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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 30, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards35%9695
12Magic65%101112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
43.2
28.8
15
64%
3
1
0
1
0
6
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
39.1
38.4
18
44%
3
4
1
1
0
4
1
2
10-12
83%
4-12
6-14
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.9
38.9
35.2
21
55%
8
9
3
1
0
4
0
8
5-5
100%
8-17
7-16
47%
43%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.4
29.5
32.7
11
71%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.1
15.3
26.5
7
72%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
27.8
17.7
8
68%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
2-3
67%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
22.3
22.0
7
88%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.8
20.3
21.0
8
59%
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
1
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
1.8
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
1.8
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.7
7.1
0
1-2
46%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.0
3.5
0
0-0
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
41.3
34.7
32
73%
5
6
3
1
0
3
1
4
8-9
89%
9-13
8-16
69%
48%
2-5
40%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 22.9
39.8
39.2
20
69%
7
3
1
1
1
2
0
7
0-1
0%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Shawn Kemp
F · 6'10" 280 · 33.1
22.9
21.6
5
40%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-3
33%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.9
20.4
16.0
6
34%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
0-0
-
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 21.6
11.6
8.2
2
50%
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 26.4
35.8
36.0
21
69%
1
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3-3
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
4-8
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.5
32.2
30.7
8
69%
5
11
2
2
0
2
3
2
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
19.3
11.2
8
52%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.9
13.3
16.7
8
84%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
1.8
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
1.6
5.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.2
16.1
0
3-6
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.