for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 1, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Heat
41%91
107
21
Hawks
59%94
73
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.19395.7
ATL logo ATL
79.39289.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Glover 11' Jump Shot107
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIACarter Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T12)107
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLMohammed Layup (5 PTS) (Maloney 1 AST)107
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)107
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)106
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHeat Rebound105
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Maloney 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Layup (10 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)105
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19ATLMISS Maloney 20' Jump Shot103
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMarks 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)101
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot101
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)101
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Lampley 6' Jump Shot101
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)101
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)101
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16MIANewble STEAL (1 STL)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30MIAHeat Rebound101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS James Layup101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42ATLMISS Glover 21' Jump Shot101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10ATLMISS Glover Layup101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMaloney STEAL (1 STL)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43ATLMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T25)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02ATLHAWKS Rebound101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13ATLMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T24)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38ATLMohammed Foul Turnover (P4.T23)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)100
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02ATLMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)99
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02ATLMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02ATLMaloney Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)99
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Butler Layup99
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)99
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31ATLMISS Glover Free Throw 1 of 299
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)99
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 298
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMaloney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T22)98
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)98
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25ATLMohammed Foul Turnover (P3.T21)98
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46MIAStepania Layup (16 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)98
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52ATLMISS Glover Layup96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:07ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIAGlover STEAL (1 STL)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33ATLMISS Henderson 6' Jump Shot96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:54MIACarter Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)96
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)94
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:09ATLHAWKS Rebound94
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:11ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:32ATLTerry 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:45ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:00ATLGlover Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:21ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T18)92
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 9:40ATLMISS Glover Layup90
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 9:49ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot90
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Henderson 5' Jump Shot90
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 10:30MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)90
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q4 - 10:48ATLHam Layup (4 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)87
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 11:02MIAStepania 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)87
99.5%
60
0.5%
Q4 - 11:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 11:22ATLMISS Glover 17' Jump Shot85
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 11:44MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 11:48ATLRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T17)83
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound83
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot83
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLJump Ball Henderson vs. Butler: Tip to Allen83
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Ham Layup83
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
98.6%
60
1.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot81
98.1%
60
1.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLNewble 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wilks 4 AST)81
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q3 - 1:00ATLHAWKS Rebound81
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 1:01ATLMISS Wilks Layup81
98.5%
58
1.5%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWilks STEAL (2 STL)81
98.2%
58
1.8%
Q3 - 1:21ATLNewble 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 1:34ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q3 - 1:36ATLMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot81
99.0%
56
1.0%
Q3 - 1:54MIAButler 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS)81
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q3 - 2:14ATLHam 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Newble 2 AST)79
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 2:29ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
98.5%
54
1.5%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 279
98.5%
54
1.5%
Q3 - 2:30MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
98.6%
54
1.4%
Q3 - 2:38ATLRatliff Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
98.5%
54
1.5%
Q3 - 2:38ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
98.6%
53
1.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)78
98.7%
52
1.3%
Q3 - 3:11ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)75
97.9%
52
2.1%
Q3 - 3:11ATLHAWKS Rebound75
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 3:11ATLMISS Newble Layup75
97.8%
52
2.2%
Q3 - 3:34ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot75
97.6%
52
2.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIAHeat Rebound75
97.9%
52
2.1%
Q3 - 3:39MIAAbdur-Rahim BLOCK (1 BLK)75
97.6%
52
2.4%
Q3 - 3:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)75
97.9%
52
2.1%
Q3 - 4:06MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)75
97.0%
52
3.0%
Q3 - 4:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
97.4%
52
2.6%
Q3 - 4:30MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)75
97.0%
52
3.0%
Q3 - 4:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
97.6%
52
2.4%
Q3 - 4:50ATLMISS Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 275
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 4:50ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 5:04MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)75
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 5:19ATLNewble Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)72
96.1%
51
3.9%
Q3 - 5:36MIAJones Running Dunk (19 PTS)72
95.3%
51
4.7%
Q3 - 5:56ATLRobinson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 6:09MIAAbdur-Rahim STEAL (1 STL)70
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 6:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 6:29ATLMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
95.2%
49
4.8%
Q3 - 6:51MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
94.7%
49
5.3%
Q3 - 6:51MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
94.5%
49
5.5%
Q3 - 7:05ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
93.1%
49
6.9%
Q3 - 7:05ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
93.3%
48
6.7%
Q3 - 7:09ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
93.9%
47
6.1%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS James Layup68
94.2%
47
5.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
94.9%
47
5.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot68
94.3%
47
5.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAHeat Rebound68
94.9%
47
5.1%
Q3 - 7:50ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
94.7%
47
5.3%
Q3 - 8:11MIAJames Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)68
93.5%
47
6.5%
Q3 - 8:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
92.7%
47
7.3%
Q3 - 8:16ATLMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot66
92.3%
47
7.7%
Q3 - 8:32MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)66
91.5%
47
8.5%
Q3 - 8:45ATLRobinson Driving Layup (10 PTS)64
90.4%
47
9.6%
Q3 - 9:06MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)64
90.6%
45
9.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
89.4%
45
10.6%
Q3 - 9:22ATLMISS Wilks Layup62
88.9%
45
11.1%
Q3 - 9:45MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
87.9%
45
12.1%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
85.4%
45
14.6%
Q3 - 10:05ATLMISS Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 260
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q3 - 10:05ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
84.1%
45
15.9%
Q3 - 10:23MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
85.2%
44
14.8%
Q3 - 10:24MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
83.6%
44
16.4%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS James Layup58
82.0%
44
18.0%
Q3 - 10:45ATLRatliff 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)58
83.6%
44
16.4%
Q3 - 11:02ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
84.4%
42
15.6%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot58
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q3 - 11:19ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)58
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)58
84.5%
42
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
78.5%
42
21.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
77.4%
42
22.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
77.9%
42
22.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
79.0%
42
21.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot55
78.6%
42
21.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
77.5%
42
22.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 255
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
79.4%
42
20.6%
Q2 - 1:02ATLMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)54
75.6%
42
24.4%
Q2 - 1:03ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q2 - 1:05ATLMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot54
75.3%
42
24.7%
Q2 - 1:20MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q2 - 1:20MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
74.0%
42
26.0%
Q2 - 1:24ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)52
70.6%
42
29.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q2 - 2:02ATLTerry 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 3 AST)50
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 2:25ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
67.8%
40
32.2%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot50
68.5%
40
31.5%
Q2 - 2:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 2:36ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
69.5%
40
30.5%
Q2 - 2:56MIAButler Dunk (12 PTS)50
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 3:01ATLMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
63.7%
40
36.3%
Q2 - 3:14ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
60.6%
40
39.4%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Stepania 11' Jump Shot48
61.6%
40
38.4%
Q2 - 3:29ATLRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)48
63.8%
40
36.2%
Q2 - 3:47ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
60.7%
40
39.3%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones Layup48
61.7%
40
38.3%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJones Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)48
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q2 - 4:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot47
57.9%
40
42.1%
Q2 - 4:24ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (12 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)47
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 4:36ATLHAWKS Rebound47
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot47
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 5:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
64.8%
38
35.2%
Q2 - 5:02ATLMISS Wilks 15' Jump Shot47
63.9%
38
36.1%
Q2 - 5:26MIAJones Driving Layup (11 PTS)47
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
59.5%
38
40.5%
Q2 - 5:32ATLMISS Wilks 14' Jump Shot45
58.6%
38
41.4%
Q2 - 5:52MIAButler Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)45
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q2 - 5:58ATLWilks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
53.9%
38
46.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIAGrant Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)43
50.3%
38
49.7%
Q2 - 6:39ATLAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)41
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 7:00MIAStepania Layup (9 PTS)41
44.9%
38
55.1%
Q2 - 7:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot39
40.5%
38
59.5%
Q2 - 7:18ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
42.4%
38
57.6%
Q2 - 7:18ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (10 PTS)39
42.4%
38
57.6%
Q2 - 7:20ATLMISS Henderson 4' Jump Shot39
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 7:31MIAStepania 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
44.8%
36
55.2%
Q2 - 7:49ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wilks 3 AST)37
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 8:07MIAStepania Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)37
47.0%
33
53.0%
Q2 - 8:13ATLNewble Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q2 - 8:23MIACarter Layup (4 PTS) (Stepania 2 AST)35
41.9%
33
58.1%
Q2 - 8:43ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Newble 1 AST)33
39.7%
33
60.3%
Q2 - 9:02ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
44.1%
30
55.9%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot33
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 233
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 9:20ATLMISS Newble 15' Jump Shot33
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 9:53ATLRatliff Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
44.4%
29
55.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)31
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q2 - 10:17ATLMISS Newble 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 10:23ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
34.5%
29
65.5%
Q2 - 10:25ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot28
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 10:46MIAStepania Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
34.5%
29
65.5%
Q2 - 10:55ATLNewble 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)26
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 11:13MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)26
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q2 - 11:29ATLHenderson Layup (2 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 2 AST)23
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q2 - 11:41MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T2)23
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q2 - 11:48MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)23
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot22
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)22
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAButler Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
34.6%
23
65.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Tip Shot (6 PTS)20
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot20
35.8%
21
64.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
34.6%
21
65.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot20
35.1%
21
64.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 1:10ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot20
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)20
34.6%
21
65.4%
Q1 - 1:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 1:34ATLMISS Wilks 5' Jump Shot18
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 1:55MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 217
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 1:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Butler Layup17
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 2:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
30.4%
21
69.6%
Q1 - 2:08ATLMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot17
29.8%
21
70.2%
Q1 - 2:24MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 2:24MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 2:43ATLNewble 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)15
26.5%
21
73.5%
Q1 - 2:54ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)15
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 3:03ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot15
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 3:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 3:17ATLMISS Newble 15' Jump Shot15
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 3:35ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot15
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:59ATLWilks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 3:59ATLWilks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 4:11MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 214
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 4:11ATLMISS Terry Layup14
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:20ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot14
32.9%
16
67.1%
Q1 - 4:44ATLRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wilks 2 AST)14
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
37.9%
13
62.1%
Q1 - 5:04ATLAbdur-Rahim 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)12
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 5:20ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 5:42ATLRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 6:02MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 6:11ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot10
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:28MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 6:47ATLTerry 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)8
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 6:52MIAWilks STEAL (1 STL)8
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 7:09ATLRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 7:09ATLRobinson Layup (4 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)8
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 7:28MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 7:42ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)6
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot4
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 8:22ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 8:22ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 8:31ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot4
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 8:49ATLTerry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 9:07ATLRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:13ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Allen Layup2
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Butler Layup2
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:27ATLMISS Wilks 15' Jump Shot2
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 9:33ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot2
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 9:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 9:41ATLMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot2
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:00ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 10:31ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)2
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 10:46MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:56ATLMISS Ratliff 9' Jump Shot0
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 11:15ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Best Layup0
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:34ATLRobinson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Ratliff vs. Grant: Tip to Abdur-Rahim0
35.7%
0
64.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 56.9%
ATL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
29
69%
ATL
10
22
45%
Midrange
MIA
10
36
28%
ATL
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
ATL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
29
36
81%
ATL
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2574%12.5 / 17
E. Jones2059%10.0 / 17
V. Stepania16100%8.0 / 8
R. Butler1161%5.5 / 9
M. James1038%5.0 / 13
M. Allen840%4.0 / 10
A. Carter867%4.0 / 6
B. Grant770%3.5 / 5
S. Marks250%1.0 / 2
T. Best0-0.0 / 1
S. Lampley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry1753%8.5 / 16
G. Robinson1246%6.0 / 13
S. Abdur-Rahim1275%6.0 / 8
I. Newble850%4.0 / 8
T. Ratliff660%3.0 / 5
N. Mohammed583%2.5 / 3
D. Ham467%2.0 / 3
A. Henderson330%1.5 / 5
D. Glover319%1.5 / 8
M. Wilks214%1.0 / 7
M. Maloney125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+11
-12
92
ATL
68
+10
-24
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 56.9%
ATL
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
99.8
MIA 115.1
ATL 79.3 +35.7
Pace
90.0
93.3
MIA 95.7 +6.1
ATL 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.2
MIA 15.1 +1.0
ATL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.6%
MIA 52.7% +12.5%
ATL 40.2%
TO %
14.8%
16.9%
MIA 11.8% +12.7%
ATL 24.5%
ORB %
26.8%
27.9%
MIA 25.7% +6.8%
ATL 18.9%
FTrt
25.9
31.3
MIA 48.6 +10.7
ATL 37.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.7%
MIA 58.3%
ATL 68.0% +9.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
MIA 19.4% +12.9%
ATL 6.5%
BLK %
6.4%
8.3%
MIA 5.8% +4.3%
ATL 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.1%
MIA 56.9% +11.3%
ATL 45.6%
Rim FG%
53.7%
55.2%
MIA 69.0% +23.5%
ATL 45.5%
Mid FG%
37.6%
41.1%
MIA 27.8%
ATL 40.0% +12.2%
3P %
31.6%
35.2%
MIA 66.7% +45.3%
ATL 21.4%
FT %
76.5%
79.3%
MIA 80.6% +0.6%
ATL 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.2%
MIA 39.2% +5.9%
ATL 33.3%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
51.1%
MIA 48.6%
ATL 45.5% +3.2%
3P Att. %
16.9%
17.7%
MIA 12.2%
ATL 21.2% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points10773
Rebounds3933
Assists2117
Steals186
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)24 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)26 (3)
Field Goals36-7425-66
At-the-Rim FG20-2910-22
Midrange FG10-3612-30
2-Point FG30-6522-52
3-Point FG6-93-14
Free Throws29-3620-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
23 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
37.0
20
59%
3
2
2
0
1
2
0
3
7-8
88%
2-10
20%
3-4
75%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
31.7
25
74%
2
3
4
0
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
8-13
62%
2-2
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
30.3
8
40%
6
1
0
1
2
3
2
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
29.1
7
70%
6
0
2
0
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
1.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
34.6
10
38%
3
3
3
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
26.7
16
100%
13
2
4
1
2
1
3
10
4-6
67%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
23.4
8
67%
3
8
3
0
5
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
12.6
11
61%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
8-10
80%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
6.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
6.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
39
21
18
3
12
0
9
30
29-36
81%
30-65
46%
6-9
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.