FinalWin Prob.pScore
1931%97
97
1169%103
90
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
99.098101.4
UTA logo UTA
93.89692.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)97
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)96
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAStockton Layup (6 PTS) (Malone 6 AST)95
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T24)93
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLArmstrong 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)93
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTACheaney 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)91
86.9%
88
13.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)91
94.9%
85
5.1%
Q4 - 1:13ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
82.4%
85
17.6%
Q4 - 1:16UTAMISS Stockton 19' Jump Shot88
78.7%
85
21.3%
Q4 - 1:28UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
67.7%
85
32.3%
Q4 - 1:30ORLMISS Armstrong 20' Jump Shot88
71.3%
85
28.7%
Q4 - 1:48UTAStockton 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)88
76.3%
85
23.7%
Q4 - 2:00ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
83.8%
83
16.2%
Q4 - 2:00ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)87
82.6%
83
17.4%
Q4 - 2:00ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
76.7%
83
23.3%
Q4 - 2:00UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
73.7%
83
26.3%
Q4 - 2:22UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
62.1%
83
37.9%
Q4 - 2:25ORLPadgett BLOCK (1 BLK)86
66.9%
83
33.1%
Q4 - 2:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
76.7%
83
23.3%
Q4 - 2:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
78.0%
82
22.0%
Q4 - 2:59ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 2:59ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
76.9%
81
23.1%
Q4 - 3:11ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
73.5%
81
26.5%
Q4 - 3:13UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 284
72.0%
81
28.0%
Q4 - 3:13UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)84
66.2%
81
33.8%
Q4 - 3:13UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
69.8%
80
30.2%
Q4 - 3:13ORLMISS Armstrong Driving Layup84
73.7%
80
26.3%
Q4 - 3:26ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
81.2%
80
18.8%
Q4 - 3:29UTAMISS Malone 5' Hook Shot84
78.2%
80
21.8%
Q4 - 3:42ORLStockton STEAL (2 STL)84
66.5%
80
33.5%
Q4 - 4:02ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
75.1%
80
24.9%
Q4 - 4:04UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot84
72.9%
80
27.1%
Q4 - 4:16ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
67.3%
80
32.7%
Q4 - 4:16ORLMISS Kemp Free Throw 1 of 283
65.6%
80
34.4%
Q4 - 4:28UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T23)83
67.9%
80
32.1%
Q4 - 4:43ORLStockton STEAL (1 STL)83
58.8%
80
41.2%
Q4 - 5:00UTACheaney Layup (12 PTS)83
68.2%
80
31.8%
Q4 - 5:26ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
54.8%
78
45.2%
Q4 - 5:27ORLMISS Sasser Free Throw 1 of 181
56.0%
78
44.0%
Q4 - 5:27ORLSasser 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
54.8%
78
45.2%
Q4 - 5:49ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q4 - 5:52UTAMISS Stockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
44.3%
78
55.7%
Q4 - 6:17ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P6.T14)79
36.5%
78
63.5%
Q4 - 6:29UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P4.T22)79
44.9%
78
55.1%
Q4 - 6:41UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
36.6%
78
63.4%
Q4 - 6:43ORLMISS Armstrong 23' Jump Shot79
39.1%
78
60.9%
Q4 - 6:57UTAHarpring 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)79
45.0%
78
55.0%
Q4 - 7:18UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
49.4%
76
50.6%
Q4 - 7:20ORLMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot79
51.7%
76
48.3%
Q4 - 7:30UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)79
57.2%
76
42.8%
Q4 - 7:39UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
49.4%
76
50.6%
Q4 - 7:41ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
51.8%
76
48.2%
Q4 - 8:00UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
57.3%
76
42.7%
Q4 - 8:00UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
58.4%
75
41.6%
Q4 - 8:14ORLArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
60.9%
74
39.1%
Q4 - 8:24UTAAmaechi 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T20)77
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q4 - 8:43ORLDeClercq Layup (4 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)77
48.3%
74
51.7%
Q4 - 8:53UTACheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)75
42.1%
74
57.9%
Q4 - 8:54UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
35.9%
74
64.1%
Q4 - 8:56ORLMISS Burke 18' Jump Shot75
37.8%
74
62.2%
Q4 - 9:09UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)75
41.1%
74
58.9%
Q4 - 9:29ORLVaughn Layup (2 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)75
35.2%
74
64.8%
Q4 - 9:47ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
30.1%
74
69.9%
Q4 - 9:48ORLMISS DeClercq 13' Jump Shot73
26.6%
74
73.4%
Q4 - 10:14UTACheaney 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)73
30.1%
74
69.9%
Q4 - 10:33UTAJAZZ Rebound73
34.7%
72
65.3%
Q4 - 10:37ORLMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot73
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q4 - 10:46UTAAmaechi Foul Turnover (P2.T17)73
40.5%
72
59.5%
Q4 - 10:55UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
34.7%
72
65.3%
Q4 - 10:57ORLMISS Vaughn Layup73
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q4 - 11:17ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
40.1%
72
59.9%
Q4 - 11:19UTAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot73
38.4%
72
61.6%
Q4 - 11:30UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
34.8%
72
65.2%
Q4 - 11:32ORLCheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)73
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q4 - 11:38ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
40.1%
72
59.9%
Q4 - 11:40UTAMISS Amaechi Layup73
38.4%
72
61.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA73
34.8%
72
65.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
34.8%
72
65.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Armstrong 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTAKirilenko Dunk (13 PTS) (Padgett 2 AST)73
39.2%
72
60.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
44.3%
70
55.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Vaughn 9' Running Jump Shot73
45.8%
70
54.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)73
49.4%
70
50.6%
Q3 - 1:13ORLKemp 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)73
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q3 - 1:33UTAKirilenko Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)71
38.5%
70
61.5%
Q3 - 1:41ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P5.T13)71
43.1%
68
56.9%
Q3 - 2:03UTAMalone 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)71
46.6%
68
53.4%
Q3 - 2:05UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
50.8%
66
49.2%
Q3 - 2:08UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot71
54.3%
66
45.7%
Q3 - 2:23ORLMiller 7' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)71
50.9%
66
49.1%
Q3 - 2:37UTAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
46.7%
66
53.3%
Q3 - 2:37UTAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
47.5%
65
52.5%
Q3 - 3:01UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 3:02ORLMISS Kemp 22' Jump Shot69
51.7%
64
48.3%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
55.0%
64
45.0%
Q3 - 3:17UTAMISS Padgett 19' Jump Shot69
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 3:19UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 3:21UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)69
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 3:21UTAMISS Harpring Tip Shot69
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 3:23UTAMISS Cheaney 16' Jump Shot69
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 3:37UTAJAZZ Rebound69
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 3:37UTAMISS Harpring 3' Jump Shot69
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 3:55ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 11 AST)69
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 4:07UTAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)66
40.7%
64
59.3%
Q3 - 4:25UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
36.1%
64
63.9%
Q3 - 4:27ORLMISS Sasser 23' Jump Shot66
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 4:45UTACheaney Dunk (8 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)66
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 5:04UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
43.9%
62
56.1%
Q3 - 5:06UTAMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
46.9%
62
53.1%
Q3 - 5:29ORLGarrity 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
43.9%
62
56.1%
Q3 - 5:36UTAStockton Foul Turnover (P3.T14)64
40.1%
62
59.9%
Q3 - 5:50ORLSasser Driving Layup (6 PTS)64
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 5:55UTAStockton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)62
32.4%
62
67.6%
Q3 - 6:07ORLSasser Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
28.3%
62
71.7%
Q3 - 6:07ORLSasser Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 6:10UTAMalone Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)60
25.4%
62
74.6%
Q3 - 6:24ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)60
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 6:24ORLKemp Layup (10 PTS) (Armstrong 10 AST)59
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 6:39UTAHarpring 3' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)57
17.4%
62
82.6%
Q3 - 6:58UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q3 - 7:01ORLOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)57
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q3 - 7:17UTAHarpring Layup (13 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)57
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 7:22ORLCheaney STEAL (1 STL)57
25.0%
58
75.0%
Q3 - 7:26UTAOstertag Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)57
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 7:30ORLMalone STEAL (1 STL)57
25.0%
58
75.0%
Q3 - 7:33UTACheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)57
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 7:57ORLMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kemp 2 AST)57
25.0%
58
75.0%
Q3 - 8:06ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
20.1%
58
79.9%
Q3 - 8:07UTAMISS Malone 21' Jump Shot54
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q3 - 8:24ORLSasser 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)54
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 8:50UTAStockton Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)54
20.1%
58
79.9%
Q3 - 9:09ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Armstrong 9 AST)54
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q3 - 9:20ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 9:21UTAMISS Malone 12' Jump Shot51
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 9:31UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q3 - 9:33ORLMISS Kemp 23' Jump Shot51
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 9:59UTAMalone Layup (12 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)51
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 10:05ORLMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)51
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 10:17ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q3 - 10:20UTAMISS Malone 12' Jump Shot48
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 10:42ORLKemp Dunk (8 PTS) (Armstrong 8 AST)48
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 10:46ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 10:50UTAMISS Harpring 3PT Jump Shot46
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 10:56UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q3 - 10:57UTAMISS Stockton Driving Layup46
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 11:04UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
10.8%
54
89.2%
Q3 - 11:07ORLMISS Kemp 14' Jump Shot46
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q3 - 11:22UTAOstertag Layup (4 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)46
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q3 - 11:45ORLGarrity 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 7 AST)46
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL44
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTAMassenburg 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)44
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)44
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLMagic Rebound44
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Armstrong 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.8%
50
85.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 244
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q2 - 1:05ORLBurke 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)44
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 1:18UTAKirilenko Dunk (9 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)42
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 1:38ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)42
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 1:49UTAMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q2 - 1:49UTAMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q2 - 1:51UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 1:53UTAMISS Kirilenko 3PT Jump Shot39
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 2:04UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 2:06ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 2:18ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
16.4%
45
83.6%
Q2 - 2:20UTAMISS Massenburg Layup39
15.9%
45
84.1%
Q2 - 2:34ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 2:34ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 2:41ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 2:43UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 2:51UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
12.0%
45
88.0%
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Sasser 11' Jump Shot37
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 3:09UTAKirilenko Layup (7 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)37
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 3:18UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 3:19UTAMISS Cheaney 21' Jump Shot37
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 3:37ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P4.T8)37
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 3:44UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)37
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 4:09ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
15.2%
43
84.8%
Q2 - 4:09ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 4:21UTACheaney Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)35
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 4:34UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 4:37ORLMISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot35
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 4:59UTAAmaechi Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)35
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 5:16ORLMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:16ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 5:34UTAAmaechi 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)33
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 5:58ORLArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 6:14UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 6:21UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
12.7%
39
87.3%
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 6:35UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 6:47UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 6:48ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 231
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 6:48ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 6:56ORLMagic Rebound30
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 6:57UTAMISS Stockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 7:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 7:13ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot30
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMagic Rebound30
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 7:16ORLMISS McGrady Layup30
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 7:30UTAHarpring Layup (11 PTS) (Amaechi 1 AST)30
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 7:44ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)30
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 8:10UTAKirilenko 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)27
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 8:25ORLMiller 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 8:50UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 8:50UTAPadgett Layup (2 PTS)25
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 8:52UTAMISS Kirilenko 14' Jump Shot25
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 8:59UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot25
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 9:24ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 9:27UTAMISS Padgett 19' Jump Shot25
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 9:35ORLAmaechi STEAL (1 STL)25
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 9:46UTAKirilenko Driving Dunk (2 PTS)25
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 9:55ORLKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)25
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 10:09ORLMagic Rebound25
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 10:10UTAMISS Amaechi 10' Jump Shot25
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q2 - 10:31UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 10:39ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 10:41UTAMISS Harpring 21' Jump Shot25
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 10:54ORLHarpring STEAL (1 STL)25
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 10:56ORLBurke REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 10:59ORLMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot25
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 11:12UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
18.8%
30
81.2%
Q2 - 11:12UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 225
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 11:24ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T4)25
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 11:40UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 11:51ORLPadgett STEAL (1 STL)25
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0UTAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
17.3%
29
82.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0UTAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLVaughn Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)23
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)23
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0UTAMalone Layup (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)23
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot23
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 1:02UTAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q1 - 1:02UTAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 1:15ORLSasser 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
27.4%
22
72.6%
Q1 - 1:35UTAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T3)21
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 1:46ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 1:46ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 2:00UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 2:00UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 219
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 2:00UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 2:01UTAMISS Malone Layup19
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 2:07ORLKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)19
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 2:24UTAJackson Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)19
23.6%
21
76.4%
Q1 - 2:38ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)19
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 2:50UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 2:50UTAMalone 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 3:19ORLDeClercq Dunk (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)17
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 3:22UTAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 3:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 3:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 3:47UTAMalone 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 4:06ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)13
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 4:21UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 4:21UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 4:37UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 4:39ORLMISS Kemp 20' Jump Shot10
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 4:48ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 4:49UTAMISS Malone Layup10
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 5:06ORLKemp 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)10
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 5:29ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 5:30UTAMISS Malone Layup8
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 5:45UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 5:47ORLMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot8
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 5:58UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)8
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 5:58UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
20.5%
11
79.5%
Q1 - 6:03UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 6:07ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 6:12ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 6:14UTAMISS Stockton 18' Jump Shot8
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 6:31ORLMcGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)8
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 6:45ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 6:46UTAMISS Harpring Layup6
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
19.0%
10
81.0%
Q1 - 7:08ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 7:11UTAMISS Malone 14' Jump Shot4
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 7:33ORLKemp 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 7:43ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 7:45UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot2
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 7:54UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 7:56UTAMISS Harpring 8' Jump Shot2
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 7:57UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 7:59UTAMISS Cheaney 13' Jump Shot2
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 8:02UTAJAZZ Rebound2
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 8:03UTAMISS Malone 8' Running Jump Shot2
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 8:15UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 8:18ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 8:32UTAOstertag 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 8:43UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 8:45ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot2
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 9:00ORLMagic Rebound2
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 9:02UTAMISS Harpring 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 9:13UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Kemp 22' Jump Shot2
14.9%
10
85.1%
Q1 - 9:43UTAHarpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)2
15.8%
10
84.2%
Q1 - 9:58ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 10:17UTACheaney 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)0
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 10:33UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 10:35ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot0
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 10:54UTACheaney 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)0
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 11:05UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.1%
3
79.9%
Q1 - 11:08ORLMISS Kemp 22' Jump Shot0
20.4%
3
79.6%
Q1 - 11:18ORLMISS Armstrong Free Throw Technical0
21.2%
3
78.8%
Q1 - 11:21ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.2%
3
78.8%
Q1 - 11:23ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot0
20.4%
3
79.6%
Q1 - 11:45UTAHarpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)0
21.2%
3
78.8%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Ostertag vs. Kemp: Tip to Stockton0
23.8%
0
76.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.09 54.5%
UTA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
9
12
75%
UTA
19
29
66%
Midrange
ORL
16
43
37%
UTA
9
29
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
UTA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
ORL
23
27
85%
UTA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Garrity2486%12.0 / 14
D. Armstrong1662%8.0 / 13
M. Miller1673%8.0 / 11
S. Kemp1450%7.0 / 14
T. McGrady1139%5.5 / 14
J. Sasser850%4.0 / 8
A. DeClercq467%2.0 / 3
J. Vaughn220%1.0 / 5
P. Burke250%1.0 / 2
R. Humphrey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Harpring1753%8.5 / 16
A. Kirilenko1765%8.5 / 13
K. Malone1536%7.5 / 21
C. Cheaney1575%7.5 / 10
M. Jackson880%4.0 / 5
J. Stockton638%3.0 / 8
G. Ostertag4100%2.0 / 2
T. Massenburg467%2.0 / 3
S. Padgett225%1.0 / 4
J. Amaechi233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+6
-15
89
UTA
73
+13
-23
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.09 54.5%
UTA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
103.0
ORL 99.0 +5.2
UTA 93.8
Pace
95.5
91.5
ORL 101.4 +8.5
UTA 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.0
ORL 14.2 +1.3
UTA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
48.6%
ORL 52.1% +4.2%
UTA 47.9%
TO %
14.4%
17.3%
ORL 16.2% +6.3%
UTA 22.5%
ORB %
27.1%
32.6%
ORL 10.8%
UTA 31.4% +20.6%
FTrt
30.7
38.0
ORL 38.0 +1.4
UTA 36.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
72.7%
ORL 54.5%
UTA 78.1% +23.6%
STL %
8.8%
9.4%
ORL 13.3% +3.9%
UTA 9.4%
BLK %
5.6%
9.2%
ORL 3.4%
UTA 5.5% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.11 and 3.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
51.0%
ORL 54.5% +2.8%
UTA 51.7%
Rim FG%
54.6%
59.8%
ORL 75.0% +9.5%
UTA 65.5%
Mid FG%
39.9%
39.8%
ORL 37.2% +6.2%
UTA 31.0%
3P %
35.7%
34.9%
ORL 50.0% +19.2%
UTA 30.8%
FT %
77.7%
74.5%
ORL 85.2% +0.6%
UTA 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
37.2%
ORL 16.9%
UTA 40.8% +23.9%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
52.5%
ORL 60.6%
UTA 40.8% +19.7%
3P Att. %
23.5%
10.4%
ORL 22.5% +4.2%
UTA 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLUTA
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points9790
Rebounds2844
Assists1825
Steals139
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)23 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)33 (1)
Field Goals33-7132-71
At-the-Rim FG9-1219-29
Midrange FG16-439-29
2-Point FG25-5528-58
3-Point FG8-164-13
Free Throws23-2722-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
40.8
16
62%
0
11
4
0
1
2
0
0
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 238 · 26
39.1
24
86%
3
1
3
1
1
1
0
3
8-8
100%
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
C · 6'10" 280 · 33
33.0
14
50%
12
2
1
1
1
3
2
10
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 218 · 23
31.1
16
73%
2
1
1
0
7
6
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
G · 6'8" 225 · 24
16.8
11
39%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.2
8
50%
5
1
3
0
1
3
0
5
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
12.5
2
20%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29
10.7
2
50%
2
1
0
0
2
3
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
10.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
9.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 30
· 6'10" 240 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
28
18
13
2
15
0
4
24
23-27
85%
25-55
45%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.