Final Win Prob. pScore
2542%91
97
2658%93
77
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
112.88691.5
TOR logo Raptors
87.58883.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR97
77
Q4 - 0:05.0TORFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
77
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot97
77
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
77
Q4 - 0:28.0TORMISS Jefferies 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
77
Q4 - 0:51.0MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)97
77
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHeat Rebound96
77
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 296
77
Q4 - 0:51.0TORMcCoy S.FOUL (P2.PN)96
77
Q4 - 1:05TORJefferies 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)96
77
Q4 - 1:14TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)96
75
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Butler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot96
75
Q4 - 1:35MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
75
Q4 - 1:35TORMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 296
75
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
75
Q4 - 1:35MIALampley S.FOUL (P1.PN)96
74
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)96
74
Q4 - 1:35TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot96
74
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
74
Q4 - 1:37TORMISS McCoy 5' Running Jump Shot96
74
Q4 - 1:59MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)96
74
Q4 - 2:03TORBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)96
74
Q4 - 2:16TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
74
Q4 - 2:18MIAJefferies BLOCK (1 BLK)96
74
Q4 - 2:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
74
Q4 - 2:31TORMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot96
74
Q4 - 2:47TORSUB: Foster FOR Lenard96
74
Q4 - 2:47MIAHeat Timeout: Official TV (Reg.3 Short 1)96
74
Q4 - 2:47MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)96
74
Q4 - 2:53MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
74
Q4 - 2:55TORMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot96
74
Q4 - 2:59TORJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
74
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot96
74
Q4 - 3:06MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
74
Q4 - 3:08TORMISS Lenard 14' Fadeaway Jumper96
74
Q4 - 3:22MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)96
74
Q4 - 3:22MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)95
74
Q4 - 3:22TORJackson S.FOUL (P1.PN)94
74
Q4 - 3:38TORBradley Layup (6 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)94
74
Q4 - 3:47MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)94
72
Q4 - 4:03TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)94
72
Q4 - 4:03MIAEllis S.FOUL (P4.T4)94
71
Q4 - 4:03TORMcCoy Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)94
71
Q4 - 4:25MIAEllis 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)94
69
Q4 - 4:47TORLenard Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Jefferies 1 AST)92
69
Q4 - 5:00MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)92
67
Q4 - 5:16TORJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
67
Q4 - 5:16TORJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
66
Q4 - 5:16MIAEllis S.FOUL (P3.T3)92
65
Q4 - 5:34TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
65
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 192
65
Q4 - 5:35MIASUB: Johnson FOR Stepania92
65
Q4 - 5:35MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler92
65
Q4 - 5:35TORSUB: Lenard FOR Peterson92
65
Q4 - 5:35TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 1 Short 1)92
65
Q4 - 5:35TORMcCoy S.FOUL (P1.T4)92
65
Q4 - 5:35MIAEllis Running Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)92
65
Q4 - 5:58TORMcCoy 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)90
65
Q4 - 6:16MIAStepania Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)90
63
Q4 - 6:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
63
Q4 - 6:22TORMISS Peterson 14' Jump Shot88
63
Q4 - 6:36MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T2)88
63
Q4 - 6:39TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
63
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Butler 12' Fadeaway Jumper88
63
Q4 - 6:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
63
Q4 - 6:56TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot88
63
Q4 - 6:58TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
63
Q4 - 6:59TORMISS Jefferies 17' Jump Shot88
63
Q4 - 7:12MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)88
63
Q4 - 7:12MIASUB: Butler FOR James87
63
Q4 - 7:12MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)87
63
Q4 - 7:12TORPeterson S.FOUL (P5.T3)86
63
Q4 - 7:26TORBradley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
63
Q4 - 7:35TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
61
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
61
Q4 - 7:57TORPeterson Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)86
61
Q4 - 8:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
59
Q4 - 8:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
59
Q4 - 8:21TORSUB: Peterson FOR Hunter84
59
Q4 - 8:21TORSUB: Jefferies FOR Lenard84
59
Q4 - 8:2184
59
Q4 - 8:21TORHunter S.FOUL (P4.T2)84
59
Q4 - 8:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
59
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS McCoy 8' Driving Hook Shot84
59
Q4 - 8:51MIAButler Driving Layup (23 PTS)84
59
Q4 - 8:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
59
Q4 - 9:00TORMISS McCoy Driving Layup82
59
Q4 - 9:18TORRAPTORS Rebound82
59
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot82
59
Q4 - 9:38TORBradley 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)82
59
Q4 - 9:40TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
57
Q4 - 9:42TORMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
57
Q4 - 9:56MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)82
57
Q4 - 10:18TORMcCoy Driving Dunk (6 PTS)80
57
Q4 - 10:36TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
55
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 280
55
Q4 - 10:37MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
55
Q4 - 10:37TORLenard S.FOUL (P2.T1)79
55
Q4 - 10:51TORHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
55
Q4 - 10:51TORHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
54
Q4 - 10:51MIAButler S.FOUL (P4.T1)79
53
Q4 - 11:07MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant79
53
Q4 - 11:07TORRAPTORS Rebound79
53
Q4 - 11:10TORMISS McCoy 6' Driving Hook Shot79
53
Q4 - 11:26TORBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
53
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Stepania 11' Turnaround Jump Shot79
53
Q4 - 11:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
53
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Stepania 12' Turnaround Jump Shot79
53
Q4 - 12:0079
53
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR79
53
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)79
53
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
53
Q3 - 0:05.0TORMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot77
53
Q3 - 0:13.0MIALenard STEAL (1 STL)77
53
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
53
Q3 - 0:20.0TORMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot77
53
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
53
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
53
Q3 - 0:38.0TORHunter P.FOUL (P3.PN)75
53
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
53
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot75
53
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
53
Q3 - 0:54.0TORMISS Hunter 17' Jump Shot75
53
Q3 - 1:07TORRAPTORS Rebound75
53
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot75
53
Q3 - 1:17MIASUB: Carter FOR Best75
53
Q3 - 1:17TORSUB: Bradley FOR Williams75
53
Q3 - 1:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)75
53
Q3 - 1:31TORHunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)75
53
Q3 - 1:57MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 5 AST)75
50
Q3 - 2:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
50
Q3 - 2:09TORMISS Lenard 16' Turnaround Jump Shot72
50
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
50
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
50
Q3 - 2:28TORHunter P.FOUL (P2.PN)70
50
Q3 - 2:33MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)70
50
Q3 - 2:45TORLenard 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)70
50
Q3 - 2:59TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
48
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 270
48
Q3 - 3:00TORSUB: McCoy FOR Foster70
48
Q3 - 3:00MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
48
Q3 - 3:00MIASUB: James FOR Jones69
48
Q3 - 3:00TORFoster S.FOUL (P4.PN)69
48
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Hunter FOR Peterson69
48
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Jackson FOR Williams69
48
Q3 - 3:15TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)69
48
Q3 - 3:15TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P4)69
48
Q3 - 3:40MIAGrant Tip Shot (10 PTS)69
48
Q3 - 3:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
48
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Butler 13' Running Jump Shot67
48
Q3 - 4:08TORLenard 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)67
48
Q3 - 4:24MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
46
Q3 - 4:24TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)66
46
Q3 - 4:24MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
46
Q3 - 4:24TORWilliams S.FOUL (P2.PN)65
46
Q3 - 4:33TORLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
46
Q3 - 4:49TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
46
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup65
46
Q3 - 5:11TORFoster Illegal Pick Turnover (P1.T11)65
46
Q3 - 5:25MIAGrant Running Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)65
46
Q3 - 5:38MIAHeat Rebound63
46
Q3 - 5:39TORMISS Williams Driving Layup63
46
Q3 - 5:55MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
46
Q3 - 5:55MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
46
Q3 - 5:55TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 1 Short 0)61
46
Q3 - 5:55TORWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T4)61
46
Q3 - 6:06TORFoster L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)61
46
Q3 - 6:06MIAHeat Rebound61
46
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot61
46
Q3 - 6:30MIAHeat Rebound61
46
Q3 - 6:31TORMISS Peterson 10' Running Jump Shot61
46
Q3 - 6:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
46
Q3 - 6:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
46
Q3 - 6:49TORWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
46
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
46
Q3 - 6:55TORMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot59
46
Q3 - 7:01MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T4)59
46
Q3 - 7:12MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T11)59
46
Q3 - 7:12MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P3)59
46
Q3 - 7:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
46
Q3 - 7:23TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 259
46
Q3 - 7:23MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen59
46
Q3 - 7:23TORRAPTORS Rebound59
46
Q3 - 7:23TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
46
Q3 - 7:23MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
46
Q3 - 7:25MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)59
46
Q3 - 7:46TORLenard 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
46
Q3 - 8:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
44
Q3 - 8:29TORLenard 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
44
Q3 - 8:50MIABest 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
42
Q3 - 8:59TORWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T1)57
42
Q3 - 9:15TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
42
Q3 - 9:15TORSUB: Foster FOR McCoy57
41
Q3 - 9:15MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
41
Q3 - 9:15TORWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
41
Q3 - 9:27TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
39
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Allen 6' Turnaround Jump Shot57
39
Q3 - 9:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
39
Q3 - 9:44TORMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot57
39
Q3 - 9:56MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T8)57
39
Q3 - 9:56MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P3)57
39
Q3 - 10:00MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
39
Q3 - 10:03TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup57
39
Q3 - 10:08MIAPeterson STEAL (2 STL)57
39
Q3 - 10:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
39
Q3 - 10:21TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
39
Q3 - 10:47MIAGrant Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Best 4 AST)57
39
Q3 - 11:00TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
39
Q3 - 11:00TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
38
Q3 - 11:00MIABest S.FOUL (P2.T1)55
37
Q3 - 11:16MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)55
37
Q3 - 11:25TORMcCoy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)53
37
Q3 - 11:33MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)53
37
Q3 - 11:39MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
37
Q3 - 11:41TORMISS McCoy Layup53
37
Q3 - 12:0053
37
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
37
Q2 - 0:00.0TORSUB: Jackson FOR Peterson53
37
Q2 - 0:00.0TORLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
37
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAJones Driving Layup (15 PTS)53
37
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
37
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMISS Peterson 16' Jump Shot51
37
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJones 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)51
37
Q2 - 0:53.0TORPeterson P.FOUL (P3.T4)49
37
Q2 - 1:07TORLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
37
Q2 - 1:07TORLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
36
Q2 - 1:07MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)49
35
Q2 - 1:19MIABest Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
35
Q2 - 1:23TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
35
Q2 - 1:33MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)47
35
Q2 - 1:35MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)45
35
Q2 - 1:40TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)45
35
Q2 - 2:02MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)45
35
Q2 - 2:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 2:09TORMISS McCoy 7' Turnaround Hook Shot42
35
Q2 - 2:29TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 2:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 2:46TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
35
Q2 - 3:06MIAHeat Rebound41
35
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 241
35
Q2 - 3:06TORPeterson S.FOUL (P2.T3)41
35
Q2 - 3:21TORWilliams 11' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)41
35
Q2 - 3:40MIABest 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
33
Q2 - 3:54TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 3:54MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania39
32
Q2 - 3:54TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
32
Q2 - 3:54MIASUB: Jones FOR James39
31
Q2 - 3:54MIABest P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
31
Q2 - 4:03MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
31
Q2 - 4:21TORLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
31
Q2 - 4:21TORLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 4:21MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
29
Q2 - 4:31TORSUB: Williams FOR Bradley37
29
Q2 - 4:31MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant37
29
Q2 - 4:31TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)37
29
Q2 - 4:41MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 3 AST)37
29
Q2 - 5:01TORBradley Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
29
Q2 - 5:01TORBradley OFF.Foul (P1)35
29
Q2 - 5:23MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
29
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS James Driving Layup33
29
Q2 - 5:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
29
Q2 - 5:37TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot33
29
Q2 - 5:56MIASUB: Best FOR Carter33
29
Q2 - 5:56MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis33
29
Q2 - 5:56TORSUB: Peterson FOR Foster33
29
Q2 - 5:56TORSUB: McCoy FOR Hunter33
29
Q2 - 5:56TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 0)33
29
Q2 - 5:56MIACarter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
29
Q2 - 5:56MIACarter OFF.Foul (P3)33
29
Q2 - 6:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
29
Q2 - 6:05TORMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot33
29
Q2 - 6:21MIAStepania Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)33
29
Q2 - 6:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
29
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Butler 6' Turnaround Jump Shot31
29
Q2 - 6:35TORWilliams Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 7:01MIAStepania Running Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)31
27
Q2 - 7:05TORHunter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
27
Q2 - 7:32MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)29
27
Q2 - 7:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
27
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
27
Q2 - 7:49MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
27
Q2 - 7:49TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 227
27
Q2 - 7:49TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
27
Q2 - 7:49MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones27
26
Q2 - 7:49TORSUB: Bradley FOR Williams27
26
Q2 - 7:4927
26
Q2 - 7:49MIACarter P.FOUL (P2.T4)27
26
Q2 - 8:09TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)27
26
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
26
Q2 - 8:17TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)27
26
Q2 - 8:32TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)27
26
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Ellis 9' Turnaround Hook Shot27
26
Q2 - 8:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
26
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot27
26
Q2 - 8:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
26
Q2 - 8:46TORMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
26
Q2 - 8:51TORLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
26
Q2 - 8:53TORMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot27
26
Q2 - 9:06TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)27
26
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Hunter 14' Jump Shot27
26
Q2 - 9:29MIAJones 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)27
26
Q2 - 9:40TORSUB: Williams FOR Peterson25
26
Q2 - 9:40TORFoster P.FOUL (P2.T2)25
26
Q2 - 9:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
26
Q2 - 9:51TORMISS Lenard 13' Jump Shot25
26
Q2 - 9:59MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T3)25
26
Q2 - 10:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
26
Q2 - 10:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
26
Q2 - 10:10TORFoster S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
26
Q2 - 10:24TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
26
Q2 - 10:24TORRAPTORS Rebound23
25
Q2 - 10:24TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 223
25
Q2 - 10:24MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T2)23
25
Q2 - 10:32MIASUB: Carter FOR Butler23
25
Q2 - 10:32MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
25
Q2 - 10:49TORHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup23
25
Q2 - 10:55TORWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
25
Q2 - 10:57TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
25
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Butler 10' Running Jump Shot23
25
Q2 - 11:14MIAHeat Rebound23
25
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup23
25
Q2 - 11:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25
Q2 - 11:39TORMISS Peterson 12' Running Jump Shot23
25
Q2 - 12:0023
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
25
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
25
Q1 - 0:18.0TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 223
25
Q1 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant23
25
Q1 - 0:18.0TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
24
Q1 - 0:36.0TORRAPTORS Rebound23
24
Q1 - 0:38.0TORMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
24
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJames Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
24
Q1 - 1:13TORHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
24
Q1 - 1:13TORHunter OFF.Foul (P1)21
24
Q1 - 1:17TORPeterson Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 1:17MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Grant )21
23
Q1 - 1:25TORPeterson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
23
Q1 - 1:25MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Stepania )21
22
Q1 - 1:38MIASUB: James FOR Best21
22
Q1 - 1:38MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen21
22
Q1 - 1:38MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
22
Q1 - 1:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
22
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Hunter 13' Turnaround Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 2:18MIAButler 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 2:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 2:46MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
22
Q1 - 2:46MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P2)19
22
Q1 - 3:01TORSUB: Hunter FOR Lenard19
22
Q1 - 3:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
22
Q1 - 3:10TORWilliams 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
22
Q1 - 3:13TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
20
Q1 - 3:15TORMISS Williams Driving Finger Roll19
20
Q1 - 3:25TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot19
20
Q1 - 3:46TORLenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
20
Q1 - 3:54MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)19
17
Q1 - 4:02TORPeterson P.FOUL (P1.T3)19
17
Q1 - 4:19TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 4:29MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T2)19
14
Q1 - 4:42MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 4:54TORLenard P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
14
Q1 - 5:11TORWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
14
Q1 - 5:13TORRAPTORS Timeout: Official TV (Full 0 Short 0)17
11
Q1 - 5:29TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
11
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Allen 8' Turnaround Jump Shot17
11
Q1 - 5:57TORMcCoy Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
11
Q1 - 6:20MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 2 AST)17
9
Q1 - 6:28TORWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)14
9
Q1 - 6:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9
Q1 - 6:38TORMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot14
9
Q1 - 6:51MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
9
Q1 - 7:00TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 7:00MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
8
Q1 - 7:00TORWilliams Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 7:01TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
6
Q1 - 7:03TORMISS Peterson 6' Running Jump Shot14
6
Q1 - 7:15MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
6
Q1 - 7:33TORMcCoy 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
6
Q1 - 7:47TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 8:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
4
Q1 - 8:03TORMISS Williams 2' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 8:21MIAAllen 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)12
4
Q1 - 8:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4
Q1 - 8:34TORMISS McCoy 7' Driving Hook Shot10
4
Q1 - 8:55MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
4
Q1 - 9:11TORLenard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 9:23TORRAPTORS Rebound8
2
Q1 - 9:26TORMISS Peterson 14' Running Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:43MIAJones 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 10:01TORWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 10:25MIABest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
0
Q1 - 10:30TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:31TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
0
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS Williams Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:53MIABest Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 11:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:15TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:39MIAButler 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball McCoy vs. Grant: Tip to Best0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
TOR
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
TOR
9
19
47%
Midrange
MIA
18
38
47%
TOR
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
TOR
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
22
27
81%
TOR
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2560%12.5 / 21
E. Jones1794%8.5 / 9
T. Best1286%6.0 / 7
B. Grant1179%5.5 / 7
M. James1169%5.5 / 8
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
V. Stepania650%3.0 / 6
L. Ellis638%3.0 / 8
S. Lampley125%0.5 / 2
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
K. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Lenard1959%9.5 / 16
A. Williams1777%8.5 / 11
J. McCoy1142%5.5 / 13
J. Williams938%4.5 / 12
M. Bradley758%3.5 / 6
M. Peterson523%2.5 / 11
L. Hunter528%2.5 / 9
J. Jackson225%1.0 / 4
C. Jefferies233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+9
-15
80
TOR
74
+12
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
TOR
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
98.1
MIA 112.8 +25.3
TOR 87.5
Pace
90.0
92.1
MIA 91.5 +8.5
TOR 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
MIA 15.7 −1.6
TOR 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
45.8%
MIA 58.6% +19.2%
TOR 39.4%
TO %
14.8%
14.6%
MIA 17.4%
TOR 14.5% −2.9%
ORB %
26.8%
28.3%
MIA 25.9% +5.4%
TOR 20.5%
FTrt
25.9
28.2
MIA 42.2 +4.2
TOR 38.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
55.6%
MIA 44.4% +5.9%
TOR 38.5%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
MIA 9.3% +2.5%
TOR 6.8%
BLK %
6.4%
7.0%
MIA 5.1% +3.4%
TOR 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
47.3%
MIA 59.9% +15.6%
TOR 44.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
55.5%
MIA 75.0% +27.6%
TOR 47.4%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 47.4% +14.9%
TOR 32.5%
3P %
31.6%
34.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
TOR 33.3%
FT %
76.5%
71.8%
MIA 81.5% +3.7%
TOR 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
MIA 31.3% +4.5%
TOR 26.8%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
50.7%
MIA 59.4%
TOR 56.3% −3.0%
3P Att. %
16.9%
17.9%
MIA 9.4%
TOR 16.9% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9777
Rebounds4229
Assists1610
Steals86
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)20 (2)
Field Goals36-6426-71
At-the-Rim FG15-209-19
Midrange FG18-3813-40
2-Point FG33-5822-59
3-Point FG3-64-12
Free Throws22-2721-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
39.7
25
60%
6
3
3
0
1
4
2
4
9-10
90%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
29.9
11
79%
9
1
0
0
3
3
3
6
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
29.1
17
94%
5
2
1
0
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
27.0
12
86%
2
5
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
19.5
8
57%
2
1
0
1
4
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
23.5
6
50%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
17.9
0
0%
1
3
1
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
17.5
11
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
17.5
6
38%
8
0
0
1
1
4
1
7
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
5.6
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
60%
42
16
8
3
15
0
7
35
22-27
81%
33-58
57%
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.