for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 3, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Nets
64%93
100
22
Heat
36%88
80
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
103.19795.9
MIA logo MIA
85.19495.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN100
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Ellis 5' Hook Shot100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0NJNMISS Kittles Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0NJNMISS Kittles Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIALampley Layup (4 PTS)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13NJNJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T25)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30NJNMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAHouse Driving Finger Roll (7 PTS)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00NJNKittles 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)100
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 298
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38NJNArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T24)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09NJNSlay Driving Layup (4 PTS)98
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)96
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)96
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57NJNMISS Kittles 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Lampley 18' Jump Shot96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34NJNSlay 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 6 AST)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17NJNKittles Dunk (7 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32NJNMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56NJNWilliams 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16MIAButler Driving Dunk (11 PTS)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26NJNMISS Scalabrine Layup90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:59NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:00NJNMISS Martin 7' Hook Shot88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:17MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:28NJNCarter STEAL (2 STL)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47NJNMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 188
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47NJNJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:59NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Marks 17' Jump Shot86
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:12NJNKittles 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)86
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)84
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 8:58NJNKittles Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T22)84
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)84
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 9:12MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Ellis Layup84
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 9:29NJNWilliams 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)84
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 9:47NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot82
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 10:11NJNRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)82
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:24NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Stepania 8' Jump Shot82
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:39NJNMartin Dunk (10 PTS)82
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:40NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 10:43NJNMISS Williams 9' Hook Shot80
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS House Free Throw 1 of 280
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 11:13NJNKittles Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)80
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:19NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Carter 11' Running Hook Shot80
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 11:39NJNRogers 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)80
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN78
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot78
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0NJNRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)78
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0NJNMISS Rogers Free Throw 1 of 277
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
98.6%
59
1.4%
Q3 - 1:00NJNCarter STEAL (1 STL)77
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 1:10MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 1:10MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHEAT Rebound77
99.0%
56
1.0%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot77
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 1:17NJNEllis STEAL (1 STL)77
99.0%
56
1.0%
Q3 - 1:34MIACarter 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 2 AST)77
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
99.4%
54
0.6%
Q3 - 1:54NJNMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot77
99.4%
54
0.6%
Q3 - 2:14MIAButler 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
99.3%
54
0.7%
Q3 - 2:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS House Layup77
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q3 - 2:23NJNButler STEAL (1 STL)77
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q3 - 2:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)77
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot77
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q3 - 3:08NJNWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 13 AST)77
99.3%
52
0.7%
Q3 - 3:22NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot75
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 3:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 3:32NJNMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot75
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 3:34NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 3:36NJNMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot75
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 3:49NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 275
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 3:51MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
99.2%
51
0.8%
Q3 - 4:02NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 275
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 4:02NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)75
99.2%
51
0.8%
Q3 - 4:06NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Ellis 10' Jump Shot74
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 4:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
99.1%
51
0.9%
Q3 - 4:35NJNMartin 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)72
98.8%
51
1.2%
Q3 - 5:12NJNMartin Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)72
98.8%
49
1.2%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T13)70
98.6%
49
1.4%
Q3 - 5:39NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)70
98.3%
49
1.7%
Q3 - 5:39NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)69
98.2%
49
1.8%
Q3 - 5:42NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
98.0%
49
2.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot68
97.9%
49
2.1%
Q3 - 5:58NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)68
97.7%
49
2.3%
Q3 - 6:20MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
97.8%
49
2.2%
Q3 - 6:20MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
97.9%
48
2.1%
Q3 - 6:32NJNJefferson Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Kidd 12 AST)68
98.1%
47
1.9%
Q3 - 6:36NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
97.8%
47
2.2%
Q3 - 6:37NJNMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot66
97.5%
47
2.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAButler Layup (6 PTS)66
97.8%
47
2.2%
Q3 - 7:19NJNNets Rebound66
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 7:19NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 7:19NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 265
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 7:22MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
97.9%
45
2.1%
Q3 - 7:43NJNJefferson Dunk (21 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)65
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 7:50NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
97.1%
45
2.9%
Q3 - 7:52NJNMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot63
96.8%
45
3.2%
Q3 - 8:07MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
97.0%
45
3.0%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 263
97.2%
44
2.8%
Q3 - 8:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
96.9%
44
3.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Stepania Layup63
97.3%
44
2.7%
Q3 - 8:25NJNHarris 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)63
96.9%
44
3.1%
Q3 - 8:30NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS James Driving Layup61
96.3%
44
3.7%
Q3 - 8:51NJNHarris Dunk (14 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)61
95.9%
44
4.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)59
95.3%
44
4.7%
Q3 - 8:59NJNJames STEAL (4 STL)59
94.5%
44
5.5%
Q3 - 9:13NJNKidd Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)59
95.0%
44
5.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
94.3%
44
5.7%
Q3 - 9:33NJNStepania STEAL (1 STL)58
95.0%
42
5.0%
Q3 - 9:37NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
95.7%
42
4.3%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Stepania 9' Jump Shot58
95.5%
42
4.5%
Q3 - 9:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
95.0%
42
5.0%
Q3 - 9:55NJNMISS Martin Dunk58
95.2%
42
4.8%
Q3 - 10:06NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
95.5%
42
4.5%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup58
95.3%
42
4.7%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical58
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q3 - 10:24MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)58
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q3 - 10:24NJNGrant STEAL (3 STL)58
95.4%
41
4.6%
Q3 - 10:28NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
96.1%
41
3.9%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot58
95.9%
41
4.1%
Q3 - 10:50NJNCollins 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)58
95.4%
41
4.6%
Q3 - 11:03NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
94.4%
41
5.6%
Q3 - 11:20NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
93.9%
41
6.1%
Q3 - 11:20NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)55
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q3 - 11:37MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)54
93.1%
41
6.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
93.9%
39
6.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
93.9%
39
6.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS House 56' 3PT Jump Shot54
93.9%
39
6.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
93.6%
39
6.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
93.7%
39
6.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
94.1%
39
5.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
94.2%
38
5.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 254
95.1%
37
4.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
95.5%
37
4.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)53
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0NJNJefferson Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)53
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAHouse 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
92.9%
37
7.1%
Q2 - 1:37NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)51
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 1:37NJNJefferson Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)50
93.3%
35
6.7%
Q2 - 1:40NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
92.0%
35
8.0%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot48
91.9%
35
8.1%
Q2 - 1:52NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)48
91.5%
35
8.5%
Q2 - 1:52NJNJefferson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)47
90.5%
35
9.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)45
88.6%
35
11.4%
Q2 - 2:38NJNMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
91.2%
32
8.8%
Q2 - 2:44NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
91.0%
32
9.0%
Q2 - 2:46NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 145
91.1%
32
8.9%
Q2 - 2:46NJNKidd Running Layup (11 PTS)45
91.0%
32
9.0%
Q2 - 2:49MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)43
89.8%
32
10.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
88.1%
32
11.9%
Q2 - 3:08NJNMISS Jefferson Running Layup43
88.5%
32
11.5%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)43
89.4%
32
10.6%
Q2 - 3:35NJNHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)43
88.1%
32
11.9%
Q2 - 3:41NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
85.5%
32
14.5%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot40
85.0%
32
15.0%
Q2 - 4:01NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
83.6%
32
16.4%
Q2 - 4:01NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
83.2%
32
16.8%
Q2 - 4:09NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
81.9%
32
18.1%
Q2 - 4:11NJNMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
80.7%
32
19.3%
Q2 - 4:34MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)38
82.0%
32
18.0%
Q2 - 4:46NJNWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)38
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 4:59MIACarter 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
85.1%
30
14.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
86.3%
28
13.7%
Q2 - 5:09NJNMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot38
86.8%
28
13.2%
Q2 - 5:14NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
87.7%
28
12.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Stepania 21' Jump Shot38
87.3%
28
12.7%
Q2 - 5:44NJNJefferson Dunk (11 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)38
86.3%
28
13.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)36
85.1%
28
14.9%
Q2 - 6:15NJNHarris 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)36
83.2%
28
16.8%
Q2 - 6:33MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)33
80.2%
28
19.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
83.2%
25
16.8%
Q2 - 6:43NJNMISS Williams Layup33
83.8%
25
16.2%
Q2 - 7:02NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
84.4%
25
15.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Stepania Layup33
84.0%
25
16.0%
Q2 - 7:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot33
84.0%
25
16.0%
Q2 - 7:36NJNJames STEAL (3 STL)33
83.0%
25
17.0%
Q2 - 7:54NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
84.5%
25
15.5%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot33
84.1%
25
15.9%
Q2 - 8:13NJNKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)33
82.6%
25
17.4%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
79.7%
25
20.3%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAllen Driving Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)30
81.3%
24
18.7%
Q2 - 8:39NJNNets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)30
82.6%
22
17.4%
Q2 - 8:39NJNNets Rebound30
84.2%
22
15.8%
Q2 - 8:40NJNMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot30
83.1%
22
16.9%
Q2 - 9:06MIAButler Running Dunk (2 PTS)30
84.0%
22
16.0%
Q2 - 9:26NJNKidd 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)30
85.1%
20
14.9%
Q2 - 9:51MIAJames Running Layup (4 PTS)28
84.0%
20
16.0%
Q2 - 9:54NJNHouse STEAL (2 STL)28
85.2%
18
14.8%
Q2 - 10:14MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)28
86.2%
18
13.8%
Q2 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound28
87.2%
16
12.8%
Q2 - 10:27NJNMISS Kittles 20' Jump Shot28
87.6%
16
12.4%
Q2 - 10:40MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
88.4%
16
11.6%
Q2 - 10:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
89.3%
14
10.7%
Q2 - 10:58NJNMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot28
89.6%
14
10.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAStepania 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
90.0%
14
10.0%
Q2 - 11:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
90.8%
12
9.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS House Layup28
91.4%
12
8.6%
Q2 - 11:28NJNHouse STEAL (1 STL)28
90.8%
12
9.2%
Q2 - 11:39NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
91.6%
12
8.4%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot28
91.4%
12
8.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
90.8%
12
9.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
90.8%
12
9.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot28
91.0%
12
9.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0NJNWilliams 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)28
90.6%
12
9.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
91.2%
12
8.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0NJNMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot28
90.8%
12
9.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)28
91.2%
12
8.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0NJNKittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
92.1%
10
7.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
90.4%
10
9.6%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot25
90.3%
10
9.7%
Q1 - 1:20NJNJefferson Reverse Dunk (9 PTS)25
89.7%
10
10.3%
Q1 - 1:41NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 223
88.6%
10
11.4%
Q1 - 1:41NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 223
89.3%
10
10.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
88.6%
10
11.4%
Q1 - 1:50NJNJames STEAL (2 STL)23
87.8%
10
12.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)23
88.7%
10
11.3%
Q1 - 2:37NJNWilliams 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
87.8%
10
12.2%
Q1 - 2:44NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
86.7%
10
13.3%
Q1 - 2:46NJNMISS Johnson Layup21
86.0%
10
14.0%
Q1 - 2:57MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
86.7%
10
13.3%
Q1 - 2:57MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
87.1%
9
12.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
87.8%
8
12.2%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Butler Layup21
88.4%
8
11.6%
Q1 - 3:11MIAHEAT Rebound21
87.2%
8
12.8%
Q1 - 3:12NJNMISS Kittles Tip Shot21
87.6%
8
12.4%
Q1 - 3:13NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
88.3%
8
11.7%
Q1 - 3:14NJNMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot21
87.6%
8
12.4%
Q1 - 3:31NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
88.3%
8
11.7%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot21
88.0%
8
12.0%
Q1 - 3:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
87.3%
8
12.7%
Q1 - 3:53NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 221
87.4%
8
12.6%
Q1 - 3:53NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 221
88.0%
8
12.0%
Q1 - 4:09MIAAllen Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)21
88.2%
8
11.8%
Q1 - 4:28NJNJefferson Reverse Layup (7 PTS)21
88.9%
6
11.1%
Q1 - 4:38NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
88.2%
6
11.8%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot19
87.9%
6
12.1%
Q1 - 4:53NJNJefferson Layup (5 PTS)19
87.1%
6
12.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)17
85.7%
6
14.3%
Q1 - 5:07NJNGrant STEAL (2 STL)17
84.6%
6
15.4%
Q1 - 5:18MIAButler 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
85.8%
6
14.2%
Q1 - 5:33NJNKidd Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
86.7%
4
13.3%
Q1 - 5:37MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
87.7%
4
12.3%
Q1 - 5:51NJNMartin Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)17
86.7%
4
13.3%
Q1 - 6:11NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
85.2%
4
14.8%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot15
84.9%
4
15.1%
Q1 - 6:25NJNJames STEAL (1 STL)15
84.1%
4
15.9%
Q1 - 6:31NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
85.2%
4
14.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Grant Layup15
84.9%
4
15.1%
Q1 - 6:50NJNJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
84.2%
4
15.8%
Q1 - 7:08NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
84.7%
4
15.3%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot15
84.3%
4
15.7%
Q1 - 7:33NJNKidd 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
83.6%
4
16.4%
Q1 - 7:39NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
82.6%
4
17.4%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Butler Layup13
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 7:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
81.4%
4
18.6%
Q1 - 7:49NJNMISS Jefferson 9' Hook Shot13
81.8%
4
18.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
83.0%
4
17.0%
Q1 - 8:13NJNGrant STEAL (1 STL)13
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 8:31MIAJames Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)13
82.9%
4
17.1%
Q1 - 8:55NJNHarris Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)13
83.8%
2
16.2%
Q1 - 9:03MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
82.9%
2
17.1%
Q1 - 9:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
81.5%
2
18.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot11
82.5%
2
17.5%
Q1 - 9:24NJNHarris 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)11
81.6%
2
18.4%
Q1 - 9:29NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
80.7%
2
19.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot9
80.3%
2
19.7%
Q1 - 9:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot9
80.3%
2
19.7%
Q1 - 10:08NJNMartin 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)9
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)7
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 10:40NJNHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 10:40NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
79.0%
0
21.0%
Q1 - 10:43NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
78.1%
0
21.9%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot5
77.6%
0
22.4%
Q1 - 11:01NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
76.6%
0
23.4%
Q1 - 11:01NJNJefferson Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 11:06NJNNets Rebound2
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 11:07NJNMISS Harris Tip Shot2
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 11:08NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 11:08NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot2
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 11:28NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup2
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:48NJNKidd 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Collins: Tip to Jefferson0
70.9%
0
29.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
16
23
70%
MIA
13
25
52%
Midrange
NJN
19
35
54%
MIA
14
44
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
MIA
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
NJN
18
30
60%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson2665%13.0 / 20
L. Harris1667%8.0 / 12
J. Kidd1365%6.5 / 10
K. Martin1260%6.0 / 10
K. Kittles956%4.5 / 8
A. Williams850%4.0 / 8
J. Collins788%3.5 / 4
T. Slay4100%2.0 / 2
R. Rogers350%1.5 / 3
A. Johnson220%1.0 / 5
B. Scalabrine0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler12100%6.0 / 6
C. Butler1134%5.5 / 16
M. James950%4.5 / 9
M. Allen990%4.5 / 5
E. Jones758%3.5 / 6
E. House729%3.5 / 12
V. Stepania739%3.5 / 9
A. Carter638%3.0 / 8
S. Lampley563%2.5 / 4
L. Ellis429%2.0 / 7
B. Grant220%1.0 / 5
S. Marks125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
73
+14
-24
87
MIA
76
+16
-18
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.5
94.5
NJN 103.1
MIA 85.1 +18.0
Pace
94.6
90.0
NJN 95.9 +0.7
MIA 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.2
NJN 15.0 +0.1
MIA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
43.9%
NJN 61.2% +21.7%
MIA 39.5%
TO %
15.2%
14.8%
NJN 23.8%
MIA 17.9% +5.9%
ORB %
28.8%
26.8%
NJN 36.7% +8.4%
MIA 28.3%
FTrt
33.3
25.9
NJN 44.8 +10.6
MIA 34.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.9%
55.8%
NJN 61.5% +13.2%
MIA 48.3%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
NJN 15.5% +0.6%
MIA 14.9%
BLK %
7.1%
6.4%
NJN 7.2% +7.2%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
46.0%
NJN 58.1% +14.6%
MIA 43.5%
Rim FG%
57.2%
53.7%
NJN 69.6% +17.6%
MIA 52.0%
Mid FG%
37.8%
37.6%
NJN 54.3% +22.5%
MIA 31.8%
3P %
33.2%
31.6%
NJN 44.4% +15.8%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
75.7%
76.5%
NJN 60.0%
MIA 76.9% +16.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
28.9%
NJN 34.3% +1.4%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
54.2%
NJN 52.2% +5.7%
MIA 57.9%
3P Att. %
15.8%
16.9%
NJN 13.4% +4.2%
MIA 9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9794
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points10080
Rebounds4432
Assists2414
Steals1514
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)24 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)19 (2)
Field Goals39-6729-76
At-the-Rim FG16-2313-25
Midrange FG19-3514-44
2-Point FG35-5827-69
3-Point FG4-92-7
Free Throws18-3020-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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3 New Jersey Nets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
35.1
12
60%
10
6
3
1
3
3
3
7
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23
32.8
26
65%
8
0
1
1
2
3
1
7
6-11
55%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
28.0
13
65%
2
13
3
1
4
2
1
1
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 32
25.1
16
67%
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
11.5
7
88%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 31
31.3
8
50%
9
1
1
0
4
2
3
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29
22.9
9
56%
3
0
2
1
3
3
1
2
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
20.0
2
20%
2
1
1
0
2
4
0
2
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32
17.5
3
50%
2
1
1
0
4
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Tamar Slay
G · 6'8" 220 · 23
5.1
4
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
58%
44
24
15
5
24
0
11
33
18-30
60%
35-58
60%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.