FinalWin Prob.pScore
744%96
89
1356%98
86
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
92.796101.3
NOH
90.59591.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0IND89
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 288
90.9%
86
9.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDPacers Rebound88
93.1%
86
6.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot88
90.3%
86
9.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
78.0%
86
22.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 288
80.6%
86
19.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
89.0%
86
11.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0NOHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wesley 9 AST)87
78.7%
86
21.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
93.4%
83
6.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot87
95.2%
83
4.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)87
93.9%
83
6.1%
Q4 - 1:04INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)87
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 1:23INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
91.2%
80
8.8%
Q4 - 1:24NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot84
89.4%
80
10.6%
Q4 - 1:40INDO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)84
82.8%
80
17.2%
Q4 - 2:09NOHMashburn 11' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Wesley 8 AST)82
75.6%
80
24.4%
Q4 - 2:21INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)82
80.1%
78
19.9%
Q4 - 2:36INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
89.0%
78
11.0%
Q4 - 2:37NOHMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot82
86.7%
78
13.3%
Q4 - 2:57NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
77.9%
78
22.1%
Q4 - 2:58INDMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot82
80.8%
78
19.2%
Q4 - 3:17NOHBrown Layup (8 PTS) (Wesley 7 AST)82
86.6%
78
13.4%
Q4 - 3:39INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
86.3%
76
13.8%
Q4 - 3:39INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
85.3%
76
14.7%
Q4 - 3:42NOHAugmon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)80
81.7%
76
18.3%
Q4 - 4:00NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)80
75.5%
76
24.5%
Q4 - 4:02INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
77.7%
76
22.3%
Q4 - 4:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
82.3%
76
17.7%
Q4 - 4:26NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
80.5%
76
19.5%
Q4 - 4:38NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
75.9%
76
24.1%
Q4 - 4:40INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
78.1%
76
21.9%
Q4 - 5:00NOHAugmon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)80
82.6%
76
17.4%
Q4 - 5:12NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
72.5%
76
27.5%
Q4 - 5:14INDMashburn BLOCK (1 BLK)80
74.6%
76
25.4%
Q4 - 5:32INDPacers Rebound80
79.0%
76
21.0%
Q4 - 5:32NOHMISS Augmon 10' Jump Shot80
77.2%
76
22.8%
Q4 - 5:46NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
72.7%
76
27.3%
Q4 - 5:48INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot80
74.8%
76
25.2%
Q4 - 6:06INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
76.5%
76
23.5%
Q4 - 6:09NOHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
74.5%
76
25.5%
Q4 - 6:24NOHHORNETS Rebound80
69.8%
76
30.2%
Q4 - 6:24INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot80
71.9%
76
28.1%
Q4 - 6:49NOHMagloire Dunk (15 PTS) (Wesley 6 AST)80
76.6%
76
23.4%
Q4 - 6:56NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q4 - 6:59INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot80
82.6%
74
17.4%
Q4 - 7:23INDPacers Rebound80
83.4%
74
16.6%
Q4 - 7:23NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
82.1%
74
17.9%
Q4 - 7:42NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)80
78.7%
74
21.3%
Q4 - 7:43INDMISS Mercer 16' Jump Shot80
80.3%
74
19.7%
Q4 - 8:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q4 - 8:08NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot80
79.8%
74
20.2%
Q4 - 8:35INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)80
76.9%
74
23.1%
Q4 - 8:52INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
72.2%
74
27.8%
Q4 - 8:54NOHMISS Wesley 16' Jump Shot78
70.6%
74
29.4%
Q4 - 9:10INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)78
65.2%
74
34.8%
Q4 - 9:10INDMiller Layup (18 PTS)77
59.6%
74
40.4%
Q4 - 9:10INDMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
54.0%
74
46.0%
Q4 - 9:11INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
49.6%
74
50.4%
Q4 - 9:16INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
54.0%
74
46.0%
Q4 - 9:20NOHMISS Drew 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
52.0%
74
48.0%
Q4 - 9:26NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
47.7%
74
52.3%
Q4 - 9:28INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot75
49.6%
74
50.4%
Q4 - 9:39NOHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)75
54.0%
74
46.0%
Q4 - 10:05INDCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)75
47.2%
74
52.8%
Q4 - 10:22NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)72
36.6%
74
63.4%
Q4 - 10:28NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
47.2%
71
52.8%
Q4 - 10:30INDMISS Croshere 15' Jump Shot72
49.1%
71
50.9%
Q4 - 10:51INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
53.4%
71
46.6%
Q4 - 10:53NOHMISS Lynch 18' Jump Shot72
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q4 - 10:59NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
47.2%
71
52.8%
Q4 - 11:02NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot72
50.9%
71
49.1%
Q4 - 11:13INDWesley STEAL (1 STL)72
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q4 - 11:15INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q4 - 11:18NOHMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot72
50.9%
71
49.1%
Q4 - 11:34NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q4 - 11:36INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot72
48.7%
71
51.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND72
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound72
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 37' 3PT Jump Shot72
48.7%
71
51.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
52.1%
71
47.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Brown Layup72
50.6%
71
49.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0INDMiller 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)72
47.0%
71
53.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0NOHCampbell 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)70
41.9%
71
58.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDBrown STEAL (2 STL)70
47.0%
69
53.0%
Q3 - 1:05INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
51.8%
69
48.2%
Q3 - 1:06NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
50.2%
69
49.8%
Q3 - 1:09NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q3 - 1:12NOHMISS Drew 18' Jump Shot70
50.2%
69
49.8%
Q3 - 1:44INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (11 PTS)70
46.8%
69
53.2%
Q3 - 1:59NOHMashburn 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
42.1%
69
57.9%
Q3 - 2:21INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)68
45.9%
67
54.1%
Q3 - 2:34INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
41.8%
67
58.2%
Q3 - 2:36NOHMISS Mashburn Layup66
40.3%
67
59.7%
Q3 - 2:40NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
36.9%
67
63.1%
Q3 - 2:42NOHMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot66
40.3%
67
59.7%
Q3 - 2:58INDMiller 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)66
37.0%
67
63.0%
Q3 - 3:13NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)64
33.5%
67
66.5%
Q3 - 3:24INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
37.4%
65
62.6%
Q3 - 3:24INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 263
36.3%
65
63.7%
Q3 - 3:42NOHCampbell 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)63
37.6%
65
62.4%
Q3 - 4:04INDWorld Peace 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
41.2%
63
58.8%
Q3 - 4:19NOHCampbell 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)61
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 4:39INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 4:39INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
40.9%
61
59.1%
Q3 - 4:55NOHWesley 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Drew 3 AST)59
37.8%
61
62.2%
Q3 - 5:14INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
41.5%
59
58.5%
Q3 - 5:14INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 5:14INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
37.8%
59
62.2%
Q3 - 5:16INDMISS Tinsley 11' Jump Shot57
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 5:25INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
37.8%
59
62.2%
Q3 - 5:27NOHMISS Mashburn Layup57
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 5:39NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 5:41NOHMISS Campbell Layup57
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 5:52NOHHORNETS Rebound57
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 5:52INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 5:58INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
37.8%
59
62.2%
Q3 - 6:00NOHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot57
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 6:16INDMiller 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)57
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 6:27NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)55
30.6%
59
69.4%
Q3 - 6:43INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
27.1%
59
72.9%
Q3 - 6:43INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
26.3%
59
73.7%
Q3 - 6:50NOHMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)53
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q3 - 7:17INDMiller Finger Roll (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)53
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 7:28NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)51
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q3 - 7:28NOHMagloire Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)51
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 7:50INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q3 - 8:17NOHAlexander 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 8:19NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 8:21NOHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot48
24.1%
54
75.9%
Q3 - 8:28NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 8:31INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot48
22.9%
54
77.1%
Q3 - 8:41INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
25.1%
54
74.9%
Q3 - 8:43NOHMISS Brown Layup48
24.1%
54
75.9%
Q3 - 9:09INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)48
22.4%
54
77.6%
Q3 - 9:18NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)45
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 9:18NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q3 - 9:37INDO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)45
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q3 - 9:48INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q3 - 9:50NOHMISS Alexander 16' Jump Shot43
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q3 - 10:10NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q3 - 10:12INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot43
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 10:22INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
18.4%
52
81.6%
Q3 - 10:24NOHMISS Alexander 14' Jump Shot43
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q3 - 10:37INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q3 - 10:37INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q3 - 10:46NOHMashburn Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)41
14.5%
52
85.5%
Q3 - 10:48NOHBrown 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q3 - 11:10INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
18.8%
49
81.2%
Q3 - 11:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot39
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q3 - 11:25NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)39
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q3 - 11:30INDMagloire BLOCK (5 BLK)39
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q3 - 11:44NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)39
16.8%
49
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH39
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMagloire BLOCK (4 BLK)39
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)39
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)39
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0NOHMashburn 6' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)39
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
19.9%
47
80.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0INDMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot39
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot39
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDTinsley Layup (4 PTS)39
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 1:03NOHWesley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)37
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 1:06NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 1:08NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot37
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 1:17NOHHORNETS Rebound37
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 1:19NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot37
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 1:44INDO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)37
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 1:48INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 1:50INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot35
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q2 - 2:03INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 2:05NOHMISS Alexander 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q2 - 2:28INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
13.6%
47
86.4%
Q2 - 2:28INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 2:28INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 2:29NOHMISS Alexander Layup33
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 2:45NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)33
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 2:46INDMISS Miller Layup33
11.3%
47
88.7%
Q2 - 2:55NOHMagloire 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)33
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 3:14INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q2 - 3:28NOHAlexander 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)31
13.0%
45
87.0%
Q2 - 3:47INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 131
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 3:47INDO'Neal Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 3:58INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 3:59NOHMISS Drew Layup29
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 4:20NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 4:22INDMagloire BLOCK (3 BLK)29
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 4:26NOHAlexander Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)29
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 4:28NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 4:31INDMISS Mercer 13' Jump Shot29
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 4:59NOHAlexander Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 5:09NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:10INDMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot29
15.7%
41
84.3%
Q2 - 5:31NOHCampbell 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Drew 2 AST)29
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 5:42NOHHORNETS Rebound29
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 5:42NOHMISS Lynch 15' Jump Shot29
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 6:06INDMercer Running Layup (2 PTS)29
18.8%
39
81.2%
Q2 - 6:24NOHCampbell 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)27
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 6:38INDStrickland Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)27
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 6:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 6:43INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 6:58NOHCampbell 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 7:13NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 7:15INDMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot27
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q2 - 7:28NOHAlexander 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)27
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 7:51INDCroshere Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)27
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 8:03INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 8:05NOHMISS Campbell 12' Jump Shot25
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 8:23INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
23.3%
33
76.7%
Q2 - 8:23INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 8:32NOHMashburn Layup (9 PTS)23
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 8:52INDCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)23
23.3%
31
76.7%
Q2 - 9:12NOHCampbell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)20
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 9:15INDCampbell STEAL (1 STL)20
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:30NOHDrew 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 9:31NOHDrew REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 9:32NOHMISS Drew 18' Jump Shot20
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q2 - 9:46NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 9:48INDMISS Mercer 9' Jump Shot20
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 10:01INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 10:03NOHMISS Drew 16' Jump Shot20
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 10:08INDMashburn STEAL (1 STL)20
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 10:10INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 10:13NOHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot20
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 10:35INDStrickland 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)20
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 10:50INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 10:53NOHMISS Lynch Layup18
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 10:59NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 11:01NOHMISS Campbell 6' Jump Shot18
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 11:17INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)18
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q2 - 11:17INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 11:19INDLynch BLOCK (1 BLK)18
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 11:44NOHCampbell 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Drew 1 AST)18
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH18
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound18
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Alexander 34' 3PT Jump Shot18
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)18
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0NOHMISS Wesley Layup18
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot18
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot18
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0INDMISS Croshere 20' Jump Shot18
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 1:00INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q1 - 1:03NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot18
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 1:09NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 1:12INDMISS Tinsley 21' Jump Shot18
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q1 - 1:30NOHMagloire Layup (8 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)18
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 1:43INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)18
26.4%
25
73.6%
Q1 - 2:00NOHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)16
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 2:18INDMiller Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
23.0%
25
77.0%
Q1 - 2:35NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)14
21.3%
25
78.7%
Q1 - 2:49INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)14
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 3:02NOHWesley 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)12
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 3:07NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)12
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 3:10INDMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)12
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 3:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 3:15INDMISS World Peace 11' Jump Shot12
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 3:33NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 3:33NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 3:33NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 3:35NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot12
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 3:50NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 3:52INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot12
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 4:20NOHWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 4:28NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 4:31INDMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot12
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 4:35NOHDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)12
32.7%
17
67.3%
Q1 - 4:44INDBrown STEAL (1 STL)12
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 5:09NOHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)12
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 5:18NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 5:21INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot12
37.1%
14
62.9%
Q1 - 5:34NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)12
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 5:39NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 5:41INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
37.1%
14
62.9%
Q1 - 5:55NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 5:55NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 6:20INDO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)12
40.3%
12
59.7%
Q1 - 6:26NOHDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 6:35NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.3%
10
59.7%
Q1 - 6:38INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot10
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 6:51NOHMashburn Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)10
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 7:06INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 7:12NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 7:30INDWorld Peace Layup (4 PTS)10
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 7:32INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
42.3%
8
57.7%
Q1 - 7:34INDMISS World Peace Layup8
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 7:43NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
42.3%
8
57.7%
Q1 - 8:00INDDavis STEAL (1 STL)8
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 8:08NOHBrown 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)8
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 8:26INDO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 8:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 8:31NOHMISS Davis Layup6
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 8:39NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 8:41INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot6
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 8:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 8:49INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 9:01NOHDavis Layup (2 PTS)6
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 9:10INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 9:20NOHMagloire Layup (4 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)4
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 9:30INDMiller Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:38INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 9:40NOHMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot2
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 9:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 9:48INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot2
40.8%
2
59.2%
Q1 - 10:00NOHMashburn Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:12INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)2
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 10:15INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:17NOHMISS Magloire Layup0
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 10:32INDMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:43NOHMagloire Layup (2 PTS)0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 10:46NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 10:48NOHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:10NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:11INDMISS Miller Layup0
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:13INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 11:16INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot0
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:23INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 11:26INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot0
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 11:37INDPacers Rebound0
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 11:39NOHMISS Magloire 7' Jump Shot0
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 11:53INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. O'Neal: Tip to Tinsley0
41.9%
0
58.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.4%
NOH
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
23
74%
NOH
12
24
50%
Midrange
IND
11
41
27%
NOH
18
45
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
NOH
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
IND
18
22
82%
NOH
8
8
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller2181%10.5 / 13
B. Miller2063%10.0 / 16
J. O'Neal1444%7.0 / 16
M. World Peace1146%5.5 / 12
A. Croshere1155%5.5 / 10
J. Tinsley418%2.0 / 11
R. Mercer429%2.0 / 7
A. Harrington217%1.0 / 6
E. Strickland250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2448%12.0 / 25
J. Magloire1568%7.5 / 11
E. Campbell1458%7.0 / 12
D. Wesley1146%5.5 / 12
P. Brown867%4.0 / 6
C. Alexander844%4.0 / 9
B. Davis450%2.0 / 4
B. Drew217%1.0 / 6
S. Augmon0-0.0 / 2
G. Lynch0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+11
-12
95
NOH
78
+13
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.4%
NOH
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
101.4
IND 92.7 +2.2
NOH 90.5
Pace
94.7
91.7
IND 101.3 +9.8
NOH 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.8
IND 14.2 +1.5
NOH 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
46.5%
IND 43.8%
NOH 45.3% +1.5%
TO %
14.7%
15.2%
IND 12.5% +3.5%
NOH 16.0%
ORB %
28.9%
31.8%
IND 21.3%
NOH 23.3% +2.0%
FTrt
34.4
28.5
IND 27.2 +17.9
NOH 9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
62.0%
IND 63.6%
NOH 63.9% +0.3%
STL %
9.0%
8.6%
IND 11.5% +5.2%
NOH 6.3%
BLK %
8.1%
7.1%
IND 10.1%
NOH 10.9% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
48.7%
IND 46.4%
NOH 46.7% +0.3%
Rim FG%
58.0%
53.8%
IND 73.9% +23.9%
NOH 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.0%
IND 26.8%
NOH 40.0% +13.2%
3P %
33.9%
37.6%
IND 29.4%
NOH 35.3% +5.9%
FT %
76.6%
76.8%
IND 81.8%
NOH 100.0% +18.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
32.2%
IND 28.4% +0.5%
NOH 27.9%
Mid Att. %
49.2%
51.7%
IND 50.6% +1.7%
NOH 52.3%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.1%
IND 21.0% +1.2%
NOH 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDNOH
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.824.9
Points8986
Rebounds4347
Assists2123
Steals116
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)37 (2)
Field Goals33-8136-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2312-24
Midrange FG11-4118-45
2-Point FG28-6430-69
3-Point FG5-176-17
Free Throws18-228-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
37.0
4
18%
7
10
4
0
5
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-5
0%
C · 7'0" 261 · 27
36.9
20
63%
10
2
0
2
1
3
4
6
4-5
80%
8-12
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 23
34.2
11
46%
7
1
2
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 255 · 24
33.5
14
44%
6
1
0
1
2
4
1
5
0-1
0%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 37
31.9
21
81%
2
2
3
0
1
1
0
2
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
21.3
2
17%
4
2
1
2
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
16.8
11
55%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27
14.8
4
29%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 29
7.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26
6.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 23
G · 6'2" 225 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
46%
43
21
11
7
12
0
10
33
18-22
82%
28-64
44%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.