving Layup (12 PTS)69
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 3:55DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 3:57INDMISS O'Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 4:17INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 4:18DALMISS Van Exel Layup69
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 4:28INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)69
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 4:42DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)69
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 4:42DALBradley Tip Shot (4 PTS)69
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 4:45DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 4:58INDO'Neal 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 5:22DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 5:22DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 5:40INDHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)66
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 5:58DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)63
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q3 - 6:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 6:19INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot63
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 6:40DALNash 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)63
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 6:54INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)63
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q3 - 6:54INDMiller Layup (10 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)62
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 7:09DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)60
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 7:20INDTinsley Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)60
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 7:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 7:34DALMISS Van Exel 11' Jump Shot60
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 7:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 7:43INDBradley BLOCK (3 BLK)60
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 7:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 7:47INDMISS O'Neal Layup60
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 8:01DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)60
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 8:13INDMiller Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)60
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 8:15INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 8:18DALMISS Bradley Layup58
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 8:33INDHarrington 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q3 - 8:34INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 8:37INDNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)56
7.4%
66
92.6%
Q3 - 9:00DALFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 9:00DALFinley Tip Shot (22 PTS)56
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 9:01DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 9:01DALMISS Finley Layup56
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 9:03DALMISS Nash Layup56
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 9:10INDNash STEAL (2 STL)56
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 9:11INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 9:14DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot56
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 9:24DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)56
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 9:26INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot56
9.8%
64
90.2%
Q3 - 9:45DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)56
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 9:58INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)56
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 10:11INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 10:13DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot54
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 10:37INDMiller Layup (8 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)54
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 10:53INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 10:55DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 11:01DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 11:04DALMISS Griffin Layup52
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 11:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 11:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 11:31DALGriffin 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)50
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 11:46INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T11)50
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND50
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALVan Exel 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)48
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMiller Tip Shot (4 PTS)48
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDMISS Mercer 15' Jump Shot46
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q2 - 1:10DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)46
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q2 - 1:10DALVan Exel 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 1:24INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q2 - 1:24INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q2 - 1:46DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 144
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q2 - 1:46DALLaFrentz Layup (11 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)44
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q2 - 1:53DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)44
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q2 - 1:53INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 244
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q2 - 1:53INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 244
8.2%
55
91.8%
Q2 - 2:22DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)44
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q2 - 2:33DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 2:36INDMISS Miller Free Throw 3 of 344
9.7%
53
90.3%
Q2 - 2:36INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)44
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 2:36INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)43
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q2 - 2:40INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q2 - 2:42INDMISS World Peace 11' Jump Shot42
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 2:58DALLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)42
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q2 - 3:11INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)42
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 3:27INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 3:29DALMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot42
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q2 - 3:46DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 3:49INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 4:02DALVan Exel Layup (2 PTS)42
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 4:26INDTinsley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 4:33DALGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)40
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 4:46INDTinsley Layup (4 PTS)40
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q2 - 4:51INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 4:53DALMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot38
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q2 - 4:59DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 5:02DALMISS Finley 7' Jump Shot38
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 5:12DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 5:14INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 5:23INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 5:25DALMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot38
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 5:43DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 5:44INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot38
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 5:51INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 5:53DALMISS Nash 4' Jump Shot38
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q2 - 6:05INDMercer 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 6:06INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:09INDBradley BLOCK (2 BLK)36
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 6:10INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:11INDMISS World Peace Layup36
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 6:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:17DALMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot36
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 6:22DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 6:24INDMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot36
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 6:30INDPacers Rebound36
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:30INDLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)36
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 6:47DALLaFrentz Layup (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)36
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:52DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 6:54INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 7:00INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 7:01DALMISS Nash Layup36
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 7:05INDNash STEAL (1 STL)36
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 7:13DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)36
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 7:13DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 7:15DALMISS Bradley 5' Jump Shot36
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 7:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound36
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 7:19DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot36
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 7:36DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 7:37INDMISS Harrington 5' Jump Shot36
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 7:49DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 8:07INDWorld Peace Reverse Layup (6 PTS)36
9.7%
46
90.3%
Q2 - 8:29DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)34
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q2 - 8:45INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 9:02DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS)32
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 9:21INDHarrington 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 9:50INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 9:50DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q2 - 9:50INDHarrington 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 9:55INDPacers Rebound28
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 9:56INDMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot28
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 10:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
7.7%
42
92.3%
Q2 - 10:08DALMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 228
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q2 - 10:08DALWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 10:16INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)28
7.6%
41
92.4%
Q2 - 10:41DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)28
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 10:47DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 10:51INDMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 11:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 11:03DALMISS Van Exel 12' Jump Shot28
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 11:14INDFinley STEAL (2 STL)28
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 11:34DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)28
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 11:53INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)26
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALNash 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)26
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot24
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)23
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 221
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDMISS Harrington 5' Jump Shot20
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
8.3%
33
91.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0INDMercer 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)20
7.9%
33
92.1%
Q1 - 1:10DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
7.2%
33
92.8%
Q1 - 1:10DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 1:10DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
8.0%
31
92.0%
Q1 - 1:12DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot18
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q1 - 1:31DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
8.0%
31
92.0%
Q1 - 1:33INDMISS World Peace 5' Jump Shot18
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q1 - 1:45DALBradley Foul Turnover (P2.T3)18
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q1 - 1:52INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
8.0%
31
92.0%
Q1 - 2:06DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)18
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q1 - 2:16INDHarrington 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 2:26INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q1 - 2:29DALMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q1 - 2:41INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
8.8%
28
91.2%
Q1 - 2:41INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q1 - 3:03DALFinley Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)14
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q1 - 3:10DALNash Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)14
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 3:10DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 3:13INDBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)14
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 3:19INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 3:21DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot14
10.3%
25
89.7%
Q1 - 3:33DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 3:35INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.0%
25
90.0%
Q1 - 3:40DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 3:52INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
9.7%
25
90.3%
Q1 - 4:07DALNash 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 4:17INDTinsley 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 4:31DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)10
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 4:37INDMiller Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)10
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:37INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q1 - 4:38DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot10
10.4%
21
89.6%
Q1 - 4:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:45INDO'Neal Tip Shot (5 PTS)10
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:54INDMISS Miller 4' Jump Shot8
8.5%
21
91.5%
Q1 - 5:22DALNash Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
9.3%
21
90.7%
Q1 - 5:33INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
10.0%
19
90.0%
Q1 - 5:40INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 5:42DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot8
10.6%
19
89.4%
Q1 - 5:56DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 5:59INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot8
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 6:13DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 6:13DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 6:19DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 6:21INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 6:26DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 6:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 6:33INDMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot8
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 7:01DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)8
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 7:05DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 7:07DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 7:17INDFinley STEAL (1 STL)8
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 7:24DALNowitzki Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)8
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 7:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound8
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 7:34INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 7:47DALLaFrentz Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)8
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 7:54INDWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)8
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 8:10DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 8:31INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
17.8%
9
82.2%
Q1 - 8:45INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.0%
9
81.0%
Q1 - 8:47DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot6
18.6%
9
81.4%
Q1 - 9:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 9:05INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 25
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 9:14DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
17.8%
9
82.2%
Q1 - 9:32INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)5
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:35INDPacers Rebound2
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 9:35INDNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 9:41INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 9:43DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.4%
6
82.6%
Q1 - 9:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 9:55INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot2
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 10:06DALFinley Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 10:23INDO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)2
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 10:44DALGriffin 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:50DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 10:53INDMISS Tinsley 22' Jump Shot0
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:57INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 11:00DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:10DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 11:11INDLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)0
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 11:19DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:21DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:24DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:33DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:35DALMISS Nash 9' Jump Shot0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS LaFrentz 9' Jump Shot0
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. O'Neal: Tip to Nash0
21.1%
0
78.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 48.0%
DAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
32
53%
DAL
23
36
64%
Midrange
IND
14
32
44%
DAL
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
DAL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
23
31
74%
DAL
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2050%10.0 / 20
A. Harrington1568%7.5 / 11
R. Miller1155%5.5 / 10
B. Miller1155%5.5 / 10
J. Tinsley941%4.5 / 11
A. Croshere880%4.0 / 5
M. World Peace633%3.0 / 9
R. Mercer630%3.0 / 10
E. Strickland643%3.0 / 7
P. Brezec338%1.5 / 4
J. Foster250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley3375%16.5 / 22
D. Nowitzki2067%10.0 / 15
N. Van Exel2043%10.0 / 23
S. Nash1350%6.5 / 13
R. LaFrentz1365%6.5 / 10
S. Bradley650%3.0 / 6
A. Johnson6100%3.0 / 3
A. Griffin440%2.0 / 5
W. Williams330%1.5 / 5
P. Jones0-0.0 / 4
A. Harrington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+19
-18
101
DAL
90
+19
-11
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 48.0%
DAL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
108.0
IND 97.0 +19.8
DAL 116.8
Pace
94.7
94.9
IND 114.6 +24.6
DAL 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.3
IND 12.6 +3.4
DAL 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
49.8%
IND 44.6%
DAL 52.6% +8.0%
TO %
14.7%
11.6%
IND 15.7%
DAL 10.3% +5.4%
ORB %
28.9%
25.5%
IND 32.6% +0.6%
DAL 32.0%
FTrt
34.4
25.7
IND 37.3 +18.7
DAL 18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
58.1%
IND 42.9%
DAL 58.7% +15.8%
STL %
9.0%
8.5%
IND 5.0%
DAL 8.9% +3.9%
BLK %
8.1%
8.5%
IND 9.6%
DAL 12.5% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
52.1%
IND 48.0%
DAL 53.6% +5.6%
Rim FG%
58.0%
58.2%
IND 53.1%
DAL 63.9% +10.8%
Mid FG%
38.0%
40.7%
IND 43.8% +8.7%
DAL 35.1%
3P %
33.9%
38.1%
IND 21.1%
DAL 41.7% +20.6%
FT %
76.6%
82.9%
IND 74.2%
DAL 88.9% +14.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
29.6%
IND 38.6% +1.4%
DAL 37.1%
Mid Att. %
49.2%
46.5%
IND 38.6%
DAL 38.1% +0.4%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.9%
IND 22.9%
DAL 24.7% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsINDDAL
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes20.926.9
Points97118
Rebounds4947
Assists1527
Steals59
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals35-8346-97
At-the-Rim FG17-3223-36
Midrange FG14-3213-37
2-Point FG31-6436-73
3-Point FG4-1910-24
Free Throws23-3116-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
33.2
9
41%
9
6
0
1
4
4
1
8
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-4
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 37
28.9
11
55%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
F · 6'11" 255 · 24
26.3
20
50%
7
1
0
2
3
3
5
2
5-7
71%
6-14
43%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 261 · 27
23.1
11
55%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 23
19.6
6
33%
5
0
2
2
0
3
1
4
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27
28.6
6
30%
2
0
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
27.1
15
68%
7
2
0
0
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 218 · 29
24.3
6
43%
1
4
0
0
4
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
14.9
8
80%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 23
7.3
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26
6.7
2
50%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
48%
49
15
5
7
18
0
15
34
23-31
74%
31-64
48%
4-19
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.