FinalWin Prob.pScore
2620%89
91
680%99
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.99286.7
BOS logo BOS
86.294100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0BOSMISS Williams 3' Layup90
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 289
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 289
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P8.T18)87
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMcCarty STEAL (2 STL)87
96.9%
80
3.1%
Q4 - 1:14BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
97.1%
80
2.9%
Q4 - 1:14BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 287
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 1:23MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 6 AST)87
96.0%
79
4.0%
Q4 - 1:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)84
87.7%
79
12.3%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot84
82.6%
79
17.4%
Q4 - 1:49BOSDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
85.9%
79
14.1%
Q4 - 1:49BOSDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
87.0%
78
13.0%
Q4 - 1:50BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
90.5%
77
9.5%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot84
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 2:16BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)84
93.8%
77
6.2%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)84
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHeat Rebound84
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot84
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 2:53BOSPierce 1' Layup (14 PTS)84
96.2%
75
3.8%
Q4 - 2:55BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q4 - 2:57BOSMISS Delk Free Throw 2 of 284
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 2:57BOSDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 2:58BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 3:14BOSWilliams 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)84
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)84
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 383
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)83
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 3:41BOSDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 3:41BOSDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 4:00MIAGrant Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)82
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 4:20BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T17)80
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q4 - 4:32BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
96.7%
68
3.3%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot80
97.1%
68
2.9%
Q4 - 4:53BOSMcCarty Dunk (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)80
97.8%
68
2.2%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)80
96.9%
66
3.1%
Q4 - 5:26MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q4 - 5:28BOSMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot80
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q4 - 5:41MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
97.1%
66
2.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
96.9%
66
3.1%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHeat Rebound78
96.1%
66
3.9%
Q4 - 6:02BOSMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
93.1%
66
6.9%
Q4 - 6:10BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
91.5%
66
8.5%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot78
92.3%
66
7.7%
Q4 - 6:38BOSWilliams 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)78
93.9%
66
6.1%
Q4 - 6:46BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)78
95.7%
64
4.3%
Q4 - 7:10BOSDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
94.8%
64
5.2%
Q4 - 7:23MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)78
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q4 - 7:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 7:38BOSMISS McCarty 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q4 - 7:54MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)78
96.9%
61
3.1%
Q4 - 8:17BOSDelk 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)76
94.5%
61
5.5%
Q4 - 8:27BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q4 - 8:28BOSMISS Delk 11' Jump Shot76
97.2%
58
2.8%
Q4 - 8:50MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)76
96.7%
58
3.3%
Q4 - 9:04MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
94.3%
58
5.7%
Q4 - 9:05BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
93.9%
58
6.1%
Q4 - 9:15BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
92.9%
58
7.1%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Stepania 6' Jump Shot74
93.4%
58
6.6%
Q4 - 9:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot74
93.4%
58
6.6%
Q4 - 9:42BOSMcCarty 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q4 - 9:52BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.9%
56
4.1%
Q4 - 10:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q4 - 10:12BOSMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.1%
56
4.9%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)74
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q4 - 10:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
91.5%
56
8.5%
Q4 - 10:45BOSMISS Williams Layup71
90.9%
56
9.1%
Q4 - 11:04MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)71
88.0%
56
12.0%
Q4 - 11:19MIAHeat Rebound68
82.8%
56
17.2%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot68
80.4%
56
19.6%
Q4 - 11:44BOSMcCarty Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
82.8%
56
17.2%
Q4 - 11:44BOSMcCarty Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
83.7%
55
16.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
85.6%
54
14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound68
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 55' 3PT Jump Shot68
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSDelk 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)68
85.8%
54
14.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
90.2%
51
9.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot68
90.7%
51
9.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
92.1%
50
7.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
93.3%
49
6.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
93.1%
49
6.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
91.5%
49
8.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
90.3%
49
9.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Best 5' Jump Shot66
90.9%
49
9.1%
Q3 - 1:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 1:14BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
89.6%
49
10.4%
Q3 - 1:25BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
88.9%
49
11.1%
Q3 - 1:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
90.3%
49
9.7%
Q3 - 1:47BOSMISS Pierce 10' Jump Shot66
89.7%
49
10.3%
Q3 - 2:02MIABest 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
86.0%
49
14.0%
Q3 - 2:27BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
90.2%
46
9.8%
Q3 - 2:29BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 164
89.9%
46
10.1%
Q3 - 2:29BOSPierce 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)64
90.2%
46
9.8%
Q3 - 2:39MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
91.6%
44
8.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
91.1%
44
8.9%
Q3 - 2:58BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)62
90.2%
44
9.8%
Q3 - 3:02BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
91.9%
41
8.1%
Q3 - 3:04BOSMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot62
92.8%
41
7.2%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)62
91.9%
41
8.1%
Q3 - 3:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
89.0%
41
11.0%
Q3 - 3:34BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
88.4%
41
11.6%
Q3 - 3:41BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
87.0%
41
13.0%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Best 2' Layup59
87.6%
41
12.4%
Q3 - 3:54BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)59
89.0%
41
11.0%
Q3 - 3:54BOSMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q3 - 3:54BOSCELTICS Rebound59
88.9%
40
11.1%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot59
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
89.1%
40
10.9%
Q3 - 4:09BOSMISS Walker 1' Layup59
88.5%
40
11.5%
Q3 - 4:26MIAButler Foul Turnover (P5.T10)59
87.1%
40
12.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAHeat Rebound59
89.2%
40
10.8%
Q3 - 4:38BOSMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot59
88.6%
40
11.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)59
87.2%
40
12.8%
Q3 - 5:18BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)56
81.3%
40
18.7%
Q3 - 5:18BOSWalker 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)56
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q3 - 5:23BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
85.7%
37
14.3%
Q3 - 5:26BOSMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
87.2%
37
12.8%
Q3 - 5:31BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
85.7%
37
14.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot56
86.4%
37
13.6%
Q3 - 5:49BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
87.8%
37
12.2%
Q3 - 5:49BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 256
88.1%
36
11.9%
Q3 - 6:04MIABest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)56
85.7%
36
14.3%
Q3 - 6:23BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)53
81.7%
36
18.3%
Q3 - 6:40MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
79.1%
36
20.9%
Q3 - 6:40MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q3 - 6:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
76.5%
36
23.5%
Q3 - 6:52BOSMISS Baker 18' Jump Shot51
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q3 - 7:02BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
71.2%
36
28.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q3 - 7:20BOSBaker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q3 - 7:23BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q3 - 7:24BOSMISS Delk 15' Jump Shot51
79.3%
34
20.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAGrant Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)51
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q3 - 7:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
80.2%
34
19.8%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot51
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q3 - 7:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
80.2%
34
19.8%
Q3 - 7:59BOSMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
79.3%
34
20.7%
Q3 - 8:09BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Best 5' Jump Shot51
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q3 - 8:15BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)51
78.9%
34
21.1%
Q3 - 8:23BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
75.9%
34
24.1%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Butler 3' Tip Shot51
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
78.9%
34
21.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot51
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q3 - 8:34BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)51
78.9%
34
21.1%
Q3 - 8:49MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
75.9%
34
24.1%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 250
75.5%
34
24.5%
Q3 - 9:15BOSPierce Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
73.8%
34
26.2%
Q3 - 9:25BOSCELTICS Rebound50
76.5%
32
23.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
77.3%
32
22.7%
Q3 - 9:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
79.2%
32
20.8%
Q3 - 9:42BOSMISS Delk 21' Jump Shot50
78.4%
32
21.6%
Q3 - 10:07BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
74.2%
32
25.8%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot50
75.2%
32
24.8%
Q3 - 10:24BOSDelk Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)50
77.2%
32
22.8%
Q3 - 10:33MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
74.4%
32
25.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
73.9%
32
26.1%
Q3 - 10:54BOSWalker 1' Layup (13 PTS)48
71.9%
32
28.1%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)48
72.3%
30
27.7%
Q3 - 11:19BOSWalker 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Delk 4 AST)48
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q3 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)48
77.6%
28
22.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS48
80.1%
28
19.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound48
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
79.4%
28
20.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
76.0%
28
24.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Ellis 1' Layup48
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
78.1%
27
21.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
80.6%
26
19.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)46
77.8%
26
22.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 5 AST)46
76.1%
26
23.9%
Q2 - 1:21MIAHeat Rebound43
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q2 - 1:22BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q2 - 1:28BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
66.9%
26
33.1%
Q2 - 1:32MIADelk BLOCK (1 BLK)43
67.4%
26
32.6%
Q2 - 1:38BOSWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)43
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q2 - 1:51BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
67.0%
26
33.0%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
67.4%
26
32.6%
Q2 - 2:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
67.2%
26
32.8%
Q2 - 2:14BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 243
66.9%
26
33.1%
Q2 - 2:14BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q2 - 2:26MIAEllis 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)43
67.5%
25
32.5%
Q2 - 2:37BOSMcCarty Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)41
64.5%
25
35.5%
Q2 - 2:41BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
61.8%
25
38.2%
Q2 - 2:42BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot41
63.7%
25
36.3%
Q2 - 2:54BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
61.9%
25
38.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot41
62.7%
25
37.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
61.9%
25
38.1%
Q2 - 3:08BOSMISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot41
60.9%
25
39.1%
Q2 - 3:33MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)41
58.9%
25
41.1%
Q2 - 3:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q2 - 3:39BOSMISS Williams 3' Layup39
55.3%
25
44.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
51.0%
25
49.0%
Q2 - 4:09MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q2 - 4:13BOSMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot37
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q2 - 4:19BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)37
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q2 - 4:40BOSWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)37
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 4:47BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot37
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 4:54BOSMISS Baker 5' Jump Shot37
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q2 - 4:56BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 5:03BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup37
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q2 - 5:09BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
44.1%
25
55.9%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Stepania 12' Jump Shot37
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q2 - 5:33BOSBaker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)37
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)37
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q2 - 6:05BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot34
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q2 - 6:22MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q2 - 6:33BOSDelk 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)34
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q2 - 6:49MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)34
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q2 - 7:13BOSBaker Dunk (2 PTS) (Delk 3 AST)34
44.3%
22
55.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAStepania 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)34
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q2 - 7:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS James 1' Layup32
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q2 - 7:57BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q2 - 7:57BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q2 - 8:15MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)32
45.9%
18
54.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q2 - 8:20BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot32
48.0%
18
52.0%
Q2 - 8:41MIAGrant 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)32
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHeat Rebound30
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Stepania 7' Jump Shot30
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q2 - 9:17BOSWilliams 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)30
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q2 - 9:46MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)30
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q2 - 9:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q2 - 9:53BOSMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot27
39.2%
16
60.8%
Q2 - 10:11MIAStepania 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)27
37.1%
16
62.9%
Q2 - 10:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q2 - 10:33BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 225
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q2 - 10:33BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 225
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q2 - 10:53BOSCELTICS Rebound25
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot25
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q2 - 10:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot25
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q2 - 11:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q2 - 11:19BOSMISS McCarty 3PT Jump Shot25
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q2 - 11:35BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot25
32.3%
16
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS25
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound25
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot25
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 224
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0BOSWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T7)24
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)24
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0BOSMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot24
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 1:08MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 1:08MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 1:21BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)22
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMcCarty STEAL (1 STL)22
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 1:39MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)22
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 1:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 1:46BOSMISS Baker 1' Layup21
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 2:17BOSWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)19
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 2:21BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 2:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot19
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 2:48BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 2:48BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 219
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 2:49BOSCELTICS Rebound19
21.8%
15
78.2%
Q1 - 2:51BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot19
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 3:02BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.1%
15
78.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 3:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 3:17BOSMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 3:39MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)19
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 3:52BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 4:07MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
17.8%
15
82.2%
Q1 - 4:25BOSBaker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)15
16.9%
15
83.1%
Q1 - 4:47MIABest Layup (2 PTS)15
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 4:52BOSWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 5:10MIAGrant 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Best 4 AST)13
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 5:28BOSDelk 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:45MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 5:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot9
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical9
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
13.1%
12
86.9%
Q1 - 6:14BOSMISS Pierce 10' Jump Shot9
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 6:30MIAGrant 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)9
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 6:57BOSWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Delk 2 AST)7
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 7:06MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)7
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 7:21MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 7:22BOSMISS Battie 9' Jump Shot7
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 7:26BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Jones 2' Layup7
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 7:34BOSWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 7:46BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)7
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot7
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 8:21BOSWilliams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)7
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 8:35MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)7
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 8:56BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 8:56BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:03BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Best 12' Jump Shot5
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 9:17MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 9:20BOSMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
15.2%
5
84.8%
Q1 - 9:28BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 9:49BOSWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)5
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)5
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 10:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:29BOSMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot3
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 10:38BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:40BOSMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 10:51BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot3
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:15BOSWalker 8' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 1 AST)3
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:46BOSMISS Battie 13' Jump Shot0
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Battie vs. Grant: Tip to Delk0
14.3%
0
85.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
BOS
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
17
35%
BOS
11
18
61%
Midrange
MIA
13
37
35%
BOS
5
24
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
BOS
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
23
29
79%
BOS
22
32
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2153%10.5 / 20
B. Grant1771%8.5 / 12
C. Butler1450%7.0 / 14
M. James1365%6.5 / 10
L. Ellis1238%6.0 / 16
T. Best850%4.0 / 8
V. Stepania643%3.0 / 7
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Delk2067%10.0 / 15
A. Walker1950%9.5 / 19
P. Pierce1843%9.0 / 21
S. Williams1142%5.5 / 13
W. McCarty660%3.0 / 5
V. Baker440%2.0 / 5
E. Williams325%1.5 / 6
T. Battie0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+14
-11
95
BOS
76
+12
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
BOS
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
98.4
MIA 98.9 +12.7
BOS 86.2
Pace
90.0
93.6
MIA 86.7
BOS 100.1 +13.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.2
MIA 16.6
BOS 14.4 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.0%
MIA 44.2% +1.4%
BOS 42.8%
TO %
14.8%
14.3%
MIA 13.5% +4.3%
BOS 17.8%
ORB %
26.8%
23.6%
MIA 24.4% +3.0%
BOS 21.4%
FTrt
25.9
30.6
MIA 37.7
BOS 46.4 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.3%
MIA 72.4% +20.4%
BOS 52.0%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 12.0% +5.6%
BOS 6.4%
BLK %
6.4%
6.0%
MIA 4.8%
BOS 7.4% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.9%
MIA 47.9% +1.9%
BOS 46.0%
Rim FG%
53.7%
56.2%
MIA 35.3%
BOS 61.1% +25.8%
Mid FG%
37.6%
35.8%
MIA 35.1% +14.3%
BOS 20.8%
3P %
31.6%
33.4%
MIA 43.5% +10.2%
BOS 33.3%
FT %
76.5%
74.2%
MIA 79.3% +10.5%
BOS 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.9%
MIA 22.1%
BOS 26.1% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
35.0%
MIA 48.1%
BOS 34.8% +13.3%
3P Att. %
16.9%
33.1%
MIA 29.9%
BOS 39.1% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.15 and 3.15.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points9181
Rebounds4340
Assists2113
Steals116
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)31 (3)
Field Goals29-7725-69
At-the-Rim FG6-1711-18
Midrange FG13-375-24
2-Point FG19-5416-42
3-Point FG10-239-27
Free Throws23-2922-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
40.1
14
50%
10
3
3
0
5
3
4
6
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
38.5
21
53%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
7-9
78%
1-7
14%
4-10
40%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
35.4
17
71%
10
1
3
0
1
4
2
8
7-8
88%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
33.2
12
38%
8
2
0
0
1
3
1
7
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
1-7
14%
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
30.6
8
50%
1
6
2
0
0
6
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
25.7
13
65%
0
3
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-4
75%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
21.6
6
43%
10
0
0
1
1
3
3
7
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
14.9
0
0%
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
43
21
11
2
11
0
10
33
23-29
79%
19-54
35%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.