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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 1, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat42%91107
21Hawks58%9473
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
37.0
39.2
20
57%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
2-10
5-11
20%
45%
3-4
75%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.8
31.7
36.9
25
75%
2
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
8-13
5-11
62%
42%
2-2
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
30.3
32.2
8
40%
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
29.1
34.4
7
72%
6
0
2
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.5
1.6
31.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
34.6
21.0
10
39%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.7
26.7
21.2
16
83%
13
2
4
1
1
2
3
10
4-6
67%
6-7
2-5
86%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
23.4
6.4
8
68%
3
8
3
0
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
38%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
12.6
5.2
11
65%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
8-10
80%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
6.5
2.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
6.5
1.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
4.5
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
34.6
34.1
17
52%
1
5
0
2
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
2-9
22%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.0
33.3
36.2
12
48%
4
1
0
1
0
7
1
3
1-1
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.1
29.2
39.2
12
76%
10
3
1
1
1
4
2
8
2-2
100%
5-7
7-14
71%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 23.7
29.0
29.9
2
15%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
2-6
0%
38%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
16.9
30.5
6
65%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
1-2
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.1
24.9
16.4
3
31%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
21.7
21.4
8
50%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
17.1
11.7
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
13.9
3.9
5
91%
2
0
0
0
0
6
1
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
12.8
11.0
3
19%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-6
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Maloney
G · 6'3" · 31.1
6.5
2.7
1
20%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.