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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 22, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors17%9988
2Kings83%110103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
35.5
39.7
20
54%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
8-15
7-16
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 21.9
29.7
31.6
18
54%
6
1
3
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
41%
4-7
57%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
20.1
33.2
6
26%
6
2
0
2
0
2
4
2
2-4
50%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
15.7
22.0
4
53%
7
0
0
0
2
3
2
5
2-4
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22.6
13.3
36.6
4
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
5-12
33%
41%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.8
37.5
23.1
10
36%
15
1
1
1
1
1
7
8
2-2
100%
4-13
2-5
31%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 26.6
30.6
21.7
10
56%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
40%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
27.6
7.8
10
46%
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
38%
1-4
25%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.7
18.0
5.0
4
20%
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
3
2-4
50%
1-8
1-1
13%
41%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 22.9
12.0
2.9
2
36%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
0-0
-
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
13.0
0
1-3
41%
Oscar Torres
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 26.0
1.4
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
38.2
41.5
20
46%
12
6
1
2
4
6
6
6
4-6
67%
8-19
11-21
42%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 25.5
32.2
29.2
20
65%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
3-7
43%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 34.9
27.0
26.9
5
37%
6
2
0
1
3
1
2
4
1-4
25%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
25.4
35.4
8
57%
3
3
4
2
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.6
23.8
31.2
13
53%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
3-6
5-10
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Keon Clark
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 27.7
24.8
20.9
6
34%
10
0
0
1
3
1
2
8
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.8
24.4
29.0
17
79%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
5-9
57%
52%
2-2
100%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.2
14.3
18.4
5
66%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 23.8
13.7
9.6
4
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Lawrence Funderburke
F · 6'9" 230 · 32.0
5.9
2.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.3
5.3
9.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
5.3
4.2
3
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-4
25%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.