FinalWin Prob.pScore
1943%91
84
2257%93
93
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
94.48987.8
MIA logo MIA
109.48586.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLWilks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Newble 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot81
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 1:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:23ATLMISS Robinson 6' Finger Roll81
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:27ATLHawks Rebound81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:29ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot81
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 1:33ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 2:05ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)81
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 2:05ATLAbdur-Rahim 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)80
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 2:20MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)78
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:43ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)76
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot76
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:06MIAHEAT Rebound76
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08ATLMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:10ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 3:12ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:33MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 5 AST)76
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 3:49ATLRobinson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 3 AST)76
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)73
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34ATLAbdur-Rahim 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 5:14ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:18ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot69
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 5:50ATLWilks 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:02MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)67
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 6:02MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 6:03MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 6:05ATLMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot67
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 6:27MIABest 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 6:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)67
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 6:48ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 4' Jump Shot67
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 6:56MIAStepania Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T9)67
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 7:29ATLWilks Driving Layup (14 PTS)67
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 7:44ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 7:59ATLWilks Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)65
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 7:59ATLWilks Driving Layup (11 PTS)64
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 8:13MIAJames Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)62
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 8:20ATLJones STEAL (3 STL)62
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 8:34MIAStepania 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 8:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot62
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)62
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 9:01ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 17' Jump Shot62
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)62
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 262
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 9:19ATLMISS Terry Driving Layup62
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 9:39ATLHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup62
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 9:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 9:52ATLMISS Ham 4' Jump Shot62
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 10:15ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot62
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 10:55ATLHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 10:57ATLMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 160
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 10:57ATLHenderson Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)60
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 11:14MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)58
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 11:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 11:23ATLMISS Terry 21' Jump Shot58
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q4 - 11:37MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)58
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot58
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Glover 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)58
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)58
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLJones STEAL (2 STL)58
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)58
8.2%
69
91.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Carter 34' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 1:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 1:17ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 258
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 1:17ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)57
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)57
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 1:47ATLTerry 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)55
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 1:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 2:17ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)55
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 2:31ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot55
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 2:51ATLHam Foul Turnover (P1.T12)55
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 3:10ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Grant Dunk55
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 3:27ATLWilks Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 3:27ATLWilks Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 3:30ATLHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup53
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 3:59ATLRatliff 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 4:22MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 4 AST)51
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 4:37ATLMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot51
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 4:49ATLHawks Rebound51
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 4:49ATLMISS Wilks 17' Jump Shot51
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 5:05MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)51
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 5:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 5:20ATLMISS Newble 13' Jump Shot51
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)51
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 5:48ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 6:04ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Jones 10' Running Jump Shot51
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 6:20ATLRobinson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 6:24ATLHawks Rebound49
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 6:25ATLMISS Ratliff 7' Jump Shot49
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 6:50MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)49
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 7:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q3 - 7:10ATLMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q3 - 7:29MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
19.3%
56
80.7%
Q3 - 7:40ATLRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 7:40ATLRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q3 - 7:45ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Best 12' Running Jump Shot47
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q3 - 8:04MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)47
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q3 - 8:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 8:18ATLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)47
19.9%
54
80.1%
Q3 - 8:32ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Best 23' Jump Shot47
21.0%
54
79.0%
Q3 - 8:59ATLWilks 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 9:20ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q3 - 9:32ATLMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot45
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 9:55MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 9:55MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q3 - 10:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Ratliff Tip Shot45
20.8%
52
79.2%
Q3 - 10:04ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q3 - 10:05ATLMISS Ratliff Tip Shot45
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 10:06ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q3 - 10:10ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Driving Layup45
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 10:15MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T6)45
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q3 - 10:33ATLRobinson 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q3 - 10:53MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)43
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 11:17ATLRatliff Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)43
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q3 - 11:30MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q3 - 11:51ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)41
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL41
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)41
23.2%
48
76.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Wilks 14' Running Jump Shot41
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)41
23.2%
48
76.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
26.4%
46
73.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot38
19.8%
46
80.2%
Q2 - 1:17MIAAllen 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 2 AST)38
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q2 - 1:36ATLWilks Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 1:51MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)36
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 2:09ATLAbdur-Rahim Foul Turnover (P1.T9)36
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
29.3%
41
70.7%
Q2 - 2:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 2:25ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 15' Jump Shot36
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 2:34MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 2:34MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 2:52ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 2:52ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 3:11MIABest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)34
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 3:32ATLMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 3:37ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
37.9%
36
62.1%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Best Driving Layup34
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 3:58ATLRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)34
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 4:01MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
37.7%
36
62.3%
Q2 - 4:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 4:13ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 4:36MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
37.7%
36
62.3%
Q2 - 4:36MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 4:52ATLRatliff Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
40.5%
34
59.5%
Q2 - 4:52ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 4:52ATLHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 4:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot32
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot32
36.9%
34
63.1%
Q2 - 5:13ATLWilks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)32
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
30.3%
34
69.7%
Q2 - 5:53ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 5:53ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 5:55ATLHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 5:58ATLStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)27
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 6:13ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
33.1%
31
66.9%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot27
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 6:31ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q2 - 6:31ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 6:35ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot25
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 6:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Glover Driving Layup25
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 7:04ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot25
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 7:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 7:25ATLMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 225
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 7:25ATLHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 7:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 7:31ATLMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot24
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 7:42ATLHawks Rebound24
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot24
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 8:12ATLGlover 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)24
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 8:32ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 8:33ATLMISS Newble Free Throw 2 of 221
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 8:33ATLNewble Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 8:58MIAButler Layup (14 PTS) (James 1 AST)20
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 9:17ATLTerry Driving Layup (3 PTS)20
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIAButler Layup (12 PTS)18
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 9:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 9:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Stepania 1' Tip Shot18
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup18
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q2 - 9:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 9:59ATLMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot18
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 10:14MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q2 - 10:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q2 - 10:27ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 12' Hook Shot18
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q2 - 10:41ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q2 - 10:59ATLNewble 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)18
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q2 - 11:12ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 11:14ATLMISS Glover Reverse Layup15
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q2 - 11:22ATLHawks Rebound15
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 11:23ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)15
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q2 - 11:25ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 11:27ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot15
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q2 - 11:43MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 11:43MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q2 - 11:49ATLMISS Glover 18' Jump Shot15
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA15
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound15
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot15
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)15
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot15
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Wilks 15' Jump Shot15
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot15
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 1:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 1:18ATLMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot15
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 1:37MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)15
25.4%
23
74.6%
Q1 - 1:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Glover 8' Jump Shot15
28.1%
21
71.9%
Q1 - 2:08MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 2:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot15
33.0%
19
67.0%
Q1 - 2:39ATLWilks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)15
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 2:53MIABest Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
33.5%
19
66.5%
Q1 - 3:02ATLHawks Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#5)15
35.6%
17
64.4%
Q1 - 3:22MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 3:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 3:36ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)15
39.9%
15
60.1%
Q1 - 3:37ATLHawks Rebound15
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 3:37ATLMISS Wilks 16' Jump Shot15
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q1 - 4:05MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 4:23ATLAbdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
44.0%
13
56.0%
Q1 - 4:33ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
42.3%
13
57.7%
Q1 - 4:48MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 5:02ATLRatliff Layup (6 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)12
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 5:25MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 5:33ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Driving Layup10
38.3%
11
61.7%
Q1 - 5:53ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 6:20ATLRatliff Layup (4 PTS)10
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 6:23ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 6:24ATLMISS Robinson 22' Jump Shot8
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 7:03ATLRobinson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Newble 2 AST)8
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 7:17ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot6
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 7:33ATLRobinson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAAllen 6' Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
34.1%
7
65.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Best 23' Jump Shot4
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 8:16ATLMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot4
34.9%
7
65.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 24
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 8:30ATLMISS Terry 5' Jump Shot4
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 8:34ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot4
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 8:53ATLRatliff Layup (2 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)4
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 9:10MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 9:10MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHEAT Rebound2
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:23ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 13' Hook Shot2
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAButler Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:57ATLAbdur-Rahim 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Newble 1 AST)2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:11ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Best Driving Layup0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:32ATLButler STEAL (1 STL)0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:39ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:54ATLRatliff Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIABest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 11:35ATLTerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:44ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot0
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ratliff: Tip to Best0
39.5%
0
60.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.91 45.7%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
27
52%
MIA
8
17
47%
Midrange
ATL
8
31
26%
MIA
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
ATL
22
26
85%
MIA
23
25
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Wilks1973%9.5 / 13
S. Abdur-Rahim1644%8.0 / 18
G. Robinson1644%8.0 / 18
T. Ratliff1260%6.0 / 10
J. Terry941%4.5 / 11
A. Henderson563%2.5 / 4
I. Newble450%2.0 / 4
D. Glover321%1.5 / 7
D. Ham0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2350%11.5 / 23
C. Butler2175%10.5 / 14
T. Best2067%10.0 / 15
M. Allen1161%5.5 / 9
B. Grant857%4.0 / 7
M. James425%2.0 / 8
V. Stepania467%2.0 / 3
A. Carter220%1.0 / 5
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+15
-12
92
MIA
78
+11
-7
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.91 45.7%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.8
94.5
ATL 94.4 +15.0
MIA 109.4
Pace
93.3
90.0
ATL 87.8 +1.6
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
ATL 16.4 +0.3
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
43.9%
ATL 42.5%
MIA 47.9% +5.4%
TO %
16.9%
14.8%
ATL 15.1%
MIA 10.6% +4.5%
ORB %
27.9%
26.8%
ATL 23.8% +0.1%
MIA 23.7%
FTrt
31.3
25.9
ATL 35.6 +1.4
MIA 34.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
55.8%
ATL 42.9%
MIA 53.1% +10.2%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 4.5%
MIA 5.9% +1.4%
BLK %
8.3%
6.4%
ATL 8.6% +3.4%
MIA 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
46.0%
ATL 45.7%
MIA 51.7% +6.0%
Rim FG%
55.2%
53.7%
ATL 51.9% +4.8%
MIA 47.1%
Mid FG%
41.1%
37.6%
ATL 25.8%
MIA 43.9% +18.1%
3P %
35.2%
31.6%
ATL 40.0%
MIA 40.0%
FT %
79.3%
76.5%
ATL 84.6%
MIA 92.0% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
28.9%
ATL 37.0% +13.7%
MIA 23.3%
Mid Att. %
51.1%
54.2%
ATL 42.5% +13.7%
MIA 56.2%
3P Att. %
17.7%
16.9%
ATL 20.5%
MIA 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8985
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8493
Rebounds3941
Assists1217
Steals45
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)7 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals28-7332-73
At-the-Rim FG14-278-17
Midrange FG8-3118-41
2-Point FG22-5826-58
3-Point FG6-156-15
Free Throws22-2623-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
41.7
16
44%
4
3
0
0
2
4
0
4
8-9
89%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
38.5
16
44%
5
3
0
0
1
5
1
4
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
2-5
40%
C · 6'10" 235 · 30
34.1
12
60%
11
0
0
3
1
2
3
8
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
29.2
9
41%
0
3
2
0
5
3
0
0
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 28
27.9
4
50%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 5'10" 180 · 24
32.4
19
73%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30
13.9
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29
11.6
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24
10.6
3
21%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 250 · 25
G · 6'3" · 31
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
39
12
4
5
12
0
10
29
22-26
85%
22-58
38%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.