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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 20, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers37%96104
1476ers63%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.3
51.5
39.4
44
56%
4
10
1
2
2
5
0
4
10-10
100%
14-30
8-17
47%
46%
2-5
40%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
43.2
24.3
9
75%
5
5
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.4
43.1
29.8
13
57%
4
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
6-10
2-6
60%
40%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.8
39.9
36.0
26
49%
14
4
2
1
2
7
2
12
8-19
42%
9-18
9-16
50%
53%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 26.8
25.9
19.4
6
33%
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.3
36.3
27.7
4
52%
12
3
2
1
1
3
5
7
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
13.8
23.7
0
0%
6
2
0
1
0
1
6
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-6
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.7
11.4
15.7
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
8.8
0
1-2
40%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.7
6.8
0
1-3
43%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.9
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.4
2.9
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.5
48.4
42.8
32
41%
2
5
9
3
0
2
1
1
7-13
54%
8-28
9-19
29%
44%
3-5
60%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.2
44.8
27.3
14
39%
8
4
3
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-15
3-6
47%
47%
0-3
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
42.3
35.7
8
58%
7
12
2
2
0
4
0
7
0-2
0%
4-6
4-9
67%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
39.0
28.0
20
59%
11
1
0
1
0
4
4
7
2-2
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
48%
0-0
-
Todd MacCulloch
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
16.6
23.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.5
27.6
20.7
18
64%
8
2
0
0
1
0
4
4
8-9
89%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
21.9
20.5
11
51%
6
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.6
19.7
16.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
4.7
27.4
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.0
5.4
0
0-1
43%
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.