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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 23, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz39%9496
15Rockets61%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.4
40.9
33.4
31
56%
9
6
2
2
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
14-26
5-13
54%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
40.0
31.9
25
75%
6
4
4
1
1
1
3
3
6-6
100%
8-13
5-11
62%
47%
1-1
100%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.4
33.9
25.2
15
63%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
46%
1-3
33%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.7
29.7
24.9
8
58%
3
11
3
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.8
26.6
22.4
5
56%
6
1
0
0
3
1
3
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
24.7
29.5
7
56%
2
1
2
1
3
1
0
2
5-5
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.7
18.3
17.1
2
25%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
12.6
13.6
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
7.5
16.4
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.1
6.0
11.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
37%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.7
6.1
0
1-2
39%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.4
5.5
0
1-2
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.8
41.0
39.5
26
86%
2
8
1
1
0
7
0
2
7-7
100%
8-10
6-14
80%
45%
1-2
50%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
40.9
39.6
10
42%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
46%
0-5
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.3
34.3
33.2
18
61%
7
4
2
0
3
5
1
6
6-6
100%
6-12
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.6
28.0
18.8
13
65%
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
41%
1-3
33%
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.6
24.8
27.2
6
100%
1
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
2-3
67%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.4
21.0
16.4
4
50%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.1
20.0
18.5
2
17%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.9
16.3
9.3
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.3
13.8
13.1
6
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.9
16.8
0
2-4
47%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.5
6.3
0
0-1
42%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.5
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.