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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 23, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Heat
72
28Cavaliers
74
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.8
42
38
14
5
1
0
2
0
2
2
3
9-10
90%
1-7
5-12
14%
43%
1-1
100%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
38
32
19
17
1
0
1
0
2
1
16
7-7
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
32
37
18
2
2
1
1
3
3
0
2
3-6
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
46%
3-5
60%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.4
32
28
8
4
4
0
1
1
2
2
2
2-3
67%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
28
29
4
4
0
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-11
5-11
18%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.6
25
22
0
8
1
1
1
2
3
1
7
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
21
22
7
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
10
12
0
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
9
5
2
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.3
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
11
0
1-2
45%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
3
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.2
43
42
33
5
5
2
2
0
2
2
3
9-14
64%
9-23
8-17
39%
47%
2-4
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 27.6
32
28
11
10
2
0
1
1
2
4
6
3-6
50%
4-16
5-12
25%
43%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
28
21
2
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.9
28
23
7
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 21.1
21
34
2
6
2
3
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
30
9
6
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
9
2-4
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.6
26
12
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
42%
0-1
0%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
23
20
2
4
0
0
1
3
1
3
1
2-2
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.4
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.9
4
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 27.7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
35
1
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.