Final Win Prob. pScore
958%94
70
2442%91
90
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
76.991102.5
MIA logo Heat
100.09080.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA70
90
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
90
Q4 - 0:12.0BOSMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
90
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Stepania 22' Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 1:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
90
Q4 - 1:03BOSMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot70
90
Q4 - 1:15MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
90
Q4 - 1:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
88
Q4 - 1:29BOSMISS McCarty 19' Jump Shot70
88
Q4 - 1:45BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
88
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot70
88
Q4 - 2:03BOSBremer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
88
Q4 - 2:03BOSBremer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
88
Q4 - 2:03MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.PN)68
88
Q4 - 2:15MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler68
88
Q4 - 2:15MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#20)68
88
Q4 - 2:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
88
Q4 - 2:30BOSMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 2:45BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
88
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 3:00MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
88
Q4 - 3:02BOSMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 3:04BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
88
Q4 - 3:06BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 3:11MIASUB: James FOR Best68
88
Q4 - 3:22MIAMarks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)68
88
Q4 - 3:35BOSSUB: Bremer FOR Delk68
88
Q4 - 3:35MIASUB: Marks FOR Grant68
88
Q4 - 3:35MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones68
88
Q4 - 3:35BOSBrown P.FOUL (P1.T2)68
88
Q4 - 3:45MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)68
88
Q4 - 3:47BOSMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
88
Q4 - 4:06MIAGrant Driving Dunk (6 PTS)68
88
Q4 - 4:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)68
86
Q4 - 4:22BOSMISS Baker Free Throw 1 of 168
86
Q4 - 4:22MIAStepania Violation:Lane68
86
Q4 - 4:22MIAGrant S.FOUL (P5.PN)68
86
Q4 - 4:22BOSBaker 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)68
86
Q4 - 4:35MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.T4)66
86
Q4 - 4:46MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)66
86
Q4 - 5:03BOSDelk 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)66
84
Q4 - 5:26BOSSUB: Brown FOR Williams64
84
Q4 - 5:26BOSCeltics Rebound64
84
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Best 12' Running Jump Shot64
84
Q4 - 5:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
84
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Stepania Driving Layup64
84
Q4 - 5:49BOSWilliams Foul Turnover (P4.T11)64
84
Q4 - 5:49BOSWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)64
84
Q4 - 6:02BOSSUB: McCarty FOR Pierce64
84
Q4 - 6:02BOSSUB: Delk FOR Walker64
84
Q4 - 6:02BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)64
84
Q4 - 6:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Best 7 AST)64
84
Q4 - 6:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)64
81
Q4 - 6:13BOSButler BLOCK (1 BLK)64
81
Q4 - 6:19MIASUB: Butler FOR James64
81
Q4 - 6:19MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.T3)64
81
Q4 - 6:27BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
81
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot64
81
Q4 - 6:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
81
Q4 - 6:40BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
81
Q4 - 6:57MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 6 AST)64
81
Q4 - 7:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
78
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot64
78
Q4 - 7:27BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)64
78
Q4 - 7:27MIAJames S.FOUL (P3.T2)63
78
Q4 - 7:27BOSPierce 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)63
78
Q4 - 7:41BOSSUB: Williams FOR Delk61
78
Q4 - 7:41BOSSUB: Baker FOR Battie61
78
Q4 - 7:41BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)61
78
Q4 - 7:44MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 6 AST)61
78
Q4 - 7:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
75
Q4 - 7:55BOSMISS Delk 18' Jump Shot61
75
Q4 - 8:12BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
75
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot61
75
Q4 - 8:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
75
Q4 - 8:35BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot61
75
Q4 - 8:42MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)61
75
Q4 - 9:00MIAStepania 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 5 AST)61
75
Q4 - 9:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)61
73
Q4 - 9:12BOSMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot61
73
Q4 - 9:24MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T18)61
73
Q4 - 9:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
73
Q4 - 9:46BOSMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
73
Q4 - 10:00MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis61
73
Q4 - 10:00MIASUB: Best FOR Butler61
73
Q4 - 10:00BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)61
73
Q4 - 10:02MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)61
73
Q4 - 10:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
71
Q4 - 10:12BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot61
71
Q4 - 10:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)61
71
Q4 - 10:25BOSBattie S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
70
Q4 - 10:25MIAJones Driving Layup (24 PTS)61
70
Q4 - 10:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)61
68
Q4 - 10:48BOSMISS Walker Layup61
68
Q4 - 10:57BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
68
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
68
Q4 - 11:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
68
Q4 - 11:20BOSMISS Walker Layup61
68
Q4 - 11:22BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
68
Q4 - 11:23BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
68
Q4 - 11:39MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)61
68
Q4 - 11:41BOSButler STEAL (1 STL)61
68
Q4 - 12:0061
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 64' 3PT Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
68
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
68
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)61
68
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Pierce: Tip to Battie61
68
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
68
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSSUB: Battie FOR Walker60
68
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
68
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
68
Q3 - 0:44.0BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
68
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
68
Q3 - 0:52.0BOSEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)59
68
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSCeltics Rebound59
68
Q3 - 0:58.0BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)59
68
Q3 - 1:01MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)59
68
Q3 - 1:15MIAHEAT Rebound59
68
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 1:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
68
Q3 - 1:23BOSMISS McCarty 8' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 1:48MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)59
68
Q3 - 1:55BOSJones STEAL (2 STL)59
66
Q3 - 2:02BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
66
Q3 - 2:04BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot59
66
Q3 - 2:18MIASUB: Ellis FOR Best59
66
Q3 - 2:18MIASUB: James FOR Allen59
66
Q3 - 2:18BOSSUB: Williams FOR Battie59
66
Q3 - 2:18BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)59
66
Q3 - 2:18BOSCeltics Rebound59
66
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot59
66
Q3 - 2:34BOSStepania STEAL (2 STL)59
66
Q3 - 2:35BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
66
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot59
66
Q3 - 2:59BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)59
66
Q3 - 3:10MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)56
66
Q3 - 3:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)56
66
Q3 - 3:17BOSMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot56
66
Q3 - 3:34MIAButler Dunk (8 PTS)56
66
Q3 - 3:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
64
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones Layup56
64
Q3 - 3:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
64
Q3 - 3:44BOSMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot56
64
Q3 - 3:55BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
64
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot56
64
Q3 - 4:21BOSBattie Layup (3 PTS)56
64
Q3 - 4:23BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
64
Q3 - 4:25BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
64
Q3 - 4:42MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
64
Q3 - 4:42MIAHEAT Rebound54
63
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 254
63
Q3 - 4:42BOSSUB: Williams FOR Delk54
63
Q3 - 4:42BOSDelk P.FOUL (P2.PN)54
63
Q3 - 4:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
63
Q3 - 4:57BOSAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)54
63
Q3 - 5:06BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
63
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot54
63
Q3 - 5:25BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
63
Q3 - 5:25BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
63
Q3 - 5:25MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant52
63
Q3 - 5:25MIABest S.FOUL (P2.T4)52
63
Q3 - 5:41BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
63
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 6:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
63
Q3 - 6:05BOSMISS Battie Tip Shot52
63
Q3 - 6:06BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
63
Q3 - 6:08BOSMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 6:16BOSSUB: McCarty FOR Williams52
63
Q3 - 6:16BOSCeltics Rebound52
63
Q3 - 6:17BOSMISS Battie Running Layup52
63
Q3 - 6:28BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
63
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 6:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
63
Q3 - 6:42BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
63
Q3 - 6:54MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
63
Q3 - 6:54MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
62
Q3 - 6:54BOSBattie S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
61
Q3 - 7:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)52
61
Q3 - 7:15BOSDelk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)52
61
Q3 - 7:35MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)49
61
Q3 - 7:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
59
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot49
59
Q3 - 7:47BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
59
Q3 - 7:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
59
Q3 - 7:56BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
59
Q3 - 8:06MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)49
59
Q3 - 8:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
59
Q3 - 8:20BOSMISS Delk 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
59
Q3 - 8:29BOSPierce Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
59
Q3 - 8:29BOSPierce Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
59
Q3 - 8:29MIAAllen FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P3.T3)47
59
Q3 - 8:39MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)47
59
Q3 - 8:39BOSCeltics Rebound47
59
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot47
59
Q3 - 9:00BOSWalker 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
59
Q3 - 9:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
59
Q3 - 9:19MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
58
Q3 - 9:19BOSWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T2)45
57
Q3 - 9:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)45
57
Q3 - 9:24BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
57
Q3 - 9:39MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)45
57
Q3 - 9:53BOSWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)45
55
Q3 - 10:06BOSCeltics Rebound45
55
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot45
55
Q3 - 10:22BOSWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)45
55
Q3 - 10:31BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
55
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot43
55
Q3 - 10:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
55
Q3 - 10:53BOSMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
55
Q3 - 11:12MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)43
55
Q3 - 11:34BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
55
Q3 - 11:34BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
55
Q3 - 11:34MIAAllen P.FOUL (P2.T1)41
55
Q3 - 11:40MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)41
55
Q3 - 11:52BOSWalker P.FOUL (P2.T1)41
55
Q3 - 12:0041
55
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS41
55
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABest Driving Layup (9 PTS)41
55
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
53
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot41
53
Q2 - 0:35.0BOSDelk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)41
53
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAAllen 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
53
Q2 - 1:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
51
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 238
51
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant38
51
Q2 - 1:08BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
51
Q2 - 1:08MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.PN)37
51
Q2 - 1:27MIAJones Dunk (20 PTS) (Best 4 AST)37
51
Q2 - 1:36BOSJones STEAL (1 STL)37
49
Q2 - 1:42MIAAllen Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)37
49
Q2 - 1:43BOSAllen STEAL (1 STL)37
49
Q2 - 1:47BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
49
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot37
49
Q2 - 2:08BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
49
Q2 - 2:08BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
49
Q2 - 2:08MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.PN)35
49
Q2 - 2:24MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)35
49
Q2 - 2:39BOSPierce Layup (8 PTS)35
47
Q2 - 2:45BOSSUB: Delk FOR Williams33
47
Q2 - 2:45MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)33
47
Q2 - 2:45BOSCeltics Rebound33
47
Q2 - 2:46BOSMISS Walker 8' Running Jump Shot33
47
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)33
47
Q2 - 3:18BOSWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)33
47
Q2 - 3:30MIASUB: Best FOR Butler33
47
Q2 - 3:30MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)33
47
Q2 - 3:52BOSWilliams 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
47
Q2 - 4:04BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)31
47
Q2 - 4:04MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T3)31
47
Q2 - 4:16MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)31
47
Q2 - 4:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
45
Q2 - 4:27BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot31
45
Q2 - 4:36MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania31
45
Q2 - 4:36BOSCeltics Rebound31
45
Q2 - 4:36MIAButler L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)31
45
Q2 - 4:37BOSMISS Williams 3' Turnaround Jump Shot31
45
Q2 - 4:43BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)31
45
Q2 - 4:43MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Stepania )30
45
Q2 - 5:02MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)30
45
Q2 - 5:22BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
42
Q2 - 5:22MIASUB: Jones FOR Best29
42
Q2 - 5:22BOSCeltics Rebound29
42
Q2 - 5:22BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 229
42
Q2 - 5:22MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
42
Q2 - 5:28BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
42
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 5:43BOSWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)29
42
Q2 - 5:49BOSSUB: Williams FOR Delk29
42
Q2 - 5:49BOSWalker P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
42
Q2 - 6:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)29
42
Q2 - 6:07MIABest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
42
Q2 - 6:09BOSMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 6:30MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
42
Q2 - 6:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
40
Q2 - 6:50BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
40
Q2 - 6:53BOSSUB: Battie FOR Baker29
40
Q2 - 7:16MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 7:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
38
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Stepania Layup29
38
Q2 - 7:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
38
Q2 - 7:28BOSMISS Walker Driving Layup29
38
Q2 - 7:40MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)29
38
Q2 - 7:45MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
38
Q2 - 7:47BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot29
38
Q2 - 8:04MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)29
38
Q2 - 8:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
35
Q2 - 8:25BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 8:29BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
35
Q2 - 8:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
35
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot29
35
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 8:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
35
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 8:56MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones29
35
Q2 - 8:56BOSSUB: Pierce FOR McCarty29
35
Q2 - 8:5629
35
Q2 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound29
35
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Best Driving Layup29
35
Q2 - 9:16BOSDelk 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)29
35
Q2 - 9:24MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
35
Q2 - 9:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
35
Q2 - 9:43BOSMISS McCarty 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
35
Q2 - 9:52BOSSUB: Walker FOR Williams27
35
Q2 - 9:52MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant27
35
Q2 - 9:52BOSCeltics Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)27
35
Q2 - 10:01MIAStepania Dunk (8 PTS)27
35
Q2 - 10:03BOSStepania STEAL (1 STL)27
33
Q2 - 10:04MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)27
33
Q2 - 10:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
33
Q2 - 10:13BOSMISS McCarty 16' Jump Shot27
33
Q2 - 10:37MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
33
Q2 - 10:54BOSWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
31
Q2 - 11:13MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)25
31
Q2 - 11:27BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)25
29
Q2 - 11:42MIAJones Reverse Layup (15 PTS)25
29
Q2 - 12:0025
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
27
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSWilliams 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)25
27
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJames 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
27
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSMcCarty Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 0:36.0MIASUB: Best FOR Butler22
25
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSMcCarty Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
25
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.PN)21
25
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
25
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJones Tip Shot (13 PTS)21
25
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot21
23
Q1 - 1:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
23
Q1 - 1:09BOSMISS Baker 8' Jump Shot21
23
Q1 - 1:11BOSBaker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
23
Q1 - 1:13BOSMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot21
23
Q1 - 1:29MIAStepania 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
23
Q1 - 1:50MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21
Q1 - 1:52BOSMISS Williams Layup21
21
Q1 - 1:54BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
21
Q1 - 1:56BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
21
Q1 - 2:07BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
21
Q1 - 2:09BOSMISS McCarty 12' Jump Shot21
21
Q1 - 2:28MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
21
Q1 - 2:36MIASUB: James FOR Best21
19
Q1 - 2:36MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen21
19
Q1 - 2:36BOSSUB: Williams FOR Walker21
19
Q1 - 2:36MIAHEAT Rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup21
19
Q1 - 2:45MIABest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
19
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:00BOSBaker L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)21
19
Q1 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound21
19
Q1 - 3:00BOSMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:09BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
19
Q1 - 3:22MIABest 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:24MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Butler Layup21
17
Q1 - 3:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot21
17
Q1 - 3:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
17
Q1 - 3:46BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot21
17
Q1 - 4:00MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
17
Q1 - 4:00MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 4:00BOSSUB: McCarty FOR Battie21
15
Q1 - 4:00BOSSUB: Williams FOR Delk21
15
Q1 - 4:00BOSSUB: Baker FOR Williams21
15
Q1 - 4:00BOSDelk S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
15
Q1 - 4:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15
Q1 - 4:12BOSMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15
Q1 - 4:23BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot21
15
Q1 - 4:40BOSWalker 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 5:06MIABest Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
15
Q1 - 5:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
13
Q1 - 5:13BOSMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot19
13
Q1 - 5:23BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
13
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot19
13
Q1 - 5:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
13
Q1 - 5:47BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot19
13
Q1 - 5:52MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T4)19
13
Q1 - 6:07MIAJones Driving Layup (7 PTS)19
13
Q1 - 6:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)19
11
Q1 - 6:16BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
11
Q1 - 6:16MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
11
Q1 - 6:16BOSWilliams 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
11
Q1 - 6:35MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)16
11
Q1 - 6:54BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
9
Q1 - 6:54BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
9
Q1 - 6:54MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
9
Q1 - 7:13MIAAllen 4' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 7:31BOSDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)14
7
Q1 - 7:38BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
7
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup11
7
Q1 - 7:59BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
7
Q1 - 7:59BOSPierce OFF.Foul (P1)11
7
Q1 - 8:04MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
7
Q1 - 8:04MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7
Q1 - 8:08BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot11
7
Q1 - 8:27MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 2 AST)11
7
Q1 - 8:42BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
4
Q1 - 8:53BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
4
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot9
4
Q1 - 9:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 9:14BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 29
4
Q1 - 9:14BOSBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
4
Q1 - 9:14MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 9:29MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 9:41MIAHEAT Rebound8
2
Q1 - 9:42BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:53BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 18
2
Q1 - 9:54BOSWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
2
Q1 - 9:54MIAAllen Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 10:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)8
0
Q1 - 10:10BOSWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
0
Q1 - 10:15BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
0
Q1 - 10:17BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 10:30MIABest Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)6
0
Q1 - 10:53BOSWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)6
0
Q1 - 11:03MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
0
Q1 - 11:15BOSPierce Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 11:26MIAAllen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:46BOSWalker 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Battie: Tip to Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.75 37.6%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
6
16
38%
MIA
14
24
58%
Midrange
BOS
12
37
32%
MIA
18
46
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
4
6.0
26
15%
23%
MIA
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
Free Throws
BOS
22
26
85%
MIA
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce1945%9.5 / 21
A. Walker1633%8.0 / 24
T. Delk1359%6.5 / 11
E. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
T. Battie330%1.5 / 5
S. Williams217%1.0 / 6
W. McCarty213%1.0 / 8
V. Baker225%1.0 / 4
J. Bremer2100%1.0 / 1
K. Brown0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2861%14.0 / 23
V. Stepania1464%7.0 / 11
T. Best1346%6.5 / 14
C. Butler1045%5.0 / 11
M. Allen1042%5.0 / 12
M. James770%3.5 / 5
B. Grant650%3.0 / 6
L. Ellis250%1.0 / 2
S. Marks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+13
-11
93
MIA
71
+17
-19
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.75 37.6%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.4
94.5
BOS 76.9
MIA 100.0 +23.1
Pace
93.6
90.0
BOS 102.5 +21.6
MIA 80.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
BOS 14.0 −3.8
MIA 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
43.9%
BOS 30.4%
MIA 51.9% +21.5%
TO %
14.3%
14.8%
BOS 10.8% −8.5%
MIA 19.3%
ORB %
23.6%
26.8%
BOS 16.7%
MIA 38.2% +21.5%
FTrt
30.6
25.9
BOS 32.9 +20.2
MIA 12.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
55.8%
BOS 36.4%
MIA 50.0% +13.6%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
BOS 9.9% +2.1%
MIA 7.8%
BLK %
6.0%
6.4%
BOS 7.1%
MIA 7.5% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.9%
46.0%
BOS 37.6%
MIA 50.6% +13.0%
Rim FG%
56.2%
53.7%
BOS 37.5%
MIA 58.3% +20.8%
Mid FG%
35.8%
37.6%
BOS 32.4%
MIA 39.1% +6.7%
3P %
33.4%
31.6%
BOS 15.4%
MIA 66.7% +51.3%
FT %
74.2%
76.5%
BOS 84.6% +4.6%
MIA 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
28.9%
BOS 20.3%
MIA 30.4% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
35.0%
54.2%
BOS 46.8% −11.4%
MIA 58.2%
3P Att. %
33.1%
16.9%
BOS 32.9% +21.5%
MIA 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.15 and 3.15.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points7090
Rebounds3058
Assists819
Steals97
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (4)45 (2)
Field Goals22-7938-79
At-the-Rim FG6-1614-24
Midrange FG12-3718-46
2-Point FG18-5332-70
3-Point FG4-266-9
Free Throws22-268-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 235 · 25
38.9
19
45%
2
3
3
0
3
2
0
2
11-12
92%
4-13
31%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
36.6
16
33%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-13
31%
1-8
13%
G · 6'2" 189 · 29
31.0
13
59%
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
29.6
3
30%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 30
28.8
11
69%
3
1
0
1
4
3
2
1
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 28
29.9
2
17%
3
2
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
19.4
2
13%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
16.8
2
25%
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 22
5.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
3.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 23
F · 6'10" 275 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
38%
30
8
9
5
11
0
9
21
22-26
85%
18-53
34%
4-26
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.