for complete access.
All Games Friday, December 20, 2002
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Heat
42%91
97
26
Raptors
58%93
77
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.88691.5
TOR logo TOR
87.58883.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR97
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0TORMISS Jefferies 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05TORJefferies 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Butler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 296
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37TORMISS McCoy 5' Running Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03TORBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18MIAJefferies BLOCK (1 BLK)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31TORMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55TORMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59TORJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08TORMISS Lenard 14' Fadeaway Jumper96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38TORBradley Layup (6 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03TORMcCoy Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25MIAEllis 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47TORLenard Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Jefferies 1 AST)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)92
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16TORJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16TORJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 192
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAEllis Running Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)92
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58TORMcCoy 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)90
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16MIAStepania Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22TORMISS Peterson 14' Jump Shot88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:39TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Butler 12' Fadeaway Jumper88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:56TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:59TORMISS Jefferies 17' Jump Shot88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)88
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 7:12MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)87
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 7:26TORBradley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 7:35TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:57TORPeterson Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)86
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS McCoy 8' Driving Hook Shot84
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:51MIAButler Driving Layup (23 PTS)84
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q4 - 9:00TORMISS McCoy Driving Layup82
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q4 - 9:18TORRAPTORS Rebound82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot82
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q4 - 9:38TORBradley 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)82
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q4 - 9:40TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 9:42TORMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 9:56MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)82
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 10:18TORMcCoy Driving Dunk (6 PTS)80
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 10:36TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 280
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)80
99.6%
55
0.4%
Q4 - 10:51TORHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q4 - 10:51TORHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
99.5%
54
0.5%
Q4 - 11:07TORRAPTORS Rebound79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q4 - 11:10TORMISS McCoy 6' Driving Hook Shot79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q4 - 11:26TORBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Stepania 11' Turnaround Jump Shot79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Stepania 12' Turnaround Jump Shot79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR79
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot77
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIALenard STEAL (1 STL)77
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot77
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
98.9%
53
1.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
98.7%
53
1.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot75
98.5%
53
1.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
98.7%
53
1.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0TORMISS Hunter 17' Jump Shot75
98.7%
53
1.3%
Q3 - 1:07TORRAPTORS Rebound75
98.0%
53
2.0%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot75
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 1:31TORHunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)75
98.4%
53
1.6%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 5 AST)75
98.9%
50
1.1%
Q3 - 2:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q3 - 2:09TORMISS Lenard 16' Turnaround Jump Shot72
97.9%
50
2.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
97.6%
50
2.4%
Q3 - 2:28MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
97.5%
50
2.5%
Q3 - 2:45TORLenard 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)70
97.1%
50
2.9%
Q3 - 2:59TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 270
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
97.9%
48
2.1%
Q3 - 3:15TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)69
97.2%
48
2.8%
Q3 - 3:40MIAGrant Tip Shot (10 PTS)69
96.7%
48
3.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
96.1%
48
3.9%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Butler 13' Running Jump Shot67
95.6%
48
4.4%
Q3 - 4:08TORLenard 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)67
95.5%
48
4.5%
Q3 - 4:24MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
96.1%
46
3.9%
Q3 - 4:24MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
96.1%
46
3.9%
Q3 - 4:33TORLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
95.6%
46
4.4%
Q3 - 4:49TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
94.7%
46
5.3%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup65
95.0%
46
5.0%
Q3 - 5:11TORFoster Illegal Pick Turnover (P1.T11)65
95.0%
46
5.0%
Q3 - 5:25MIAGrant Running Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)65
94.1%
46
5.9%
Q3 - 5:38MIAHeat Rebound63
93.2%
46
6.8%
Q3 - 5:39TORMISS Williams Driving Layup63
92.8%
46
7.2%
Q3 - 5:55MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
91.9%
46
8.1%
Q3 - 5:55MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
91.7%
46
8.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHeat Rebound61
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot61
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHeat Rebound61
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 6:31TORMISS Peterson 10' Running Jump Shot61
89.2%
46
10.8%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
88.1%
46
11.9%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
87.8%
46
12.2%
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
86.4%
46
13.6%
Q3 - 6:55TORMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot59
85.8%
46
14.2%
Q3 - 7:12MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T11)59
83.0%
46
17.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q3 - 7:23TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 259
85.1%
46
14.9%
Q3 - 7:23TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)59
83.0%
46
17.0%
Q3 - 7:46TORLenard 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
86.4%
44
13.6%
Q3 - 8:29TORLenard 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
88.3%
44
11.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIABest 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
89.6%
42
10.4%
Q3 - 9:15TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
87.2%
42
12.8%
Q3 - 9:15TORWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
88.8%
41
11.2%
Q3 - 9:27TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
90.1%
39
9.9%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Allen 6' Turnaround Jump Shot57
90.6%
39
9.4%
Q3 - 9:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
91.4%
39
8.6%
Q3 - 9:44TORMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot57
91.1%
39
8.9%
Q3 - 9:56MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T8)57
90.2%
39
9.8%
Q3 - 10:00MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
91.5%
39
8.5%
Q3 - 10:03TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup57
90.3%
39
9.7%
Q3 - 10:08MIAPeterson STEAL (2 STL)57
89.3%
39
10.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
90.7%
39
9.3%
Q3 - 10:21TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
90.3%
39
9.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAGrant Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Best 4 AST)57
89.4%
39
10.6%
Q3 - 11:00TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q3 - 11:00TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
88.4%
38
11.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)55
88.7%
37
11.3%
Q3 - 11:25TORMcCoy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)53
87.3%
37
12.7%
Q3 - 11:33MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)53
85.6%
37
14.4%
Q3 - 11:39MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
87.3%
37
12.7%
Q3 - 11:41TORMISS McCoy Layup53
86.8%
37
13.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
85.6%
37
14.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
87.3%
37
12.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAJones Driving Layup (15 PTS)53
84.8%
37
15.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
82.5%
37
17.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORMISS Peterson 16' Jump Shot51
82.1%
37
17.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJones 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)51
81.1%
37
18.9%
Q2 - 1:07TORLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 1:07TORLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
77.7%
36
22.3%
Q2 - 1:19MIABest Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
80.5%
35
19.5%
Q2 - 1:23TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
77.3%
35
22.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)47
76.1%
35
23.9%
Q2 - 1:40TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)45
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 2:02MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)45
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 2:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
64.0%
35
36.0%
Q2 - 2:09TORMISS McCoy 7' Turnaround Hook Shot42
63.1%
35
36.9%
Q2 - 2:29TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot42
62.1%
35
37.9%
Q2 - 2:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
64.0%
35
36.0%
Q2 - 2:46TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot42
63.2%
35
36.8%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 241
59.5%
35
40.5%
Q2 - 3:21TORWilliams 11' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)41
60.3%
35
39.7%
Q2 - 3:40MIABest 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 3:54TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
60.4%
33
39.6%
Q2 - 3:54TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
61.0%
32
39.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
62.1%
31
37.9%
Q2 - 4:21TORLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 4:21TORLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 4:41MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 3 AST)37
62.1%
29
37.9%
Q2 - 5:01TORBradley Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
59.0%
29
41.0%
Q2 - 5:23MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)35
56.0%
29
44.0%
Q2 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS James Driving Layup33
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 5:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 5:37TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot33
52.5%
29
47.5%
Q2 - 5:56MIACarter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
50.4%
29
49.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
53.3%
29
46.7%
Q2 - 6:05TORMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot33
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 6:21MIAStepania Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)33
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q2 - 6:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Butler 6' Turnaround Jump Shot31
45.5%
29
54.5%
Q2 - 6:35TORWilliams Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)31
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAStepania Running Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)31
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q2 - 7:05TORHunter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
47.3%
27
52.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)29
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q2 - 7:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q2 - 7:49MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q2 - 7:49TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 227
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q2 - 7:49TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
40.2%
27
59.8%
Q2 - 8:09TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)27
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:17TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)27
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 8:32TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)27
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Ellis 9' Turnaround Hook Shot27
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot27
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 8:46TORMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q2 - 8:51TORLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 8:53TORMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot27
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q2 - 9:06TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)27
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Hunter 14' Jump Shot27
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 9:29MIAJones 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)27
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q2 - 9:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 9:51TORMISS Lenard 13' Jump Shot25
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 10:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
36.2%
26
63.8%
Q2 - 10:24TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 10:24TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 223
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 10:49TORHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup23
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q2 - 10:55TORWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q2 - 10:57TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Butler 10' Running Jump Shot23
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q2 - 11:14MIAHeat Rebound23
36.7%
25
63.3%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup23
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.7%
25
63.3%
Q2 - 11:39TORMISS Peterson 12' Running Jump Shot23
36.0%
25
64.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
36.3%
25
63.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 2 of 223
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
34.6%
25
65.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORRAPTORS Rebound23
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0TORMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJames Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
36.9%
24
63.1%
Q1 - 1:13TORHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 1:17TORPeterson Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)21
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q1 - 1:25TORPeterson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q1 - 1:38MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 1:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Hunter 13' Turnaround Jump Shot21
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 2:18MIAButler 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 2:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Peterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.0%
22
66.0%
Q1 - 2:46MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q1 - 3:10TORWilliams 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 3:13TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 3:15TORMISS Williams Driving Finger Roll19
38.3%
20
61.7%
Q1 - 3:25TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot19
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 3:46TORLenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
39.0%
20
61.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)19
43.1%
17
56.9%
Q1 - 4:19TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 4:42MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)19
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 5:11TORWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
46.9%
14
53.1%
Q1 - 5:29TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
50.9%
11
49.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Allen 8' Turnaround Jump Shot17
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:57TORMcCoy Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 6:20MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 2 AST)17
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 6:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 6:38TORMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot14
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 6:51MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 7:00TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 7:00TORWilliams Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
52.4%
8
47.6%
Q1 - 7:01TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 7:03TORMISS Peterson 6' Running Jump Shot14
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 7:15MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 7:33TORMcCoy 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
51.6%
6
48.4%
Q1 - 7:47TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot12
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
55.4%
4
44.6%
Q1 - 8:03TORMISS Williams 2' Jump Shot12
54.8%
4
45.2%
Q1 - 8:21MIAAllen 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)12
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
51.6%
4
48.4%
Q1 - 8:34TORMISS McCoy 7' Driving Hook Shot10
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 8:55MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)10
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 9:11TORLenard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 9:23TORRAPTORS Rebound8
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 9:26TORMISS Peterson 14' Running Jump Shot8
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIAJones 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 10:01TORWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:25MIABest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 10:30TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 10:31TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS Williams Layup4
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:53MIABest Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:15TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:39MIAButler 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball McCoy vs. Grant: Tip to Best0
39.9%
0
60.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
TOR
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
TOR
9
19
47%
Midrange
MIA
18
38
47%
TOR
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
TOR
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
22
27
81%
TOR
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2560%12.5 / 21
E. Jones1794%8.5 / 9
T. Best1286%6.0 / 7
B. Grant1179%5.5 / 7
M. James1169%5.5 / 8
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
V. Stepania650%3.0 / 6
L. Ellis638%3.0 / 8
S. Lampley125%0.5 / 2
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
K. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Lenard1959%9.5 / 16
A. Williams1777%8.5 / 11
J. McCoy1142%5.5 / 13
J. Williams938%4.5 / 12
M. Bradley758%3.5 / 6
M. Peterson523%2.5 / 11
L. Hunter528%2.5 / 9
J. Jackson225%1.0 / 4
C. Jefferies233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+9
-15
80
TOR
74
+12
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
TOR
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
98.1
MIA 112.8
TOR 87.5 +25.3
Pace
90.0
92.1
MIA 91.5 +8.5
TOR 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
MIA 15.7 +1.6
TOR 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
45.8%
MIA 58.6% +19.2%
TOR 39.4%
TO %
14.8%
14.6%
MIA 17.4%
TOR 14.5% +2.9%
ORB %
26.8%
28.3%
MIA 25.9% +5.4%
TOR 20.5%
FTrt
25.9
28.2
MIA 42.2 +4.2
TOR 38.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
55.6%
MIA 44.4% +5.9%
TOR 38.5%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
MIA 9.3% +2.5%
TOR 6.8%
BLK %
6.4%
7.0%
MIA 5.1% +3.4%
TOR 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
47.3%
MIA 59.9% +15.6%
TOR 44.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
55.5%
MIA 75.0% +27.6%
TOR 47.4%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 47.4% +14.9%
TOR 32.5%
3P %
31.6%
34.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
TOR 33.3%
FT %
76.5%
71.8%
MIA 81.5% +3.7%
TOR 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
MIA 31.3% +4.5%
TOR 26.8%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
50.7%
MIA 59.4%
TOR 56.3% +3.0%
3P Att. %
16.9%
17.9%
MIA 9.4%
TOR 16.9% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9777
Rebounds4229
Assists1610
Steals86
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)20 (2)
Field Goals36-6426-71
At-the-Rim FG15-209-19
Midrange FG18-3813-40
2-Point FG33-5822-59
3-Point FG3-64-12
Free Throws22-2721-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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25 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
39.7
25
60%
6
3
3
0
1
4
2
4
9-10
90%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
29.9
11
79%
9
1
0
0
3
3
3
6
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
29.1
17
94%
5
2
1
0
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
27.0
12
86%
2
5
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
19.5
8
57%
2
1
0
1
4
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
23.5
6
50%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
17.9
0
0%
1
3
1
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
17.5
11
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
17.5
6
38%
8
0
0
1
1
4
1
7
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
5.6
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
60%
42
16
8
3
15
0
7
35
22-27
81%
33-58
57%
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.