FinalWin Prob.pScore
180%104
80
2920%93
75
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
86.09390.7
DEN logo DEN
84.38991.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL80
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENTskitishvili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T22)80
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)80
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 279
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENTskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)79
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)79
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMISS Van Exel 5' Running Jump Shot79
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 1:05DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 1:05DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 1 of 279
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 1:05DENNUGGETS Rebound79
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 1:13DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot79
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 1:32DENMISS Nene 8' Jump Hook Shot79
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 1:46DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 1:46DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 1:57DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 1:57DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 2:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)77
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 2:20DALMISS Nash 6' Running Jump Shot77
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 2:38DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)77
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 2:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 2:52DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot77
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 3:11DENHarvey Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (White 3 AST)77
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 3:35DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)77
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 4:05DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T21)77
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 4:10DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 4:12DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 4:17DENHarvey Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)77
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 4:38DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)77
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 4:40DALMavericks Rebound74
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 4:42DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot74
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 4:57DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)74
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 5:07DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 5:09DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot74
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 5:34DENWhite 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)74
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 5:54DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)74
99.6%
60
0.4%
Q4 - 6:00DENHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)71
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 6:21DENNUGGETS Rebound71
98.6%
60
1.4%
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Nash 3PT Jump Shot71
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 6:58DENTskitishvili Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)71
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 7:11DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q4 - 7:14DALMISS Finley 18' Fadeaway Jumper71
99.1%
58
0.9%
Q4 - 7:34DENWhite Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)71
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q4 - 7:41DENNUGGETS Rebound71
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q4 - 7:42DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 271
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q4 - 7:42DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 271
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q4 - 7:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
99.1%
58
0.9%
Q4 - 7:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q4 - 8:01DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q4 - 8:03DENMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot69
98.3%
58
1.7%
Q4 - 8:14DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
98.0%
58
2.0%
Q4 - 8:17DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.1%
58
1.9%
Q4 - 8:36DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q4 - 8:36DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 269
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q4 - 8:53DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)69
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q4 - 8:59DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)66
97.4%
57
2.6%
Q4 - 9:13DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q4 - 9:15DALMISS LaFrentz 19' Jump Shot66
96.6%
57
3.4%
Q4 - 9:38DENHarrington 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q4 - 9:55DALLaFrentz 7' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)66
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q4 - 10:16DENTskitishvili Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)64
96.8%
55
3.2%
Q4 - 10:26DALFinley Foul Turnover (P2.T9)64
95.9%
55
4.1%
Q4 - 10:42DENBlount 6' Jump Hook Shot (3 PTS) (White 2 AST)64
96.8%
55
3.2%
Q4 - 10:55DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q4 - 10:58DALNene BLOCK (1 BLK)64
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q4 - 11:14DENWhite 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)64
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q4 - 11:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)64
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q4 - 11:34DALMISS Bradley 3' Layup64
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q4 - 11:38DALBradley REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)64
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q4 - 11:40DALMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN64
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound64
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS White 5' Finger Roll64
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALFinley 3' Layup (27 PTS)64
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
97.4%
51
2.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0DALMISS LaFrentz Layup62
97.0%
51
3.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
97.4%
51
2.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 19' Jump Shot62
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)62
96.8%
51
3.2%
Q3 - 1:09DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
95.9%
51
4.1%
Q3 - 1:14DENMISS White 6' Running Hook Shot60
95.6%
51
4.4%
Q3 - 1:34DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
95.0%
51
5.0%
Q3 - 1:34DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
94.9%
51
5.1%
Q3 - 1:53DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
94.0%
51
6.0%
Q3 - 1:53DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
94.3%
50
5.7%
Q3 - 1:55DALHoward STEAL (1 STL)58
95.0%
49
5.0%
Q3 - 2:10DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)58
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 2:23DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 2:25DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
94.9%
49
5.1%
Q3 - 2:44DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
95.6%
49
4.4%
Q3 - 2:46DENMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot58
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 2:56DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)58
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 3:09DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 3:09DENWhite 5' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)58
95.3%
49
4.7%
Q3 - 3:12DENMISS Harvey 5' Jump Shot58
96.5%
47
3.5%
Q3 - 3:27DALNash Driving Layup (14 PTS)58
96.0%
47
4.0%
Q3 - 3:52DENHoward 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (White 1 AST)56
95.3%
47
4.7%
Q3 - 4:07DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
95.8%
45
4.2%
Q3 - 4:07DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 4:18DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
95.2%
45
4.8%
Q3 - 4:20DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
94.9%
45
5.1%
Q3 - 4:35DALNash Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
94.2%
45
5.8%
Q3 - 4:52DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
93.3%
45
6.7%
Q3 - 4:53DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 252
93.2%
45
6.8%
Q3 - 4:53DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
92.6%
45
7.4%
Q3 - 5:10DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
93.0%
44
7.0%
Q3 - 5:10DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q3 - 5:20DENWhite 7' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)50
91.9%
44
8.1%
Q3 - 5:37DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)50
93.0%
42
7.0%
Q3 - 5:37DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)49
92.9%
42
7.1%
Q3 - 5:47DENYarbrough Foul Turnover (P2.T14)48
91.9%
42
8.1%
Q3 - 5:59DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)48
90.5%
42
9.5%
Q3 - 6:04DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
91.7%
42
8.3%
Q3 - 6:06DENMISS Harvey Layup48
91.3%
42
8.7%
Q3 - 6:18DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
90.4%
42
9.6%
Q3 - 6:21DALMISS Nash 7' Fadeaway Jumper48
90.8%
42
9.2%
Q3 - 6:25DALMavericks Rebound48
91.8%
42
8.2%
Q3 - 6:25DALMISS Nash 7' Running Jump Shot48
90.8%
42
9.2%
Q3 - 6:36DENWhite 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
91.8%
42
8.2%
Q3 - 6:57DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)48
92.8%
40
7.2%
Q3 - 7:14DALMavericks Rebound46
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q3 - 7:14DENMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot46
91.0%
40
9.0%
Q3 - 7:21DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q3 - 7:24DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
90.4%
40
9.6%
Q3 - 7:39DENYarbrough Foul Turnover (P1.T13)46
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q3 - 7:51DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
89.9%
40
10.1%
Q3 - 7:53DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot46
90.4%
40
9.6%
Q3 - 8:17DENYarbrough Layup (4 PTS)46
91.5%
40
8.5%
Q3 - 8:22DALYarbrough STEAL (1 STL)46
92.4%
38
7.6%
Q3 - 8:33DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
93.5%
38
6.5%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 1 of 246
93.9%
37
6.1%
Q3 - 8:52DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)46
93.4%
37
6.6%
Q3 - 9:09DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)44
92.5%
37
7.5%
Q3 - 9:29DALNash 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)44
91.4%
37
8.6%
Q3 - 9:34DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)42
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q3 - 9:39DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
88.7%
37
11.3%
Q3 - 9:43DALMISS Finley 17' Fadeaway Jumper42
89.2%
37
10.8%
Q3 - 10:05DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)42
90.4%
37
9.6%
Q3 - 10:07DENMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot42
90.0%
37
10.0%
Q3 - 10:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)42
88.9%
37
11.1%
Q3 - 10:28DALMISS Finley Reverse Layup42
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q3 - 10:31DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
90.4%
37
9.6%
Q3 - 10:34DENMISS Yarbrough Layup42
90.0%
37
10.0%
Q3 - 10:45DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
88.9%
37
11.1%
Q3 - 10:48DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot42
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q3 - 11:02DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
90.6%
37
9.4%
Q3 - 11:03DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 242
90.4%
37
9.6%
Q3 - 11:03DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 242
89.8%
37
10.2%
Q3 - 11:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)42
89.3%
37
10.7%
Q3 - 11:20DALMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot42
89.7%
37
10.3%
Q3 - 11:39DALMavericks Rebound42
90.6%
37
9.4%
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Yarbrough 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL42
89.3%
37
10.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound42
90.6%
37
9.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot42
89.7%
37
10.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot42
89.7%
37
10.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
90.3%
37
9.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 242
90.2%
37
9.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENNUGGETS Rebound42
90.6%
36
9.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot42
90.9%
36
9.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
91.6%
35
8.4%
Q2 - 1:04DALFinley Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)42
92.5%
34
7.5%
Q2 - 1:10DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
91.1%
34
8.9%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot40
90.9%
34
9.1%
Q2 - 1:33DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)40
90.5%
34
9.5%
Q2 - 1:53DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
88.8%
34
11.2%
Q2 - 1:55DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 2 of 238
88.7%
34
11.3%
Q2 - 1:55DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
88.0%
34
12.0%
Q2 - 1:55DENNUGGETS Rebound38
89.4%
33
10.6%
Q2 - 1:56DALMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot38
89.6%
33
10.4%
Q2 - 2:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
90.1%
33
9.9%
Q2 - 2:15DENMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot38
89.8%
33
10.2%
Q2 - 2:37DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)38
89.0%
33
11.0%
Q2 - 2:46DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)36
87.6%
33
12.4%
Q2 - 2:49DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 2:50DALMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot36
86.7%
33
13.3%
Q2 - 3:03DENHarvey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)36
87.8%
33
12.2%
Q2 - 3:04DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 3:07DALMISS LaFrentz 23' Jump Shot36
86.8%
33
13.2%
Q2 - 3:26DENHarvey Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)36
87.8%
33
12.2%
Q2 - 3:27DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 3:29DALHarvey BLOCK (1 BLK)36
86.8%
33
13.2%
Q2 - 3:31DENWhite Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)36
87.8%
33
12.2%
Q2 - 3:31DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 3:32DALMISS Van Exel 5' Running Jump Shot36
86.8%
33
13.2%
Q2 - 3:37DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
87.8%
33
12.2%
Q2 - 3:39DENMISS Nene Layup36
87.4%
33
12.6%
Q2 - 3:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)36
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 3:44DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot36
87.4%
33
12.6%
Q2 - 3:46DENHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 3:50DALMISS Finley 5' Running Jump Shot36
86.8%
33
13.2%
Q2 - 4:03DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
87.9%
33
12.1%
Q2 - 4:05DENMISS White 19' Jump Shot36
87.5%
33
12.5%
Q2 - 4:13DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
86.6%
33
13.4%
Q2 - 4:15DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
87.0%
33
13.0%
Q2 - 4:39DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)36
87.9%
33
12.1%
Q2 - 4:42DALMISS Finley 14' Fadeaway Jumper36
87.0%
33
13.0%
Q2 - 5:08DENHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)36
88.1%
33
11.9%
Q2 - 5:08DENHoward Layup (9 PTS)36
88.1%
33
11.9%
Q2 - 5:10DENMISS Yarbrough 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
89.9%
31
10.1%
Q2 - 5:31DALFinley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
89.1%
31
10.9%
Q2 - 5:43DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)34
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 6:06DENNUGGETS Rebound34
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q2 - 6:07DALMISS LaFrentz 19' Jump Shot34
89.5%
29
10.5%
Q2 - 6:27DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
90.3%
29
9.7%
Q2 - 6:27DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
90.5%
28
9.5%
Q2 - 6:45DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)34
91.1%
27
8.9%
Q2 - 6:54DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)32
90.3%
27
9.7%
Q2 - 7:00DALBell Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)32
91.1%
25
8.9%
Q2 - 7:15DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
90.2%
25
9.8%
Q2 - 7:15DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
90.3%
24
9.7%
Q2 - 7:15DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
91.0%
23
9.0%
Q2 - 7:16DENMISS Nene Layup30
91.6%
23
8.4%
Q2 - 7:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
91.0%
23
9.0%
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Yarbrough 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
91.6%
23
8.4%
Q2 - 7:44DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)30
91.0%
23
9.0%
Q2 - 7:55DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
90.2%
23
9.8%
Q2 - 7:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
90.5%
22
9.5%
Q2 - 7:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
91.0%
21
9.0%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Whitney 16' Jump Shot28
91.6%
21
8.4%
Q2 - 8:12DALBlount STEAL (1 STL)28
90.8%
21
9.2%
Q2 - 8:17DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)28
91.7%
21
8.3%
Q2 - 8:31DALTskitishvili STEAL (1 STL)28
90.8%
21
9.2%
Q2 - 8:33DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
91.7%
21
8.3%
Q2 - 8:37DALMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
91.1%
21
8.9%
Q2 - 8:42DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
91.7%
21
8.3%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS White Layup28
91.5%
21
8.5%
Q2 - 9:09DALVan Exel 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
90.8%
21
9.2%
Q2 - 9:21DENTskitishvili Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)26
90.0%
21
10.0%
Q2 - 9:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
90.8%
19
9.2%
Q2 - 9:29DALBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)26
91.1%
19
8.9%
Q2 - 9:45DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
91.7%
19
8.3%
Q2 - 9:47DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
91.1%
19
8.9%
Q2 - 9:57DENBlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
91.7%
19
8.3%
Q2 - 10:07DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
90.5%
19
9.5%
Q2 - 10:09DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
90.8%
19
9.2%
Q2 - 10:21DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
91.5%
19
8.5%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
91.2%
19
8.8%
Q2 - 10:43DALWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)26
90.6%
19
9.4%
Q2 - 10:54DENWhite 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)23
88.9%
19
11.1%
Q2 - 11:19DALVan Exel 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)23
90.6%
16
9.4%
Q2 - 11:35DENWhite 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
88.8%
16
11.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN20
89.8%
14
10.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
89.8%
14
10.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Williams Layup20
89.9%
14
10.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
90.4%
14
9.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALMISS Finley 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
89.9%
14
10.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
90.4%
14
9.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENTskitishvili Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
90.4%
14
9.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot20
91.8%
12
8.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
91.4%
12
8.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALMISS Williams Layup20
91.5%
12
8.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
91.9%
12
8.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
91.8%
12
8.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
91.4%
12
8.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
91.5%
12
8.5%
Q1 - 1:07DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
91.9%
12
8.1%
Q1 - 1:09DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
91.8%
12
8.2%
Q1 - 1:23DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
91.4%
12
8.6%
Q1 - 1:23DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
91.2%
12
8.8%
Q1 - 1:23DALMavericks Rebound18
90.4%
12
9.6%
Q1 - 1:24DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
89.8%
12
10.2%
Q1 - 1:24DENMISS Tskitishvili Tip Shot18
90.2%
12
9.8%
Q1 - 1:26DENMISS Bowen Layup18
90.2%
12
9.8%
Q1 - 1:31DENWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
89.8%
12
10.2%
Q1 - 1:34DALMISS Van Exel 7' Running Jump Shot18
90.0%
12
10.0%
Q1 - 1:46DENTskitishvili Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)18
90.4%
12
9.6%
Q1 - 2:01DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
89.8%
12
10.2%
Q1 - 2:01DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
88.9%
12
11.1%
Q1 - 2:24DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
87.9%
12
12.1%
Q1 - 2:26DENMISS Tskitishvili 21' Jump Shot15
87.6%
12
12.4%
Q1 - 2:38DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
87.0%
12
13.0%
Q1 - 2:40DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
87.3%
12
12.7%
Q1 - 2:59DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)15
87.9%
12
12.1%
Q1 - 3:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
86.9%
12
13.1%
Q1 - 3:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
86.7%
12
13.3%
Q1 - 3:27DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
85.9%
12
14.1%
Q1 - 3:29DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
85.5%
12
14.5%
Q1 - 3:45DALFinley 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)13
84.7%
12
15.3%
Q1 - 3:55DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q1 - 3:57DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot11
82.6%
12
17.4%
Q1 - 4:16DENHarvey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
84.0%
12
16.0%
Q1 - 4:29DALNash Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
82.5%
12
17.5%
Q1 - 4:31DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
81.5%
12
18.5%
Q1 - 4:35DENMISS Harvey 6' Running Jump Shot9
81.0%
12
19.0%
Q1 - 4:55DENHoward Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
79.8%
12
20.2%
Q1 - 4:55DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
81.2%
11
18.8%
Q1 - 4:55DALYarbrough BLOCK (2 BLK)9
81.7%
11
18.3%
Q1 - 5:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
82.7%
11
17.3%
Q1 - 5:02DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 5:02DENMISS Harvey Tip Shot9
82.8%
11
17.2%
Q1 - 5:04DENMISS Yarbrough 19' Jump Shot9
82.7%
11
17.3%
Q1 - 5:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 5:26DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Howard Layup9
82.7%
11
17.3%
Q1 - 5:28DENMISS Howard 4' Jump Hook Shot9
82.7%
11
17.3%
Q1 - 5:30DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 5:32DENMISS Nene Layup9
82.7%
11
17.3%
Q1 - 5:38DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 5:40DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot9
82.2%
11
17.8%
Q1 - 6:04DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
83.2%
11
16.8%
Q1 - 6:06DENMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot9
82.8%
11
17.2%
Q1 - 6:14DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
82.0%
11
18.0%
Q1 - 6:18DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
82.4%
11
17.6%
Q1 - 6:49DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)9
83.2%
11
16.8%
Q1 - 7:06DALNash Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
85.5%
8
14.5%
Q1 - 7:16DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
84.7%
8
15.3%
Q1 - 7:18DENMISS Harvey 7' Jump Shot7
84.3%
8
15.7%
Q1 - 7:36DALNash Foul Turnover (P1.T2)7
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 7:48DALMavericks Rebound7
84.6%
8
15.4%
Q1 - 7:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 7:49DENMISS Nene Tip Shot7
84.3%
8
15.7%
Q1 - 7:51DENMISS Yarbrough 20' Jump Shot7
84.3%
8
15.7%
Q1 - 8:01DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
84.1%
8
15.9%
Q1 - 8:01DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
84.0%
8
16.0%
Q1 - 8:07DENYarbrough 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)5
83.2%
8
16.8%
Q1 - 8:29DALLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)5
84.1%
6
15.9%
Q1 - 8:49DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
82.1%
6
17.9%
Q1 - 8:55DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
80.8%
6
19.2%
Q1 - 9:00DALMISS Finley 6' Jump Hook Shot2
81.2%
6
18.8%
Q1 - 9:13DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
82.1%
6
17.9%
Q1 - 9:13DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
82.5%
5
17.5%
Q1 - 9:13DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
82.9%
4
17.1%
Q1 - 9:16DENMISS Howard 10' Fadeaway Jumper2
83.8%
4
16.2%
Q1 - 9:36DALNene STEAL (1 STL)2
82.9%
4
17.1%
Q1 - 9:55DENHarvey 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
84.2%
4
15.8%
Q1 - 10:11DENNUGGETS Rebound2
85.0%
2
15.0%
Q1 - 10:13DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot2
85.4%
2
14.6%
Q1 - 10:33DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
86.1%
2
13.9%
Q1 - 10:35DENMISS Yarbrough 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
85.8%
2
14.2%
Q1 - 10:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
85.0%
2
15.0%
Q1 - 10:46DALMISS Nash 8' Running Jump Shot2
85.3%
2
14.7%
Q1 - 10:57DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)2
86.1%
2
13.9%
Q1 - 11:08DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
87.0%
0
13.0%
Q1 - 11:10DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot2
87.2%
0
12.8%
Q1 - 11:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
87.7%
0
12.3%
Q1 - 11:29DENMISS Nene Driving Layup2
87.5%
0
12.5%
Q1 - 11:38DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
87.0%
0
13.0%
Q1 - 11:38DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS)2
87.0%
0
13.0%
Q1 - 11:45DALYarbrough BLOCK (1 BLK)0
85.5%
0
14.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Nash0
86.0%
0
14.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.83 41.7%
DEN
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
8
21
38%
DEN
9
25
36%
Midrange
DAL
13
37
35%
DEN
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
DEN
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
DAL
20
21
95%
DEN
21
31
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley3150%15.5 / 31
S. Nash1860%9.0 / 15
D. Nowitzki930%4.5 / 15
R. LaFrentz938%4.5 / 12
N. Van Exel836%4.0 / 11
W. Williams338%1.5 / 4
R. Bell250%1.0 / 2
A. Griffin0-0.0 / 0
S. Bradley0-0.0 / 1
P. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2170%10.5 / 15
R. White1662%8.0 / 13
D. Harvey941%4.5 / 11
N. Tskitishvili956%4.5 / 8
J. Harrington850%4.0 / 8
Nene525%2.5 / 10
V. Yarbrough422%2.0 / 9
M. Blount338%1.5 / 4
C. Whitney0-0.0 / 4
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
84
+12
-9
96
DEN
68
+17
-21
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.83 41.7%
DEN
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
90.7
DAL 86.0 +1.8
DEN 84.3
Pace
94.9
92.6
DAL 90.7
DEN 91.3 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
DAL 15.9
DEN 15.8 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
42.8%
DAL 36.6%
DEN 38.6% +2.0%
TO %
11.6%
18.7%
DAL 9.9% +10.9%
DEN 20.8%
ORB %
25.5%
31.3%
DAL 19.1%
DEN 32.6% +13.5%
FTrt
25.7
28.3
DAL 25.6
DEN 44.3 +18.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
64.6%
DAL 63.0%
DEN 64.0% +1.0%
STL %
8.5%
9.3%
DAL 11.8% +6.2%
DEN 5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
DAL 14.5% +5.9%
DEN 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
44.6%
DAL 41.7%
DEN 42.6% +0.9%
Rim FG%
58.2%
53.8%
DAL 38.1% +2.1%
DEN 36.0%
Mid FG%
40.7%
35.8%
DAL 35.1%
DEN 40.0% +4.9%
3P %
38.1%
27.8%
DAL 25.0%
DEN 26.7% +1.7%
FT %
82.9%
69.9%
DAL 95.2% +27.5%
DEN 67.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
35.1%
DAL 25.6%
DEN 35.7% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
52.3%
DAL 45.1%
DEN 42.9% +2.3%
3P Att. %
23.9%
12.6%
DAL 29.3% +7.8%
DEN 21.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions9389
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points8075
Rebounds3852
Assists1716
Steals115
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)38 (5)
Field Goals27-8225-70
At-the-Rim FG8-219-25
Midrange FG13-3712-30
2-Point FG21-5821-55
3-Point FG6-244-15
Free Throws20-2121-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 225 · 30
43.9
31
50%
4
2
2
0
2
3
0
4
6-7
86%
11-20
55%
1-7
14%
F · 7'0" 245 · 24
32.5
9
30%
3
1
3
0
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
1-8
13%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
29.4
9
38%
4
1
0
2
1
5
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 178 · 29
28.3
18
60%
4
4
2
1
3
1
1
3
8-8
100%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'5" 230 · 28
4.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 31
43.8
0
0%
12
1
2
5
0
4
5
7
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
31.9
8
36%
4
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
13.0
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33
8.0
3
38%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 265 · 33
4.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 38
G · 6'5" 200 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
42%
38
17
11
8
9
0
9
29
20-21
95%
21-58
36%
6-24
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.