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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 21, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets41%9786
17Timberwolves59%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.8
40.1
40.3
24
52%
10
3
1
1
0
0
4
6
7-9
78%
7-18
6-14
39%
44%
1-1
100%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
39.0
41.0
12
43%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
5-11
71%
45%
0-6
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.3
35.3
33.0
12
56%
12
4
1
0
3
6
2
10
4-4
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
53%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.6
26.3
28.3
10
38%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-6
17%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.6
26.0
14.8
5
36%
5
0
1
0
2
5
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-4
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.1
20.1
18.2
11
62%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
42%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.9
19.7
15.7
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.4
15.7
17.0
6
50%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.3
12.7
13.6
4
67%
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.9
2.0
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
40%
0-1
0%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.5
2.0
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.5
1.2
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
41.4
39.9
27
58%
11
5
0
1
1
1
1
10
7-7
100%
10-19
7-15
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
34.7
18.1
12
60%
13
3
1
0
1
1
5
8
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
26.0
30.6
10
56%
2
1
2
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.6
22.2
26.0
6
38%
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-8
38%
41%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 26.8
21.1
31.1
15
83%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
46%
5-8
63%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.4
28.5
24.0
14
51%
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.1
27.4
28.7
0
0%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
41%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
20.4
12.3
10
46%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
18.3
20.9
4
50%
3
0
2
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.5
2.2
0
0-0
42%
Reggie Slater
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.3
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.7
0.9
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.