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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 31, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs51%92103
17Wizards49%91105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
44.2
39.7
35
56%
13
5
1
1
5
7
6
7
12-16
75%
10-23
9-18
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.5
41.7
36.2
12
56%
2
0
2
1
1
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
2-6
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.6
33.8
35.5
9
41%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-10
33%
46%
1-2
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.4
33.7
30.6
17
60%
10
3
0
1
0
1
3
7
7-7
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
21.3
35.8
7
70%
1
4
0
2
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.8
29.6
16.7
14
47%
10
0
2
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
4-12
1-3
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.1
18.1
11.0
4
106%
4
3
0
0
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.3
14.2
12.0
5
50%
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.2
3.4
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
0.1
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.3
11.0
0
2-4
44%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.1
0.3
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
42.3
38.2
25
55%
3
7
3
1
0
3
0
3
11-13
85%
7-15
6-13
47%
42%
0-2
0%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.9
34.9
36.1
17
54%
7
3
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
6-14
7-16
43%
42%
1-1
100%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
31.7
34.5
22
62%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
8-11
73%
7-12
5-10
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.4
26.9
31.0
5
64%
5
3
2
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.1
18.2
21.7
8
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
25.3
4.9
10
73%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.8
24.5
20.6
6
52%
3
1
1
1
3
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
22.6
22.0
6
44%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
13.7
21.9
6
80%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
39%
1-2
50%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.0
2.7
0
0-0
38%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
1.5
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.